Final2022 Week 5

Highmark Stadium (Old), Orchard Park, NY

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills, Week 5 2022

Pittsburgh Steelers

Away

3

Buffalo Bills

HomeWon

38

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Steelers30003
Bills10210738

PIT 3BUF 38 Final

  • Passing leader

    Josh Allen

    BUF · QB

    36.2PPR pts

    20/31, 424 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Gabe Davis

    BUF · WR

    32.1PPR pts

    3 REC, 171 YDS, 2 TD

  • Steelers leader

    George Pickens

    PIT · WR

    14.3PPR pts

    6 REC, 83 YDS

  • Defensive playmaker

    Kaiir Elam

    BUF

    1 INT, 10 TKL

Bills 38, Steelers 3: Buffalo leads from start to finish

Buffalo led 31–3 at halftime after a 21-point second quarter and outscored Pittsburgh 7–0 after the break to win 38–3. The Bills finished with a 552–364 edge in total offense and averaged 10.2 yards per play.

The Steelers went 5-for-15 on third down and committed two turnovers.

Key advantages

  • +5.1 yards/play BUF 10.2 · PIT 5.1
  • +188 total yards BUF 552 · PIT 364
  • +23% third-down rate BUF 56% · PIT 33%

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

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Why the Bills Won

Buffalo won the efficiency and third-down battles.

Team stats comparison, Steelers vs Bills
SteelersStatBills
5.1Yards per play10.2
364Total yards552
33%Third-down conversion56%
Other team stats
72Plays54
2Turnovers2
36:08Time of possession23:52

Scoring Summary

The Bills scored five touchdowns and one field goal; the Steelers scored one field goal.

Scoring plays, Steelers vs Bills
TimeTeamPlayPITBUF
1st quarter
13:56BUFJosh Allen → Gabe Davis, 98-yard TD Takes leadTyler Bass XP07
5:38PITChris Boswell 29-yard FG37
2:41BUFTyler Bass 35-yard FG Extends lead310
2nd quarter
9:29BUFJosh Allen → Gabe Davis, 62-yard TD Extends leadTyler Bass XP317
7:20BUFJosh Allen → Stefon Diggs, 15-yard TD Extends leadTyler Bass XP324
1:02BUFJosh Allen → Khalil Shakir, 24-yard TD Extends leadTyler Bass XP331
3rd quarter
No scoring
4th quarter
14:03BUFJames Cook 24-yard TD run Extends leadTyler Bass XP338

Fantasy Points: Steelers vs Bills, Week 5 2022

Fantasy leaders

  1. Josh AllenBUFQB36.2 PTSQB1
  2. Gabe DavisBUFWR32.1 PTSWR1
  3. Stefon DiggsBUFWR24.2 PTSWR7
  4. Khalil ShakirBUFWR16.5 PTSWR16

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Josh AllenBUFQB36.2QB120/31424415420134.1Start/Sit →
Kenny PickettPITQB13.1QB1934/5232701110074.8Start/Sit →
Case KeenumBUFQB0.1QB342/58002-2047.9Start/Sit →

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Gabe DavisBUFWR32.1WR1WR———631712
Stefon DiggsBUFWR24.2WR7WR———1181021Start/Sit →
Khalil ShakirBUFWR16.5WR16WR———53751Start/Sit →
George PickensPITWR14.3WR21WR———86830Start/Sit →
Diontae JohnsonPITWR11.0WR36WR———135600
Jaylen WarrenPITRB10.3RB30RB524054390Start/Sit →
Chase ClaypoolPITWR10.0WR43WR———95500
Zach GentryPITTE9.3TE14TE———65430
James CookBUFRB9.1RB35RB4311————
Isaiah HodginsBUFWR8.1WR53WR———64410
Najee HarrisPITRB6.6RB45RB1120043160Start/Sit →
Devin SingletaryBUFRB5.6RB52RB64202140Start/Sit →
Quintin MorrisBUFTE4.9TE26TE———53390Start/Sit →
Pat FreiermuthPITTE3.2TE32TE———22120Start/Sit →
Connor HeywardPITRB3.2RB63RB———22120Start/Sit →
Miles BoykinPITWR2.1WR94WR———11110
Zack MossBUFRB0.7RB72RB170————
Tanner GentryBUFWR0.0—WR———1000

Fantasy Usage

Pittsburgh Steelers

Snap Share

  1. Diontae JohnsonWR70 snaps93%
  2. Chase ClaypoolWR68 snaps91%
  3. George PickensWR57 snaps76%
  4. Zach GentryTE48 snaps64%
  5. Jaylen WarrenRB38 snaps51%

Target Share50 targets

  1. Diontae Johnson26%, 13 targets
  2. Chase Claypool18%, 9 targets
  3. George Pickens16%, 8 targets
  4. Zach Gentry12%, 6 targets
  5. Jaylen Warren10%, 5 targets
  6. Other18%, 9 targets

Carry Share17 carries

  1. Najee Harris65%, 11 carries
  2. Jaylen Warren29%, 5 carries
  3. Kenny Pickett6%, 1 carries

Buffalo Bills

Snap Share

  1. Gabe DavisWR47 snaps84%
  2. Stefon DiggsWR43 snaps77%
  3. Khalil ShakirWR39 snaps70%
  4. Quintin MorrisTE38 snaps68%
  5. Devin SingletaryRB30 snaps54%

Target Share36 targets

  1. Stefon Diggs31%, 11 targets
  2. Isaiah Hodgins17%, 6 targets
  3. Gabe Davis17%, 6 targets
  4. Quintin Morris14%, 5 targets
  5. Khalil Shakir14%, 5 targets
  6. Other8%, 3 targets

Carry Share18 carries

  1. Devin Singletary33%, 6 carries
  2. Josh Allen28%, 5 carries
  3. James Cook22%, 4 carries
  4. Case Keenum11%, 2 carries
  5. Zack Moss6%, 1 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
Diontae JohnsonPITWR7093%1326%0
Chase ClaypoolPITWR6891%918%0
Gabe DavisBUFWR4784%617%0
Stefon DiggsBUFWR4377%1131%0
George PickensPITWR5776%816%0
Khalil ShakirBUFWR3970%514%0
Quintin MorrisBUFTE3868%514%0
Zach GentryPITTE4864%612%0
Devin SingletaryBUFRB3054%26%6
Jaylen WarrenPITRB3851%510%5
Najee HarrisPITRB3749%48%11
Pat FreiermuthPITTE3749%24%0
Tommy SweeneyBUFTE2341%00%0
Zack MossBUFRB1629%00%1
Isaiah HodginsBUFWR1323%617%0
Tanner GentryBUFWR1120%13%0
James CookBUFRB1018%00%4
Connor HeywardPITRB1013%24%0
Reggie GilliamBUFRB713%00%0
Miles BoykinPITWR57%12%0
Steven SimsPITWR34%00%0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

  • Biggest overperformer+22.1Gabe Davis32.1 PTS vs 10.0 xFP
  • Biggest underperformer−10.7Diontae Johnson11.0 PTS vs 21.7 xFP
  • Highest expected volume22.7 xFPKenny Pickett13.1 PTS scored
Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Kenny PickettPIT · QB13.122.7−9.6100%52 att—5216%00%
Diontae JohnsonPIT · WR11.021.7−10.793%25% tgt—000%1325%
Stefon DiggsBUF · WR24.218.3+5.977%31% tgt—000%1131%
Josh AllenBUF · QB36.216.3+19.986%31 att—31528%00%
Chase ClaypoolPIT · WR10.015.0−5.091%18% tgt—000%918%
Najee HarrisPIT · RB6.613.7−7.149%65% car—01165%48%
George PickensPIT · WR14.313.3+1.076%16% tgt—000%816%
Jaylen WarrenPIT · RB10.311.5−1.251%29% car—0529%510%
Gabe DavisBUF · WR32.110.0+22.184%17% tgt—000%617%
Isaiah HodginsBUF · WR8.110.0−1.923%17% tgt—000%617%
Zach GentryPIT · TE9.310.0−0.764%12% tgt—000%612%
Khalil ShakirBUF · WR16.58.3+8.270%14% tgt—000%514%
Quintin MorrisBUF · TE4.98.3−3.468%14% tgt—000%514%
Devin SingletaryBUF · RB5.67.2−1.654%33% car—0633%26%
Case KeenumBUF · QB0.13.4−3.314%5 att—5211%00%
Connor HeywardPIT · RB3.23.3−0.113%4% tgt—000%24%
Pat FreiermuthPIT · TE3.23.3−0.149%4% tgt—000%24%
James Cook IIIBUF · RB9.12.6+6.518%22% car—0422%00%
Derek WattPIT · RB1.11.7−0.6—2% tgt—000%12%
Miles BoykinPIT · WR2.11.7+0.47%2% tgt—000%12%
Tanner GentryBUF · WR0.01.7−1.720%3% tgt—000%13%
Zack MossBUF · RB0.70.6+0.129%6% car—016%00%

Team totals: Steelers 51 targets and 17 carries; Bills 36 targets and 18 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2022 season: 1.67 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.64 per carry and 0.42 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Kenny Pickett Unlucky

PIT · QB · 13.1 pts on 22.7 expected

34 of 52 passing for 327 yards, 1 interception; 1 carry for 10 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 22.7 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Kenny Pickett →

Josh Allen Ran hot

BUF · QB · 36.2 pts on 16.3 expected

20 of 31 passing for 424 yards, 4 touchdowns, 1 interception; 5 carries for 42 yards.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 16.3 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Josh Allen →

Diontae Johnson Unlucky

PIT · WR · 11.0 pts on 21.7 expected

13 targets (25% of the team's), 5 catches for 60 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 21.7 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Chase Claypool Unlucky

PIT · WR · 10.0 pts on 15.0 expected

9 targets (18% of the team's), 5 catches for 50 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 15.0 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Stefon Diggs Ran hot

BUF · WR · 24.2 pts on 18.3 expected

11 targets (31% of the team's), 8 catches for 102 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 18.3 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Stefon Diggs →

Gabe Davis Ran hot

BUF · WR · 32.1 pts on 10.0 expected

6 targets (17% of the team's), 3 catches for 171 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 10.0 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Najee Harris Volume, no payoff

PIT · RB · 6.6 pts on 13.7 expected

4 targets (8% of the team's), 3 catches for 16 yards; 11 carries (65% of the team's) for 20 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 13.7 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Najee Harris →

Khalil Shakir Ran hot

BUF · WR · 16.5 pts on 8.3 expected

5 targets (14% of the team's), 3 catches for 75 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 8.3 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Khalil Shakir →

Stock Up, Stock Down

Pittsburgh Steelers

  • Stock up: Jaylen Warren led the backfield with 51% of the snaps after trailing Najee Harris before this game.
  • Stock up: Zach Gentry played 64% of the snaps, up from a 41% season average.
  • Stock down: Najee Harris lost the backfield lead: 49% of the snaps to Jaylen Warren's 51%.

Buffalo Bills

  • Stock up: Khalil Shakir played 70% of the snaps, up from a 30% season average.
  • Stock up: Quintin Morris played 68% of the snaps, up from a 33% season average.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2022 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Steelers defense and Bills defense
Points allowed toSteelers DBills D
QBs16.914.4
RBs20.519.9
WRs32.535.5
TEs11.98.7

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Buffalo opened at 85% win probability and passed 98% before halftime on the way to the win.

Bills win probability

Bills win probability by game minuteBills started at 85%, stood at >99% at halftime and finished at 100%, across 7 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. +9Allen → Davis, 98-yd TD85% → 94%Q1 13:56
  2. −4Boswell 29-yd FG94% → 90%Q1 5:38
  3. +4Bass 35-yd FG90% → 93%Q1 2:41
  4. +5Allen → Davis, 62-yd TD93% → 98%Q2 9:29
  5. +1Allen → Diggs, 15-yd TD98% → >99%Q2 7:20

Swing in Bills win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Steelers vs Bills
Pittsburgh SteelersMeasureBuffalo Bills
72Plays54
76%Pass rate67%
5.6Yds / dropback12.0
3.2Yds / carry6.7
5/15Third downs5/9

Efficiency edge Buffalo ran 18 fewer plays but gained 6.4 more yards per dropback.

  • Top targets
  • PIT Johnson 25% · Claypool 18% · Pickens 16%
  • BUF Diggs 31% · Davis 17% · Hodgins 17%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Steelers vs Bills
ResultPITBUF
Touchdowns05
Field goals11
Punts42
Turnovers12
Turnovers on downs30
Missed field goals21

PIT turnover edge: +1

  • The Bills opened the scoring on their first possession, a 3-play, 98-yard drive that ended in a touchdown.
All 24 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
BUFQ1 15:003981:04Touchdown
BUFQ1 13:564-102:00Missed FG
PITQ1 11:5612506:18Field goal
BUFQ1 5:387482:57Field goal
PITQ1 2:41342:07Punt
BUFQ1 0:349774:09Interception
PITQ2 11:25381:46Punt
BUFQ2 9:391620:10Touchdown
PITQ2 9:29321:36Punt
BUFQ2 7:532530:33Touchdown
PITQ2 7:209603:41Missed FG
BUFQ2 3:398772:37Touchdown
PITQ2 1:022100:47Interception
BUFQ2 0:152-60:15End of half
PITQ3 15:008554:22Downs
BUFQ3 10:3810795:19Fumble
PITQ3 5:1910535:19Missed FG
BUFQ4 15:002650:57Touchdown
PITQ4 14:0310453:47Downs
BUFQ4 10:16391:50Punt
PITQ4 8:26300:59Punt
BUFQ4 7:27351:01Punt
PITQ4 6:2612545:26Downs
BUFQ4 1:002-21:00End of game
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Steelers vs Bills Head-to-Head

The Steelers and Bills first met in 1970 and have played 31 times since.

All-time series
17–14Steelers lead, 31 meetings since 1970
Postseason
2–2Split 2–2
Largest Steelers win
28–01979
Largest Bills win
38–32022

Since 2021

3–1 Bills lead

4 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. B = Bills win, S = Steelers win, outlined = this game.

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2022 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Steelers vs Bills
SteelersStatBills
9-8Record13-3
18.1Points per game28.4
322.6Yards per game397.6
4.9Yards per play6.1
20.4Points allowed per game17.9
330.4Yards allowed per game319.1

Steelers vs Bills Odds and Results

How this game finished against the betting lines.

Spread
BUF −14Bills covered by 21
Total
44.5Under: 41 points scored (by 3.5)

Expected vs Actual Scoring

Implied team totals against the actual score
TeamImpliedActualDifference
Bills29.338+8.8
Steelers15.33−12.3

The Bills beat their implied total and the Steelers fell short of theirs; the Fantasy tab has the player lines behind it.

Betting Trends

Last 2 meetings: Steelers 1–1 ATS, unders 2–0.

Each team's 2022 season through this game. Over/under is overs first.

Pittsburgh Steelers

Against the spread
1–3–1
Over/under
2–3
ATS as favorite
0–1
ATS as underdog
1–2–1
ATS on the road
1–2

Buffalo Bills

Against the spread
3–2
Over/under
1–4
ATS as favorite
3–2
ATS at home
2–0

Lines: ESPN's consensus, captured at kickoff. Individual sportsbooks varied.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Betting availability depends on your state.

Steelers and Bills in Fantasy

The two teams don't meet again this season. If you roster a Steeler or a Bill, these answer the week-to-week question.

Keep Exploring

2022 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Steelers vs Bills Game FAQ

Who won the 2022 Steelers vs Bills Week 5 game?

The Buffalo Bills beat the Pittsburgh Steelers 38–3 in Week 5 of the 2022 season. The game was played at Highmark Stadium (Old) in Orchard Park, NY, on October 9, 2022. See the Bills' 2022 schedule.

What was the final score of Steelers vs Bills?

The final score was Bills 38, Steelers 3. The Bills led 31–3 at halftime, and the second half went Steelers 0, Bills 7.

What happened in the Steelers vs Bills game?

Buffalo led 31–3 at halftime after a 21-point second quarter and outscored Pittsburgh 7–0 after the break to win 38–3. The Bills finished with a 552–364 edge in total offense and averaged 10.2 yards per play. Josh Allen led all players with 20 of 31 passing for 424 yards and 4 touchdowns, plus 5 carries for 42 rushing yards.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Steelers vs Bills?

Josh Allen led the game with 36.2 PPR fantasy points, the QB1 of Week 5, on 20 of 31 passing for 424 yards and 4 touchdowns, plus 5 carries for 42 rushing yards. Gabe Davis was next with 32.1 (WR1). See Josh Allen's 2022 game log.

Who led Steelers vs Bills in passing, rushing and receiving?

Josh Allen (BUF) led all passers with 20 of 31 for 424 yards, 4 touchdowns and an interception. Devin Singletary (BUF) led in rushing with 6 carries for 42 yards. Gabe Davis (BUF) led in receiving with 3 catches for 171 yards and 2 touchdowns.

How many fantasy points did Josh Allen score against the Steelers?

Josh Allen scored 36.2 fantasy points against the Steelers in Week 5 of the 2022 season, the same in PPR, half-PPR and standard scoring because he had no catches, on 20 of 31 passing for 424 yards and 4 touchdowns, plus 5 carries for 42 rushing yards.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Steelers vs Bills?

Gabe Davis outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 32.1 PPR points on 10.0 xFP (+22.1). Diontae Johnson fell furthest short, with 11.0 points on 21.7 xFP (−10.7). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

Who had the highest expected fantasy points in Steelers vs Bills?

Kenny Pickett had the most fantasy opportunity in the game, worth 22.7 expected PPR points (xFP) at league-average rates, and scored 13.1. Expected points measure the volume of a player's pass attempts, carries and targets, not how well he used them.

How did the Bills beat the Steelers?

The Bills beat the Steelers 38–3 because they averaged 10.2 yards per play to 5.1 and outgained them 552–364.

What is the all-time Steelers vs Bills record?

The Steelers lead the all-time series 17–14 across 31 meetings since 1970, including a 2–2 record in the postseason.

When did the Steelers and Bills last play before this game?

Before Week 5 of 2022, they last met in the 2021 season on September 12, 2021, when the Steelers beat the Bills 23–16.

Have the Steelers and Bills met in the playoffs?

Yes, 4 times, most recently in the 2023 playoffs. The Steelers are 2–2 against the Bills in the postseason.

What was the closing spread for Steelers vs Bills?

The consensus closing spread at kickoff was Bills −14, making the Buffalo Bills 14-point favorites, with a closing total of 44.5. That implied about 29.3 points for the Bills and 15.3 for the Steelers.

Did Steelers vs Bills go over or under the total?

The game went under. The consensus closing total was 44.5, and the teams combined for 41 points, 3.5 under the number.

Who covered the spread in Steelers vs Bills?

The Bills covered by 21 against the closing line of Bills −14. The final margin was 35 points.