Final/OT2022 Week 16

State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Arizona Cardinals, Week 16 2022

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

AwayWon

19

Arizona Cardinals

Home

16

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Buccaneers33010319
Cardinals33010016

TB 19ARI 16 Final/OT

  • Passing leader

    Tom Brady

    TB · QB

    13.3PPR pts

    32/48, 281 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Leonard Fournette

    TB · RB

    25.2PPR pts

    20 ATT, 72 YDS, 9 REC, 90 REC YDS

  • Cardinals leader

    James Conner

    ARI · RB

    25.0PPR pts

    15 ATT, 79 YDS, 1 TD, 7 REC, 41 REC YDS

  • Defensive playmaker

    Marco Wilson

    ARI

    2 INT, 4 TKL

Buccaneers 19, Cardinals 16: Tampa Bay wins it in overtime

The teams were tied 6–6 at halftime, regulation ended 16–16, and the Buccaneers won it 19–16 in overtime. The Buccaneers finished with a 396–325 edge in total offense and averaged 5.1 yards per play.

The gap showed up everywhere. The Cardinals went 5-for-19 on third down and committed three turnovers, while the Buccaneers kept the ball for 36:57.

Key advantages

  • +0.7 yards/play TB 5.1 · ARI 4.4
  • +1 turnover margin TB 2 · ARI 3 turnovers
  • +71 total yards TB 396 · ARI 325

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

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Why the Buccaneers Won

Tampa Bay won the efficiency, turnover, third-down, and time of possession battles.

Team stats comparison, Buccaneers vs Cardinals
BuccaneersStatCardinals
5.1Yards per play4.4
2Turnovers3
396Total yards325
Other team stats
78Plays74
35%Third-down conversion26%
36:57Time of possession29:22

Scoring Summary

The Buccaneers scored one touchdown and four field goals; the Cardinals scored one touchdown and three field goals.

Scoring plays, Buccaneers vs Cardinals
TimeTeamPlayTBARI
1st quarter
13:23TBRyan Succop 38-yard FG Takes lead30
0:32ARIMatt Prater 56-yard FG Ties game33
2nd quarter
8:14TBRyan Succop 35-yard FG Takes lead63
0:08ARIMatt Prater 53-yard FG Ties game66
3rd quarter
No scoring
4th quarter
14:07ARIMatt Prater 39-yard FG Takes lead69
10:47ARIJames Conner 22-yard TD run Extends leadMatt Prater XP616
8:03TBTom Brady → Rachaad White, 3-yard TDRyan Succop XP1316
2:27TBRyan Succop 42-yard FG Ties game1616
Overtime
3:41TBRyan Succop 40-yard FG Game winner1916

Fantasy Points: Buccaneers vs Cardinals, Week 16 2022

Fantasy leaders

  1. Leonard FournetteTBRB25.2 PTSRB3
  2. James ConnerARIRB25.0 PTSRB4
  3. Greg DortchARIWR22.3 PTSWR8
  4. Rachaad WhiteTBRB15.3 PTSRB14

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Tom BradyTBQB13.3QB1732/482811221071.6
Trace McSorleyARIQB5.1QB3124/4521701714057.4

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Leonard FournetteTBRB25.2RB3RB20720109900
James ConnerARIRB25.0RB4RB1579187410
Greg DortchARIWR22.3WR8WR32501110980Start/Sit →
Rachaad WhiteTBRB15.3RB14RB736044171Start/Sit →
Chris GodwinTBWR14.3WR25WR———108630
Russell GageTBWR11.5WR35WR———65650
Marquise BrownARIWR8.8WR42WR11063570
Mike EvansTBWR5.9WR55WR———83290Start/Sit →
Trey McBrideARITE4.7TE27TE———43170Start/Sit →
Cade OttonTBTE3.2TE37TE———72120Start/Sit →
Julio JonesTBWR1.5WR98WR———2150
DeAndre HopkinsARIWR1.4WR103WR———10140
Ke'Shawn VaughnTBRB0.6RB77RB160————
Keaontay IngramARIRB0.2RB82RB120————
Stephen AndersonARITE0.0—TE———2000
Scotty MillerTBWR0.0—WR———1000

Fantasy Usage

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Snap Share

  1. Mike EvansWR75 snaps93%
  2. Chris GodwinWR73 snaps90%
  3. Cade OttonTE68 snaps84%
  4. Leonard FournetteRB49 snaps60%
  5. Russell GageWR43 snaps53%

Target Share48 targets

  1. Leonard Fournette21%, 10 targets
  2. Chris Godwin21%, 10 targets
  3. Mike Evans17%, 8 targets
  4. Cade Otton15%, 7 targets
  5. Russell Gage13%, 6 targets
  6. Other15%, 7 targets

Carry Share30 carries

  1. Leonard Fournette67%, 20 carries
  2. Rachaad White23%, 7 carries
  3. Tom Brady7%, 2 carries
  4. Ke'Shawn Vaughn3%, 1 carries

Arizona Cardinals

Snap Share

  1. James ConnerRB74 snaps97%
  2. DeAndre HopkinsWR71 snaps93%
  3. Trey McBrideTE64 snaps84%
  4. Greg DortchWR58 snaps76%
  5. Marquise BrownWR50 snaps66%

Target Share41 targets

  1. Greg Dortch27%, 11 targets
  2. DeAndre Hopkins24%, 10 targets
  3. James Conner20%, 8 targets
  4. Marquise Brown15%, 6 targets
  5. Trey McBride10%, 4 targets
  6. Other5%, 2 targets

Carry Share27 carries

  1. James Conner56%, 15 carries
  2. Trace McSorley26%, 7 carries
  3. Greg Dortch11%, 3 carries
  4. Marquise Brown4%, 1 carries
  5. Keaontay Ingram4%, 1 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
James ConnerARIRB7497%820%15
DeAndre HopkinsARIWR7193%1024%0
Mike EvansTBWR7593%817%0
Chris GodwinTBWR7390%1021%0
Trey McBrideARITE6484%410%0
Cade OttonTBTE6884%715%0
Greg DortchARIWR5876%1127%3
Marquise BrownARIWR5066%615%1
Leonard FournetteTBRB4960%1021%20
Russell GageTBWR4353%613%0
Rachaad WhiteTBRB2936%48%7
Maxx WilliamsARITE2128%00%0
Julio JonesTBWR2227%24%0
A.J. GreenARIWR2026%00%0
Ko KieftTBTE1417%00%0
Kyle RudolphTBTE1114%00%0
Stephen AndersonARITE912%25%0
Cameron BrateTBTE810%00%0
Keaontay IngramARIRB79%00%1
Robbie ChosenARIWR57%00%0
Scotty MillerTBWR45%12%0
Deven ThompkinsTBWR45%00%0
Ke'Shawn VaughnTBRB22%00%1
Pharoh CooperARIWR11%00%0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

  • Biggest overperformer+4.1Rachaad White15.3 PTS vs 11.2 xFP
  • Biggest underperformer−18.5Trace McSorley5.1 PTS vs 23.6 xFP
  • Highest expected volume29.5 xFPLeonard Fournette25.2 PTS scored
Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Leonard FournetteTB · RB25.229.5−4.360%67% car—02067%1021%
Trace McSorleyARI · QB5.123.6−18.5100%45 att—45726%00%
James ConnerARI · RB25.023.0+2.097%56% car—01556%819%
Tom BradyTB · QB13.321.6−8.3100%48 att—4827%00%
Greg DortchARI · WR22.320.3+2.076%26% tgt—0311%1126%
Chris Godwin Jr.TB · WR14.316.7−2.490%21% tgt—000%1021%
DeAndre HopkinsARI · WR1.416.7−15.393%24% tgt—000%1024%
Mike EvansTB · WR5.913.3−7.493%17% tgt—000%817%
Cade OttonTB · TE3.211.7−8.584%15% tgt—000%715%
Rachaad WhiteTB · RB15.311.2+4.136%23% car—0723%48%
Hollywood BrownARI · —8.810.6−1.8—14% tgt—014%614%
Russell Gage Jr.TB · WR11.510.0+1.553%13% tgt—000%613%
Trey McBrideARI · TE4.76.7−2.084%10% tgt—000%410%
Julio JonesTB · WR1.53.3−1.827%4% tgt—000%24%
Stephen AndersonARI · TE0.03.3−3.312%5% tgt—000%25%
Kamu Grugier-HillARI · —1.41.7−0.3—2% tgt—000%12%
Scotty MillerTB · WR0.01.7−1.75%2% tgt—000%12%
Ke'Shawn VaughnTB · RB0.60.60.02%3% car—013%00%
Keaontay IngramARI · RB0.20.6−0.49%4% car—014%00%

Team totals: Buccaneers 48 targets and 30 carries; Cardinals 42 targets and 27 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2022 season: 1.67 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.64 per carry and 0.42 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Tom Brady Unlucky

TB · QB · 13.3 pts on 21.6 expected

32 of 48 passing for 281 yards, 1 touchdown, 2 interceptions; 2 carries for 1 yard.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 21.6 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Trace McSorley Unlucky

ARI · QB · 5.1 pts on 23.6 expected

24 of 45 passing for 217 yards, 1 interception; 7 carries for 14 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 23.6 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Leonard Fournette Volume, no payoff

TB · RB · 25.2 pts on 29.5 expected

10 targets (21% of the team's), 9 catches for 90 yards; 20 carries (67% of the team's) for 72 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 29.5 expected.

Chris Godwin Jr.

TB · WR · 14.3 pts on 16.7 expected

10 targets (21% of the team's), 8 catches for 63 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 16.7 expected.

James Conner

ARI · RB · 25.0 pts on 23.0 expected

8 targets (19% of the team's), 7 catches for 41 yards; 15 carries (56% of the team's) for 79 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 23.0 expected.

Greg Dortch

ARI · WR · 22.3 pts on 20.3 expected

11 targets (26% of the team's), 10 catches for 98 yards; 3 carries (11% of the team's) for 25 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 20.3 expected.

Start/Sit: Greg Dortch →

DeAndre Hopkins Unlucky

ARI · WR · 1.4 pts on 16.7 expected

10 targets (24% of the team's), 1 catch for 4 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 16.7 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Mike Evans Unlucky

TB · WR · 5.9 pts on 13.3 expected

8 targets (17% of the team's), 3 catches for 29 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 13.3 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Mike Evans →

Stock Up, Stock Down

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Stock up: Cade Otton played 84% of the snaps, up from a 68% season average.
  • Stock down: Julio Jones played 27% of the snaps, down from a 53% season average.
  • Stock down: Scotty Miller played 5% of the snaps, down from a 27% season average.

Arizona Cardinals

  • Stock up: James Conner played 97% of the snaps, up from a 71% season average.
  • Stock up: Greg Dortch played 76% of the snaps, up from a 37% season average.
  • Stock up: Trey McBride played 84% of the snaps, up from a 47% season average.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2022 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Buccaneers defense and Cardinals defense
Points allowed toBuccaneers DCardinals D
QBs15.518.0
RBs18.725.4
WRs34.230.2
TEs13.016.7

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Arizona opened at 29% win probability, climbed as high as 97%, then lost.

Cardinals win probability

Cardinals win probability by game minuteCardinals started at 29%, stood at 35% at halftime and finished at 0%, across 9 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4OT100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. +18Prater 39-yd FG39% → 57%Q4 14:07
  2. +32Conner 22-yd TD run61% → 93%Q4 10:47
  3. −31Brady → White, 3-yd TD97% → 66%Q4 8:03
  4. −38Succop 42-yd FG84% → 46%Q4 2:27
  5. −50Succop 40-yd FG50% → <1%OT 3:41

Swing in Cardinals win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Buccaneers vs Cardinals
Tampa Bay BuccaneersMeasureArizona Cardinals
78Plays74
62%Pass rate64%
5.9Yds / dropback4.3
3.8Yds / carry4.5
6/17Third downs5/19

Efficiency edge Tampa Bay ran 4 more plays and gained 1.6 more yards per dropback.

  • Top targets
  • TB Godwin 21% · Fournette 21% · Evans 17%
  • ARI Dortch 26% · Hopkins 24% · Conner 19%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Buccaneers vs Cardinals
ResultTBARI
Touchdowns11
Field goals43
Punts57
Turnovers23
Turnovers on downs10

TB turnover edge: +1

  • The Buccaneers opened the scoring on their first possession, a 5-play, 55-yard drive that ended in a field goal.
  • The Buccaneers drained the clock with two second-half drives of four to seven minutes.
All 28 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
TBQ1 15:005551:37Field goal
ARIQ1 13:2312455:45Fumble
TBQ1 7:38482:01Downs
ARIQ1 5:37321:38Punt
TBQ1 3:594142:12Punt
ARIQ1 1:475231:15Field goal
TBQ1 0:3215587:18Field goal
ARIQ2 8:143-11:00Punt
TBQ2 7:144192:05Interception
ARIQ2 5:095122:07Punt
TBQ2 3:025211:55Punt
ARIQ2 1:079350:59Field goal
TBQ2 0:081-10:08End of half
ARIQ3 15:00381:55Punt
TBQ3 13:05381:29Punt
ARIQ3 11:36371:58Punt
TBQ3 9:3810346:30Interception
ARIQ3 3:089604:01Field goal
TBQ4 14:07381:41Punt
ARIQ4 12:265331:39Touchdown
TBQ4 10:477672:44Touchdown
ARIQ4 8:036303:14Fumble
TBQ4 4:499312:22Field goal
ARIQ4 2:27340:51Punt
TBQ4 1:36380:53Punt
ARIQ4 0:435240:43Interception
ARIOT 10:006112:17Punt
TBOT 7:439664:02Field goal
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Buccaneers vs Cardinals Head-to-Head

The Buccaneers and Cardinals first met in 1977 and have played 23 times since.

All-time series
12–11Buccaneers lead, 23 meetings since 1977
Postseason
0No playoff meetings
Largest Buccaneers win
23–71992
Largest Cardinals win
40–72016

Since 2021

2–0 Buccaneers lead

2 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. B = Buccaneers win, C = Cardinals win, outlined = this game.

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2022 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Buccaneers vs Cardinals
BuccaneersStatCardinals
8-9Record4-13
18.4Points per game20.0
346.7Yards per game323.5
5.1Yards per play4.8
21.1Points allowed per game26.4
324.3Yards allowed per game348.9

Buccaneers vs Cardinals Odds and Results

How this game finished against the betting lines.

Spread
TB −7.5Buccaneers failed to cover by 4.5
Total
41.5Under: 35 points scored (by 6.5)

Expected vs Actual Scoring

Implied team totals against the actual score
TeamImpliedActualDifference
Buccaneers24.519−5.5
Cardinals17.016−1.0

Both offenses finished under the market's expectation, which matches the low fantasy output in the Fantasy tab.

Betting Trends

Each team's 2022 season through this game. Over/under is overs first.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Against the spread
3–11–1
Over/under
4–11
ATS as favorite
3–9–1
ATS as underdog
0–2
ATS on the road
2–5

Arizona Cardinals

Against the spread
7–8
Over/under
8–6–1
ATS as favorite
1–2
ATS as underdog
6–6
ATS at home
4–5

Lines: ESPN's consensus, captured at kickoff. Individual sportsbooks varied.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Betting availability depends on your state.

Buccaneers and Cardinals in Fantasy

The two teams don't meet again this season. If you roster a Buccaneer or a Cardinal, these answer the week-to-week question.

Keep Exploring

2022 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Buccaneers vs Cardinals Game FAQ

Who won the 2022 Buccaneers vs Cardinals Week 16 game?

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the Arizona Cardinals 19–16 in Week 16 of the 2022 season. The game was played at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, AZ, on December 25, 2022. See the Buccaneers' 2022 schedule.

What was the final score of Buccaneers vs Cardinals?

The final score was Buccaneers 19, Cardinals 16 in overtime. The teams were tied 6–6 at halftime, and the second half went Buccaneers 10, Cardinals 10 before overtime.

What happened in the Buccaneers vs Cardinals game?

The teams were tied 6–6 at halftime, regulation ended 16–16, and the Buccaneers won it 19–16 in overtime. The Buccaneers finished with a 396–325 edge in total offense and averaged 5.1 yards per play. Leonard Fournette led all players with 9 catches for 90 yards, plus 20 carries for 72 rushing yards. The Cardinals committed 3 turnovers, the Buccaneers 2.

What was the game-winning score in Buccaneers vs Cardinals?

Ryan Succop's 40-yard field goal with 3:41 left in the overtime gave the Buccaneers a 19–16 lead they never gave up. It was the final score of the game.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Buccaneers vs Cardinals?

Leonard Fournette led the game with 25.2 PPR fantasy points, the RB3 of Week 16, on 9 catches for 90 yards, plus 20 carries for 72 rushing yards. James Conner was next with 25.0 (RB4).

Who led Buccaneers vs Cardinals in passing, rushing and receiving?

Tom Brady (TB) led all passers with 32 of 48 for 281 yards, a touchdown and 2 interceptions. James Conner (ARI) led in rushing with 15 carries for 79 yards and a touchdown. Greg Dortch (ARI) led in receiving with 10 catches for 98 yards.

How many fantasy points did Leonard Fournette score against the Cardinals?

Leonard Fournette scored 25.2 points in PPR leagues, 20.7 in half-PPR and 16.2 in standard scoring against the Cardinals in Week 16 of the 2022 season, on 9 catches for 90 yards, plus 20 carries for 72 rushing yards. He drew 21% of his team's targets.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Buccaneers vs Cardinals?

Rachaad White outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 15.3 PPR points on 11.2 xFP (+4.1). Trace McSorley fell furthest short, with 5.1 points on 23.6 xFP (−18.5). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

How did the Buccaneers come back to beat the Cardinals?

The Buccaneers' chances of winning fell as low as 3% in the fourth quarter. Ryan Succop's 40-yard field goal in the overtime was the biggest swing of the game. Ryan Succop's 40-yard field goal then put them ahead for good.

Which team won the turnover battle in Buccaneers vs Cardinals?

The Buccaneers won the turnover battle 3–2: the Cardinals gave the ball away 3 times and the Buccaneers 2 times. The Buccaneers won the game.

What is the all-time Buccaneers vs Cardinals record?

The Buccaneers lead the all-time series 12–11 across 23 meetings since 1977.

When did the Buccaneers and Cardinals last play before this game?

Before Week 16 of 2022, they last met in the 2019 season on November 10, 2019, when the Buccaneers beat the Cardinals 30–27.

What was the closing spread for Buccaneers vs Cardinals?

The consensus closing spread at kickoff was Buccaneers −7.5, making the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7.5-point favorites, with a closing total of 41.5. That implied about 24.5 points for the Buccaneers and 17.0 for the Cardinals.

Did Buccaneers vs Cardinals go over or under the total?

The game went under. The consensus closing total was 41.5, and the teams combined for 35 points, 6.5 under the number.

Who covered the spread in Buccaneers vs Cardinals?

The Cardinals covered as 7.5-point underdogs against the closing line of Buccaneers −7.5. The final margin was 3 points.