Final2025 Week 16

Reliant Stadium, Houston, TX

Las Vegas Raiders vs Houston Texans, Week 16 2025

Las Vegas Raiders

Away

21

Houston Texans

HomeWon

23

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Raiders077721
Texans763723

LV 21HOU 23 Final

  • Passing leader

    Geno Smith

    LV · QB

    15.0PPR pts

    16/23, 201 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Ashton Jeanty

    LV · RB

    31.8PPR pts

    24 ATT, 128 YDS, 1 TD, 1 REC, 60 REC YDS, 1 REC TD

  • Raiders leader

    Brock Bowers

    LV · TE

    14.3PPR pts

    5 REC, 33 YDS, 1 TD

  • Defensive playmaker

    Derek Stingley Jr.

    HOU

    1 INT, 1 TD, 2 TKL

Texans 23, Raiders 21: Houston holds off Las Vegas

Houston led 13–7 at halftime and won 23–21, though Las Vegas took the second half 14–10. Las Vegas outgained the Texans 315–270.

The Raiders went 6-for-14 on third down and committed one turnover, while the Texans finished without a giveaway.

Key advantages

  • +1 turnover margin HOU 0 turnovers
  • +4% third-down rate HOU 47% · LV 43%
  • +3:32 time of possession HOU 31:46 · LV 28:14

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

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Why the Texans Won

Houston won the turnover, third-down, and time of possession battles.

Team stats comparison, Raiders vs Texans
RaidersStatTexans
1Turnovers0
43%Third-down conversion47%
28:14Time of possession31:46
Other team stats
315Total yards270
5.9Yards per play4.4
53Plays61

Scoring Summary

The Texans scored two touchdowns and three field goals; the Raiders scored three touchdowns.

Scoring plays, Raiders vs Texans
TimeTeamPlayLVHOU
1st quarter
10:43HOUDerek Stingley Jr. 31-yard interception return TD Takes leadKa'imi Fairbairn XP07
2nd quarter
12:25LVGeno Smith → Brock Bowers, 7-yard TD Ties gameDaniel Carlson XP77
9:12HOUKa'imi Fairbairn 55-yard FG Takes lead710
0:50HOUKa'imi Fairbairn 50-yard FG Extends lead713
3rd quarter
9:44LVGeno Smith → Ashton Jeanty, 60-yard TD Takes leadDaniel Carlson XP1413
3:08HOUKa'imi Fairbairn 49-yard FG Takes lead1416
4th quarter
7:41HOUC.J. Stroud → Dalton Schultz, 1-yard TD Extends leadKa'imi Fairbairn XP1423
5:24LVAshton Jeanty 51-yard TD runDaniel Carlson XP2123

Fantasy Points: Raiders vs Texans, Week 16 2025

Fantasy leaders

  1. Ashton JeantyLVRB31.8 PTSRB3
  2. Geno SmithLVQB15.0 PTSQB19
  3. Dalton SchultzHOUTE14.5 PTSTE11
  4. Brock BowersLVTE14.3 PTSTE12

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Geno SmithLVQB15.0QB1916/2320121———107.3Start/Sit →
C.J. StroudHOUQB11.5QB2423/351871040088.6Start/Sit →

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Ashton JeantyLVRB31.8RB3RB24128121601Start/Sit →
Dalton SchultzHOUTE14.5TE11TE———55351Start/Sit →
Brock BowersLVTE14.3TE12TE———55331Start/Sit →
Jawhar JordanHOURB12.0RB26RB1553055170Start/Sit →
Nico CollinsHOUWR9.9WR36WR———94590Start/Sit →
Tre TuckerLVWR9.4WR40WR211054430Start/Sit →
Christian KirkHOUWR6.7WR60WR———53370
Jack BechLVWR6.3WR63WR———32430
Nick ChubbHOURB5.2RB52RB63301190
Jayden HigginsHOUWR2.7WR92WR———31170
Cade StoverHOUTE2.7TE48TE———3270Start/Sit →
Michael MayerLVTE2.0TE52TE———31100Start/Sit →
Raheem MostertLVRB1.9RB64RB1601130
Tyler LockettLVWR1.6WR107WR———2160
Xavier HutchinsonHOUWR1.4WR112WR———2140Start/Sit →
Alex BachmanLVWR1.3WR113WR———1130
Dare OgunbowaleHOURB0.9RB72RB1-301120Start/Sit →

Fantasy Usage

Las Vegas Raiders

Snap Share

  1. Tre TuckerWR54 snaps100%
  2. Brock BowersTE53 snaps98%
  3. Ashton JeantyRB50 snaps93%
  4. Jack BechWR39 snaps72%
  5. Michael MayerTE36 snaps67%

Target Share22 targets

  1. Tre Tucker23%, 5 targets
  2. Brock Bowers23%, 5 targets
  3. Michael Mayer14%, 3 targets
  4. Jack Bech14%, 3 targets
  5. Tyler Lockett9%, 2 targets
  6. Other18%, 4 targets

Carry Share27 carries

  1. Ashton Jeanty89%, 24 carries
  2. Tre Tucker7%, 2 carries
  3. Raheem Mostert4%, 1 carries

Houston Texans

Snap Share

  1. Nico CollinsWR52 snaps80%
  2. Dalton SchultzTE46 snaps71%
  3. Christian KirkWR40 snaps62%
  4. Jayden HigginsWR35 snaps54%
  5. Cade StoverTE33 snaps51%

Target Share34 targets

  1. Nico Collins26%, 9 targets
  2. Christian Kirk15%, 5 targets
  3. Dalton Schultz15%, 5 targets
  4. Jawhar Jordan15%, 5 targets
  5. Cade Stover9%, 3 targets
  6. Other21%, 7 targets

Carry Share26 carries

  1. Jawhar Jordan58%, 15 carries
  2. Nick Chubb23%, 6 carries
  3. C.J. Stroud15%, 4 carries
  4. Dare Ogunbowale4%, 1 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
Tre TuckerLVWR54100%523%2
Brock BowersLVTE5398%523%0
Ashton JeantyLVRB5093%29%24
Nico CollinsHOUWR5280%926%0
Jack BechLVWR3972%314%0
Dalton SchultzHOUTE4671%515%0
Michael MayerLVTE3667%314%0
Christian KirkHOUWR4062%515%0
Jayden HigginsHOUWR3554%39%0
Cade StoverHOUTE3351%39%0
Xavier HutchinsonHOUWR3249%26%0
Jawhar JordanHOURB3046%515%15
Nick ChubbHOURB2132%13%6
Tyler LockettLVWR1528%29%0
Dare OgunbowaleHOURB1218%13%1
Alex BachmanLVWR917%15%0
Jaylin NoelHOUWR914%00%0
Harrison BryantHOUTE69%00%0
Raheem MostertLVRB47%15%1
Dont'e ThorntonLVWR47%00%0
Carter RunyonLVTE47%00%0
British BrooksHOURB23%00%0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Ashton JeantyLV · RB31.818.9+12.993%89% car—02489%29%
Jawhar JordanHOU · RB12.018.2−6.246%58% car—01558%515%
C.J. StroudHOU · QB11.518.1−6.6100%35 att—35415%00%
Nico CollinsHOU · WR9.915.3−5.480%26% tgt—000%926%
Geno SmithLV · QB15.010.2+4.8100%23 att—2300%00%
Tre TuckerLV · WR9.49.8−0.4100%23% tgt—027%523%
Brock BowersLV · TE14.38.5+5.898%23% tgt—000%523%
Christian KirkHOU · WR6.78.5−1.862%15% tgt—000%515%
Dalton SchultzHOU · TE14.58.5+6.071%15% tgt—000%515%
Nick ChubbHOU · RB5.25.6−0.432%23% car—0623%13%
Cade StoverHOU · TE2.75.1−2.451%9% tgt—000%39%
Jack BechLV · WR6.35.1+1.272%14% tgt—000%314%
Jayden HigginsHOU · WR2.75.1−2.454%9% tgt—000%39%
Michael MayerLV · TE2.05.1−3.167%14% tgt—000%314%
Tyler LockettLV · WR1.63.4−1.828%9% tgt—000%29%
Xavier HutchinsonHOU · WR1.43.4−2.049%6% tgt—000%26%
Dare OgunbowaleHOU · RB0.92.4−1.518%4% car—014%13%
Raheem MostertLV · RB1.92.4−0.57%5% tgt—014%15%
Alex BachmanLV · WR1.31.7−0.417%5% tgt—000%15%

Team totals: Raiders 22 targets and 27 carries; Texans 34 targets and 26 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2025 season: 1.70 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.65 per carry and 0.44 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Geno Smith

LV · QB · 15.0 pts on 10.2 expected

16 of 23 passing for 201 yards, 2 touchdowns, 1 interception.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 10.2 expected.

Start/Sit: Geno Smith →

C.J. Stroud Unlucky

HOU · QB · 11.5 pts on 18.1 expected

23 of 35 passing for 187 yards, 1 touchdown; 4 carries for 0 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 18.1 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: C.J. Stroud →

Ashton Jeanty Ran hot

LV · RB · 31.8 pts on 18.9 expected

2 targets (9% of the team's), 1 catch for 60 yards and 1 touchdown; 24 carries (89% of the team's) for 128 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 18.9 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Ashton Jeanty →

Tre Tucker

LV · WR · 9.4 pts on 9.8 expected

5 targets (23% of the team's), 4 catches for 43 yards; 2 carries (7% of the team's) for 11 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 9.8 expected.

Start/Sit: Tre Tucker →

Jawhar Jordan Unlucky

HOU · RB · 12.0 pts on 18.2 expected

5 targets (15% of the team's), 5 catches for 17 yards; 15 carries (58% of the team's) for 53 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 18.2 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Jawhar Jordan →

Nico Collins Unlucky

HOU · WR · 9.9 pts on 15.3 expected

9 targets (26% of the team's), 4 catches for 59 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 15.3 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Nico Collins →

Brock Bowers Ran hot

LV · TE · 14.3 pts on 8.5 expected

5 targets (23% of the team's), 5 catches for 33 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 8.5 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Brock Bowers →

Dalton Schultz Ran hot

HOU · TE · 14.5 pts on 8.5 expected

5 targets (15% of the team's), 5 catches for 35 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 8.5 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Dalton Schultz →

Stock Up, Stock Down

Las Vegas Raiders

  • Stock up: Ashton Jeanty played 93% of the snaps, up from a 75% season average.
  • Stock up: Jack Bech played 72% of the snaps, up from a 39% season average.
  • Stock down: Tyler Lockett played 28% of the snaps, down from a 53% season average.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2025 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Raiders defense and Texans defense
Points allowed toRaiders DTexans D
QBs16.613.5
RBs23.319.3
WRs31.625.1
TEs10.112.3

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Houston opened at 86% win probability and passed 98% in the fourth quarter on the way to the win.

Texans win probability

Texans win probability by game minuteTexans started at 86%, stood at 92% at halftime and finished at 100%, across 8 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. −12Smith → Bowers, 7-yd TD94% → 82%Q2 12:25
  2. −20Smith → Jeanty, 60-yd TD92% → 72%Q3 9:44
  3. +13Fairbairn 49-yd FG68% → 81%Q3 3:08
  4. +20Stroud → Schultz, 1-yd TD79% → 99%Q4 7:41
  5. −20Jeanty 51-yd TD run99% → 79%Q4 5:24

Swing in Texans win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Raiders vs Texans
Las Vegas RaidersMeasureHouston Texans
53Plays61
49%Pass rate57%
6.5Yds / dropback5.3
5.4Yds / carry3.2
6/14Third downs7/15

Efficiency edge Houston ran 8 more plays than Las Vegas.

  • Top targets
  • LV Bowers 23% · Tucker 23% · Bech 14%
  • HOU Collins 26% · Kirk 15% · Schultz 15%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Raiders vs Texans
ResultLVHOU
Touchdowns31
Field goals03
Punts75
Turnovers10

HOU turnover edge: +1

  • The Raiders opened the scoring on their fifth possession, a 7-play, 61-yard drive that ended in a touchdown.
  • The Texans drained the clock with two second-half drives of five to six minutes.
All 22 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
LVQ1 15:00300:34Punt
HOUQ1 14:266142:27Punt
LVQ1 11:59391:16Interception
LVQ1 10:43492:33Punt
HOUQ1 8:10361:02Punt
LVQ1 7:085193:54Punt
HOUQ1 3:143-12:09Punt
LVQ1 1:057613:40Touchdown
HOUQ2 12:257353:13Field goal
LVQ2 9:126173:53Punt
HOUQ2 5:1911574:29Field goal
LVQ2 0:50370:31Punt
HOUQ2 0:192110:19End of half
HOUQ3 15:00321:48Punt
LVQ3 13:126853:28Touchdown
HOUQ3 9:443-82:08Punt
LVQ3 7:363-71:35Punt
HOUQ3 6:015222:53Field goal
LVQ3 3:088344:33Punt
HOUQ4 13:3510885:54Touchdown
LVQ4 7:415652:17Touchdown
HOUQ4 5:2411685:24End of game
About these numbers

The Texans' interception touchdown is counted as a Raiders interception, not as a Texans possession. Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Raiders vs Texans Head-to-Head

The Raiders and Texans first met in 2004 and have played 14 times since.

All-time series
9–5Texans lead, 14 meetings since 2004
Postseason
1–0Texans won in 2016
Largest Raiders win
38–202022
Largest Texans win
29–62009

Since 2021

1–1 Series tied

2 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. R = Raiders win, T = Texans win, outlined = this game.

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2025 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Raiders vs Texans
RaidersStatTexans
3-14Record12-5
14.2Points per game23.8
245.2Yards per game327.0
4.4Yards per play5.1
25.4Points allowed per game17.4
317.8Yards allowed per game277.2

Raiders vs Texans Odds and Results

How this game finished against the betting lines.

Spread
HOU −14.5Texans failed to cover by 12.5
Total
39.5Over: 44 points scored (by 4.5)

Expected vs Actual Scoring

Implied team totals against the actual score
TeamImpliedActualDifference
Texans27.023−4.0
Raiders12.521+8.5

The Raiders beat their implied total and the Texans fell short of theirs; the Fantasy tab has the player lines behind it.

Betting Trends

Last 2 meetings: Raiders 2–0 ATS, overs 2–0.

Each team's 2025 season through this game. Over/under is overs first.

Las Vegas Raiders

Against the spread
2–2
Over/under
3–1
ATS as underdog
2–2
ATS on the road
1–2

Houston Texans

Against the spread
3–1
Over/under
2–1
ATS as favorite
1–1
ATS as underdog
2–0
ATS at home
1–1

Lines: ESPN's consensus, captured at kickoff. Individual sportsbooks varied.

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Raiders and Texans in Fantasy

The two teams don't meet again this season. If you roster a Raider or a Texan, these answer the week-to-week question.

Keep Exploring

2025 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Raiders vs Texans Game FAQ

Who won the 2025 Raiders vs Texans Week 16 game?

The Houston Texans beat the Las Vegas Raiders 23–21 in Week 16 of the 2025 season. The game was played at Reliant Stadium in Houston, TX, on December 21, 2025. See the Texans' 2025 schedule.

What was the final score of Raiders vs Texans?

The final score was Texans 23, Raiders 21. The Texans led 13–7 at halftime, and the second half went Raiders 14, Texans 10.

What happened in the Raiders vs Texans game?

Houston led 13–7 at halftime and won 23–21, though Las Vegas took the second half 14–10. Las Vegas outgained the Texans 315–270. Ashton Jeanty led all players with a catch for 60 yards and a touchdown, plus 24 carries for 128 rushing yards and a touchdown. The Raiders committed 1 turnover, the Texans none.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Raiders vs Texans?

Ashton Jeanty led the game with 31.8 PPR fantasy points, the RB3 of Week 16, on a catch for 60 yards and a touchdown, plus 24 carries for 128 rushing yards and a touchdown. Geno Smith was next with 15.0 (QB19). See Ashton Jeanty's 2025 game log.

Who led Raiders vs Texans in passing, rushing and receiving?

Geno Smith (LV) led all passers with 16 of 23 for 201 yards, 2 touchdowns and an interception. Ashton Jeanty (LV) led in rushing with 24 carries for 128 yards and a touchdown. Ashton Jeanty (LV) led in receiving with 1 catch for 60 yards and a touchdown.

How many fantasy points did Ashton Jeanty score against the Texans?

Ashton Jeanty scored 31.8 points in PPR leagues, 31.3 in half-PPR and 30.8 in standard scoring against the Texans in Week 16 of the 2025 season, on a catch for 60 yards and a touchdown, plus 24 carries for 128 rushing yards and a touchdown. He handled 89% of his team's carries.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Raiders vs Texans?

Ashton Jeanty outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 31.8 PPR points on 18.9 xFP (+12.9). C.J. Stroud fell furthest short, with 11.5 points on 18.1 xFP (−6.6). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

How did the Texans beat the Raiders?

The Texans beat the Raiders 23–21 because they won the turnover battle 1–0.

Which team won the turnover battle in Raiders vs Texans?

The Texans won the turnover battle 1–0: the Raiders gave the ball away 1 time and the Texans not at all. The Texans won the game.

What is the all-time Raiders vs Texans record?

The Texans lead the all-time series 9–5 across 14 meetings since 2004, including a 1–0 record in the postseason.

When did the Raiders and Texans last play before this game?

Before Week 16 of 2025, they last met in the 2022 season on October 23, 2022, when the Raiders beat the Texans 38–20.

Have the Raiders and Texans met in the playoffs?

Yes, 1 time, most recently in the 2016 playoffs. The Raiders are 0–1 against the Texans in the postseason.

What was the closing spread for Raiders vs Texans?

The consensus closing spread at kickoff was Texans −14.5, making the Houston Texans 14.5-point favorites, with a closing total of 39.5. That implied about 27.0 points for the Texans and 12.5 for the Raiders.

Did Raiders vs Texans go over or under the total?

The game went over. The consensus closing total was 39.5, and the teams combined for 44 points, 4.5 over the number.

Who covered the spread in Raiders vs Texans?

The Raiders covered as 14.5-point underdogs against the closing line of Texans −14.5. The final margin was 2 points.