Too close to call: Caleb Williams (15.4) and Malik Willis (15.3) project within 0.1 PPR points of each other in Week 8, and Caleb Williams faces the 2nd-toughest defense against QBs.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Caleb Williams QB · CHI | Malik Willis QB · MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 15.4 | 15.3 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 11.3 | 13.7 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 16.8 | 16.5 |
| StatChasers projection | 16.8 (QB15) | 16.5 (QB17) |
| Opponent | vs SEA | vs NE |
| Opponent vs. position | 2nd-toughest (11.6 pts/g allowed) | 10th-toughest (15.7 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | — | — |
| Position | QB | QB |
| Our call | FLEX · Streamer | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
It is a coin flip. Caleb Williams projects for 15.4 PPR points and Malik Willis for 15.3, within 0.1 of each other.
Break the tie with the floor if you are favored this week, and with the ceiling if you need a big game to win.
They are projected almost level: 15.4 PPR points for Caleb Williams and 15.3 for Malik Willis.
The sources range from 11.3 to 16.8 for Williams and from 13.7 to 16.5 for Willis. Either result is well inside both ranges.
Malik Willis is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Willis at 13.7 PPR points, against 11.3 for Caleb Williams.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Caleb Williams has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Williams at 16.8 PPR points, against 16.5 for Malik Willis.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Caleb Williams plays SEA and Malik Willis plays NE in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Williams faces the 2nd-toughest defense against QBs and Willis faces the 10th-toughest defense against QBs, so Malik Willis has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Caleb Williams nor Malik Willis has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Caleb Williams is projected by 6 of them and Malik Willis by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.