Final/OT2025 Week 11

Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons, Week 11 2025

Carolina Panthers

AwayWon

30

Atlanta Falcons

Home

27

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Panthers7398330
Falcons71406027

CAR 30ATL 27 Final/OT

  • Passing leader

    Bryce Young

    CAR · QB

    31.8PPR pts

    31/45, 448 YDS, 3 TD

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Tetairoa McMillan

    CAR · WR

    33.0PPR pts

    8 REC, 130 YDS, 2 TD

  • Falcons leader

    Bijan Robinson

    ATL · RB

    30.3PPR pts

    23 ATT, 104 YDS, 2 TD, 4 REC, 39 REC YDS

  • Defensive playmaker

    Ronnie Harrison Jr.

    ATL

    1 SACK, 11 TKL

Panthers 30, Falcons 27: Carolina wins it in overtime

Carolina trailed 21–10 at halftime, regulation ended 27–27, and the Panthers won it 30–27 in overtime. The Panthers finished with a 486–348 edge in total offense and averaged 6.5 yards per play.

The Falcons went 4-for-11 on third down and committed one turnover, while the Panthers kept the ball for 37:07 and finished without a giveaway.

The two teams meet again in Week 18 of 2026. If you roster anyone from either side, run the start/sit call in Redraft Command and it will weigh your lineup, your opponent and your league scoring, not only the player rankings.

Key advantages

  • +0.5 yards/play CAR 6.5 · ATL 6.0
  • +1 turnover margin CAR 0 turnovers
  • +138 total yards CAR 486 · ATL 348

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

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Why the Panthers Won

Carolina won the efficiency, turnover, and time of possession battles.

Team stats comparison, Panthers vs Falcons
PanthersStatFalcons
6.5Yards per play6.0
0Turnovers1
486Total yards348
Other team stats
75Plays58
35%Third-down conversion36%
37:07Time of possession27:43

Scoring Summary

The Panthers scored three touchdowns and three field goals; the Falcons scored three touchdowns and two field goals.

Scoring plays, Panthers vs Falcons
TimeTeamPlayCARATL
1st quarter
5:25CARBryce Young → Tetairoa McMillan, 7-yard TD Takes leadRyan Fitzgerald XP70
3:33ATLBijan Robinson 4-yard TD run Ties gameZane Gonzalez XP77
2nd quarter
7:52ATLBijan Robinson 1-yard TD run Takes leadZane Gonzalez XP714
1:41ATLTyler Allgeier 1-yard TD run Extends leadZane Gonzalez XP721
0:25CARRyan Fitzgerald 29-yard FG1021
3rd quarter
12:04CARBryce Young → Xavier Legette, 36-yard TD2-pt try failed1621
0:58CARRyan Fitzgerald 34-yard FG1921
4th quarter
2:43ATLZane Gonzalez 52-yard FG Extends lead1924
1:08CARBryce Young → Tetairoa McMillan, 12-yard TD Takes leadBryce Young → Jalen Coker, 2-pt conversion2724
0:16ATLZane Gonzalez 45-yard FG Ties game2727
Overtime
5:10CARRyan Fitzgerald 28-yard FG Game winner3027

Fantasy Points: Panthers vs Falcons, Week 11 2025

Fantasy leaders

  1. Tetairoa McMillanCARWR33.0 PTSWR2
  2. Bryce YoungCARQB31.8 PTSQB2
  3. Bijan RobinsonATLRB30.3 PTSRB4
  4. Drake LondonATLWR18.9 PTSWR11

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Bryce YoungCARQB31.8QB231/45448301-10123.2Start/Sit →
Michael PenixATLQB7.9QB2713/1617500190112.2
Kirk CousinsATLQB2.1QB346/14480012052.1Start/Sit →

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Tetairoa McMillanCARWR33.0WR2WR———1281302Start/Sit →
Bijan RobinsonATLRB30.3RB4RB23104254390Start/Sit →
Drake LondonATLWR18.9WR11WR———971190Start/Sit →
Xavier LegetteCARWR18.3WR13WR———84831Start/Sit →
Rico DowdleCARRB15.0RB17RB1945075550Start/Sit →
Jalen CokerCARWR11.2WR25WR———44520Start/Sit →
Tyler AllgeierATLRB9.6RB28RB31012260Start/Sit →
Tommy TrembleCARTE6.4TE23TE———21540Start/Sit →
Darnell MooneyATLWR6.4WR50WR———73340Start/Sit →
Ja'Tavion SandersCARTE6.2TE25TE———44220Start/Sit →
Mitchell EvansCARTE4.8TE29TE———22280Start/Sit →
Chuba HubbardCARRB3.8RB49RB42103170Start/Sit →
Brycen TremayneCARWR3.7WR70WR———22170Start/Sit →
Kyle PittsATLTE3.4TE36TE———32140
David SillsATLWR2.1WR89WR———21110
Trevor EtienneCARRB0.2RB75RB120————
KhaDarel HodgeATLWR0.0—WR———1000

Fantasy Usage

Carolina Panthers

Snap Share

  1. Tetairoa McMillanWR69 snaps86%
  2. Rico DowdleRB66 snaps83%
  3. Jalen CokerWR54 snaps68%
  4. Tommy TrembleTE46 snaps57%
  5. Xavier LegetteWR44 snaps55%

Target Share44 targets

  1. Tetairoa McMillan27%, 12 targets
  2. Xavier Legette18%, 8 targets
  3. Rico Dowdle16%, 7 targets
  4. Ja'Tavion Sanders9%, 4 targets
  5. Jalen Coker9%, 4 targets
  6. Other20%, 9 targets

Carry Share25 carries

  1. Rico Dowdle76%, 19 carries
  2. Chuba Hubbard16%, 4 carries
  3. Bryce Young4%, 1 carries
  4. Trevor Etienne4%, 1 carries

Atlanta Falcons

Snap Share

  1. Darnell MooneyWR61 snaps92%
  2. Drake LondonWR61 snaps92%
  3. Bijan RobinsonRB56 snaps85%
  4. Kyle PittsTE55 snaps83%
  5. David SillsWR37 snaps56%

Target Share29 targets

  1. Drake London31%, 9 targets
  2. Darnell Mooney24%, 7 targets
  3. Bijan Robinson17%, 5 targets
  4. Kyle Pitts10%, 3 targets
  5. David Sills7%, 2 targets
  6. Other10%, 3 targets

Carry Share28 carries

  1. Bijan Robinson82%, 23 carries
  2. Tyler Allgeier11%, 3 carries
  3. Kirk Cousins4%, 1 carries
  4. Michael Penix4%, 1 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
Darnell MooneyATLWR6192%724%0
Drake LondonATLWR6192%931%0
Tetairoa McMillanCARWR6986%1227%0
Bijan RobinsonATLRB5685%517%23
Kyle PittsATLTE5583%310%0
Rico DowdleCARRB6683%716%19
Jalen CokerCARWR5468%49%0
Tommy TrembleCARTE4657%25%0
David SillsATLWR3756%27%0
Xavier LegetteCARWR4455%818%0
Charlie WoernerATLTE3553%00%0
Ja'Tavion SandersCARTE3848%49%0
Mitchell EvansCARTE3038%25%0
Brycen TremayneCARWR2734%25%0
Tyler AllgeierATLRB1421%27%3
Chuba HubbardCARRB1519%37%4
KhaDarel HodgeATLWR69%13%0
Jimmy HornCARWR79%00%0
Trevor EtienneCARRB45%00%1
Casey WashingtonATLWR35%00%0
Teagan QuitorianoATLTE23%00%0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Rico DowdleCAR · RB15.024.2−9.283%76% car—01976%716%
Bijan RobinsonATL · RB30.323.4+6.985%82% car—02382%517%
Bryce YoungCAR · QB31.820.6+11.2100%45 att—4514%00%
Tetairoa McMillanCAR · WR33.020.5+12.586%27% tgt—000%1227%
Drake LondonATL · WR18.915.3+3.692%31% tgt—000%931%
Xavier LegetteCAR · WR18.313.6+4.755%18% tgt—000%818%
Darnell MooneyATL · WR6.411.9−5.592%24% tgt—000%724%
Chuba HubbardCAR · RB3.87.7−3.919%16% car—0416%37%
Michael Penix Jr.ATL · QB7.97.7+0.262%16 att—1614%00%
Kirk CousinsATL · QB2.16.9−4.838%14 att—1414%00%
Ja'Tavion SandersCAR · TE6.26.8−0.648%9% tgt—000%49%
Jalen CokerCAR · WR11.26.8+4.468%9% tgt—000%49%
Tyler AllgeierATL · RB9.65.3+4.321%11% car—0311%27%
Kyle Pitts Sr.ATL · TE3.45.1−1.783%10% tgt—000%310%
Brycen TremayneCAR · WR3.73.4+0.334%5% tgt—000%25%
David Sills VATL · WR2.13.4−1.356%7% tgt—000%27%
Mitchell EvansCAR · TE4.83.4+1.438%5% tgt—000%25%
Tommy TrembleCAR · TE6.43.4+3.057%5% tgt—000%25%
KhaDarel HodgeATL · WR0.01.7−1.79%3% tgt—000%13%
Trevor EtienneCAR · RB0.20.6−0.45%4% car—014%00%

Team totals: Panthers 44 targets and 25 carries; Falcons 29 targets and 28 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2025 season: 1.70 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.65 per carry and 0.44 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Bryce Young Ran hot

CAR · QB · 31.8 pts on 20.6 expected

31 of 45 passing for 448 yards, 3 touchdowns; 1 carry for -1 yards.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 20.6 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Bryce Young →

Michael Penix Jr.

ATL · QB · 7.9 pts on 7.7 expected

13 of 16 passing for 175 yards; 1 carry for 9 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 7.7 expected.

Rico Dowdle Volume, no payoff

CAR · RB · 15.0 pts on 24.2 expected

7 targets (16% of the team's), 5 catches for 55 yards; 19 carries (76% of the team's) for 45 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 24.2 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Rico Dowdle →

Tetairoa McMillan Ran hot

CAR · WR · 33.0 pts on 20.5 expected

12 targets (27% of the team's), 8 catches for 130 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 20.5 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Tetairoa McMillan →

Bijan Robinson Ran hot

ATL · RB · 30.3 pts on 23.4 expected

5 targets (17% of the team's), 4 catches for 39 yards; 23 carries (82% of the team's) for 104 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 23.4 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Bijan Robinson →

Drake London Strong role

ATL · WR · 18.9 pts on 15.3 expected

9 targets (31% of the team's), 7 catches for 119 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 15.3 expected.

Start/Sit: Drake London →

Darnell Mooney Unlucky

ATL · WR · 6.4 pts on 11.9 expected

7 targets (24% of the team's), 3 catches for 34 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 11.9 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Darnell Mooney →

Xavier Legette

CAR · WR · 18.3 pts on 13.6 expected

8 targets (18% of the team's), 4 catches for 83 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 13.6 expected.

Start/Sit: Xavier Legette →

Stock Up, Stock Down

Carolina Panthers

  • Stock up: Rico Dowdle played 83% of the snaps, up from a 53% season average.
  • Stock down: Xavier Legette played 55% of the snaps, down from a 75% season average.
  • Stock down: Chuba Hubbard played 19% of the snaps, down from a 51% season average.

Atlanta Falcons

  • Stock up: David Sills V played 56% of the snaps, up from a 40% season average.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2025 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Panthers defense and Falcons defense
Points allowed toPanthers DFalcons D
QBs14.716.9
RBs23.521.3
WRs27.132.9
TEs13.710.1

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Atlanta opened at 50% win probability, climbed as high as >99%, then lost.

Falcons win probability

Falcons win probability by game minuteFalcons started at 50%, stood at 87% at halftime and finished at 0%, across 11 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4OT100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. +22Robinson 4-yd TD run28% → 50%Q1 3:33
  2. +24Robinson 1-yd TD run50% → 74%Q2 7:52
  3. −94Young → McMillan, 12-yd TD>99% → 5%Q4 1:08
  4. +50Gonzalez 45-yd FG<1% → 50%Q4 0:16
  5. −50Fitzgerald 28-yd FG50% → <1%OT 5:10

Swing in Falcons win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Panthers vs Falcons
Carolina PanthersMeasureAtlanta Falcons
75Plays58
67%Pass rate52%
8.4Yds / dropback7.4
2.7Yds / carry4.5
6/17Third downs4/11

Efficiency edge Carolina ran 17 more plays and gained 1.0 more yards per dropback.

  • Top targets
  • CAR McMillan 27% · Legette 18% · Dowdle 16%
  • ATL London 31% · Mooney 24% · Robinson 17%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Panthers vs Falcons
ResultCARATL
Touchdowns33
Field goals32
Punts35
Turnovers01
Turnovers on downs20

CAR turnover edge: +1

  • The Panthers opened the scoring on their first possession, a 12-play, 73-yard drive that ended in a touchdown.
  • The Panthers drained the clock with two second-half drives of four to five minutes.
All 24 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
ATLQ1 15:003-42:05Punt
CARQ1 12:5512737:30Touchdown
ATLQ1 5:254751:52Touchdown
CARQ1 3:334112:34Punt
ATLQ1 0:5913958:07Touchdown
CARQ2 7:523-112:28Punt
ATLQ2 5:247593:43Touchdown
CARQ2 1:417581:16Field goal
ATLQ2 0:252180:25End of half
CARQ3 15:005682:56Touchdown
ATLQ3 12:04000:03Fumble
CARQ3 12:016233:52Downs
ATLQ3 8:096182:57Punt
CARQ3 5:1210634:14Field goal
ATLQ3 0:586193:45Punt
CARQ4 12:134251:59Punt
ATLQ4 10:146212:20Punt
CARQ4 7:5411324:52Downs
ATLQ4 3:02450:19Field goal
CARQ4 2:439651:35Touchdown
ATLQ4 1:086280:52Field goal
CARQ4 0:161-10:16End of half
ATLOT 10:003-11:15Punt
CAROT 8:456603:35Field goal
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Panthers vs Falcons Head-to-Head

The Panthers and Falcons first met in 1995 and have played 63 times since. They have been NFC South rivals since 1995.

All-time series
37–26Falcons lead, 63 meetings since 1995
Postseason
0No playoff meetings
Largest Panthers win
38–02015
Largest Falcons win
41–02002

Since 2021

7–4 Panthers lead

11 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. P = Panthers win, F = Falcons win, outlined = this game.

2026 Meetings

  • Week 18 Falcons at Panthers Upcoming

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2025 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Panthers vs Falcons
PanthersStatFalcons
8-9Record8-9
18.3Points per game20.8
295.6Yards per game333.0
5.0Yards per play5.4
22.4Points allowed per game23.6
327.2Yards allowed per game326.6

Panthers vs Falcons Fantasy Outlook for 2026

One meeting is left on the 2026 schedule: Week 18 in Carolina. Here's how to decide who to play in your league.

Keep Exploring

2025 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Panthers vs Falcons Game FAQ

Who won the 2025 Panthers vs Falcons Week 11 game?

The Carolina Panthers beat the Atlanta Falcons 30–27 in Week 11 of the 2025 season. The game was played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA, on November 16, 2025. See the Panthers' 2025 schedule.

What was the final score of Panthers vs Falcons?

The final score was Panthers 30, Falcons 27 in overtime. The Falcons led 21–10 at halftime, and the second half went Panthers 17, Falcons 6 before overtime.

What happened in the Panthers vs Falcons game?

Carolina trailed 21–10 at halftime, regulation ended 27–27, and the Panthers won it 30–27 in overtime. The Panthers finished with a 486–348 edge in total offense and averaged 6.5 yards per play. Tetairoa McMillan led all players with 8 catches for 130 yards and 2 touchdowns. The Falcons committed 1 turnover, the Panthers none.

What was the game-winning score in Panthers vs Falcons?

Ryan Fitzgerald's 28-yard field goal with 5:10 left in the overtime gave the Panthers a 30–27 lead they never gave up. It was the final score of the game.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Panthers vs Falcons?

Tetairoa McMillan led the game with 33.0 PPR fantasy points, the WR2 of Week 11, on 8 catches for 130 yards and 2 touchdowns. Bryce Young was next with 31.8 (QB2). See Tetairoa McMillan's 2025 game log.

Who led Panthers vs Falcons in passing, rushing and receiving?

Bryce Young (CAR) led all passers with 31 of 45 for 448 yards and 3 touchdowns. Bijan Robinson (ATL) led in rushing with 23 carries for 104 yards and 2 touchdowns. Tetairoa McMillan (CAR) led in receiving with 8 catches for 130 yards and 2 touchdowns.

How many fantasy points did Tetairoa McMillan score against the Falcons?

Tetairoa McMillan scored 33.0 points in PPR leagues, 29.0 in half-PPR and 25.0 in standard scoring against the Falcons in Week 11 of the 2025 season, on 8 catches for 130 yards and 2 touchdowns. He drew 27% of his team's targets.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Panthers vs Falcons?

Tetairoa McMillan outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 33.0 PPR points on 20.5 xFP (+12.5). Rico Dowdle fell furthest short, with 15.0 points on 24.2 xFP (−9.2). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

Who had the highest expected fantasy points in Panthers vs Falcons?

Rico Dowdle had the most fantasy opportunity in the game, worth 24.2 expected PPR points (xFP) at league-average rates, and scored 15.0. Expected points measure the volume of a player's pass attempts, carries and targets, not how well he used them.

How did the Panthers come back to beat the Falcons?

The Panthers' chances of winning fell as low as <1% in the fourth quarter. Bryce Young's 12-yard touchdown pass to Tetairoa McMillan in the fourth quarter was the biggest swing of the game. Ryan Fitzgerald's 28-yard field goal then put them ahead for good.

Which team won the turnover battle in Panthers vs Falcons?

The Panthers won the turnover battle 1–0: the Falcons gave the ball away 1 time and the Panthers not at all. The Panthers won the game.

What was the turning point of Panthers vs Falcons?

Bryce Young's 12-yard touchdown pass to Tetairoa McMillan with 1:08 left in the fourth quarter was the biggest swing of the game, moving the Falcons' win probability from >99% to 5%.

What is the all-time Panthers vs Falcons record?

The Falcons lead the all-time series 37–26 across 63 meetings since 1995.

When did the Panthers and Falcons last play before this game?

Before Week 11 of 2025, they last met in the 2025 season on September 21, 2025, when the Panthers beat the Falcons 30–0.

What is the Panthers vs Falcons record since 2021?

The Panthers lead 7–4 across 11 meetings since the 2021 season, including this game.