Final2021 Week 7

Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL

Atlanta Falcons vs Miami Dolphins, Week 7 2021

Atlanta Falcons

AwayWon

30

Miami Dolphins

Home

28

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Falcons01371030
Dolphins7071428

ATL 30MIA 28 Final

  • Passing leader

    Matt Ryan

    ATL · QB

    18.4PPR pts

    25/40, 336 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Kyle Pitts Sr.

    ATL · TE

    23.3PPR pts

    7 REC, 163 YDS

  • Dolphins leader

    Tua Tagovailoa

    MIA · QB

    28.5PPR pts

    32/40, 291 YDS, 4 TD, 2 INT

  • Defensive playmaker

    Foyesade Oluokun

    ATL

    1 INT, 13 TKL

Falcons 30, Dolphins 28: Atlanta holds off Miami

Atlanta led 13–7 at halftime and won 30–28, though Miami took the second half 21–17. Miami outgained the Falcons 413–397, but the Falcons averaged 6.3 yards per play.

The Dolphins went 7-for-11 on third down and committed two turnovers.

Key advantages

  • +0.4 yards/play ATL 6.3 · MIA 5.9

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

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Why the Falcons Won

Atlanta won the efficiency battle.

Team stats comparison, Falcons vs Dolphins
FalconsStatDolphins
6.3Yards per play5.9
Other team stats
397Total yards413
63Plays70
2Turnovers2
46%Third-down conversion64%
25:22Time of possession34:38

Scoring Summary

The Falcons scored three touchdowns and three field goals; the Dolphins scored four touchdowns.

Scoring plays, Falcons vs Dolphins
TimeTeamPlayATLMIA
1st quarter
7:53MIATua Tagovailoa → Isaiah Ford, 10-yard TD Takes leadJason Sanders XP07
2nd quarter
14:13ATLYounghoe Koo 33-yard FG37
4:47ATLMatt Ryan → Calvin Ridley, 5-yard TD Takes leadYounghoe Koo XP107
0:04ATLYounghoe Koo 36-yard FG Extends lead137
3rd quarter
13:53ATLMatt Ryan → Russell Gage, 49-yard TD Extends leadYounghoe Koo XP207
5:15MIATua Tagovailoa → Mike Gesicki, 6-yard TDJason Sanders XP2014
4th quarter
12:51ATLCordarrelle Patterson 3-yard TD run Extends leadYounghoe Koo XP2714
8:29MIATua Tagovailoa → Myles Gaskin, 7-yard TDJason Sanders XP2721
2:27MIATua Tagovailoa → Mack Hollins, 4-yard TD Takes leadJason Sanders XP2728
0:00ATLYounghoe Koo 36-yard FG Game winner3028

Fantasy Points: Falcons vs Dolphins, Week 7 2021

Fantasy leaders

  1. Tua TagovailoaMIAQB28.5 PTSQB1
  2. Kyle PittsATLTE23.3 PTSTE2
  3. Mike GesickiMIATE21.5 PTSTE3
  4. Myles GaskinMIARB17.7 PTSRB7

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Matt RyanATLQB17.4QB1525/403362130095.4
Tua TagovailoaMIAQB28.5QB132/40291424290109.5Start/Sit →

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Kyle PittsATLTE23.3TE2TE———871630
Mike GesickiMIATE21.5TE3TE———87851Start/Sit →
Myles GaskinMIARB17.7RB7RB1567044101
Russell GageATLWR16.7WR15WR———64671
Jaylen WaddleMIAWR15.3WR18WR———87830Start/Sit →
Cordarrelle PattersonATLRB14.1RB19RB146015210
Calvin RidleyATLWR12.6WR29WR———104261Start/Sit →
Mack HollinsMIAWR9.3WR39WR———32131Start/Sit →
Isaiah FordMIAWR8.0WR42WR———11101
Salvon AhmedMIARB7.2RB34RB726022260
Durham SmytheMIATE6.7TE20TE———43370Start/Sit →
Hayden HurstATLTE6.5TE21TE———43350
Adam ShaheenMIATE6.3TE22TE———54230
Tajae SharpeATLWR3.8WR63WR———22180
Olamide ZaccheausATLWR2.3WR76WR———11130Start/Sit →
Malcolm BrownMIARB1.9RB53RB310011-10
Lee SmithATLTE1.7TE42TE———2170
Preston WilliamsMIAWR1.5WR89WR———4150
Mike DavisATLRB1.0RB61RB4100————
Wayne GallmanATLRB0.2RB69RB120————

Fantasy Usage

Atlanta Falcons

Snap Share

  1. Cordarrelle PattersonRB46 snaps73%
  2. Calvin RidleyWR46 snaps73%
  3. Kyle PittsTE42 snaps67%
  4. Russell GageWR40 snaps63%
  5. Mike DavisRB38 snaps60%

Target Share38 targets

  1. Calvin Ridley26%, 10 targets
  2. Kyle Pitts21%, 8 targets
  3. Russell Gage16%, 6 targets
  4. Cordarrelle Patterson13%, 5 targets
  5. Hayden Hurst11%, 4 targets
  6. Other13%, 5 targets

Carry Share22 carries

  1. Cordarrelle Patterson64%, 14 carries
  2. Mike Davis18%, 4 carries
  3. Matt Ryan14%, 3 carries
  4. Wayne Gallman5%, 1 carries

Miami Dolphins

Snap Share

  1. Jaylen WaddleWR61 snaps84%
  2. Mike GesickiTE60 snaps82%
  3. Adam ShaheenTE51 snaps70%
  4. Myles GaskinRB46 snaps63%
  5. Mack HollinsWR39 snaps53%

Target Share40 targets

  1. Mike Gesicki20%, 8 targets
  2. Jaylen Waddle20%, 8 targets
  3. Adam Shaheen13%, 5 targets
  4. Durham Smythe10%, 4 targets
  5. Myles Gaskin10%, 4 targets
  6. Other28%, 11 targets

Carry Share29 carries

  1. Myles Gaskin52%, 15 carries
  2. Salvon Ahmed24%, 7 carries
  3. Tua Tagovailoa14%, 4 carries
  4. Malcolm Brown10%, 3 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
Jaylen WaddleMIAWR6184%820%0
Mike GesickiMIATE6082%820%0
Cordarrelle PattersonATLRB4673%513%14
Calvin RidleyATLWR4673%1026%0
Adam ShaheenMIATE5170%513%0
Kyle PittsATLTE4267%821%0
Russell GageATLWR4063%616%0
Myles GaskinMIARB4663%410%15
Mike DavisATLRB3860%00%4
Hayden HurstATLTE3759%411%0
Mack HollinsMIAWR3953%38%0
Lee SmithATLTE2641%25%0
Preston WilliamsMIAWR3041%410%0
Durham SmytheMIATE2940%410%0
Salvon AhmedMIARB2230%25%7
Isaiah FordMIAWR1926%13%0
Tajae SharpeATLWR1422%25%0
Olamide ZaccheausATLWR1219%13%0
Malcolm BrownMIARB57%13%3
Wayne GallmanATLRB35%00%1
Albert WilsonMIAWR34%00%0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

  • Biggest overperformer+9.8Kyle Pitts Sr.23.3 PTS vs 13.5 xFP
  • Biggest underperformer−5.2Preston Williams1.5 PTS vs 6.7 xFP
  • Highest expected volume20.2 xFPTua Tagovailoa28.5 PTS scored
Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Tua TagovailoaMIA · QB28.520.2+8.3100%40 att—40414%00%
Matt RyanATL · QB18.419.5−1.1100%40 att—40314%00%
Cordarrelle PattersonATL · RB14.117.4−3.373%64% car—01464%513%
Calvin RidleyATL · WR12.616.8−4.273%26% tgt—000%1026%
Myles GaskinMIA · RB17.716.4+1.363%52% car—01552%410%
Jaylen WaddleMIA · WR15.313.5+1.884%20% tgt—000%820%
Kyle Pitts Sr.ATL · TE23.313.5+9.867%21% tgt—000%821%
Mike GesickiMIA · TE21.513.5+8.082%20% tgt—000%820%
Russell Gage Jr.ATL · WR16.710.1+6.663%15% tgt—000%615%
Adam ShaheenMIA · TE6.38.4−2.170%13% tgt—000%513%
Salvon AhmedMIA · RB7.27.9−0.730%24% car—0724%25%
Durham SmytheMIA · TE6.76.70.040%10% tgt—000%410%
Hayden HurstATL · TE6.56.7−0.259%10% tgt—000%410%
Preston WilliamsMIA · WR1.56.7−5.241%10% tgt—000%410%
Mack HollinsMIA · WR9.35.1+4.253%8% tgt—000%38%
Malcolm BrownMIA · RB1.93.6−1.77%10% car—0310%13%
Lee SmithATL · TE1.73.4−1.741%5% tgt—000%25%
Tajae SharpeATL · WR3.83.4+0.422%5% tgt—000%25%
Mike DavisATL · RB1.02.6−1.660%18% car—0418%00%
Isaiah FordMIA · WR8.01.7+6.326%3% tgt—000%13%
Keith SmithATL · RB1.61.7−0.1—3% tgt—000%13%
Olamide ZaccheausATL · WR2.31.7+0.619%3% tgt—000%13%
Wayne GallmanATL · RB0.20.6−0.45%5% car—015%00%

Team totals: Falcons 39 targets and 22 carries; Dolphins 40 targets and 29 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2021 season: 1.68 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.64 per carry and 0.44 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Matt Ryan

ATL · QB · 18.4 pts on 19.5 expected

25 of 40 passing for 336 yards, 2 touchdowns, 1 interception; 3 carries for 0 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 19.5 expected.

Tua Tagovailoa Ran hot

MIA · QB · 28.5 pts on 20.2 expected

32 of 40 passing for 291 yards, 4 touchdowns, 2 interceptions; 4 carries for 29 yards.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 20.2 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Tua Tagovailoa →

Cordarrelle Patterson Volume, no payoff

ATL · RB · 14.1 pts on 17.4 expected

5 targets (13% of the team's), 2 catches for 1 yard; 14 carries (64% of the team's) for 60 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 17.4 expected.

Calvin Ridley

ATL · WR · 12.6 pts on 16.8 expected

10 targets (26% of the team's), 4 catches for 26 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 16.8 expected.

Start/Sit: Calvin Ridley →

Myles Gaskin

MIA · RB · 17.7 pts on 16.4 expected

4 targets (10% of the team's), 4 catches for 10 yards and 1 touchdown; 15 carries (52% of the team's) for 67 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 16.4 expected.

Jaylen Waddle

MIA · WR · 15.3 pts on 13.5 expected

8 targets (20% of the team's), 7 catches for 83 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 13.5 expected.

Start/Sit: Jaylen Waddle →

Kyle Pitts Sr. Ran hot

ATL · TE · 23.3 pts on 13.5 expected

8 targets (21% of the team's), 7 catches for 163 yards.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 13.5 points; efficiency supplied the rest.

Mike Gesicki Ran hot

MIA · TE · 21.5 pts on 13.5 expected

8 targets (20% of the team's), 7 catches for 85 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 13.5 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Mike Gesicki →

Stock Up, Stock Down

Atlanta Falcons

  • Stock up: Cordarrelle Patterson led the backfield with 73% of the snaps after trailing Mike Davis before this game.
  • Stock down: Mike Davis lost the backfield lead: 60% of the snaps to Cordarrelle Patterson's 73%.
  • Stock down: Calvin Ridley played 73% of the snaps, down from a 90% season average.

Miami Dolphins

  • Stock up: Mike Gesicki played 82% of the snaps, up from a 64% season average.
  • Stock up: Adam Shaheen played 70% of the snaps, up from a 35% season average.
  • Stock up: Mack Hollins played 53% of the snaps, up from a 32% season average.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2021 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Falcons defense and Dolphins defense
Points allowed toFalcons DDolphins D
QBs18.816.2
RBs24.621.3
WRs36.633.1
TEs12.412.0

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Miami opened at 46% win probability, climbed as high as >99%, then lost.

Dolphins win probability

Dolphins win probability by game minuteDolphins started at 46%, stood at 24% at halftime and finished at 0%, across 10 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. +21Tagovailoa → Ford, 10-yd TD46% → 67%Q1 7:53
  2. −27Ryan → Ridley, 5-yd TD62% → 35%Q2 4:47
  3. −17Ryan → Gage, 49-yd TD24% → 7%Q3 13:53
  4. +62Tagovailoa → Hollins, 4-yd TD1% → 63%Q4 2:27
  5. −100Koo 36-yd FG>99% → <1%Q4 0:00

Swing in Dolphins win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Falcons vs Dolphins
Atlanta FalconsMeasureMiami Dolphins
63Plays70
65%Pass rate59%
7.9Yds / dropback6.9
3.3Yds / carry4.6
6/13Third downs7/11

Efficiency edge Atlanta ran 7 fewer plays but gained 1.0 more yards per dropback.

  • Top targets
  • ATL Ridley 26% · Pitts 21% · Gage 15%
  • MIA Waddle 20% · Gesicki 20% · Shaheen 13%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Falcons vs Dolphins
ResultATLMIA
Touchdowns34
Field goals30
Punts33
Turnovers22
Missed field goals01
  • The Dolphins opened the scoring on their first possession, a 14-play, 75-yard drive that ended in a touchdown.
All 22 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
MIAQ1 15:0014757:07Touchdown
ATLQ1 7:533-21:41Punt
MIAQ1 6:12371:34Punt
ATLQ1 4:3811685:25Field goal
MIAQ2 14:139444:17Missed FG
ATLQ2 9:5610615:09Touchdown
MIAQ2 4:479614:11Interception
ATLQ2 0:366620:32Field goal
MIAQ2 0:04000:04End of half
ATLQ3 15:003771:07Touchdown
MIAQ3 13:535153:10Punt
ATLQ3 10:43361:40Punt
MIAQ3 9:039583:48Touchdown
ATLQ3 5:158252:49Punt
MIAQ3 2:26382:26Punt
ATLQ4 15:00320:51Interception
MIAQ4 14:09100:12Interception
ATLQ4 13:573141:06Touchdown
MIAQ4 12:519904:22Touchdown
ATLQ4 8:297262:35Fumble
MIAQ4 5:549403:27Touchdown
ATLQ4 2:279572:27Field goal
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Falcons vs Dolphins Head-to-Head

The Falcons and Dolphins first met in 1970 and have played 15 times since.

All-time series
10–5Dolphins lead, 15 meetings since 1970
Postseason
0No playoff meetings
Largest Falcons win
38–161998
Largest Dolphins win
42–71974

Since 2021

1–1 Series tied

2 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. F = Falcons win, D = Dolphins win, outlined = this game.

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2021 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Falcons vs Dolphins
FalconsStatDolphins
7-10Record9-8
18.4Points per game20.1
303.8Yards per game307.0
5.1Yards per play4.8
27.0Points allowed per game21.9
364.4Yards allowed per game337.5

Falcons vs Dolphins Odds and Results

How this game finished against the betting lines.

Spread
ATL −1.5Falcons covered by 0.5
Total
47.5Over: 58 points scored (by 10.5)

Expected vs Actual Scoring

Implied team totals against the actual score
TeamImpliedActualDifference
Falcons24.530+5.5
Dolphins23.028+5.0

Both offenses beat the market's expectation, and the Fantasy tab shows who cashed in.

Betting Trends

Each team's 2021 season through this game. Over/under is overs first.

Atlanta Falcons

Against the spread
3–3
Over/under
4–2
ATS as favorite
2–1
ATS as underdog
1–2
ATS on the road
2–1

Miami Dolphins

Against the spread
2–5
Over/under
4–3
ATS as favorite
0–2
ATS as underdog
2–3
ATS at home
0–3

Lines: ESPN's consensus, captured at kickoff. Individual sportsbooks varied.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Betting availability depends on your state.

Falcons and Dolphins in Fantasy

The two teams don't meet again this season. If you roster a Falcon or a Dolphin, these answer the week-to-week question.

Keep Exploring

2021 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Falcons vs Dolphins Game FAQ

Who won the 2021 Falcons vs Dolphins Week 7 game?

The Atlanta Falcons beat the Miami Dolphins 30–28 in Week 7 of the 2021 season. The game was played at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL, on October 24, 2021. See the Falcons' 2021 schedule.

What was the final score of Falcons vs Dolphins?

The final score was Falcons 30, Dolphins 28. The Falcons led 13–7 at halftime, and the second half went Falcons 17, Dolphins 21.

What happened in the Falcons vs Dolphins game?

Atlanta led 13–7 at halftime and won 30–28, though Miami took the second half 21–17. Miami outgained the Falcons 413–397, but the Falcons averaged 6.3 yards per play. Tua Tagovailoa led all players with 32 of 40 passing for 291 yards and 4 touchdowns, plus 4 carries for 29 rushing yards.

What was the game-winning score in Falcons vs Dolphins?

Younghoe Koo's 36-yard field goal with 0:00 left in the fourth quarter gave the Falcons a 30–28 lead they never gave up. It was the final score of the game.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Falcons vs Dolphins?

Tua Tagovailoa led the game with 28.5 PPR fantasy points, the QB1 of Week 7, on 32 of 40 passing for 291 yards and 4 touchdowns, plus 4 carries for 29 rushing yards. Kyle Pitts was next with 23.3 (TE2). See Tua Tagovailoa's 2021 game log.

Who led Falcons vs Dolphins in passing, rushing and receiving?

Matt Ryan (ATL) led all passers with 25 of 40 for 336 yards, 2 touchdowns and an interception. Myles Gaskin (MIA) led in rushing with 15 carries for 67 yards. Kyle Pitts (ATL) led in receiving with 7 catches for 163 yards.

How many fantasy points did Tua Tagovailoa score against the Falcons?

Tua Tagovailoa scored 28.5 fantasy points against the Falcons in Week 7 of the 2021 season, the same in PPR, half-PPR and standard scoring because he had no catches, on 32 of 40 passing for 291 yards and 4 touchdowns, plus 4 carries for 29 rushing yards.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Falcons vs Dolphins?

Kyle Pitts Sr. outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 23.3 PPR points on 13.5 xFP (+9.8). Preston Williams fell furthest short, with 1.5 points on 6.7 xFP (−5.2). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

Who had the highest expected fantasy points in Falcons vs Dolphins?

Tua Tagovailoa had the most fantasy opportunity in the game, worth 20.2 expected PPR points (xFP) at league-average rates, and scored 28.5. Expected points measure the volume of a player's pass attempts, carries and targets, not how well he used them.

How did the Falcons come back to beat the Dolphins?

The Falcons' chances of winning fell as low as <1% in overtime. Younghoe Koo's 36-yard field goal in the fourth quarter was the biggest swing of the game. Younghoe Koo's 36-yard field goal then put them ahead for good.

What is the all-time Falcons vs Dolphins record?

The Dolphins lead the all-time series 10–5 across 15 meetings since 1970.

When did the Falcons and Dolphins last play before this game?

Before Week 7 of 2021, they last met in the 2017 season on October 15, 2017, when the Dolphins beat the Falcons 20–17.

What was the closing spread for Falcons vs Dolphins?

The consensus closing spread at kickoff was Falcons −1.5, making the Atlanta Falcons 1.5-point favorites, with a closing total of 47.5. That implied about 24.5 points for the Falcons and 23.0 for the Dolphins.

Did Falcons vs Dolphins go over or under the total?

The game went over. The consensus closing total was 47.5, and the teams combined for 58 points, 10.5 over the number.

Who covered the spread in Falcons vs Dolphins?

The Falcons covered by 0.5 against the closing line of Falcons −1.5. The final margin was 2 points.