Start Sam Darnold. Darnold is projected for 16.0 PPR points vs 15.4 for Caleb Williams, and faces the 10th-softest defense against QBs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Sam Darnold QB · SEA | Caleb Williams QB · CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 16.0 | 15.4 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 14.5 | 11.3 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 17.1 | 16.8 |
| StatChasers projection | 17.1 (QB14) | 16.8 (QB15) |
| Opponent | vs CHI | vs SEA |
| Opponent vs. position | 10th-softest (19.9 pts/g allowed) | 2nd-toughest (11.6 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | — | — |
| Position | QB | QB |
| Our call | FLEX · Streamer | FLEX · Streamer |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Sam Darnold. Darnold projects for 16.0 PPR points vs CHI, against 15.4 for Caleb Williams vs SEA: a 0.6-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Sam Darnold is projected to score more: 16.0 PPR points to 15.4 for Caleb Williams.
The sources range from 14.5 to 17.1 for Darnold and from 11.3 to 16.8 for Williams. The ranges overlap, so Williams outscoring Darnold is a realistic result.
Sam Darnold is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Darnold at 14.5 PPR points, against 11.3 for Caleb Williams.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Sam Darnold has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Darnold at 17.1 PPR points, against 16.8 for Caleb Williams.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Sam Darnold plays CHI and Caleb Williams plays SEA in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Darnold faces the 10th-softest defense against QBs and Williams faces the 2nd-toughest defense against QBs, so Sam Darnold has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Sam Darnold nor Caleb Williams has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Sam Darnold is projected by 6 of them and Caleb Williams by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.