Quentin Johnston 2026 fantasy outlook and rest-of-season projection
- Age
- 25
- Height / weight
- 6'2", 208 lb
- Experience
- 4th season
- Drafted
- 2023 R1, #21
2026 Season
- PPR PPG
- 4.4
- Pos rank
- WR88
- Rostered
- 54%
Week 4 at Seahawks, Sun Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET 30th vs. WRs, tough
Quentin Johnston Rest-of-Season Outlook
Downfield depth WR for deep leagues only
Preseason Projection vs. Reality
He finished WR34 last season at 12.2 points per game.
Our Take After Week 4
Through 3 games he's WR88 at 4.4 PPR points per game, against 12.2 over 14 games last season (WR34). He's running behind last season's pace.
Last season he ranked 42nd of 142 in target volume (15.4% target share), 41st of 142 in downfield role (21.8% air-yards share) and 50th of 142 in efficiency (1.66 yards per route run). His points come from his downfield role. Efficiency is the soft spot. Justin Herbert is his quarterback.
The main risk is the job itself. He's the listed starter with Marquez Valdes-Scantling next on the depth chart, and a benching or an injury would take his value to zero overnight.
Read our preseason outlook (June 2026)
Published June 17, 2026. Kept for reference; the take above replaces it.
Johnston delivered a steady third year, turning 84 targets into 51 catches for 735 yards and a career-high eight touchdowns over 13 games, banking 120.2 fantasy points at WR31. That edged his 2024 (55-711-8, WR42) on a per-game basis despite a dip in target share from 18.5 to 15.4 percent and avoided-tackle rate falling from 14.5 to 7.8. The big-play juice is real: he logged 13 catches of 20-plus yards and three of 50-plus, with a 19.39 air yards per reception that anchors a downfield role.
The 2023 first-rounder out of TCU sustained his touchdown output two straight years (eight each), and 15 red-zone targets plus seven end-zone looks point to continued scoring equity. The 60.7 percent catch rate and 44 percent success rate cap his floor, making him touchdown-dependent week to week. Draft him as a back-end WR3 or flex with legitimate upside if his target share rebounds.
What Drives His Outlook
His 2025 rank among the 142 receivers who played at least six games. Each bar is one receiver, best on the left; his is highlighted.
Target volume
Downfield role
Efficiency
- Average depth of target
- 11.8
- Drop rate
- 2.4%
- Red-zone targets
- 15
- Route participation
- 70.9%
- YAC per reception
- 4.3
What Could Change His Value
Upside
- The scheduleNone of his next four opponents is a top-10 matchup for WRs.Wk 4 SEA, 30thWk 5 DEN, 27thWk 6 KC, 32ndWk 8 LAR, 19th
- Heavy target volume15.4% target share, 42nd of 142 WRs in 2025.
- Downfield role21.8% air-yards share, 41st of 142 WRs in 2025.
Risk
- Job securityMarquez Valdes-Scantling is next on the depth chart; a benching or injury hands him the job.
- Tough matchupsThe Seahawks in Week 4 (30th) and the Broncos in Week 5 (27th) are among the stingiest defenses against WRs.
All Quentin Johnston stats & analysis
WRs like Quentin Johnston
Quentin Johnston Fantasy Outlook FAQ
What is Quentin Johnston's fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?
Quentin Johnston projects as a downfield depth WR for deep leagues only for the rest of the 2026 season: waiver-wire material in 12-team PPR, 10-team PPR and half-PPR leagues. His downfield role (21.8% air-yards share, 41st of 142 WRs in 2025) supports that. His efficiency (1.66 yards per route run, 50th of 142 WRs in 2025) holds him back. See his live rank in Redraft Command.
What is Quentin Johnston's rest-of-season fantasy ranking?
Quentin Johnston is the WR88 in PPR points per game through Week 4. That puts him in depth WR territory, waiver-wire material in 10-team PPR leagues.
What is Quentin Johnston's projected role going forward?
Quentin Johnston is the listed starting WR, with Marquez Valdes-Scantling next on the depth chart. Nothing on the chart threatens the job, so the role is his to lose on performance.
Will Quentin Johnston get more targets?
Quentin Johnston's targets are holding steady: 5.5 a game over his last two games against 5.7 for the season. His share of the offense is what his fantasy value rides on.
What is Quentin Johnston's fantasy football upside?
Quentin Johnston's upside: his ceiling this season is 7.0 PPR points (Week 3, WR62) and his downfield role (21.8% air-yards share, 41st of 142 WRs in 2025) gives him a weekly floor to build on.
What could hurt Quentin Johnston's fantasy value?
Quentin Johnston's risks: Marquez Valdes-Scantling is next on the depth chart if he is benched or hurt, his efficiency (1.66 yards per route run, 50th of 142 WRs in 2025) limits his scoring and the Seahawks in Week 4 and the Broncos in Week 5 are tough matchups. See his injury status and history.
How difficult is Quentin Johnston's remaining fantasy schedule?
Difficult: of his next seven games, 2 come against a top-10 matchup for WRs and 3 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.