Final2021 Week 12

Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL

Carolina Panthers vs Miami Dolphins, Week 12 2021

Carolina Panthers

Away

10

Miami Dolphins

HomeWon

33

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panthers730010
Dolphins7146633

CAR 10MIA 33 Final

  • Passing leader

    Tua Tagovailoa

    MIA · QB

    13.2PPR pts

    27/31, 230 YDS, 1 TD

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Jaylen Waddle

    MIA · WR

    28.7PPR pts

    9 REC, 137 YDS, 1 TD

  • Panthers leader

    DJ Moore

    CAR · WR

    14.3PPR pts

    4 REC, 103 YDS

  • Defensive playmaker

    Justin Coleman

    MIA

    1 TD

Dolphins 33, Panthers 10: Miami beats Carolina

Miami led 21–10 at halftime after a 14-point second quarter and outscored Carolina 12–0 after the break to win 33–10. The Dolphins finished with a 315–198 edge in total offense and averaged 4.4 yards per play.

The gap showed up everywhere. The Panthers went 4-for-14 on third down and committed three turnovers, while the Dolphins kept the ball for 37:34.

Key advantages

  • +0.7 yards/play MIA 4.4 · CAR 3.7
  • +2 turnover margin MIA 1 · CAR 3 turnovers
  • +117 total yards MIA 315 · CAR 198

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

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Why the Dolphins Won

Miami won the efficiency, turnover, third-down, and time of possession battles.

Team stats comparison, Panthers vs Dolphins
PanthersStatDolphins
3.7Yards per play4.4
3Turnovers1
198Total yards315
Other team stats
54Plays72
29%Third-down conversion43%
22:26Time of possession37:34

Scoring Summary

The Dolphins scored four touchdowns and two field goals; the Panthers scored one touchdown and one field goal.

Scoring plays, Panthers vs Dolphins
TimeTeamPlayCARMIA
1st quarter
9:11MIAJustin Coleman 2-yard TD Takes leadJason Sanders XP07
6:01CARCam Newton 1-yard TD run Ties gameZane Gonzalez XP77
2nd quarter
9:01MIATua Tagovailoa → Jaylen Waddle, 9-yard TD Takes leadJason Sanders XP714
4:26MIAMyles Gaskin 3-yard TD run Extends leadJason Sanders XP721
0:00CARZane Gonzalez 41-yard FG1021
3rd quarter
4:11MIAMyles Gaskin 3-yard TD run Extends leadXP missed1027
4th quarter
10:58MIAJason Sanders 46-yard FG Extends lead1030
3:41MIAJason Sanders 33-yard FG Extends lead1033

Fantasy Points: Panthers vs Dolphins, Week 12 2021

Fantasy leaders

  1. Jaylen WaddleMIAWR28.7 PTSWR1
  2. Myles GaskinMIARB19.2 PTSRB12
  3. DJ MooreCARWR14.3 PTSWR22
  4. Tua TagovailoaMIAQB11.2 PTSQB24

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Tua TagovailoaMIAQB11.2QB2427/3123010400108.3Start/Sit →
Cam NewtonCARQB8.2QB295/2192023515.8
P.J. WalkerCARQB2.5QB325/108701———40.4

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Jaylen WaddleMIAWR28.7WR1WR———1091371Start/Sit →
Myles GaskinMIARB19.2RB12RB164922230
DJ MooreCARWR14.3WR22WR———1041030Start/Sit →
Durham SmytheMIATE8.5TE16TE23055320Start/Sit →
Albert WilsonMIAWR6.7WR54WR———65170
Mike GesickiMIATE4.7TE27TE———33170Start/Sit →
Ameer AbdullahCARRB4.4RB46RB24062200Start/Sit →
Phillip LindsayMIARB4.2RB47RB12420————
Salvon AhmedMIARB3.6RB53RB51701190
Christian McCaffreyCARRB3.5RB54RB103501000Start/Sit →
Brandon ZylstraCARWR3.4WR82WR———21240
Robbie ChosenCARWR2.5WR87WR———41150
Alex EricksonCARWR2.3WR90WR———11130
Isaiah FordMIAWR2.1WR95WR———21110
Tommy TrembleCARTE1.4TE50TE———3140Start/Sit →
Preston WilliamsMIAWR1.4WR105WR———1140
Chuba HubbardCARRB0.6RB70RB2601000Start/Sit →
Ian ThomasCARTE0.0—TE———3000Start/Sit →
Mack HollinsMIAWR0.0—WR———1000Start/Sit →

Fantasy Usage

Carolina Panthers

Snap Share

  1. DJ MooreWR53 snaps96%
  2. Robbie ChosenWR51 snaps93%
  3. Ian ThomasTE40 snaps73%
  4. Brandon ZylstraWR28 snaps51%
  5. Ameer AbdullahRB27 snaps49%

Target Share31 targets

  1. DJ Moore32%, 10 targets
  2. Ameer Abdullah19%, 6 targets
  3. Robbie Chosen13%, 4 targets
  4. Ian Thomas10%, 3 targets
  5. Tommy Tremble10%, 3 targets
  6. Other16%, 5 targets

Carry Share17 carries

  1. Christian McCaffrey59%, 10 carries
  2. Cam Newton18%, 3 carries
  3. Ameer Abdullah12%, 2 carries
  4. Chuba Hubbard12%, 2 carries

Miami Dolphins

Snap Share

  1. Durham SmytheTE66 snaps89%
  2. Mike GesickiTE59 snaps80%
  3. Jaylen WaddleWR55 snaps74%
  4. Myles GaskinRB37 snaps50%
  5. Albert WilsonWR35 snaps47%

Target Share31 targets

  1. Jaylen Waddle32%, 10 targets
  2. Albert Wilson19%, 6 targets
  3. Durham Smythe16%, 5 targets
  4. Mike Gesicki10%, 3 targets
  5. Isaiah Ford6%, 2 targets
  6. Other16%, 5 targets

Carry Share39 carries

  1. Myles Gaskin41%, 16 carries
  2. Phillip Lindsay31%, 12 carries
  3. Salvon Ahmed13%, 5 carries
  4. Tua Tagovailoa10%, 4 carries
  5. Durham Smythe5%, 2 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
DJ MooreCARWR5396%1032%0
Robbie ChosenCARWR5193%413%0
Durham SmytheMIATE6689%516%2
Mike GesickiMIATE5980%310%0
Jaylen WaddleMIAWR5574%1032%0
Ian ThomasCARTE4073%310%0
Brandon ZylstraCARWR2851%26%0
Myles GaskinMIARB3750%26%16
Ameer AbdullahCARRB2749%619%2
Albert WilsonMIAWR3547%619%0
Tommy TrembleCARTE2545%310%0
Christian McCaffreyCARRB2036%13%10
Hunter LongMIATE2432%00%0
Preston WilliamsMIAWR2331%13%0
Shi SmithCARWR1527%00%0
Mack HollinsMIAWR1926%13%0
Phillip LindsayMIARB1520%00%12
Chuba HubbardCARRB1120%13%2
Salvon AhmedMIARB1318%13%5
Isaiah FordMIAWR1216%26%0
Patrick LairdMIARB1216%00%0
Alex EricksonCARWR12%13%0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
DJ MooreCAR · WR14.316.8−2.596%32% tgt—000%1032%
Jaylen WaddleMIA · WR28.716.8+11.974%32% tgt—000%1032%
Tua TagovailoaMIA · QB13.216.2−3.0100%31 att—31410%00%
Myles GaskinMIA · RB19.213.6+5.650%41% car—01641%26%
Ameer AbdullahCAR · RB4.411.4−7.049%19% tgt—0211%619%
Cam NewtonCAR · QB8.211.2−3.073%21 att—21317%00%
Albert WilsonMIA · WR6.710.1−3.447%19% tgt—000%619%
Durham SmytheMIA · TE8.59.7−1.289%16% tgt—025%516%
Christian McCaffreyCAR · RB3.58.1−4.636%56% car—01056%13%
Phillip LindsayMIA · RB4.27.7−3.520%31% car—01231%00%
Robbie ChosenCAR · WR2.56.7−4.293%13% tgt—000%413%
Ian ThomasCAR · TE0.05.1−5.173%10% tgt—000%310%
Mike GesickiMIA · TE4.75.1−0.480%10% tgt—000%310%
Tommy TrembleCAR · TE1.45.1−3.745%10% tgt—000%310%
Salvon AhmedMIA · RB3.64.9−1.318%13% car—0513%13%
PJ WalkerCAR · —2.54.4−1.9—10 att—1000%00%
Brandon ZylstraCAR · WR3.43.40.051%6% tgt—000%26%
Isaiah FordMIA · WR2.13.4−1.316%6% tgt—000%26%
Chuba HubbardCAR · RB0.63.0−2.420%11% car—0211%13%
Alex EricksonCAR · WR2.31.7+0.62%3% tgt—000%13%
Mack HollinsMIA · WR0.01.7−1.726%3% tgt—000%13%
Preston WilliamsMIA · WR1.41.7−0.331%3% tgt—000%13%
Sean ChandlerCAR · —1.40.6+0.8—6% car—016%00%

Team totals: Panthers 31 targets and 18 carries; Dolphins 31 targets and 39 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2021 season: 1.68 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.64 per carry and 0.44 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Cam Newton

CAR · QB · 8.2 pts on 11.2 expected

5 of 21 passing for 92 yards, 2 interceptions; 3 carries for 5 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 11.2 expected.

Tua Tagovailoa

MIA · QB · 13.2 pts on 16.2 expected

27 of 31 passing for 230 yards, 1 touchdown; 4 carries for 0 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 16.2 expected.

Start/Sit: Tua Tagovailoa →

DJ Moore Volume, no payoff

CAR · WR · 14.3 pts on 16.8 expected

10 targets (32% of the team's), 4 catches for 103 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 16.8 expected.

Start/Sit: DJ Moore →

Ameer Abdullah Unlucky

CAR · RB · 4.4 pts on 11.4 expected

6 targets (19% of the team's), 2 catches for 20 yards; 2 carries (11% of the team's) for 4 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 11.4 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Ameer Abdullah →

Jaylen Waddle Ran hot

MIA · WR · 28.7 pts on 16.8 expected

10 targets (32% of the team's), 9 catches for 137 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 16.8 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Jaylen Waddle →

Myles Gaskin Ran hot

MIA · RB · 19.2 pts on 13.6 expected

2 targets (6% of the team's), 2 catches for 3 yards; 16 carries (41% of the team's) for 49 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 13.6 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Ian Thomas Unlucky

CAR · TE · 0.0 pts on 5.1 expected

3 targets (10% of the team's), 0 catches for 0 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 5.1 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Ian Thomas →

Brandon Zylstra

CAR · WR · 3.4 pts on 3.4 expected

2 targets (6% of the team's), 1 catch for 24 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 3.4 expected.

Stock Up, Stock Down

Carolina Panthers

  • Stock up: Ameer Abdullah led the backfield with 49% of the snaps after trailing Christian McCaffrey before this game.
  • Stock up: Brandon Zylstra played 51% of the snaps, up from a 30% season average.
  • Stock down: Christian McCaffrey lost the backfield lead: 36% of the snaps to Ameer Abdullah's 49%.

Miami Dolphins

  • Stock up: Durham Smythe played 89% of the snaps, up from a 55% season average.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2021 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Panthers defense and Dolphins defense
Points allowed toPanthers DDolphins D
QBs15.316.2
RBs19.421.3
WRs31.933.1
TEs12.312.0

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Miami opened at 46% win probability and passed 98% in the third quarter on the way to the win.

Dolphins win probability

Dolphins win probability by game minuteDolphins started at 46%, stood at 86% at halftime and finished at 100%, across 8 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. +21Coleman 2-yd TD46% → 67%Q1 9:11
  2. −22Newton 1-yd TD run68% → 46%Q1 6:01
  3. +25Tagovailoa → Waddle, 9-yd TD46% → 71%Q2 9:01
  4. +17Gaskin 3-yd TD run73% → 90%Q2 4:26
  5. +7Gaskin 3-yd TD run92% → 98%Q3 4:11

Swing in Dolphins win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Panthers vs Dolphins
Carolina PanthersMeasureMiami Dolphins
54Plays72
67%Pass rate46%
3.7Yds / dropback6.2
3.6Yds / carry2.8
4/14Third downs6/14

Efficiency edge Miami ran 18 more plays and gained 2.5 more yards per dropback.

  • Top targets
  • CAR Moore 32% · Abdullah 19% · Chosen 13%
  • MIA Waddle 32% · Wilson 19% · Smythe 16%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Panthers vs Dolphins
ResultCARMIA
Touchdowns13
Field goals12
Punts64
Turnovers31
Turnovers on downs10

MIA turnover edge: +2

  • The Panthers opened the scoring on their second possession, a 6-play, 75-yard drive that ended in a touchdown.
  • The Dolphins drained the clock with three second-half drives of five to eight minutes.
All 23 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
MIAQ1 15:008334:51Punt
CARQ1 10:09340:58Punt
CARQ1 9:116753:10Touchdown
MIAQ1 6:017224:16Punt
CARQ1 1:457313:59Interception
MIAQ2 12:46350:56Punt
CARQ2 11:502-51:23Interception
MIAQ2 10:27391:26Touchdown
CARQ2 9:013-21:42Punt
MIAQ2 7:196732:53Touchdown
CARQ2 4:263-51:00Punt
MIAQ2 3:26671:52Punt
CARQ2 1:345130:41Punt
MIAQ2 0:536280:52Fumble
CARQ2 0:01100:01Field goal
CARQ3 15:007243:25Punt
MIAQ3 11:3513807:24Touchdown
CARQ3 4:113-241:39Punt
MIAQ3 2:3210196:34Field goal
CARQ4 10:58541:55Interception
MIAQ4 9:0310235:22Field goal
CARQ4 3:4110522:33Downs
MIAQ4 1:082-21:08End of game
About these numbers

The Dolphins' return touchdown is counted as a Panthers possession, not as a Dolphins possession. Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Panthers vs Dolphins Head-to-Head

The Panthers and Dolphins first met in 1998 and have played 9 times since.

All-time series
6–3Dolphins lead, 9 meetings since 1998
Postseason
0No playoff meetings
Largest Panthers win
45–212017
Largest Dolphins win
33–102021

Since 2021

2–1 Dolphins lead

3 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. D = Dolphins win, P = Panthers win, outlined = this game.

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2021 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Panthers vs Dolphins
PanthersStatDolphins
5-12Record9-8
17.9Points per game20.1
298.9Yards per game307.0
4.6Yards per play4.8
23.8Points allowed per game21.9
305.9Yards allowed per game337.5

Panthers vs Dolphins Odds and Results

How this game finished against the betting lines.

Spread
CAR −1.5Panthers failed to cover by 24.5
Total
41Over: 43 points scored (by 2)

Expected vs Actual Scoring

Implied team totals against the actual score
TeamImpliedActualDifference
Panthers21.310−11.3
Dolphins19.833+13.3

The Dolphins beat their implied total and the Panthers fell short of theirs; the Fantasy tab has the player lines behind it.

Betting Trends

Each team's 2021 season through this game. Over/under is overs first.

Carolina Panthers

Against the spread
5–7
Over/under
5–7
ATS as favorite
2–4
ATS as underdog
3–3
ATS on the road
3–3

Miami Dolphins

Against the spread
6–5–1
Over/under
5–7
ATS as favorite
2–2
ATS as underdog
4–3–1
ATS at home
3–3

Lines: ESPN's consensus, captured at kickoff. Individual sportsbooks varied.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Betting availability depends on your state.

Panthers and Dolphins in Fantasy

The two teams don't meet again this season. If you roster a Panther or a Dolphin, these answer the week-to-week question.

Keep Exploring

2021 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Panthers vs Dolphins Game FAQ

Who won the 2021 Panthers vs Dolphins Week 12 game?

The Miami Dolphins beat the Carolina Panthers 33–10 in Week 12 of the 2021 season. The game was played at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL, on November 28, 2021. See the Dolphins' 2021 schedule.

What was the final score of Panthers vs Dolphins?

The final score was Dolphins 33, Panthers 10. The Dolphins led 21–10 at halftime, and the second half went Panthers 0, Dolphins 12.

What happened in the Panthers vs Dolphins game?

Miami led 21–10 at halftime after a 14-point second quarter and outscored Carolina 12–0 after the break to win 33–10. The Dolphins finished with a 315–198 edge in total offense and averaged 4.4 yards per play. Jaylen Waddle led all players with 9 catches for 137 yards and a touchdown. The Panthers committed 3 turnovers, the Dolphins 1.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Panthers vs Dolphins?

Jaylen Waddle led the game with 28.7 PPR fantasy points, the WR1 of Week 12, on 9 catches for 137 yards and a touchdown. Myles Gaskin was next with 19.2 (RB12). See Jaylen Waddle's 2021 game log.

Who led Panthers vs Dolphins in passing, rushing and receiving?

Tua Tagovailoa (MIA) led all passers with 27 of 31 for 230 yards and a touchdown. Myles Gaskin (MIA) led in rushing with 16 carries for 49 yards and 2 touchdowns. Jaylen Waddle (MIA) led in receiving with 9 catches for 137 yards and a touchdown.

How many fantasy points did Jaylen Waddle score against the Panthers?

Jaylen Waddle scored 28.7 points in PPR leagues, 24.2 in half-PPR and 19.7 in standard scoring against the Panthers in Week 12 of the 2021 season, on 9 catches for 137 yards and a touchdown. He drew 32% of his team's targets.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Panthers vs Dolphins?

Jaylen Waddle outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 28.7 PPR points on 16.8 xFP (+11.9). Ameer Abdullah fell furthest short, with 4.4 points on 11.4 xFP (−7.0). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

Who had the highest expected fantasy points in Panthers vs Dolphins?

DJ Moore had the most fantasy opportunity in the game, worth 16.8 expected PPR points (xFP) at league-average rates, and scored 14.3. Expected points measure the volume of a player's pass attempts, carries and targets, not how well he used them.

How did the Dolphins beat the Panthers?

The Dolphins beat the Panthers 33–10 because they averaged 4.4 yards per play to 3.7, won the turnover battle 3–1, and outgained them 315–198.

Which team won the turnover battle in Panthers vs Dolphins?

The Dolphins won the turnover battle 3–1: the Panthers gave the ball away 3 times and the Dolphins 1 time. The Dolphins won the game.

What is the all-time Panthers vs Dolphins record?

The Dolphins lead the all-time series 6–3 across 9 meetings since 1998.

When did the Panthers and Dolphins last play before this game?

Before Week 12 of 2021, they last met in the 2017 season on November 13, 2017, when the Panthers beat the Dolphins 45–21.

What was the closing spread for Panthers vs Dolphins?

The consensus closing spread at kickoff was Panthers −1.5, making the Carolina Panthers 1.5-point favorites, with a closing total of 41. That implied about 21.3 points for the Panthers and 19.8 for the Dolphins.

Did Panthers vs Dolphins go over or under the total?

The game went over. The consensus closing total was 41, and the teams combined for 43 points, 2 over the number.

Who covered the spread in Panthers vs Dolphins?

The Dolphins covered as 1.5-point underdogs against the closing line of Panthers −1.5. The final margin was 23 points.