Final2022 Week 17

Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Week 17 2022

Carolina Panthers

Away

24

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

HomeWon

30

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panthers7701024
Buccaneers01002030

CAR 24TB 30 Final

  • Passing leader

    Tom Brady

    TB · QB

    37.7PPR pts

    34/45, 432 YDS, 3 TD, 1 RUSH TD

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Mike Evans

    TB · WR

    48.7PPR pts

    10 REC, 207 YDS, 3 TD

  • Panthers leader

    DJ Moore

    CAR · WR

    23.7PPR pts

    6 REC, 117 YDS, 1 TD

  • Defensive playmaker

    Sean Murphy-Bunting

    TB

    1 INT, 3 TKL

Buccaneers 30, Panthers 24: Tampa Bay rallies from 4 down at halftime

Tampa Bay erased a 14–10 halftime deficit, outscoring Carolina 20–10 after the break to win 30–24. The Buccaneers finished with a 478–400 edge in total offense.

The Panthers went 4-for-11 on third down and committed three turnovers, while the Buccaneers kept the ball for 33:10.

The two teams meet again in Week 7 of 2026. If you roster anyone from either side, run the start/sit call in Redraft Command and it will weigh your lineup, your opponent and your league scoring, not only the player rankings.

Key advantages

  • +2 turnover margin TB 1 · CAR 3 turnovers
  • +78 total yards TB 478 · CAR 400
  • +6:20 time of possession TB 33:10 · CAR 26:50

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

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Why the Buccaneers Won

Tampa Bay won the turnover and time of possession battles.

Team stats comparison, Panthers vs Buccaneers
PanthersStatBuccaneers
3Turnovers1
400Total yards478
26:50Time of possession33:10
Other team stats
6.6Yards per play6.5
61Plays73
36%Third-down conversion27%

Scoring Summary

The Buccaneers scored four touchdowns and one field goal; the Panthers scored three touchdowns and one field goal.

Scoring plays, Panthers vs Buccaneers
TimeTeamPlayCARTB
1st quarter
11:39CARSam Darnold → Tommy Tremble, 17-yard TD Takes leadEddy Pineiro XP70
2nd quarter
7:51CARSam Darnold → DJ Moore, 24-yard TD Extends leadEddy Pineiro XP140
2:10TBTom Brady → Mike Evans, 63-yard TDRyan Succop XP147
1:09TBRyan Succop 22-yard FG1410
3rd quarter
No scoring
4th quarter
14:50CARSam Darnold → Shi Smith, 19-yard TD Extends leadEddy Pineiro XP2110
13:49TBTom Brady → Mike Evans, 57-yard TD2-pt try failed2116
6:47TBTom Brady → Mike Evans, 30-yard TD Game winnerTom Brady → Chris Godwin, 2-pt conversion2124
1:58TBTom Brady 1-yard TD run Extends leadXP missed2130
0:59CAREddy Pineiro 49-yard FG2430

Fantasy Points: Panthers vs Buccaneers, Week 17 2022

Fantasy leaders

  1. Mike EvansTBWR48.7 PTSWR1
  2. Tom BradyTBQB37.7 PTSQB1
  3. DJ MooreCARWR23.7 PTSWR5
  4. Sam DarnoldCARQB22.6 PTSQB6

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Tom BradyTBQB37.7QB134/4543230341127.3
Sam DarnoldCARQB22.6QB623/37341315200108.1Start/Sit →

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Mike EvansTBWR48.7WR1WR———12102073Start/Sit →
DJ MooreCARWR23.7WR5WR———1061171Start/Sit →
Chris GodwinTBWR21.0WR6WR———991200
Shi SmithCARWR17.0WR13WR———44701
Tommy TrembleCARTE12.3TE13TE———33331Start/Sit →
Rachaad WhiteTBRB9.8RB25RB1122055260Start/Sit →
Chuba HubbardCARRB9.5RB27RB312033530Start/Sit →
Leonard FournetteTBRB8.7RB30RB1028044190
Russell GageTBWR6.3WR48WR———33330
Laviska ShenaultCARWR4.0WR70WR17032130
Cade OttonTBTE3.7TE40TE———62170Start/Sit →
D'Onta ForemanCARRB3.5RB58RB13350————
Terrace MarshallCARWR3.5WR78WR———32150
Julio JonesTBWR3.3WR81WR113021100
Ian ThomasCARTE1.9TE49TE———1190Start/Sit →
Raheem BlackshearCARRB0.9RB77RB———11-10
Stephen SullivanCARTE0.0—TE———2000
Ko KieftTBTE0.0—TE———1000Start/Sit →

Fantasy Usage

Carolina Panthers

Snap Share

  1. DJ MooreWR65 snaps98%
  2. Terrace MarshallWR58 snaps88%
  3. Tommy TrembleTE38 snaps58%
  4. Ian ThomasTE36 snaps55%
  5. Chuba HubbardRB35 snaps53%

Target Share30 targets

  1. DJ Moore33%, 10 targets
  2. Shi Smith13%, 4 targets
  3. Laviska Shenault10%, 3 targets
  4. Terrace Marshall10%, 3 targets
  5. Chuba Hubbard10%, 3 targets
  6. Other23%, 7 targets

Carry Share22 carries

  1. D'Onta Foreman59%, 13 carries
  2. Sam Darnold23%, 5 carries
  3. Chuba Hubbard14%, 3 carries
  4. Laviska Shenault5%, 1 carries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Snap Share

  1. Cade OttonTE68 snaps87%
  2. Chris GodwinWR66 snaps85%
  3. Mike EvansWR65 snaps83%
  4. Russell GageWR42 snaps54%
  5. Rachaad WhiteRB39 snaps50%

Target Share42 targets

  1. Mike Evans29%, 12 targets
  2. Chris Godwin21%, 9 targets
  3. Cade Otton14%, 6 targets
  4. Rachaad White12%, 5 targets
  5. Leonard Fournette10%, 4 targets
  6. Other14%, 6 targets

Carry Share25 carries

  1. Rachaad White44%, 11 carries
  2. Leonard Fournette40%, 10 carries
  3. Tom Brady12%, 3 carries
  4. Julio Jones4%, 1 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
DJ MooreCARWR6598%1033%0
Terrace MarshallCARWR5888%310%0
Cade OttonTBTE6887%614%0
Chris GodwinTBWR6685%921%0
Mike EvansTBWR6583%1229%0
Tommy TrembleCARTE3858%310%0
Ian ThomasCARTE3655%13%0
Russell GageTBWR4254%37%0
Chuba HubbardCARRB3553%310%3
Rachaad WhiteTBRB3950%512%11
Shi SmithCARWR3147%413%0
Leonard FournetteTBRB3646%410%10
D'Onta ForemanCARRB2538%00%13
Ko KieftTBTE2329%12%0
Julio JonesTBWR2228%25%1
Laviska ShenaultCARWR1827%310%1
Stephen SullivanCARTE1218%27%0
Kyle RudolphTBTE1114%00%0
Deven ThompkinsTBWR912%00%0
Raheem BlackshearCARRB35%13%0
Ke'Shawn VaughnTBRB23%00%0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

  • Biggest overperformer+28.7Mike Evans48.7 PTS vs 20.0 xFP
  • Biggest underperformer−6.3Cade Otton3.7 PTS vs 10.0 xFP
  • Highest expected volume21.0 xFPTom Brady37.7 PTS scored
Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Tom BradyTB · QB37.721.0+16.7100%45 att—45312%00%
Mike EvansTB · WR48.720.0+28.783%29% tgt—000%1229%
Sam DarnoldCAR · QB22.618.9+3.7100%37 att—37523%00%
DJ MooreCAR · WR23.716.7+7.098%32% tgt—000%1032%
Rachaad WhiteTB · RB9.815.4−5.650%44% car—01144%512%
Chris Godwin Jr.TB · WR21.015.0+6.085%21% tgt—000%921%
Leonard FournetteTB · RB8.713.1−4.446%40% car—01040%410%
Cade OttonTB · TE3.710.0−6.387%14% tgt—000%614%
D'Onta ForemanCAR · RB3.58.4−4.938%59% car—01359%00%
Chuba HubbardCAR · RB9.56.9+2.653%14% car—0314%310%
Shi SmithCAR · WR17.06.7+10.347%13% tgt—000%413%
Laviska Shenault Jr.CAR · WR4.05.6−1.627%10% tgt—015%310%
Russell Gage Jr.TB · WR6.35.0+1.354%7% tgt—000%37%
Terrace Marshall Jr.CAR · WR3.55.0−1.588%10% tgt—000%310%
Tommy TrembleCAR · TE12.35.0+7.358%10% tgt—000%310%
Julio JonesTB · WR3.34.0−0.728%5% tgt—014%25%
Stephen SullivanCAR · TE0.03.3−3.318%6% tgt—000%26%
Giovanni RicciCAR · TE4.21.7+2.5—3% tgt—000%13%
Ian ThomasCAR · TE1.91.7+0.255%3% tgt—000%13%
Ko KieftTB · TE0.01.7−1.729%2% tgt—000%12%
Raheem BlackshearCAR · RB0.91.7−0.85%3% tgt—000%13%

Team totals: Panthers 31 targets and 22 carries; Buccaneers 42 targets and 25 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2022 season: 1.67 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.64 per carry and 0.42 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Sam Darnold

CAR · QB · 22.6 pts on 18.9 expected

23 of 37 passing for 341 yards, 3 touchdowns, 1 interception; 5 carries for 20 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 18.9 expected.

Start/Sit: Sam Darnold →

Tom Brady Ran hot

TB · QB · 37.7 pts on 21.0 expected

34 of 45 passing for 432 yards, 3 touchdowns; 3 carries for 4 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 21.0 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

DJ Moore Ran hot

CAR · WR · 23.7 pts on 16.7 expected

10 targets (32% of the team's), 6 catches for 117 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 16.7 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: DJ Moore →

D'Onta Foreman

CAR · RB · 3.5 pts on 8.4 expected

13 carries (59% of the team's) for 35 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 8.4 expected.

Mike Evans Ran hot

TB · WR · 48.7 pts on 20.0 expected

12 targets (29% of the team's), 10 catches for 207 yards and 3 touchdowns.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 20.0 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Mike Evans →

Rachaad White Unlucky

TB · RB · 9.8 pts on 15.4 expected

5 targets (12% of the team's), 5 catches for 26 yards; 11 carries (44% of the team's) for 22 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 15.4 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Rachaad White →

Chris Godwin Jr. Ran hot

TB · WR · 21.0 pts on 15.0 expected

9 targets (21% of the team's), 9 catches for 120 yards.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 15.0 points; efficiency supplied the rest.

Cade Otton Unlucky

TB · TE · 3.7 pts on 10.0 expected

6 targets (14% of the team's), 2 catches for 17 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 10.0 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Cade Otton →

Stock Up, Stock Down

Carolina Panthers

  • Stock up: Chuba Hubbard led the backfield with 53% of the snaps after trailing D'Onta Foreman before this game.
  • Stock down: D'Onta Foreman lost the backfield lead: 38% of the snaps to Chuba Hubbard's 53%.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Stock up: Rachaad White led the backfield with 50% of the snaps after trailing Leonard Fournette before this game.
  • Stock up: Cade Otton played 87% of the snaps, up from a 70% season average.
  • Stock down: Leonard Fournette lost the backfield lead: 46% of the snaps to Rachaad White's 50%.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2022 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Panthers defense and Buccaneers defense
Points allowed toPanthers DBuccaneers D
QBs17.915.5
RBs21.218.7
WRs36.334.2
TEs10.313.0

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Tampa Bay opened at 60% win probability, fell as low as 6%, then rallied to win.

Buccaneers win probability

Buccaneers win probability by game minuteBuccaneers started at 60%, stood at 41% at halftime and finished at 100%, across 9 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. −21Darnold → Tremble, 17-yd TD60% → 39%Q1 11:39
  2. −19Darnold → Moore, 24-yd TD33% → 14%Q2 7:51
  3. −25Darnold → Smith, 19-yd TD32% → 7%Q4 14:50
  4. +20Brady → Evans, 57-yd TD6% → 26%Q4 13:49
  5. +62Brady → Evans, 30-yd TD16% → 77%Q4 6:47

Swing in Buccaneers win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Panthers vs Buccaneers
Carolina PanthersMeasureTampa Bay Buccaneers
61Plays73
64%Pass rate66%
8.4Yds / dropback8.6
3.4Yds / carry2.7
4/11Third downs4/15

Efficiency edge Tampa Bay ran 12 more plays than Carolina.

  • Top targets
  • CAR Moore 32% · Smith 13% · Hubbard 10%
  • TB Evans 29% · Godwin 21% · Otton 14%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Panthers vs Buccaneers
ResultCARTB
Touchdowns34
Field goals11
Punts55
Turnovers31
Turnovers on downs10
Missed field goals02

TB turnover edge: +2

  • The Panthers opened the scoring on their first possession, a 6-play, 75-yard drive that ended in a touchdown.
All 27 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
CARQ1 15:006753:21Touchdown
TBQ1 11:395412:33Fumble
CARQ1 9:06392:01Punt
TBQ1 7:054182:42Punt
CARQ1 4:23301:02Punt
TBQ1 3:2114466:21Missed FG
CARQ2 12:008574:09Touchdown
TBQ2 7:513-82:17Punt
CARQ2 5:34392:32Punt
TBQ2 3:024800:52Touchdown
CARQ2 2:102-50:13Fumble
TBQ2 1:57490:48Field goal
CARQ2 1:094-81:09Downs
TBQ3 15:005122:06Punt
CARQ3 12:545432:05Interception
TBQ3 10:4915907:12Missed FG
CARQ3 3:377913:47Touchdown
TBQ4 14:503751:01Touchdown
CARQ4 13:496123:56Punt
TBQ4 9:538923:06Touchdown
CARQ4 6:47361:02Punt
TBQ4 5:45663:13Punt
CARQ4 2:321-70:08Fumble
TBQ4 2:24260:26Touchdown
CARQ4 1:588440:59Field goal
TBQ4 0:593-50:33Punt
CARQ4 0:263510:26End of game
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Panthers vs Buccaneers Head-to-Head

The Panthers and Buccaneers first met in 1995 and have played 51 times since. They have been NFC South rivals since 2002.

All-time series
26–25Panthers lead, 51 meetings since 1995
Postseason
0No playoff meetings
Largest Panthers win
48–162011
Largest Buccaneers win
48–142024

Since 2021

8–2 Buccaneers lead

10 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. B = Buccaneers win, P = Panthers win, outlined = this game.

2026 Meetings

  • Week 7 Buccaneers at Panthers Upcoming
  • Week 12 Panthers at Buccaneers Upcoming

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2022 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Panthers vs Buccaneers
PanthersStatBuccaneers
7-10Record8-9
20.4Points per game18.4
306.2Yards per game346.7
5.3Yards per play5.1
22.0Points allowed per game21.1
350.2Yards allowed per game324.3

Panthers vs Buccaneers Odds and Results

How this game finished against the betting lines.

Spread
TB −3.5Buccaneers covered by 2.5
Total
40.5Over: 54 points scored (by 13.5)

Expected vs Actual Scoring

Implied team totals against the actual score
TeamImpliedActualDifference
Buccaneers22.030+8.0
Panthers18.524+5.5

Both offenses beat the market's expectation, and the Fantasy tab shows who cashed in.

Betting Trends

Last 4 meetings: Buccaneers 3–1 ATS, overs and unders 2–2.

Each team's 2022 season through this game. Over/under is overs first.

Carolina Panthers

Against the spread
8–8
Over/under
8–8
ATS as favorite
0–4
ATS as underdog
8–4
ATS on the road
3–4

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Against the spread
4–11–1
Over/under
5–11
ATS as favorite
4–9–1
ATS as underdog
0–2
ATS at home
2–6–1

Lines: ESPN's consensus, captured at kickoff. Individual sportsbooks varied.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Betting availability depends on your state.

Panthers vs Buccaneers Fantasy Outlook for 2026

Two meetings are left on the 2026 schedule: Week 7 in Carolina and Week 12 in Tampa Bay. Here's how to decide who to play in your league.

Keep Exploring

2022 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Panthers vs Buccaneers Game FAQ

Who won the 2022 Panthers vs Buccaneers Week 17 game?

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the Carolina Panthers 30–24 in Week 17 of the 2022 season. The game was played at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, FL, on January 1, 2023. See the Buccaneers' 2022 schedule.

What was the final score of Panthers vs Buccaneers?

The final score was Buccaneers 30, Panthers 24. The Panthers led 14–10 at halftime, and the second half went Panthers 10, Buccaneers 20.

What happened in the Panthers vs Buccaneers game?

Tampa Bay erased a 14–10 halftime deficit, outscoring Carolina 20–10 after the break to win 30–24. The Buccaneers finished with a 478–400 edge in total offense. Mike Evans led all players with 10 catches for 207 yards and 3 touchdowns. The Panthers committed 3 turnovers, the Buccaneers 1.

What was the game-winning score in Panthers vs Buccaneers?

Tom Brady's 30-yard touchdown pass to Mike Evans with 6:47 left in the fourth quarter gave the Buccaneers a 24–21 lead they never gave up.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Panthers vs Buccaneers?

Mike Evans led the game with 48.7 PPR fantasy points, the WR1 of Week 17, on 10 catches for 207 yards and 3 touchdowns. Tom Brady was next with 37.7 (QB1). See Mike Evans's 2022 game log.

Who led Panthers vs Buccaneers in passing, rushing and receiving?

Tom Brady (TB) led all passers with 34 of 45 for 432 yards and 3 touchdowns. D'Onta Foreman (CAR) led in rushing with 13 carries for 35 yards. Mike Evans (TB) led in receiving with 10 catches for 207 yards and 3 touchdowns.

How many fantasy points did Mike Evans score against the Panthers?

Mike Evans scored 48.7 points in PPR leagues, 43.7 in half-PPR and 38.7 in standard scoring against the Panthers in Week 17 of the 2022 season, on 10 catches for 207 yards and 3 touchdowns. He drew 29% of his team's targets.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Panthers vs Buccaneers?

Mike Evans outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 48.7 PPR points on 20.0 xFP (+28.7). Cade Otton fell furthest short, with 3.7 points on 10.0 xFP (−6.3). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

How did the Buccaneers come back to beat the Panthers?

The Buccaneers' chances of winning fell as low as 6% in the fourth quarter. Tom Brady's 30-yard touchdown pass to Mike Evans in the fourth quarter was the biggest swing of the game. Tom Brady's 30-yard touchdown pass to Mike Evans then put them ahead for good.

Which team won the turnover battle in Panthers vs Buccaneers?

The Buccaneers won the turnover battle 3–1: the Panthers gave the ball away 3 times and the Buccaneers 1 time. The Buccaneers won the game.

What is the all-time Panthers vs Buccaneers record?

The Panthers lead the all-time series 26–25 across 51 meetings since 1995.

When did the Panthers and Buccaneers last play before this game?

Before Week 17 of 2022, they last met in the 2022 season on October 23, 2022, when the Panthers beat the Buccaneers 21–3.

What was the closing spread for Panthers vs Buccaneers?

The consensus closing spread at kickoff was Buccaneers −3.5, making the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3.5-point favorites, with a closing total of 40.5. That implied about 22.0 points for the Buccaneers and 18.5 for the Panthers.

Did Panthers vs Buccaneers go over or under the total?

The game went over. The consensus closing total was 40.5, and the teams combined for 54 points, 13.5 over the number.

Who covered the spread in Panthers vs Buccaneers?

The Buccaneers covered by 2.5 against the closing line of Buccaneers −3.5. The final margin was 6 points.