Start A.J. Brown. Brown is projected for 15.0 PPR points vs 12.3 for DK Metcalf, and faces the 3rd-toughest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| A.J. Brown WR · NE | DK Metcalf WR · PIT | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 15.0 | 12.3 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 13.4 | 11.5 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 16.6 | 13.1 |
| StatChasers projection | 14.5 (WR14) | 13.1 (WR19) |
| Opponent | vs MIA | vs CLE |
| Opponent vs. position | 3rd-toughest (23.8 pts/g allowed) | 14th-softest (31.8 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 22% target share (last 3) | 25% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | START · WR2 | START · WR2 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start A.J. Brown. Brown projects for 15.0 PPR points vs MIA, against 12.3 for DK Metcalf vs CLE: a 2.7-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
A.J. Brown is projected to score more: 15.0 PPR points to 12.3 for DK Metcalf.
The sources range from 13.4 to 16.6 for Brown and from 11.5 to 13.1 for Metcalf. Even Metcalf's highest projection is below Brown's lowest.
A.J. Brown is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Brown at 13.4 PPR points, against 11.5 for DK Metcalf.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
A.J. Brown has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Brown at 16.6 PPR points, against 13.1 for DK Metcalf.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
A.J. Brown plays MIA and DK Metcalf plays CLE in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Brown faces the 3rd-toughest defense against WRs and Metcalf faces the 14th-softest defense against WRs, so DK Metcalf has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games A.J. Brown has drawn 22% of his team's targets, and DK Metcalf 25% of his team's targets.
DK Metcalf has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is DK Metcalf.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither A.J. Brown nor DK Metcalf has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). A.J. Brown is projected by 5 of them and DK Metcalf by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.