Final2021 Week 15

EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville, FL

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars, Week 15 2021

Houston Texans

AwayWon

30

Jacksonville Jaguars

Home

16

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Texans1463730
Jaguars373316

HOU 30JAX 16 Final

  • Passing leader

    Trevor Lawrence

    JAX · QB

    10.5PPR pts

    22/38, 210 YDS

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Brandin Cooks

    HOU · WR

    29.2PPR pts

    7 REC, 102 YDS, 2 TD

  • Jaguars leader

    James Robinson

    JAX · RB

    17.8PPR pts

    18 ATT, 75 YDS, 1 TD, 3 REC, 13 REC YDS

  • Defensive playmaker

    Tremon Smith

    HOU

    1 TD, 2 TKL

Texans 30, Jaguars 16: Houston leads from start to finish

Houston led 20–10 at halftime and outscored Jacksonville 10–6 after the break to win 30–16. Jacksonville outgained the Texans 296–281, but the Texans averaged 4.9 yards per play.

The Jaguars went 3-for-14 on third down.

The two teams meet again in Week 6 of 2026. If you roster anyone from either side, run the start/sit call in Redraft Command and it will weigh your lineup, your opponent and your league scoring, not only the player rankings.

Key advantages

  • +0.4 yards/play HOU 4.9 · JAX 4.5
  • +35% third-down rate HOU 56% · JAX 21%
  • +0:14 time of possession HOU 30:07 · JAX 29:53

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

Got a Texan or Jaguar on your fantasy team?

Check their next matchup with the Start/Sit Tool, compare their value in the Fantasy Trade Calculator, or connect your league for personalized advice in Redraft Command.

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Why the Texans Won

Houston won the efficiency, third-down, and time of possession battles.

Team stats comparison, Texans vs Jaguars
TexansStatJaguars
4.9Yards per play4.5
56%Third-down conversion21%
30:07Time of possession29:53
Other team stats
281Total yards296
57Plays66
1Turnovers0

Scoring Summary

The Texans scored three touchdowns and three field goals; the Jaguars scored one touchdown and three field goals.

Scoring plays, Texans vs Jaguars
TimeTeamPlayHOUJAX
1st quarter
6:39HOUDavis Mills → Brandin Cooks, 22-yard TD Takes leadKa'imi Fairbairn XP70
1:42JAXMatthew Wright 22-yard FG73
1:26HOUTremon Smith 98-yard kickoff return TD Extends leadKa'imi Fairbairn XP143
2nd quarter
12:09JAXJames Robinson 1-yard TD runMatthew Wright XP1410
3:06HOUKa'imi Fairbairn 52-yard FG Extends lead1710
0:00HOUKa'imi Fairbairn 51-yard FG Extends lead2010
3rd quarter
10:39HOUKa'imi Fairbairn 25-yard FG Extends lead2310
4:47JAXMatthew Wright 38-yard FG2313
4th quarter
11:18JAXMatthew Wright 35-yard FG2316
2:22HOUDavis Mills → Brandin Cooks, 43-yard TD Extends leadKa'imi Fairbairn XP3016

Fantasy Points: Texans vs Jaguars, Week 15 2021

Fantasy leaders

  1. Brandin CooksHOUWR29.2 PTSWR3
  2. James RobinsonJAXRB17.8 PTSRB6
  3. Davis MillsHOUQB15.6 PTSQB11
  4. Laquon TreadwellJAXWR11.7 PTSWR23

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Trevor LawrenceJAXQB10.5QB2022/3821000521073.4Start/Sit →
Davis MillsHOUQB15.6QB1119/302092112092.2Start/Sit →

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Brandin CooksHOUWR29.2WR3WR———1071022Start/Sit →
James RobinsonJAXRB17.8RB6RB1875163130
Laquon TreadwellJAXWR11.7WR23WR———96570Start/Sit →
James O'ShaughnessyJAXTE10.0TE12TE———44600
Laviska ShenaultJAXWR8.9WR37WR110074390
Phillip DorsettHOUWR6.3WR55WR———32430
Rex BurkheadHOURB5.7RB42RB164103160
Jordan AkinsHOUTE4.4TE32TE———32240
David JohnsonHOURB3.7RB56RB62401130
Marvin JonesJAXWR3.4WR78WR———42140
Nico CollinsHOUWR3.4WR80WR———42140Start/Sit →
Chris ConleyHOUWR3.2WR82WR———42120
Pharaoh BrownHOUTE2.5TE41TE———2250
Tavon AustinJAXWR2.1WR95WR———31110
Chris ManhertzJAXTE2.1TE44TE———11110Start/Sit →
Dare OgunbowaleJAXRB1.6RB64RB1102150Start/Sit →
Royce FreemanHOURB0.8RB68RB380————

Fantasy Usage

Houston Texans

Snap Share

  1. Brandin CooksWR49 snaps83%
  2. Pharaoh BrownTE45 snaps76%
  3. Rex BurkheadRB38 snaps64%
  4. Chris ConleyWR38 snaps64%
  5. Nico CollinsWR36 snaps61%

Target Share30 targets

  1. Brandin Cooks33%, 10 targets
  2. Chris Conley13%, 4 targets
  3. Nico Collins13%, 4 targets
  4. Rex Burkhead10%, 3 targets
  5. Phillip Dorsett10%, 3 targets
  6. Other20%, 6 targets

Carry Share26 carries

  1. Rex Burkhead62%, 16 carries
  2. David Johnson23%, 6 carries
  3. Royce Freeman12%, 3 carries
  4. Davis Mills4%, 1 carries

Jacksonville Jaguars

Snap Share

  1. Laquon TreadwellWR68 snaps97%
  2. Marvin JonesWR65 snaps93%
  3. James RobinsonRB59 snaps84%
  4. Laviska ShenaultWR47 snaps67%
  5. James O'ShaughnessyTE44 snaps63%

Target Share36 targets

  1. Laquon Treadwell25%, 9 targets
  2. Laviska Shenault19%, 7 targets
  3. James Robinson17%, 6 targets
  4. Marvin Jones11%, 4 targets
  5. James O'Shaughnessy11%, 4 targets
  6. Other17%, 6 targets

Carry Share25 carries

  1. James Robinson72%, 18 carries
  2. Trevor Lawrence20%, 5 carries
  3. Dare Ogunbowale4%, 1 carries
  4. Laviska Shenault4%, 1 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
Laquon TreadwellJAXWR6897%925%0
Marvin JonesJAXWR6593%411%0
James RobinsonJAXRB5984%617%18
Brandin CooksHOUWR4983%1033%0
Pharaoh BrownHOUTE4576%27%0
Laviska ShenaultJAXWR4767%719%1
Rex BurkheadHOURB3864%310%16
Chris ConleyHOUWR3864%413%0
James O'ShaughnessyJAXTE4463%411%0
Nico CollinsHOUWR3661%413%0
Jordan AkinsHOUTE2034%310%0
Antony AuclairHOUTE1831%00%0
Jacob HollisterJAXTE2029%00%0
Chris ManhertzJAXTE1826%13%0
Phillip DorsettHOUWR1525%310%0
Jordan VeasyHOUWR1525%00%0
Tavon AustinJAXWR1623%38%0
David JohnsonHOURB1220%13%6
Royce FreemanHOURB915%00%3
Dare OgunbowaleJAXRB1014%26%1
Jaydon MickensJAXWR11%00%0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

  • Biggest overperformer+12.4Brandin Cooks29.2 PTS vs 16.8 xFP
  • Biggest underperformer−9.6Rex Burkhead5.7 PTS vs 15.3 xFP
  • Highest expected volume21.7 xFPJames Robinson17.8 PTS scored
Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
James RobinsonJAX · RB17.821.7−3.984%72% car—01872%617%
Trevor LawrenceJAX · QB10.519.9−9.4100%38 att—38520%00%
Brandin CooksHOU · WR29.216.8+12.483%33% tgt—000%1033%
Rex BurkheadHOU · RB5.715.3−9.664%62% car—01662%310%
Laquon TreadwellJAX · WR11.715.2−3.597%25% tgt—000%925%
Davis MillsHOU · QB15.613.8+1.8100%30 att—3014%00%
Laviska Shenault Jr.JAX · WR8.912.4−3.567%19% tgt—014%719%
Chris ConleyHOU · WR3.26.7−3.564%13% tgt—000%413%
James O'ShaughnessyJAX · TE10.06.7+3.363%11% tgt—000%411%
Marvin Jones Jr.JAX · WR3.46.7−3.393%11% tgt—000%411%
Nico CollinsHOU · WR3.46.7−3.361%13% tgt—000%413%
David JohnsonHOU · —3.75.5−1.820%23% car—0623%13%
Jordan AkinsHOU · TE4.45.1−0.734%10% tgt—000%310%
Phillip Dorsett IIHOU · WR6.35.1+1.225%10% tgt—000%310%
Tavon AustinJAX · WR2.15.1−3.023%8% tgt—000%38%
Dare OgunbowaleJAX · RB1.64.0−2.414%6% tgt—014%26%
Pharaoh BrownHOU · TE2.53.4−0.976%7% tgt—000%27%
Royce FreemanHOU · RB0.81.9−1.115%12% car—0312%00%
Chris ManhertzJAX · TE2.11.7+0.426%3% tgt—000%13%

Team totals: Texans 30 targets and 26 carries; Jaguars 36 targets and 25 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2021 season: 1.68 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.64 per carry and 0.44 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Davis Mills

HOU · QB · 15.6 pts on 13.8 expected

19 of 30 passing for 209 yards, 2 touchdowns, 1 interception; 1 carry for 2 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 13.8 expected.

Start/Sit: Davis Mills →

Trevor Lawrence Unlucky

JAX · QB · 10.5 pts on 19.9 expected

22 of 38 passing for 210 yards; 5 carries for 21 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 19.9 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Trevor Lawrence →

Brandin Cooks Ran hot

HOU · WR · 29.2 pts on 16.8 expected

10 targets (33% of the team's), 7 catches for 102 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 16.8 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Brandin Cooks →

Rex Burkhead Volume, no payoff

HOU · RB · 5.7 pts on 15.3 expected

3 targets (10% of the team's), 1 catch for 6 yards; 16 carries (62% of the team's) for 41 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 15.3 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

James Robinson Volume, no payoff

JAX · RB · 17.8 pts on 21.7 expected

6 targets (17% of the team's), 3 catches for 13 yards; 18 carries (72% of the team's) for 75 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 21.7 expected.

Laquon Treadwell

JAX · WR · 11.7 pts on 15.2 expected

9 targets (25% of the team's), 6 catches for 57 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 15.2 expected.

Start/Sit: Laquon Treadwell →

David Johnson

HOU · — · 3.7 pts on 5.5 expected

1 target (3% of the team's), 1 catch for 3 yards; 6 carries (23% of the team's) for 24 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 5.5 expected.

Stock Up, Stock Down

Houston Texans

  • Stock up: Rex Burkhead played 64% of the snaps, up from a 28% season average.
  • Stock down: David Johnson played 20% of the snaps, down from a 43% season average.

Jacksonville Jaguars

  • Stock up: James Robinson played 84% of the snaps, up from a 61% season average.
  • Stock up: Laquon Treadwell played 97% of the snaps, up from a 53% season average.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2021 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Texans defense and Jaguars defense
Points allowed toTexans DJaguars D
QBs18.218.0
RBs25.721.8
WRs35.736.2
TEs13.511.9

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Jacksonville opened at 67% win probability and fell below 2% in the fourth quarter.

Jaguars win probability

Jaguars win probability by game minuteJaguars started at 67%, stood at 23% at halftime and finished at 0%, across 10 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. −22Mills → Cooks, 22-yd TD66% → 44%Q1 6:39
  2. −23Smith 98-yd TD52% → 30%Q1 1:26
  3. +23Robinson 1-yd TD run27% → 51%Q2 12:09
  4. −12Fairbairn 52-yd FG47% → 36%Q2 3:06
  5. −11Fairbairn 51-yd FG34% → 23%Q2 0:00

Swing in Jaguars win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Texans vs Jaguars
Houston TexansMeasureJacksonville Jaguars
57Plays66
54%Pass rate62%
6.6Yds / dropback4.6
2.9Yds / carry4.3
10/18Third downs3/14

Efficiency edge Houston ran 9 fewer plays but gained 2.0 more yards per dropback.

  • Top targets
  • HOU Cooks 33% · Conley 13% · Collins 13%
  • JAX Treadwell 25% · Shenault 19% · Robinson 17%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Texans vs Jaguars
ResultHOUJAX
Touchdowns31
Field goals33
Punts45
Turnovers10
Turnovers on downs01

JAX turnover edge: +1

  • The Texans opened the scoring on their first possession, a 15-play, 75-yard drive that ended in a touchdown.
  • The Texans scored touchdowns on two of their first three drives.
All 22 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
HOUQ1 15:0015758:21Touchdown
JAXQ1 6:399794:57Field goal
HOUQ1 1:42000:16Touchdown
JAXQ1 1:2610754:17Touchdown
HOUQ2 12:09362:44Punt
JAXQ2 9:253-71:36Punt
HOUQ2 7:497154:43Field goal
JAXQ2 3:068372:45Downs
HOUQ2 0:215290:21Field goal
JAXQ3 15:003-42:08Punt
HOUQ3 12:527402:13Field goal
JAXQ3 10:3912555:52Field goal
HOUQ3 4:47341:14Punt
JAXQ3 3:33381:37Punt
HOUQ3 1:566133:34Interception
JAXQ4 13:22452:04Field goal
HOUQ4 11:18311:49Punt
JAXQ4 9:29320:58Punt
HOUQ4 8:315182:05Punt
JAXQ4 6:26341:17Punt
HOUQ4 5:096552:47Touchdown
JAXQ4 2:2211472:22End of game
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Texans vs Jaguars Head-to-Head

The Texans and Jaguars first met in 2002 and have played 48 times since. They have been AFC South rivals since 2002.

All-time series
32–16Texans lead, 48 meetings since 2002
Postseason
0No playoff meetings
Largest Texans win
30–62015
Largest Jaguars win
45–72017

Since 2021

7–3 Texans lead

10 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. T = Texans win, J = Jaguars win, outlined = this game.

2026 Meetings

  • Week 6 Texans vs Jaguars Upcoming
  • Week 15 Jaguars at Texans Upcoming

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2021 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Texans vs Jaguars
TexansStatJaguars
4-13Record3-14
16.5Points per game14.9
278.1Yards per game305.4
4.7Yards per play5.0
26.6Points allowed per game26.9
384.4Yards allowed per game353.1

Texans vs Jaguars Odds and Results

How this game finished against the betting lines.

Spread
JAX −6Jaguars failed to cover by 20
Total
39.5Over: 46 points scored (by 6.5)

Expected vs Actual Scoring

Implied team totals against the actual score
TeamImpliedActualDifference
Jaguars22.816−6.8
Texans16.830+13.3

The Texans beat their implied total and the Jaguars fell short of theirs; the Fantasy tab has the player lines behind it.

Betting Trends

Last 2 meetings: Texans 2–0 ATS, overs 2–0.

Each team's 2021 season through this game. Over/under is overs first.

Houston Texans

Against the spread
6–8
Over/under
6–8
ATS as favorite
0–1
ATS as underdog
6–7
ATS on the road
3–4

Jacksonville Jaguars

Against the spread
4–10
Over/under
3–11
ATS as favorite
0–2
ATS as underdog
4–8
ATS at home
2–6

Lines: ESPN's consensus, captured at kickoff. Individual sportsbooks varied.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Betting availability depends on your state.

Texans vs Jaguars Fantasy Outlook for 2026

Two meetings are left on the 2026 schedule: Week 6 in London and Week 15 in Houston. Here's how to decide who to play in your league.

Keep Exploring

2021 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Texans vs Jaguars Game FAQ

Who won the 2021 Texans vs Jaguars Week 15 game?

The Houston Texans beat the Jacksonville Jaguars 30–16 in Week 15 of the 2021 season. The game was played at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, FL, on December 19, 2021. See the Texans' 2021 schedule.

What was the final score of Texans vs Jaguars?

The final score was Texans 30, Jaguars 16. The Texans led 20–10 at halftime, and the second half went Texans 10, Jaguars 6.

What happened in the Texans vs Jaguars game?

Houston led 20–10 at halftime and outscored Jacksonville 10–6 after the break to win 30–16. Jacksonville outgained the Texans 296–281, but the Texans averaged 4.9 yards per play. Brandin Cooks led all players with 7 catches for 102 yards and 2 touchdowns. The Texans committed 1 turnover, the Jaguars none.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Texans vs Jaguars?

Brandin Cooks led the game with 29.2 PPR fantasy points, the WR3 of Week 15, on 7 catches for 102 yards and 2 touchdowns. James Robinson was next with 17.8 (RB6). See Brandin Cooks's 2021 game log.

Who led Texans vs Jaguars in passing, rushing and receiving?

Trevor Lawrence (JAX) led all passers with 22 of 38 for 210 yards. James Robinson (JAX) led in rushing with 18 carries for 75 yards and a touchdown. Brandin Cooks (HOU) led in receiving with 7 catches for 102 yards and 2 touchdowns.

How many fantasy points did Brandin Cooks score against the Jaguars?

Brandin Cooks scored 29.2 points in PPR leagues, 25.7 in half-PPR and 22.2 in standard scoring against the Jaguars in Week 15 of the 2021 season, on 7 catches for 102 yards and 2 touchdowns. He drew 33% of his team's targets.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Texans vs Jaguars?

Brandin Cooks outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 29.2 PPR points on 16.8 xFP (+12.4). Rex Burkhead fell furthest short, with 5.7 points on 15.3 xFP (−9.6). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

Who had the highest expected fantasy points in Texans vs Jaguars?

James Robinson had the most fantasy opportunity in the game, worth 21.7 expected PPR points (xFP) at league-average rates, and scored 17.8. Expected points measure the volume of a player's pass attempts, carries and targets, not how well he used them.

How did the Texans beat the Jaguars?

The Texans beat the Jaguars 30–16 because they averaged 4.9 yards per play to 4.5.

Which team won the turnover battle in Texans vs Jaguars?

The Jaguars won the turnover battle 1–0: the Texans gave the ball away 1 time and the Jaguars not at all. The Texans won the game anyway.

What is the all-time Texans vs Jaguars record?

The Texans lead the all-time series 32–16 across 48 meetings since 2002.

When did the Texans and Jaguars last play before this game?

Before Week 15 of 2021, they last met in the 2021 season on September 12, 2021, when the Texans beat the Jaguars 37–21.

What was the closing spread for Texans vs Jaguars?

The consensus closing spread at kickoff was Jaguars −6, making the Jacksonville Jaguars 6-point favorites, with a closing total of 39.5. That implied about 22.8 points for the Jaguars and 16.8 for the Texans.

Did Texans vs Jaguars go over or under the total?

The game went over. The consensus closing total was 39.5, and the teams combined for 46 points, 6.5 over the number.

Who covered the spread in Texans vs Jaguars?

The Texans covered as 6-point underdogs against the closing line of Jaguars −6. The final margin was 14 points.