AFC East · 2026 Season
Miami Dolphins
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Miami Dolphins
Miami Dolphins Usage & Opportunity Report 2026
Updated through Week 4 · refreshed every Tuesday
Fantasy production follows opportunity, not the other way around — so this report tracks who's on the field and who the ball is going to, before the box score catches up. The essentials: target share (share of team pass attempts), snap share, and red-zone touches. The premium layer, in each player's expandable profile: first-read share (how often the play is designed for him), air-yards share (30%+ is the alpha-receiver threshold), and expected fantasy points (xFP) vs. fantasy points over expected (FPOE) — xFP is stable, repeatable volume; FPOE is efficiency that regresses. Route share (the % of dropbacks a player runs a route on — the stat that matters most for tight ends), targets per route run (TPRR) and yards per route run (YPRR — the best receiver efficiency stat there is) join the profiles when the league's route data is published. Since 2017, receivers at a 20%+ target share average 15.3 fantasy points per game; the 10–20% group averages 9.8. That cliff is why this table exists.
- Pass rate over expected−8.7%29thRuns more than game situations call for — a cap on the pass-catchers' volume and a floor under Achane
- Red-zone pass rate39%30thRun-first inside the 20 — Achane's 3 green-zone carries eat the receivers' TDs
- Neutral pace33.3s21st fastestSeconds per play in neutral situations
- Plays per game57.724thOffensive plays a game — fewer snaps to go around, so shares matter more
- Team xFP / game71.128thTotal expected fantasy points this offense creates — a thin pie, so only the top shares pay
The Target Tree
All 86 Dolphins pass attempts through Week 4
- Malik Washington 26.7%
- De'Von Achane 14.0%
- Greg Dulcich 14.0%
- Caleb Douglas 11.6%
- Chris Bell 11.6%
- Coleman/Miller/Gordon 15.1%
- Everyone else 5.8%
- No target (throwaways, spikes, batted) 1.2%
The Backfield Split
Who owns which situations — the RB stat that actually predicts the box score.
- De'Von Achane 62.4%
- Ollie Gordon 28.0%
- DJ Herman 6.5%
- Other backs 3.2%
Share of the backs' carries + targets in each situation. Snap-by-snap splits need the league's participation data, which is published after the season.
- 19.3Achane weighted opps/game — RB21 in the NFL
- 15Achane high-value touches (in-10 carries + targets)
- 8.7Gordon weighted opps/game
- −6.2Achane wOpp/g vs. last season — a smaller role than last season
Why Achane's floor holds in PPR: He keeps 64% of the backs' third-down work as well as the early downs, so his catches don't depend on game script — a 40-catch pace. Trailing by 7+, he still gets 60% of the backs' work — no one takes the hurry-up snaps from him.
The Gordon math if Achane misses time: Gordon backs up the early-down and red-zone roles (the valuable ones). A Achane absence projects Gordon to ~75% of weighted opportunities — about 23.6 a game, a top-12 weekly RB by volume — and why he's a STASH, not a cut.
Run Direction — carries & yards per carry by gap
- 3.49 attLeft end
- 3.17 attLeft tackle
- 3.543 attMiddle
- -1.73 attRight tackle
- 4.03 attRight end
Designed runs only; "Middle" includes runs behind either guard.
The interior is the run game's engine: 3.5 yards per carry up the middle on 43 attempts, 66% of all designed runs. The edges are a change-up, not the plan — when an interior lineman sits out practice, that's a usage note, not just an injury note.
Where Willis Attacks
Share of pass attempts & yards per attempt by field zone — through Week 4
- 9%2.9 YPADeep left · Washington
- 7%11.0 YPADeep middle
- 8%14.6 YPADeep right
Line of scrimmage · deep = 20+ air yards
- 27%6.1 YPAShort left
- 17%10.3 YPAShort middle
- 31%5.3 YPAShort right
The short middle is the efficiency engine (10.3 YPA). Willis keeps 76% of his throws under 20 air yards, with the deep right his most explosive zone (14.6 YPA on 7 attempts). Bell's fantasy problem, mapped: a 18-yard aDOT puts him in the 24% deep slice of this chart while the short middle feasts. Gold = highest-YPA high-volume zone.
| Profile | Player | Opportunity (WOPR) | Target share | Snap share | RZ touches | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik WashingtonWR1WR6 in target share, NFL | 0.62elite | 26.7%steady | 86%−12 vs W1 | 2 ▲0 · 1 · 1 | Set & forget | |
The alpha profile, fully formed. A 31.6% air-yards share clears the 30% alpha threshold, a 28% first-read share says the offense is designed through him, and a 12-yard aDOT sits in the sweet spot — deep enough for ceiling, not so deep it gets volatile. He's −4.1 a game against expected: the volume is there and the box score hasn't caught up — a buy signal, not a warning. Bars show percentile vs. all NFL WRs. | ||||||
| De'Von AchaneRB1, 60% of RB touchesRB21 in weighted opps/game, NFL | —touch share 60% | 14.0%−15.7 vs W1 | 52%−81 vs W1 | 73 · 4 · 0 — leads team | Starter | |
A shared backfield. 62% of the weighted opportunities means another back takes a real cut every week, so his floor rises and falls with game script. He's −3.3 a game against expected: the volume is there and the box score hasn't caught up — a buy signal, not a warning. Bars show percentile vs. all NFL RBs. | ||||||
| Caleb DouglasWR2WR67 in target share, NFL | 0.27below startable | 11.6%−12.9 vs W1 | 54%−5 vs W1 | 1 ▲0 · 1 · – | Volatile | |
Not enough of the pie. A 11.6% target share is under the line where weekly fantasy value lives, and a 16% first-read share says he's rarely the design. He needs an injury above him or a role change, not a better matchup. Bars show percentile vs. all NFL WRs. | ||||||
| Greg DulcichTE1TE16 in target share, NFL | 0.26streamer range | 14.0%+12.0 vs W1 | 69%−7 vs W1 | 2 ▲0 · 1 · 1 | Volatile | |
The role is arriving before the box score does. His target share has run 7% → 13% → 19% over the last 3 games. Volume that is growing this fast gets repriced the week it scores. Production is running −1.0 against expected, so this is volume, not a hot streak. Bars show percentile vs. all NFL TEs. | ||||||
| Chris BellWR3WR67 in target share, NFL | 0.32flex range | 11.6%+12.0 vs W1 | 56%+19 vs W1 | 00 · 0 · 0 | Volatile | |
The role is arriving before the box score does. His target share has run 7% → 4% → 19% over the last 3 games. Volume that is growing this fast gets repriced the week it scores. Production is running −1.2 against expected, so this is volume, not a hot streak. Bars show percentile vs. all NFL WRs. | ||||||
| Ollie GordonRB2 · handcuff, 34% of RB touchesRB52 in weighted opps/game, NFL | —touch share 34% | 3.5%+8.3 vs W1 | 40%+77 vs W1 | 4 ▲0 · 1 · 3 | Stash | |
Contingent value, quantified. The 34% touch share is standalone-flex-in-a-pinch at best; the real number is what it becomes if Achane misses time — see The Backfield Split above. Bars show percentile vs. all NFL RBs. | ||||||
| Malik WillisQB1QB27 in xFP/game, NFL | —every dropback | —the passer | 100%steady | 11 · 0 · 0 | Volatile | |
A pocket passer's profile. 0 green-zone carries and a 11.2% scramble rate: his points have to come through the air, so his weekly range follows the pass volume (QB27 in expected points). Production is running −1.2 against expected, so this is volume, not a hot streak. Bars show percentile vs. all NFL QBs. | ||||||
How to read this table
- Set & forget 20%+ target share or locked bell-cow role — start everywhere
- Starter 17–19% target share or a lead back's full workload — weekly lineup play
- Flex 15–16% share or a committee lead — matchup-dependent
- Volatile under 15% — deep leagues only
- Stash the role behind the role
- WOPR: 1.5 × target share + 0.7 × air-yards share
- + button: opens the full advanced profile — first-read share, air-yards share, xFP/FPOE — with percentile bars vs. the league
Buy low
Chris Bell
The role is arriving before the box score does. Trade for him this week — not after the two-touchdown game makes it obvious to your league.
- +19snap share pts since W1
- +12.0target share pts since W1
Watch
Caleb Douglas
Under 15% target share on a shrinking snap count. One more quiet week and he's droppable in 12-team leagues; an injury above him is the fastest path back.
- 1RZ touches since W1
Usage trends are one of the core inputs behind our player pricing — Redraft Command re-runs every player's value as these shares move, so a riser like Bell gets repriced before your leaguemates notice.
Data: nflverse play-by-play · nflverse snap counts (PFR) · FTN Data charting via nflverse (first-read share) · ffopportunity expected points (xFP). Regular season, through Week 4.
Explore StatChasers
- Fantasy Football ToolsThe #1 ranked fantasy football toolset.Open
- Advanced Player StatsDeeper numbers on every player in the league.Open
- Strength of ScheduleMatchup difficulty by fantasy position, including the playoff weeks.Open
- Fantasy Points AllowedHow Miami's defense performs against QB, RB, WR and TE.Open
Common questions
Who leads the Miami Dolphins in target share?
Malik Washington leads the Miami Dolphins with a 26.7% target share through Week 4, holding steady since Week 1. De'Von Achane is second at 14.0%.