Start Luther Burden III. Burden III is projected for 14.9 PPR points vs 11.2 for DeMario Douglas, and faces the 8th-toughest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Luther Burden III WR · CHI | DeMario Douglas WR · NE | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 14.9 | 11.2 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 13.9 | 8.8 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 15.8 | 13.5 |
| StatChasers projection | 15.3 (WR15) | 10.4 (WR34) |
| Opponent | vs TB | vs GB |
| Opponent vs. position | 8th-toughest (28.0 pts/g allowed) | 9th-softest (34.8 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 22% target share (last 3) | 19% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | START · WR2 | FLEX · Flex |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Luther Burden III. Burden III projects for 14.9 PPR points vs TB, against 11.2 for DeMario Douglas vs GB: a 3.7-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Luther Burden III is projected to score more: 14.9 PPR points to 11.2 for DeMario Douglas.
The sources range from 13.9 to 15.8 for Burden III and from 8.8 to 13.5 for Douglas. Even Douglas's highest projection is below Burden III's lowest.
Luther Burden III is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Burden III at 13.9 PPR points, against 8.8 for DeMario Douglas.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Luther Burden III has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Burden III at 15.8 PPR points, against 13.5 for DeMario Douglas.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Luther Burden III plays TB and DeMario Douglas plays GB in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Burden III faces the 8th-toughest defense against WRs and Douglas faces the 9th-softest defense against WRs, so DeMario Douglas has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Luther Burden III has drawn 22% of his team's targets, and DeMario Douglas 19% of his team's targets.
Luther Burden III has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Luther Burden III.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Luther Burden III nor DeMario Douglas has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Luther Burden III is projected by 6 of them and DeMario Douglas by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.