Panthers vs Bills Week 15 2021: Final Score 31

Final2021 Week 15

Highmark Stadium (Old), Orchard Park, NYSun, Dec 19, 2021, 1:00 PM ET

Carolina Panthers vs Buffalo Bills, Week 15 2021

Carolina Panthers

Away

Buffalo Bills

HomeWon

Scoring by quarter
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Panthers	0	8	0	6	14
Bills	0	17	7	7	31

CAR 14BUF 31 Final

Passing leader
Josh Allen
BUF · QB
21.8PPR pts
19/34, 210 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
Top fantasy scorer
Gabe Davis
BUF · WR
25.5PPR pts
5 REC, 85 YDS, 2 TD
Panthers leader
Cam Newton
CAR · QB
24.3PPR pts
18/38, 156 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT, 1 RUSH TD
Defensive playmaker
Jeremy Chinn
CAR
1 INT, 7 TKL

Bills 31, Panthers 14: Buffalo beats Carolina

Buffalo led 17–8 at halftime after a 17-point second quarter and outscored Carolina 14–6 after the break to win 31–14. The Bills finished with a 312–275 edge in total offense and averaged 4.8 yards per play.

The Panthers went 7-for-17 on third down and committed one turnover.

Key advantages

+0.9 yards/play BUF 4.8 · CAR 3.9
+37 total yards BUF 312 · CAR 275
+2% third-down rate BUF 43% · CAR 41%

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

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Why the Bills Won

Buffalo won the efficiency and third-down battles.

Team stats comparison, Panthers vs Bills
Panthers	Stat	Bills
3.9	Yards per play	4.8

275	Total yards	312

41%	Third-down conversion	43%

Other team stats
71	Plays	65

1	Turnovers	1

31:25	Time of possession	28:35

Scoring Summary

The Bills scored four touchdowns and one field goal; the Panthers scored two touchdowns.

Scoring plays, Panthers vs Bills
Time	Team	Play	CAR	BUF
1st quarter
No scoring
2nd quarter
14:13	BUF	Devin Singletary 16-yard TD run Takes leadTyler Bass XP	0	7
9:41	BUF	Josh Allen → Stefon Diggs, 11-yard TD Extends leadTyler Bass XP	0	14
1:48	CAR	Cam Newton 4-yard TD runCam Newton → DJ Moore, 2-pt conversion	8	14
0:00	BUF	Tyler Bass 26-yard FG Extends lead	8	17
3rd quarter
5:52	BUF	Josh Allen → Gabriel Davis, 20-yard TD Extends leadTyler Bass XP	8	24
4th quarter
11:01	CAR	Cam Newton → Ameer Abdullah, 23-yard TD2-pt try failed	14	24
2:07	BUF	Josh Allen → Gabriel Davis, 14-yard TD Extends leadTyler Bass XP	14	31

Fantasy Points: Panthers vs Bills, Week 15 2021

Fantasy leaders

Gabe DavisBUFWR25.5 PTSWR4
Cam NewtonCARQB22.3 PTSQB6
Josh AllenBUFQB20.8 PTSQB7
Devin SingletaryBUFRB16.6 PTSRB7

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
Player	FPTS	FIN	CMP/ATT	Pass YDS	TD	INT	Rush ATT	Rush YDS	Rush TD	Rate	Start/Sit
Josh AllenBUFQB	20.8	QB7	19/34	210	3	1	3	24	0	91.5	Start/Sit →
Cam NewtonCARQB	22.3	QB6	18/38	156	1	1	15	71	1	56.5

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
Player	FPTS	FIN	POS	Rush ATT	Rush YDS	Rush TD	TGT	REC	Rec YDS	Rec TD	Start/Sit
Gabe DavisBUFWR	25.5	WR4	WR	—	—	—	7	5	85	2
Devin SingletaryBUFRB	16.6	RB7	RB	22	86	1	1	1	10	0	Start/Sit →
Ameer AbdullahCARRB	15.5	RB11	RB	4	7	0	4	4	48	1	Start/Sit →
Stefon DiggsBUFWR	13.5	WR18	WR	—	—	—	7	4	35	1	Start/Sit →
DJ MooreCARWR	12.8	WR20	WR	—	—	—	11	6	48	0	Start/Sit →
Robbie ChosenCARWR	9.2	WR34	WR	2	33	0	8	3	29	0
Dawson KnoxBUFTE	7.8	TE19	TE	—	—	—	5	4	38	0	Start/Sit →
Cole BeasleyBUFWR	7.5	WR48	WR	—	—	—	8	4	35	0
Chuba HubbardCARRB	5.1	RB48	RB	8	40	0	1	1	1	0	Start/Sit →
Brandon ZylstraCARWR	3.7	WR75	WR	—	—	—	4	2	17	0
Isaiah McKenzieBUFWR	2.5	WR89	WR	1	8	0	2	1	7	0
Tommy TrembleCARTE	1.8	TE47	TE	—	—	—	4	1	8	0	Start/Sit →
Ian ThomasCARTE	1.5	TE52	TE	—	—	—	1	1	5	0	Start/Sit →
Matt BreidaBUFRB	0.1	RB70	RB	1	1	0	—	—	—	—
Willie SneadCARWR	0.0	—	WR	—	—	—	1	0	0	0
Tommy SweeneyBUFTE	0.0	—	TE	—	—	—	1	0	0	0
Terrace MarshallCARWR	0.0	—	WR	—	—	—	1	0	0	0

Fantasy Usage

Carolina Panthers

Snap Share

Robbie ChosenWR76 snaps100%
DJ MooreWR69 snaps91%
Brandon ZylstraWR54 snaps71%
Tommy TrembleTE49 snaps64%
Ian ThomasTE42 snaps55%

Target Share35 targets

DJ Moore31%, 11 targets
Robbie Chosen23%, 8 targets
Ameer Abdullah11%, 4 targets
Brandon Zylstra11%, 4 targets
Tommy Tremble11%, 4 targets
Other11%, 4 targets

Carry Share29 carries

Cam Newton52%, 15 carries
Chuba Hubbard28%, 8 carries
Ameer Abdullah14%, 4 carries
Robbie Chosen7%, 2 carries

Buffalo Bills

Snap Share

Devin SingletaryRB65 snaps93%
Dawson KnoxTE63 snaps90%
Gabe DavisWR63 snaps90%
Stefon DiggsWR58 snaps83%
Cole BeasleyWR32 snaps46%

Target Share31 targets

Cole Beasley26%, 8 targets
Stefon Diggs23%, 7 targets
Gabe Davis23%, 7 targets
Dawson Knox16%, 5 targets
Isaiah McKenzie6%, 2 targets
Other6%, 2 targets

Carry Share27 carries

Devin Singletary81%, 22 carries
Josh Allen11%, 3 carries
Isaiah McKenzie4%, 1 carries
Matt Breida4%, 1 carries

View full usage tableHide full usage table

Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
Player	SNAPS	SNAP %	TGT	TGT %	CAR
Robbie ChosenCARWR	76	100%	8	23%	2
Devin SingletaryBUFRB	65	93%	1	3%	22
DJ MooreCARWR	69	91%	11	31%	0
Dawson KnoxBUFTE	63	90%	5	16%	0
Gabe DavisBUFWR	63	90%	7	23%	0
Stefon DiggsBUFWR	58	83%	7	23%	0
Brandon ZylstraCARWR	54	71%	4	11%	0
Tommy TrembleCARTE	49	64%	4	11%	0
Ian ThomasCARTE	42	55%	1	3%	0
Ameer AbdullahCARRB	40	53%	4	11%	4
Chuba HubbardCARRB	36	47%	1	3%	8
Cole BeasleyBUFWR	32	46%	8	26%	0
Tommy SweeneyBUFTE	22	31%	1	3%	0
Isaiah McKenzieBUFWR	20	29%	2	6%	1
Jake KumerowBUFWR	11	16%	0	0%	0
Terrace MarshallCARWR	8	11%	1	3%	0
Reggie GilliamBUFRB	5	7%	0	0%	0
Matt BreidaBUFRB	3	4%	0	0%	1
Marquez StevensonBUFWR	2	3%	0	0%	0
Willie SneadCARWR	1	1%	1	3%	0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

PPRHalf PPRStandard

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

Biggest overperformer+13.7Gabe Davis25.5 PTS vs 11.8 xFP
Biggest underperformer−6.0Cole Beasley7.5 PTS vs 13.5 xFP
Highest expected volume26.3 xFPCam Newton24.3 PTS scored

Usage and expected fantasy points
Player	PTS	xFP	vs xFP	Snap%	Usage	Rte%	Pass att	Car	Car%	Tgt	Tgt%
Cam NewtonCAR · QB	24.3	26.3	−2.0	100%	38 att	—	38	15	52%	0	0%
DJ MooreCAR · WR	12.8	18.5	−5.7	91%	31% tgt	—	0	0	0%	11	31%
Josh AllenBUF · QB	21.8	16.9	+4.9	100%	34 att	—	34	3	11%	0	0%
Devin SingletaryBUF · RB	16.6	15.8	+0.8	93%	81% car	—	0	22	81%	1	3%
Robbie ChosenCAR · WR	9.2	14.8	−5.6	100%	22% tgt	—	0	2	7%	8	22%
Cole BeasleyBUF · WR	7.5	13.5	−6.0	46%	26% tgt	—	0	0	0%	8	26%
Gabe DavisBUF · WR	25.5	11.8	+13.7	90%	23% tgt	—	0	0	0%	7	23%
Stefon DiggsBUF · WR	13.5	11.8	+1.7	83%	23% tgt	—	0	0	0%	7	23%
Ameer AbdullahCAR · RB	15.5	9.3	+6.2	53%	14% car	—	0	4	14%	4	11%
Dawson KnoxBUF · TE	7.8	8.4	−0.6	90%	16% tgt	—	0	0	0%	5	16%
Chuba HubbardCAR · RB	5.1	6.8	−1.7	47%	28% car	—	0	8	28%	1	3%
Brandon ZylstraCAR · WR	3.7	6.7	−3.0	71%	11% tgt	—	0	0	0%	4	11%
Tommy TrembleCAR · TE	1.8	6.7	−4.9	64%	11% tgt	—	0	0	0%	4	11%
Isaiah McKenzieBUF · WR	2.5	4.0	−1.5	29%	6% tgt	—	0	1	4%	2	6%
Giovanni RicciCAR · TE	0.0	1.7	−1.7	—	3% tgt	—	0	0	0%	1	3%
Ian ThomasCAR · TE	1.5	1.7	−0.2	55%	3% tgt	—	0	0	0%	1	3%
Terrace Marshall Jr.CAR · WR	0.0	1.7	−1.7	11%	3% tgt	—	0	0	0%	1	3%
Tommy SweeneyBUF · TE	0.0	1.7	−1.7	31%	3% tgt	—	0	0	0%	1	3%
Willie Snead IVCAR · WR	0.0	1.7	−1.7	1%	3% tgt	—	0	0	0%	1	3%
Matt BreidaBUF · RB	0.1	0.6	−0.5	4%	4% car	—	0	1	4%	0	0%

Team totals: Panthers 36 targets and 29 carries; Bills 31 targets and 27 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2021 season: 1.68 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.64 per carry and 0.44 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Cam Newton

CAR · QB · 24.3 pts on 26.3 expected

18 of 38 passing for 156 yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception; 15 carries for 71 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 26.3 expected.

Josh Allen

BUF · QB · 21.8 pts on 16.9 expected

19 of 34 passing for 210 yards, 3 touchdowns, 1 interception; 3 carries for 24 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 16.9 expected.

Start/Sit: Josh Allen →

DJ Moore Volume, no payoff

CAR · WR · 12.8 pts on 18.5 expected

11 targets (31% of the team's), 6 catches for 48 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 18.5 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Fewest points since Week 10.

Start/Sit: DJ Moore →

Robbie Chosen Unlucky

CAR · WR · 9.2 pts on 14.8 expected

8 targets (22% of the team's), 3 catches for 29 yards; 2 carries (7% of the team's) for 33 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 14.8 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Devin Singletary Strong role

BUF · RB · 16.6 pts on 15.8 expected

1 target (3% of the team's), 1 catch for 10 yards; 22 carries (81% of the team's) for 86 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 15.8 expected.

Season high in carries (22). Best fantasy game of the season.

Start/Sit: Devin Singletary →

Cole Beasley Unlucky

BUF · WR · 7.5 pts on 13.5 expected

8 targets (26% of the team's), 4 catches for 35 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 13.5 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Gabe Davis Ran hot

BUF · WR · 25.5 pts on 11.8 expected

7 targets (23% of the team's), 5 catches for 85 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 11.8 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Best fantasy game of the season.

Ameer Abdullah Ran hot

CAR · RB · 15.5 pts on 9.3 expected

4 targets (11% of the team's), 4 catches for 48 yards and 1 touchdown; 4 carries (14% of the team's) for 7 yards.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 9.3 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Best fantasy game of the season.

Start/Sit: Ameer Abdullah →

Stock Up, Stock Down

Carolina Panthers

Stock up: Ameer Abdullah led the backfield with 53% of the snaps after trailing Chuba Hubbard before this game.
Stock up: Robbie Chosen played 100% of the snaps, up from a 84% season average.
Stock up: Brandon Zylstra played 71% of the snaps, up from a 34% season average.

Buffalo Bills

Stock up: Devin Singletary played 93% of the snaps, up from a 52% season average.
Stock up: Gabe Davis played 90% of the snaps, up from a 40% season average.
Stock down: Cole Beasley played 46% of the snaps, down from a 63% season average.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2021 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Panthers defense and Bills defense
Points allowed to	Panthers D	Bills D
QBs	15.3	12.2
RBs	19.4	20.4
WRs	31.9	23.8
TEs	12.3	7.6

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Buffalo opened at 86% win probability and passed 98% before halftime on the way to the win.

Bills win probability

Key Swings

+11Singletary 16-yd TD run82% → 94%Q2 14:13
+5Allen → Diggs, 11-yd TD93% → 98%Q2 9:41
−7Newton 4-yd TD run99% → 92%Q2 1:48
+4Bass 26-yd FG92% → 96%Q2 0:00
+3Allen → Davis, 20-yd TD96% → >99%Q3 5:52

Swing in Bills win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Panthers vs Bills
Carolina Panthers	Measure	Buffalo Bills
71	Plays	65
59%	Pass rate	58%
3.0	Yds / dropback	5.1
5.2	Yds / carry	4.4
7/17	Third downs	6/14

Efficiency edge Buffalo ran 6 fewer plays but gained 2.1 more yards per dropback.

Top targets
CAR Moore 31% · Chosen 22% · Abdullah 11%
BUF Beasley 26% · Davis 23% · Diggs 23%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Panthers vs Bills
Result	CAR	BUF
Touchdowns	2	4
Field goals	0	1
Punts	4	5
Turnovers	1	1
Turnovers on downs	4	0

The Bills opened the scoring on their third possession, a 6-play, 50-yard drive that ended in a touchdown.

All 23 possessions, drive by drive

Drive chart
Team	Start	Plays	Yards	Time	Result
CAR	Q1 15:00	3	2	1:42	Punt
BUF	Q1 13:18	3	-10	1:15	Punt
CAR	Q1 12:03	8	46	3:34	Downs
BUF	Q1 8:29	3	7	2:35	Punt
CAR	Q1 5:54	7	24	3:53	Downs
BUF	Q1 2:01	6	50	2:48	Touchdown
CAR	Q2 14:13	3	-8	1:56	Punt
BUF	Q2 12:17	5	57	2:36	Touchdown
CAR	Q2 9:41	9	30	4:27	Punt
BUF	Q2 5:14	4	11	2:29	Interception
CAR	Q2 2:45	3	37	0:57	Touchdown
BUF	Q2 1:48	11	63	1:48	Field goal
BUF	Q3 15:00	6	31	2:38	Punt
CAR	Q3 12:22	6	19	2:48	Punt
BUF	Q3 9:34	10	74	3:42	Touchdown
CAR	Q3 5:52	15	65	5:57	Downs
BUF	Q4 14:55	4	-5	2:32	Punt
CAR	Q4 12:23	4	43	1:22	Touchdown
BUF	Q4 11:01	3	2	1:12	Punt
CAR	Q4 9:49	9	15	3:38	Downs
BUF	Q4 6:11	9	46	4:04	Touchdown
CAR	Q4 2:07	4	28	1:11	Interception
BUF	Q4 0:56	2	-2	0:56	End of game

About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Panthers vs Bills Head-to-Head

The Panthers and Bills first met in 1995 and have played 9 times since.

All-time series: 7–2Bills lead, 9 meetings since 1995
Postseason: 0No playoff meetings
Largest Panthers win: 9–32017
Largest Bills win: 40–92025

Since 2021

2–0 Bills lead

2 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. B = Bills win, P = Panthers win, outlined = this game.

Recent Meetings

2025 Wk 8 Bills at Panthers, 2025 Wk 8 recap Sun, Oct 26, 2025 BUF 40 CAR 9 BUF W
2021 Wk 15 Panthers at Bills Sun, Dec 19, 2021 BUF 31 CAR 14 BUF W

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2021 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Panthers vs Bills
Panthers	Stat	Bills
5-12	Record	11-6

17.9	Points per game	28.4

298.9	Yards per game	381.9

4.6	Yards per play	5.7

23.8	Points allowed per game	17.0

305.9	Yards allowed per game	272.8

Panthers vs Bills Odds and Results

How this game finished against the betting lines.

Spread: BUF −14.5Bills covered by 2.5
Total: 43Over: 45 points scored (by 2)

Expected vs Actual Scoring

Implied team totals against the actual score
Team	Implied	Actual	Difference
Bills	28.8	31	+2.3
Panthers	14.3	14	−0.3

The Bills beat their implied total and the Panthers fell short of theirs; the Fantasy tab has the player lines behind it.

Betting Trends

Each team's 2021 season through this game. Over/under is overs first.

Carolina Panthers

Against the spread: 5–9
Over/under: 7–7
ATS as favorite: 2–5
ATS as underdog: 3–4
ATS on the road: 3–4

Buffalo Bills

Against the spread: 7–6–1
Over/under: 7–7
ATS as favorite: 6–5–1
ATS as underdog: 1–1
ATS at home: 3–3–1

Lines: ESPN's consensus, captured at kickoff. Individual sportsbooks varied.

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Game info

Round: Week 15
Date: Dec 19, 2021
Kickoff (ET): 1:00 PM
Venue: Highmark Stadium (Old), Orchard Park, NY
Winner: Buffalo Bills
Margin: 17 points
TV: FOX
Attendance: 65,398

Before and after

Carolina Panthers

Previous: Week 14: L 21–29 vs Falcons
Next: Week 16: L 6–32 vs Buccaneers

Buffalo Bills

Previous: Week 14: L 27–33 at Buccaneers
Next: Week 16: W 33–21 at Patriots

The Bills' next games

Panthers and Bills in Fantasy

The two teams don't meet again this season. If you roster a Panther or a Bill, these answer the week-to-week question.

Keep Exploring

2021 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Panthers vs Bills Game FAQ

Who won the 2021 Panthers vs Bills Week 15 game?

The Buffalo Bills beat the Carolina Panthers 31–14 in Week 15 of the 2021 season. The game was played at Highmark Stadium (Old) in Orchard Park, NY, on December 19, 2021. See the Bills' 2021 schedule.

What was the final score of Panthers vs Bills?

The final score was Bills 31, Panthers 14. The Bills led 17–8 at halftime, and the second half went Panthers 6, Bills 14.

What happened in the Panthers vs Bills game?

Who scored the most fantasy points in Panthers vs Bills?

Gabe Davis led the game with 25.5 PPR fantasy points, the WR4 of Week 15, on 5 catches for 85 yards and 2 touchdowns. Cam Newton was next with 22.3 (QB6).

Who led Panthers vs Bills in passing, rushing and receiving?

Josh Allen (BUF) led all passers with 19 of 34 for 210 yards, 3 touchdowns and an interception. Devin Singletary (BUF) led in rushing with 22 carries for 86 yards and a touchdown. Gabe Davis (BUF) led in receiving with 5 catches for 85 yards and 2 touchdowns.

How many fantasy points did Gabe Davis score against the Panthers?

Gabe Davis scored 25.5 points in PPR leagues, 23.0 in half-PPR and 20.5 in standard scoring against the Panthers in Week 15 of the 2021 season, on 5 catches for 85 yards and 2 touchdowns. He drew 23% of his team's targets.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Panthers vs Bills?

Gabe Davis outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 25.5 PPR points on 11.8 xFP (+13.7). Cole Beasley fell furthest short, with 7.5 points on 13.5 xFP (−6.0). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

Who had the highest expected fantasy points in Panthers vs Bills?

Cam Newton had the most fantasy opportunity in the game, worth 26.3 expected PPR points (xFP) at league-average rates, and scored 24.3. Expected points measure the volume of a player's pass attempts, carries and targets, not how well he used them.

How did the Bills beat the Panthers?

The Bills beat the Panthers 31–14 because they averaged 4.8 yards per play to 3.9 and outgained them 312–275.

What is the all-time Panthers vs Bills record?

The Bills lead the all-time series 7–2 across 9 meetings since 1995.

When did the Panthers and Bills last play before this game?

Before Week 15 of 2021, they last met in the 2017 season on September 17, 2017, when the Panthers beat the Bills 9–3.

What is the Panthers vs Bills record since 2021?

The Bills lead 2–0 across 2 meetings since the 2021 season, including this game.

What was the closing spread for Panthers vs Bills?

The consensus closing spread at kickoff was Bills −14.5, making the Buffalo Bills 14.5-point favorites, with a closing total of 43. That implied about 28.8 points for the Bills and 14.3 for the Panthers.

Did Panthers vs Bills go over or under the total?

The game went over. The consensus closing total was 43, and the teams combined for 45 points, 2 over the number.

Who covered the spread in Panthers vs Bills?

The Bills covered by 2.5 against the closing line of Bills −14.5. The final margin was 17 points.