Final2021 Week 16

Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA

Miami Dolphins vs New Orleans Saints, Week 16 2021

Miami Dolphins

AwayWon

20

New Orleans Saints

Home

3

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dolphins1007320
Saints03003

MIA 20NO 3 Final

  • Passing leader

    Tua Tagovailoa

    MIA · QB

    11.0PPR pts

    19/26, 198 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Jaylen Waddle

    MIA · WR

    25.2PPR pts

    10 REC, 92 YDS, 1 TD

  • Saints leader

    Lil'Jordan Humphrey

    NO · WR

    10.0PPR pts

    3 REC, 70 YDS

  • Defensive playmaker

    Nik Needham

    MIA

    1 INT, 1 TD, 2 TKL

Dolphins 20, Saints 3: Miami leads from start to finish

Miami led 10–3 at halftime and outscored New Orleans 10–0 after the break to win 20–3. The Dolphins finished with a 259–164 edge in total offense and averaged 4.4 yards per play.

The gap showed up everywhere. The Saints went 0-for-12 on third down and committed two turnovers, while the Dolphins kept the ball for 33:56.

Key advantages

  • +1.2 yards/play MIA 4.4 · NO 3.2
  • +1 turnover margin MIA 1 · NO 2 turnovers
  • +95 total yards MIA 259 · NO 164

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

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Why the Dolphins Won

Miami won the efficiency, turnover, third-down, and time of possession battles.

Team stats comparison, Dolphins vs Saints
DolphinsStatSaints
4.4Yards per play3.2
1Turnovers2
259Total yards164
Other team stats
59Plays51
33%Third-down conversion0%
33:56Time of possession26:04

Scoring Summary

The Dolphins scored two touchdowns and two field goals; the Saints scored one field goal.

Scoring plays, Dolphins vs Saints
TimeTeamPlayMIANO
1st quarter
10:25MIANik Needham 28-yard interception return TD Takes leadJason Sanders XP70
2:09MIAJason Sanders 48-yard FG Extends lead100
2nd quarter
2:45NOBrett Maher 38-yard FG103
3rd quarter
5:10MIATua Tagovailoa → Jaylen Waddle, 1-yard TD Extends leadJason Sanders XP173
4th quarter
12:05MIAJason Sanders 34-yard FG Extends lead203

Fantasy Points: Dolphins vs Saints, Week 16 2021

Fantasy leaders

  1. Jaylen WaddleMIAWR25.2 PTSWR8
  2. Lil'Jordan HumphreyNOWR10.0 PTSWR47
  3. Tua TagovailoaMIAQB10.0 PTSQB23
  4. Marquez CallawayNOWR8.6 PTSWR54

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Tua TagovailoaMIAQB10.0QB2319/261981111091.5Start/Sit →
Ian BookNOQB4.0QB3512/201350236040.6

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Jaylen WaddleMIAWR25.2WR8WR———1210921Start/Sit →
Lil'Jordan HumphreyNOWR10.0WR47WR———53700Start/Sit →
Marquez CallawayNOWR8.6WR54WR———54460
Alvin KamaraNORB7.9RB35RB135204270Start/Sit →
Durham SmytheMIATE6.1TE23TE———33310Start/Sit →
Mike GesickiMIATE5.2TE28TE———43220Start/Sit →
Mack HollinsMIAWR5.0WR76WR———21400Start/Sit →
Duke JohnsonMIARB3.9RB49RB13390————
Phillip LindsayMIARB3.6RB53RB13360————
Ethan WolfNOTE2.8TE40TE———2280
Myles GaskinMIARB2.6RB65RB31003160
Mark IngramNORB1.7RB70RB4170————
Tommylee LewisMIAWR1.7WR104WR———2170
Kenny StillsNOWR1.4WR111WR———1140
Tony JonesNORB0.6RB75RB260————
Nick VannettNOTE0.0—TE———1000

Fantasy Usage

Miami Dolphins

Snap Share

  1. Jaylen WaddleWR58 snaps89%
  2. Durham SmytheTE51 snaps78%
  3. Mike GesickiTE49 snaps75%
  4. DeVante ParkerWR46 snaps71%
  5. Duke JohnsonRB23 snaps35%

Target Share26 targets

  1. Jaylen Waddle46%, 12 targets
  2. Mike Gesicki15%, 4 targets
  3. Durham Smythe12%, 3 targets
  4. Myles Gaskin12%, 3 targets
  5. Tommylee Lewis8%, 2 targets
  6. Other8%, 2 targets

Carry Share30 carries

  1. Duke Johnson43%, 13 carries
  2. Phillip Lindsay43%, 13 carries
  3. Myles Gaskin10%, 3 carries
  4. Tua Tagovailoa3%, 1 carries

New Orleans Saints

Snap Share

  1. Nick VannettTE41 snaps79%
  2. Marquez CallawayWR41 snaps79%
  3. Alvin KamaraRB31 snaps60%
  4. Lil'Jordan HumphreyWR28 snaps54%
  5. Mark IngramRB24 snaps46%

Target Share18 targets

  1. Lil'Jordan Humphrey28%, 5 targets
  2. Marquez Callaway28%, 5 targets
  3. Alvin Kamara22%, 4 targets
  4. Ethan Wolf11%, 2 targets
  5. Kenny Stills6%, 1 targets
  6. Other6%, 1 targets

Carry Share22 carries

  1. Alvin Kamara59%, 13 carries
  2. Mark Ingram18%, 4 carries
  3. Ian Book14%, 3 carries
  4. Tony Jones9%, 2 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
Jaylen WaddleMIAWR5889%1246%0
Nick VannettNOTE4179%16%0
Marquez CallawayNOWR4179%528%0
Durham SmytheMIATE5178%312%0
Mike GesickiMIATE4975%415%0
DeVante ParkerMIAWR4671%00%0
Alvin KamaraNORB3160%422%13
Lil'Jordan HumphreyNOWR2854%528%0
Mark IngramNORB2446%00%4
Ty MontgomeryNORB2446%00%0
Duke JohnsonMIARB2335%00%13
Kenny StillsNOWR1733%16%0
Isaiah FordMIAWR2031%00%0
Myles GaskinMIARB2031%312%3
Adam ShaheenMIATE1929%00%0
Phillip LindsayMIARB1929%00%13
Tre'Quan SmithNOWR1427%00%0
Ethan WolfNOTE1223%211%0
Mack HollinsMIAWR1117%28%0
Easop WinstonNOWR612%00%0
Hunter LongMIATE46%00%0
Tommylee LewisMIAWR35%28%0
Tony JonesNORB24%00%2

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Jaylen WaddleMIA · WR25.220.2+5.089%46% tgt—000%1246%
Alvin KamaraNO · RB7.915.1−7.260%57% car—01357%422%
Tua TagovailoaMIA · QB11.012.1−1.194%26 att—2613%00%
Ian BookNO · QB4.010.7−6.796%20 att—20313%00%
Lil'Jordan HumphreyNO · WR10.08.4+1.654%28% tgt—000%528%
Marquez CallawayNO · WR8.68.4+0.279%28% tgt—000%528%
Duke JohnsonMIA · RB3.98.3−4.435%43% car—01343%00%
Phillip LindsayMIA · RB3.68.3−4.729%43% car—01343%00%
Myles GaskinMIA · RB2.67.0−4.431%12% tgt—0310%312%
Mike GesickiMIA · TE5.26.7−1.575%15% tgt—000%415%
Durham SmytheMIA · TE6.15.1+1.078%12% tgt—000%312%
Ethan WolfNO · TE2.83.4−0.623%11% tgt—000%211%
Mack HollinsMIA · WR5.03.4+1.617%8% tgt—000%28%
Tommylee LewisMIA · WR1.73.4−1.75%8% tgt—000%28%
Mark Ingram IINO · RB1.72.6−0.946%17% car—0417%00%
Kenny StillsNO · WR1.41.7−0.333%6% tgt—000%16%
Nick VannettNO · TE0.01.7−1.779%6% tgt—000%16%
Tony Jones Jr.NO · —0.61.3−0.74%9% car—029%00%
Adam PrenticeNO · RB0.20.6−0.4—4% car—014%00%

Team totals: Dolphins 26 targets and 30 carries; Saints 18 targets and 23 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2021 season: 1.68 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.64 per carry and 0.44 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Tua Tagovailoa

MIA · QB · 11.0 pts on 12.1 expected

19 of 26 passing for 198 yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception; 1 carry for 1 yard.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 12.1 expected.

Start/Sit: Tua Tagovailoa →

Ian Book Unlucky

NO · QB · 4.0 pts on 10.7 expected

12 of 20 passing for 135 yards, 2 interceptions; 3 carries for 6 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 10.7 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Jaylen Waddle Ran hot

MIA · WR · 25.2 pts on 20.2 expected

12 targets (46% of the team's), 10 catches for 92 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 20.2 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Jaylen Waddle →

Duke Johnson

MIA · RB · 3.9 pts on 8.3 expected

13 carries (43% of the team's) for 39 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 8.3 expected.

Alvin Kamara Unlucky

NO · RB · 7.9 pts on 15.1 expected

4 targets (22% of the team's), 2 catches for 7 yards; 13 carries (57% of the team's) for 52 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 15.1 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Alvin Kamara →

Lil'Jordan Humphrey

NO · WR · 10.0 pts on 8.4 expected

5 targets (28% of the team's), 3 catches for 70 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 8.4 expected.

Start/Sit: Lil'Jordan Humphrey →

Durham Smythe

MIA · TE · 6.1 pts on 5.1 expected

3 targets (12% of the team's), 3 catches for 31 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 5.1 expected.

Start/Sit: Durham Smythe →

Myles Gaskin

MIA · RB · 2.6 pts on 7.0 expected

3 targets (12% of the team's), 1 catch for 6 yards; 3 carries (10% of the team's) for 10 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 7.0 expected.

Stock Up, Stock Down

Miami Dolphins

  • Stock up: Duke Johnson led the backfield with 35% of the snaps after trailing Myles Gaskin before this game.
  • Stock up: Durham Smythe played 78% of the snaps, up from a 60% season average.
  • Stock down: Myles Gaskin lost the backfield lead: 31% of the snaps to Duke Johnson's 35%.

New Orleans Saints

  • Stock up: Lil'Jordan Humphrey played 54% of the snaps, up from a 35% season average.
  • Stock up: Nick Vannett played 79% of the snaps, up from a 51% season average.
  • Stock down: Alvin Kamara played 60% of the snaps, down from a 77% season average.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2021 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Dolphins defense and Saints defense
Points allowed toDolphins DSaints D
QBs16.216.3
RBs21.317.7
WRs33.134.8
TEs12.09.4

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

New Orleans opened at 41% win probability and fell below 2% in the third quarter.

Saints win probability

Saints win probability by game minuteSaints started at 41%, stood at 19% at halftime and finished at 0%, across 5 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. −19Needham 28-yd pick-six42% → 23%Q1 10:25
  2. −7Sanders 48-yd FG22% → 15%Q1 2:09
  3. +7Maher 38-yd FG12% → 19%Q2 2:45
  4. −13Tagovailoa → Waddle, 1-yd TD15% → 3%Q3 5:10

Swing in Saints win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Dolphins vs Saints
Miami DolphinsMeasureNew Orleans Saints
59Plays51
49%Pass rate55%
6.0Yds / dropback2.9
2.9Yds / carry3.6
5/15Third downs0/12

Efficiency edge Miami ran 8 more plays and gained 3.1 more yards per dropback.

  • Top targets
  • MIA Waddle 46% · Gesicki 15% · Smythe 12%
  • NO Humphrey 28% · Callaway 28% · Kamara 22%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Dolphins vs Saints
ResultMIANO
Touchdowns10
Field goals21
Punts67
Turnovers12
Turnovers on downs01
Missed field goals10

MIA turnover edge: +1

  • The Dolphins opened the scoring on their second possession, a 12-play, 39-yard drive that ended in a field goal.
All 23 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
MIAQ1 15:006323:22Punt
NOQ1 11:38371:13Interception
NOQ1 10:253-61:34Punt
MIAQ1 8:5112396:42Field goal
NOQ1 2:093-31:58Punt
MIAQ1 0:115202:57Punt
NOQ2 12:14492:23Punt
MIAQ2 9:51302:27Punt
NOQ2 7:248554:39Field goal
MIAQ2 2:458342:45Missed FG
NOQ3 15:00361:23Punt
MIAQ3 13:37311:21Interception
NOQ3 12:165122:36Punt
MIAQ3 9:409864:30Touchdown
NOQ3 5:104142:22Punt
MIAQ3 2:48392:20Punt
NOQ3 0:28491:11Downs
MIAQ4 14:176222:12Field goal
NOQ4 12:057-44:00Punt
MIAQ4 8:054173:33Punt
NOQ4 4:326591:41Interception
MIAQ4 2:51361:47Punt
NOQ4 1:04261:04End of game
About these numbers

The Dolphins' interception touchdown is counted as a Saints interception, not as a Dolphins possession. Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Dolphins vs Saints Head-to-Head

The Dolphins and Saints first met in 1970 and have played 14 times since.

All-time series
8–6Dolphins lead, 14 meetings since 1970
Postseason
0No playoff meetings
Largest Dolphins win
21–01974
Largest Saints win
38–172013

Since 2021

2–0 Dolphins lead

2 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. D = Dolphins win, S = Saints win, outlined = this game.

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2021 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Dolphins vs Saints
DolphinsStatSaints
9-8Record9-8
20.1Points per game21.4
307.0Yards per game304.5
4.8Yards per play4.9
21.9Points allowed per game19.7
337.5Yards allowed per game318.2

Dolphins vs Saints Odds and Results

How this game finished against the betting lines.

Spread
MIA −3Dolphins covered by 14
Total
37.5Under: 23 points scored (by 14.5)

Expected vs Actual Scoring

Implied team totals against the actual score
TeamImpliedActualDifference
Dolphins20.320−0.3
Saints17.33−14.3

Both offenses finished under the market's expectation, which matches the low fantasy output in the Fantasy tab.

Betting Trends

Each team's 2021 season through this game. Over/under is overs first.

Miami Dolphins

Against the spread
8–6–1
Over/under
6–9
ATS as favorite
4–3
ATS as underdog
4–3–1
ATS on the road
4–2–1

New Orleans Saints

Against the spread
7–8
Over/under
6–9
ATS as favorite
2–4
ATS as underdog
5–4
ATS at home
2–5

Lines: ESPN's consensus, captured at kickoff. Individual sportsbooks varied.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Betting availability depends on your state.

Dolphins and Saints in Fantasy

The two teams don't meet again this season. If you roster a Dolphin or a Saint, these answer the week-to-week question.

Keep Exploring

2021 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Dolphins vs Saints Game FAQ

Who won the 2021 Dolphins vs Saints Week 16 game?

The Miami Dolphins beat the New Orleans Saints 20–3 in Week 16 of the 2021 season. The game was played at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA, on December 27, 2021. See the Dolphins' 2021 schedule.

What was the final score of Dolphins vs Saints?

The final score was Dolphins 20, Saints 3. The Dolphins led 10–3 at halftime, and the second half went Dolphins 10, Saints 0.

What happened in the Dolphins vs Saints game?

Miami led 10–3 at halftime and outscored New Orleans 10–0 after the break to win 20–3. The Dolphins finished with a 259–164 edge in total offense and averaged 4.4 yards per play. Jaylen Waddle led all players with 10 catches for 92 yards and a touchdown. The Saints committed 2 turnovers, the Dolphins 1.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Dolphins vs Saints?

Jaylen Waddle led the game with 25.2 PPR fantasy points, the WR8 of Week 16, on 10 catches for 92 yards and a touchdown. Lil'Jordan Humphrey was next with 10.0 (WR47). See Jaylen Waddle's 2021 game log.

Who led Dolphins vs Saints in passing, rushing and receiving?

Tua Tagovailoa (MIA) led all passers with 19 of 26 for 198 yards, a touchdown and an interception. Alvin Kamara (NO) led in rushing with 13 carries for 52 yards. Jaylen Waddle (MIA) led in receiving with 10 catches for 92 yards and a touchdown.

How many fantasy points did Jaylen Waddle score against the Saints?

Jaylen Waddle scored 25.2 points in PPR leagues, 20.2 in half-PPR and 15.2 in standard scoring against the Saints in Week 16 of the 2021 season, on 10 catches for 92 yards and a touchdown. He drew 46% of his team's targets.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Dolphins vs Saints?

Jaylen Waddle outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 25.2 PPR points on 20.2 xFP (+5.0). Alvin Kamara fell furthest short, with 7.9 points on 15.1 xFP (−7.2). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

Who had the highest expected fantasy points in Dolphins vs Saints?

Jaylen Waddle had the most fantasy opportunity in the game, worth 20.2 expected PPR points (xFP) at league-average rates, and scored 25.2. Expected points measure the volume of a player's pass attempts, carries and targets, not how well he used them.

How did the Dolphins beat the Saints?

The Dolphins beat the Saints 20–3 because they averaged 4.4 yards per play to 3.2, won the turnover battle 2–1, and outgained them 259–164.

Which team won the turnover battle in Dolphins vs Saints?

The Dolphins won the turnover battle 2–1: the Saints gave the ball away 2 times and the Dolphins 1 time. The Dolphins won the game.

What is the all-time Dolphins vs Saints record?

The Dolphins lead the all-time series 8–6 across 14 meetings since 1970.

When did the Dolphins and Saints last play before this game?

Before Week 16 of 2021, they last met in the 2017 season on October 1, 2017, when the Saints beat the Dolphins 20–0.

What was the closing spread for Dolphins vs Saints?

The consensus closing spread at kickoff was Dolphins −3, making the Miami Dolphins 3-point favorites, with a closing total of 37.5. That implied about 20.3 points for the Dolphins and 17.3 for the Saints.

Did Dolphins vs Saints go over or under the total?

The game went under. The consensus closing total was 37.5, and the teams combined for 23 points, 14.5 under the number.

Who covered the spread in Dolphins vs Saints?

The Dolphins covered by 14 against the closing line of Dolphins −3. The final margin was 17 points.