Final/OT2021 Week 14

Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL

Buffalo Bills vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Week 14 2021

Buffalo Bills

Away

27

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

HomeWon

33

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Bills03717027
Buccaneers71703633

BUF 27TB 33 Final/OT

  • Passing leader

    Tom Brady

    TB · QB

    30.1PPR pts

    31/46, 363 YDS, 2 TD, 1 RUSH TD

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Leonard Fournette

    TB · RB

    23.2PPR pts

    19 ATT, 113 YDS, 1 TD, 4 REC, 19 REC YDS

  • Bills leader

    Josh Allen

    BUF · QB

    36.2PPR pts

    36/54, 308 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT, 1 RUSH TD

  • Defensive playmaker

    Richard Sherman

    TB

    1 INT

Buccaneers 33, Bills 27: Tampa Bay wins it in overtime

Tampa Bay led 24–3 at halftime, regulation ended 27–27, and the Buccaneers won it 33–27 in overtime. The Buccaneers finished with a narrow 488–466 edge in total offense and averaged 6.3 yards per play.

The gap showed up everywhere. The Bills went 2-for-13 on third down and committed one turnover, while the Buccaneers kept the ball for 32:08 and finished without a giveaway.

Key advantages

  • +0.2 yards/play TB 6.3 · BUF 6.1
  • +1 turnover margin TB 0 turnovers
  • +22 total yards TB 488 · BUF 466

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

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Why the Buccaneers Won

Tampa Bay won the efficiency, turnover, and third-down battles.

Team stats comparison, Bills vs Buccaneers
BillsStatBuccaneers
6.1Yards per play6.3
1Turnovers0
466Total yards488
Other team stats
76Plays77
15%Third-down conversion50%
32:21Time of possession32:08

Scoring Summary

The Buccaneers scored four touchdowns and two field goals; the Bills scored three touchdowns and two field goals.

Scoring plays, Bills vs Buccaneers
TimeTeamPlayBUFTB
1st quarter
8:13TBLeonard Fournette 47-yard TD run Takes leadRyan Succop XP07
2nd quarter
13:36TBRyan Succop 23-yard FG Extends lead010
9:28BUFTyler Bass 21-yard FG310
7:11TBTom Brady → Mike Evans, 13-yard TD Extends leadRyan Succop XP317
1:29TBTom Brady 1-yard TD run Extends leadRyan Succop XP324
3rd quarter
7:29BUFJosh Allen 18-yard TD runTyler Bass XP1024
4th quarter
11:20TBRyan Succop 24-yard FG Extends lead1027
9:07BUFJosh Allen → Dawson Knox, 15-yard TDTyler Bass XP1727
4:53BUFJosh Allen → Gabriel Davis, 4-yard TDTyler Bass XP2427
0:22BUFTyler Bass 25-yard FG Ties game2727
Overtime
5:31TBTom Brady → Breshad Perriman, 58-yard TD Game winner2733

Fantasy Points: Bills vs Buccaneers, Week 14 2021

Fantasy leaders

  1. Josh AllenBUFQB36.2 PTSQB1
  2. Tom BradyTBQB30.1 PTSQB2
  3. Leonard FournetteTBRB23.2 PTSRB6
  4. Mike EvansTBWR21.1 PTSWR7

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Tom BradyTBQB30.1QB231/46363207161105.6
Josh AllenBUFQB36.2QB136/543082112109186.0Start/Sit →

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Leonard FournetteTBRB23.2RB6RB19113174190
Mike EvansTBWR21.1WR7WR———66911Start/Sit →
Chris GodwinTBWR20.5WR9WR———15101050
Dawson KnoxBUFTE19.0TE4TE———97601Start/Sit →
Cole BeasleyBUFWR15.4WR26WR———119640
Gabe DavisBUFWR15.3WR28WR———85431
Devin SingletaryBUFRB14.9RB14RB452076370Start/Sit →
Stefon DiggsBUFWR14.4WR33WR———137740Start/Sit →
Breshad PerrimanTBWR12.8WR39WR———21581
Rob GronkowskiTBTE11.2TE8TE———95620
Tyler JohnsonTBWR4.7WR70WR———33170
Emmanuel SandersBUFWR3.5WR80WR———11250
Cameron BrateTBTE3.1TE35TE———42110
Isaiah McKenzieBUFWR1.5WR96WR———1150
Matt BreidaBUFRB1.2RB59RB31201000
Ronald JonesTBRB0.8RB60RB380————

Fantasy Usage

Buffalo Bills

Snap Share

  1. Dawson KnoxTE75 snaps96%
  2. Stefon DiggsWR69 snaps88%
  3. Gabe DavisWR65 snaps83%
  4. Devin SingletaryRB64 snaps82%
  5. Cole BeasleyWR63 snaps81%

Target Share51 targets

  1. Stefon Diggs25%, 13 targets
  2. Cole Beasley22%, 11 targets
  3. Dawson Knox18%, 9 targets
  4. Gabe Davis16%, 8 targets
  5. Devin Singletary14%, 7 targets
  6. Other6%, 3 targets

Carry Share19 carries

  1. Josh Allen63%, 12 carries
  2. Devin Singletary21%, 4 carries
  3. Matt Breida16%, 3 carries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Snap Share

  1. Chris GodwinWR78 snaps94%
  2. Mike EvansWR77 snaps93%
  3. Rob GronkowskiTE73 snaps88%
  4. Leonard FournetteRB66 snaps80%
  5. Tyler JohnsonWR49 snaps59%

Target Share46 targets

  1. Chris Godwin33%, 15 targets
  2. Rob Gronkowski20%, 9 targets
  3. Leonard Fournette15%, 7 targets
  4. Mike Evans13%, 6 targets
  5. Cameron Brate9%, 4 targets
  6. Other11%, 5 targets

Carry Share29 carries

  1. Leonard Fournette66%, 19 carries
  2. Tom Brady24%, 7 carries
  3. Ronald Jones10%, 3 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
Dawson KnoxBUFTE7596%918%0
Chris GodwinTBWR7894%1533%0
Mike EvansTBWR7793%613%0
Stefon DiggsBUFWR6988%1325%0
Rob GronkowskiTBTE7388%920%0
Gabe DavisBUFWR6583%816%0
Devin SingletaryBUFRB6482%714%4
Cole BeasleyBUFWR6381%1122%0
Leonard FournetteTBRB6680%715%19
Tyler JohnsonTBWR4959%37%0
Emmanuel SandersBUFWR2532%12%0
Breshad PerrimanTBWR2631%24%0
Cameron BrateTBTE2125%49%0
Isaiah McKenzieBUFWR1114%12%0
Matt BreidaBUFRB1114%12%3
Ronald JonesTBRB810%00%3
Giovani BernardTBRB78%00%0
Jake KumerowBUFWR56%00%0
O.J. HowardTBTE56%00%0
Jaelon DardenTBWR34%00%0
Reggie GilliamBUFRB11%00%0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

  • Biggest overperformer+11.0Mike Evans21.1 PTS vs 10.1 xFP
  • Biggest underperformer−7.5Stefon Diggs14.4 PTS vs 21.9 xFP
  • Highest expected volume31.5 xFPJosh Allen36.2 PTS scored
Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Josh AllenBUF · QB36.231.5+4.7100%54 att—541263%00%
Chris Godwin Jr.TB · WR20.525.3−4.894%33% tgt—000%1533%
Tom BradyTB · QB30.124.7+5.4100%46 att—46724%00%
Leonard FournetteTB · RB23.224.0−0.880%66% car—01966%715%
Stefon DiggsBUF · WR14.421.9−7.588%25% tgt—000%1325%
Cole BeasleyBUF · WR15.418.5−3.181%22% tgt—000%1122%
Dawson KnoxBUF · TE19.015.2+3.896%18% tgt—000%918%
Rob GronkowskiTB · TE11.215.2−4.088%20% tgt—000%920%
Devin SingletaryBUF · RB14.914.4+0.582%21% car—0421%714%
Gabe DavisBUF · WR15.313.5+1.883%16% tgt—000%816%
Mike EvansTB · WR21.110.1+11.093%13% tgt—000%613%
Cameron BrateTB · TE3.16.7−3.625%9% tgt—000%49%
Tyler JohnsonTB · WR4.75.1−0.459%7% tgt—000%37%
Matt BreidaBUF · RB1.23.6−2.414%16% car—0316%12%
Breshad PerrimanTB · WR12.83.4+9.431%4% tgt—000%24%
Ronald JonesTB · —0.81.9−1.110%10% car—0310%00%
Emmanuel SandersBUF · WR3.51.7+1.832%2% tgt—000%12%
Isaiah McKenzieBUF · WR1.51.7−0.214%2% tgt—000%12%

Team totals: Bills 51 targets and 19 carries; Buccaneers 46 targets and 29 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2021 season: 1.68 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.64 per carry and 0.44 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Josh Allen Strong role

BUF · QB · 36.2 pts on 31.5 expected

36 of 54 passing for 308 yards, 2 touchdowns, 1 interception; 12 carries for 109 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 31.5 expected.

Start/Sit: Josh Allen →

Tom Brady Ran hot

TB · QB · 30.1 pts on 24.7 expected

31 of 46 passing for 363 yards, 2 touchdowns; 7 carries for 16 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 24.7 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Stefon Diggs Unlucky

BUF · WR · 14.4 pts on 21.9 expected

13 targets (25% of the team's), 7 catches for 74 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 21.9 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Stefon Diggs →

Cole Beasley

BUF · WR · 15.4 pts on 18.5 expected

11 targets (22% of the team's), 9 catches for 64 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 18.5 expected.

Chris Godwin Jr. Volume, no payoff

TB · WR · 20.5 pts on 25.3 expected

15 targets (33% of the team's), 10 catches for 105 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 25.3 expected.

Leonard Fournette Volume, no payoff

TB · RB · 23.2 pts on 24.0 expected

7 targets (15% of the team's), 4 catches for 19 yards; 19 carries (66% of the team's) for 113 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 24.0 expected.

Mike Evans Ran hot

TB · WR · 21.1 pts on 10.1 expected

6 targets (13% of the team's), 6 catches for 91 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 10.1 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Mike Evans →

Breshad Perriman Ran hot

TB · WR · 12.8 pts on 3.4 expected

2 targets (4% of the team's), 1 catch for 58 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 3.4 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Stock Up, Stock Down

Buffalo Bills

  • Stock up: Cole Beasley played 81% of the snaps, up from a 62% season average.
  • Stock up: Devin Singletary played 82% of the snaps, up from a 50% season average.
  • Stock up: Gabe Davis played 83% of the snaps, up from a 37% season average.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Stock up: Leonard Fournette played 80% of the snaps, up from a 63% season average.
  • Stock up: Rob Gronkowski played 88% of the snaps, up from a 66% season average.
  • Stock up: Tyler Johnson played 59% of the snaps, up from a 44% season average.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2021 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Bills defense and Buccaneers defense
Points allowed toBills DBuccaneers D
QBs12.217.5
RBs20.421.7
WRs23.834.8
TEs7.613.3

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Tampa Bay opened at 60% win probability and passed 98% before halftime on the way to the win.

Buccaneers win probability

Buccaneers win probability by game minuteBuccaneers started at 60%, stood at 99% at halftime and finished at 100%, across 11 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4OT100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. +19Fournette 47-yd TD run60% → 79%Q1 8:13
  2. +13Brady → Evans, 13-yd TD81% → 94%Q2 7:11
  3. −19Allen → Davis, 4-yd TD>99% → 80%Q4 4:53
  4. −49Bass 25-yd FG>99% → 51%Q4 0:22
  5. +50Brady → Perriman, 58-yd TD50% → >99%OT 5:31

Swing in Buccaneers win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Bills vs Buccaneers
Buffalo BillsMeasureTampa Bay Buccaneers
76Plays77
75%Pass rate62%
5.1Yds / dropback7.3
9.1Yds / carry4.7
2/13Third downs8/16

Efficiency edge Tampa Bay ran 1 more plays and gained 2.2 more yards per dropback.

  • Top targets
  • BUF Diggs 25% · Beasley 22% · Knox 18%
  • TB Godwin 33% · Gronkowski 20% · Fournette 15%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Bills vs Buccaneers
ResultBUFTB
Touchdowns34
Field goals22
Punts65
Turnovers10
Turnovers on downs11

TB turnover edge: +1

  • The Buccaneers opened the scoring on their second possession, a 5-play, 67-yard drive that ended in a touchdown.
All 27 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
TBQ1 15:00372:10Punt
BUFQ1 12:505152:55Punt
TBQ1 9:555671:42Touchdown
BUFQ1 8:135212:54Punt
TBQ1 5:1915806:43Field goal
BUFQ2 13:367724:08Field goal
TBQ2 9:287752:17Touchdown
BUFQ2 7:115132:59Punt
TBQ2 4:1210722:43Touchdown
BUFQ2 1:292150:29Interception
TBQ2 1:00350:20Punt
BUFQ2 0:404170:39Punt
TBQ2 0:011-10:01End of half
BUFQ3 15:005172:32Downs
TBQ3 12:28481:19Downs
BUFQ3 11:099813:40Touchdown
TBQ3 7:295132:36Punt
BUFQ3 4:535222:42Punt
TBQ3 2:1111845:51Field goal
BUFQ4 11:205752:13Touchdown
TBQ4 9:07310:59Punt
BUFQ4 8:089463:15Touchdown
TBQ4 4:535101:48Punt
BUFQ4 3:0514702:43Field goal
TBQ4 0:221-10:22End of half
BUFOT 10:00361:12Punt
TBOT 8:486943:17Touchdown
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Bills vs Buccaneers Head-to-Head

The Bills and Buccaneers first met in 1976 and have played 14 times since.

All-time series
8–6Buccaneers lead, 14 meetings since 1976
Postseason
0No playoff meetings
Largest Bills win
33–202009
Largest Buccaneers win
27–62013

Since 2021

2–1 Bills lead

3 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. BUF = Bills win, TB = Buccaneers win, outlined = this game.

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2021 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Bills vs Buccaneers
BillsStatBuccaneers
11-6Record13-4
28.4Points per game30.1
381.9Yards per game405.9
5.7Yards per play6.1
17.0Points allowed per game20.8
272.8Yards allowed per game331.5

Bills vs Buccaneers Odds and Results

How this game finished against the betting lines.

Spread
TB −3.5Buccaneers covered by 2.5
Total
52.5Over: 60 points scored (by 7.5)

Expected vs Actual Scoring

Implied team totals against the actual score
TeamImpliedActualDifference
Buccaneers28.033+5.0
Bills24.527+2.5

Both offenses beat the market's expectation, and the Fantasy tab shows who cashed in.

Betting Trends

Each team's 2021 season through this game. Over/under is overs first.

Buffalo Bills

Against the spread
6–6–1
Over/under
6–7
ATS as favorite
5–5–1
ATS as underdog
1–1
ATS on the road
4–3

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Against the spread
7–6
Over/under
7–6
ATS as favorite
7–6
ATS at home
5–1

Lines: ESPN's consensus, captured at kickoff. Individual sportsbooks varied.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Betting availability depends on your state.

Bills and Buccaneers in Fantasy

The two teams don't meet again this season. If you roster a Bill or a Buccaneer, these answer the week-to-week question.

Keep Exploring

2021 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Bills vs Buccaneers Game FAQ

Who won the 2021 Bills vs Buccaneers Week 14 game?

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the Buffalo Bills 33–27 in Week 14 of the 2021 season. The game was played at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, FL, on December 12, 2021. See the Buccaneers' 2021 schedule.

What was the final score of Bills vs Buccaneers?

The final score was Buccaneers 33, Bills 27 in overtime. The Buccaneers led 24–3 at halftime, and the second half went Bills 24, Buccaneers 3 before overtime.

What happened in the Bills vs Buccaneers game?

Tampa Bay led 24–3 at halftime, regulation ended 27–27, and the Buccaneers won it 33–27 in overtime. The Buccaneers finished with a narrow 488–466 edge in total offense and averaged 6.3 yards per play. Josh Allen led all players with 36 of 54 passing for 308 yards and 2 touchdowns, plus 12 carries for 109 rushing yards and a touchdown. The Bills committed 1 turnover, the Buccaneers none.

What was the game-winning score in Bills vs Buccaneers?

Tom Brady's 58-yard touchdown pass to Breshad Perriman with 5:31 left in the overtime gave the Buccaneers a 33–27 lead they never gave up. It was the final score of the game.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Bills vs Buccaneers?

Josh Allen led the game with 36.2 PPR fantasy points, the QB1 of Week 14, on 36 of 54 passing for 308 yards and 2 touchdowns, plus 12 carries for 109 rushing yards and a touchdown. Tom Brady was next with 30.1 (QB2). See Josh Allen's 2021 game log.

Who led Bills vs Buccaneers in passing, rushing and receiving?

Tom Brady (TB) led all passers with 31 of 46 for 363 yards and 2 touchdowns. Leonard Fournette (TB) led in rushing with 19 carries for 113 yards and a touchdown. Chris Godwin (TB) led in receiving with 10 catches for 105 yards.

How many fantasy points did Josh Allen score against the Buccaneers?

Josh Allen scored 36.2 fantasy points against the Buccaneers in Week 14 of the 2021 season, the same in PPR, half-PPR and standard scoring because he had no catches, on 36 of 54 passing for 308 yards and 2 touchdowns, plus 12 carries for 109 rushing yards and a touchdown. He handled 63% of his team's carries.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Bills vs Buccaneers?

Mike Evans outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 21.1 PPR points on 10.1 xFP (+11.0). Stefon Diggs fell furthest short, with 14.4 points on 21.9 xFP (−7.5). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

How did the Buccaneers beat the Bills?

The Buccaneers beat the Bills 33–27 because they averaged 6.3 yards per play to 6.1, won the turnover battle 1–0, and outgained them 488–466. Tom Brady's 58-yard touchdown pass to Breshad Perriman put them ahead for good.

Which team won the turnover battle in Bills vs Buccaneers?

The Buccaneers won the turnover battle 1–0: the Bills gave the ball away 1 time and the Buccaneers not at all. The Buccaneers won the game.

What is the all-time Bills vs Buccaneers record?

The Buccaneers lead the all-time series 8–6 across 14 meetings since 1976.

When did the Bills and Buccaneers last play before this game?

Before Week 14 of 2021, they last met in the 2017 season on October 22, 2017, when the Bills beat the Buccaneers 30–27.

What was the closing spread for Bills vs Buccaneers?

The consensus closing spread at kickoff was Buccaneers −3.5, making the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3.5-point favorites, with a closing total of 52.5. That implied about 28.0 points for the Buccaneers and 24.5 for the Bills.

Did Bills vs Buccaneers go over or under the total?

The game went over. The consensus closing total was 52.5, and the teams combined for 60 points, 7.5 over the number.

Who covered the spread in Bills vs Buccaneers?

The Buccaneers covered by 2.5 against the closing line of Buccaneers −3.5. The final margin was 6 points.