Final2021 Week 16
Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA|
Miami Dolphins vs New Orleans Saints, Week 16 2021
Miami Dolphins
AwayWon
20
New Orleans Saints
Home
3
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dolphins | 10 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 20 |
| Saints | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
MIA 20 · NO 3 Final
Passing leader
MIA · QB
11.0PPR pts
19/26, 198 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
Top fantasy scorer
MIA · WR
25.2PPR pts
10 REC, 92 YDS, 1 TD
Saints leader
NO · WR
10.0PPR pts
3 REC, 70 YDS
Defensive playmaker
Nik Needham
MIA
1 INT, 1 TD, 2 TKL
Dolphins 20, Saints 3: Miami leads from start to finish
Miami led 10–3 at halftime and outscored New Orleans 10–0 after the break to win 20–3. The Dolphins finished with a 259–164 edge in total offense and averaged 4.4 yards per play.
The gap showed up everywhere. The Saints went 0-for-12 on third down and committed two turnovers, while the Dolphins kept the ball for 33:56.
Key advantages
- +1.2 yards/play MIA 4.4 · NO 3.2
- +1 turnover margin MIA 1 · NO 2 turnovers
- +95 total yards MIA 259 · NO 164
Game Highlights
Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube
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Why the Dolphins Won
Miami won the efficiency, turnover, third-down, and time of possession battles.
| Dolphins | Stat | Saints |
|---|---|---|
| 4.4 | Yards per play | 3.2 |
| 1 | Turnovers | 2 |
| 259 | Total yards | 164 |
| Other team stats | ||
| 59 | Plays | 51 |
| 33% | Third-down conversion | 0% |
| 33:56 | Time of possession | 26:04 |
Scoring Summary
The Dolphins scored two touchdowns and two field goals; the Saints scored one field goal.
| Time | Team | Play | MIA | NO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st quarter | ||||
| 10:25 | MIA | Nik Needham 28-yard interception return TD Takes leadJason Sanders XP | 7 | 0 |
| 2:09 | MIA | Jason Sanders 48-yard FG Extends lead | 10 | 0 |
| 2nd quarter | ||||
| 2:45 | NO | Brett Maher 38-yard FG | 10 | 3 |
| 3rd quarter | ||||
| 5:10 | MIA | Tua Tagovailoa → Jaylen Waddle, 1-yard TD Extends leadJason Sanders XP | 17 | 3 |
| 4th quarter | ||||
| 12:05 | MIA | Jason Sanders 34-yard FG Extends lead | 20 | 3 |
Fantasy Points: Dolphins vs Saints, Week 16 2021
Fantasy leaders
- Jaylen WaddleMIA · WR25.2 PTSWR8
- Lil'Jordan HumphreyNO · WR10.0 PTSWR47
- Tua TagovailoaMIA · QB10.0 PTSQB23
- Marquez CallawayNO · WR8.6 PTSWR54
Player Stats
Quarterbacks
| Player | FPTS | FIN | CMP/ATT | Pass YDS | TD | INT | Rush ATT | Rush YDS | Rush TD | Rate | Start/Sit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.0 | QB23 | 19/26 | 198 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 91.5 | Start/Sit → | |
| 4.0 | QB35 | 12/20 | 135 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 40.6 |
WRs, RBs, & TEs
| Player | FPTS | FIN | POS | Rush ATT | Rush YDS | Rush TD | TGT | REC | Rec YDS | Rec TD | Start/Sit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.2 | WR8 | WR | — | — | — | 12 | 10 | 92 | 1 | Start/Sit → | |
| 10.0 | WR47 | WR | — | — | — | 5 | 3 | 70 | 0 | Start/Sit → | |
| 8.6 | WR54 | WR | — | — | — | 5 | 4 | 46 | 0 | ||
| 7.9 | RB35 | RB | 13 | 52 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 0 | Start/Sit → | |
| 6.1 | TE23 | TE | — | — | — | 3 | 3 | 31 | 0 | Start/Sit → | |
| 5.2 | TE28 | TE | — | — | — | 4 | 3 | 22 | 0 | Start/Sit → | |
| 5.0 | WR76 | WR | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | 40 | 0 | Start/Sit → | |
| 3.9 | RB49 | RB | 13 | 39 | 0 | — | — | — | — | ||
| 3.6 | RB53 | RB | 13 | 36 | 0 | — | — | — | — | ||
| 2.8 | TE40 | TE | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | ||
| 2.6 | RB65 | RB | 3 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 | ||
| 1.7 | RB70 | RB | 4 | 17 | 0 | — | — | — | — | ||
| 1.7 | WR104 | WR | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | ||
| 1.4 | WR111 | WR | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | ||
| 0.6 | RB75 | RB | 2 | 6 | 0 | — | — | — | — | ||
| 0.0 | — | TE | — | — | — | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Fantasy Usage
Miami Dolphins
Snap Share
Jaylen WaddleWR58 snaps89%
Durham SmytheTE51 snaps78%
Mike GesickiTE49 snaps75%
DeVante ParkerWR46 snaps71%
Duke JohnsonRB23 snaps35%
Target Share26 targets
- Jaylen Waddle46%, 12 targets
- Mike Gesicki15%, 4 targets
- Durham Smythe12%, 3 targets
- Myles Gaskin12%, 3 targets
- Tommylee Lewis8%, 2 targets
- Other8%, 2 targets
Carry Share30 carries
- Duke Johnson43%, 13 carries
- Phillip Lindsay43%, 13 carries
- Myles Gaskin10%, 3 carries
- Tua Tagovailoa3%, 1 carries
New Orleans Saints
Snap Share
Nick VannettTE41 snaps79%
Marquez CallawayWR41 snaps79%
Alvin KamaraRB31 snaps60%
Lil'Jordan HumphreyWR28 snaps54%
Mark IngramRB24 snaps46%
Target Share18 targets
- Lil'Jordan Humphrey28%, 5 targets
- Marquez Callaway28%, 5 targets
- Alvin Kamara22%, 4 targets
- Ethan Wolf11%, 2 targets
- Kenny Stills6%, 1 targets
- Other6%, 1 targets
Carry Share22 carries
- Alvin Kamara59%, 13 carries
- Mark Ingram18%, 4 carries
- Ian Book14%, 3 carries
- Tony Jones9%, 2 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
| Player | SNAPS | SNAP % | TGT | TGT % | CAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 89% | 12 | 46% | 0 | |
| 41 | 79% | 1 | 6% | 0 | |
| 41 | 79% | 5 | 28% | 0 | |
| 51 | 78% | 3 | 12% | 0 | |
| 49 | 75% | 4 | 15% | 0 | |
| 46 | 71% | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 31 | 60% | 4 | 22% | 13 | |
| 28 | 54% | 5 | 28% | 0 | |
| 24 | 46% | 0 | 0% | 4 | |
| 24 | 46% | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 23 | 35% | 0 | 0% | 13 | |
| 17 | 33% | 1 | 6% | 0 | |
| 20 | 31% | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 20 | 31% | 3 | 12% | 3 | |
| 19 | 29% | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 19 | 29% | 0 | 0% | 13 | |
| 14 | 27% | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 12 | 23% | 2 | 11% | 0 | |
| 11 | 17% | 2 | 8% | 0 | |
| 6 | 12% | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 4 | 6% | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 3 | 5% | 2 | 8% | 0 | |
| 2 | 4% | 0 | 0% | 2 |
Fantasy Points vs Expected
Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.
- Biggest overperformer+5.0Jaylen Waddle25.2 PTS vs 20.2 xFP
- Biggest underperformer−7.2Alvin Kamara7.9 PTS vs 15.1 xFP
- Highest expected volume20.2 xFPJaylen Waddle25.2 PTS scored
| Player | PTS | xFP | vs xFP | Snap% | Usage | Rte% | Pass att | Car | Car% | Tgt | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen WaddleMIA · WR | 25.2 | 20.2 | +5.0 | 89% | 46% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 12 | 46% |
| Alvin KamaraNO · RB | 7.9 | 15.1 | −7.2 | 60% | 57% car | — | 0 | 13 | 57% | 4 | 22% |
| Tua TagovailoaMIA · QB | 11.0 | 12.1 | −1.1 | 94% | 26 att | — | 26 | 1 | 3% | 0 | 0% |
| Ian BookNO · QB | 4.0 | 10.7 | −6.7 | 96% | 20 att | — | 20 | 3 | 13% | 0 | 0% |
| Lil'Jordan HumphreyNO · WR | 10.0 | 8.4 | +1.6 | 54% | 28% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 5 | 28% |
| Marquez CallawayNO · WR | 8.6 | 8.4 | +0.2 | 79% | 28% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 5 | 28% |
| Duke JohnsonMIA · RB | 3.9 | 8.3 | −4.4 | 35% | 43% car | — | 0 | 13 | 43% | 0 | 0% |
| Phillip LindsayMIA · RB | 3.6 | 8.3 | −4.7 | 29% | 43% car | — | 0 | 13 | 43% | 0 | 0% |
| Myles GaskinMIA · RB | 2.6 | 7.0 | −4.4 | 31% | 12% tgt | — | 0 | 3 | 10% | 3 | 12% |
| Mike GesickiMIA · TE | 5.2 | 6.7 | −1.5 | 75% | 15% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 4 | 15% |
| Durham SmytheMIA · TE | 6.1 | 5.1 | +1.0 | 78% | 12% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 3 | 12% |
| Ethan WolfNO · TE | 2.8 | 3.4 | −0.6 | 23% | 11% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 2 | 11% |
| Mack HollinsMIA · WR | 5.0 | 3.4 | +1.6 | 17% | 8% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 2 | 8% |
| Tommylee LewisMIA · WR | 1.7 | 3.4 | −1.7 | 5% | 8% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 2 | 8% |
| Mark Ingram IINO · RB | 1.7 | 2.6 | −0.9 | 46% | 17% car | — | 0 | 4 | 17% | 0 | 0% |
| Kenny StillsNO · WR | 1.4 | 1.7 | −0.3 | 33% | 6% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1 | 6% |
| Nick VannettNO · TE | 0.0 | 1.7 | −1.7 | 79% | 6% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1 | 6% |
| Tony Jones Jr.NO · — | 0.6 | 1.3 | −0.7 | 4% | 9% car | — | 0 | 2 | 9% | 0 | 0% |
| Adam PrenticeNO · RB | 0.2 | 0.6 | −0.4 | — | 4% car | — | 0 | 1 | 4% | 0 | 0% |
Team totals: Dolphins 26 targets and 30 carries; Saints 18 targets and 23 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2021 season: 1.68 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.64 per carry and 0.44 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.
Fantasy Verdicts
Tua Tagovailoa
MIA · QB · 11.0 pts on 12.1 expected
19 of 26 passing for 198 yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception; 1 carry for 1 yard.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 12.1 expected.
Last 5 games + this one (PPR): 11.3, 18.5, 11.2, 17.9, 14.7, 11.0
W10W11W12W13W15W16
Fewest points since Week 2.
Ian Book Unlucky
NO · QB · 4.0 pts on 10.7 expected
12 of 20 passing for 135 yards, 2 interceptions; 3 carries for 6 yards.
Verdict: The role was there, worth 10.7 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.
Jaylen Waddle Ran hot
MIA · WR · 25.2 pts on 20.2 expected
12 targets (46% of the team's), 10 catches for 92 yards and 1 touchdown.
Verdict: The opportunities were worth 20.2 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.
Last 5 games + this one (PPR): 16.3, 10.1, 20.6, 28.7, 18.0, 25.2
W9W10W11W12W13W16
Duke Johnson
MIA · RB · 3.9 pts on 8.3 expected
13 carries (43% of the team's) for 39 yards.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 8.3 expected.
Alvin Kamara Unlucky
NO · RB · 7.9 pts on 15.1 expected
4 targets (22% of the team's), 2 catches for 7 yards; 13 carries (57% of the team's) for 52 yards.
Verdict: The role was there, worth 15.1 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.
Last 5 games + this one (PPR): 33.9, 16.6, 20.4, 24.5, 5.1, 7.9
W7W8W9W14W15W16
A touchdown in 5 of the last 8 games.
Lil'Jordan Humphrey
NO · WR · 10.0 pts on 8.4 expected
5 targets (28% of the team's), 3 catches for 70 yards.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 8.4 expected.
Last 5 games + this one (PPR): 0.0, 7.4, 7.7, 12.9, 0.0, 10.0
W7W11W12W13W15W16
Durham Smythe
MIA · TE · 6.1 pts on 5.1 expected
3 targets (12% of the team's), 3 catches for 31 yards.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 5.1 expected.
Last 5 games + this one (PPR): 3.3, 7.7, 8.5, 0.0, 1.4, 6.1
W10W11W12W13W15W16
Myles Gaskin
MIA · RB · 2.6 pts on 7.0 expected
3 targets (12% of the team's), 1 catch for 6 yards; 3 carries (10% of the team's) for 10 yards.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 7.0 expected.
Last 5 games + this one (PPR): 5.5, 18.6, 19.2, 6.9, 5.4, 2.6
W10W11W12W13W15W16
Fewest points since Week 6.
Stock Up, Stock Down
Miami Dolphins
- ▲Stock up: Duke Johnson led the backfield with 35% of the snaps after trailing Myles Gaskin before this game.
- ▲Stock up: Durham Smythe played 78% of the snaps, up from a 60% season average.
- ▼Stock down: Myles Gaskin lost the backfield lead: 31% of the snaps to Duke Johnson's 35%.
New Orleans Saints
- ▲Stock up: Lil'Jordan Humphrey played 54% of the snaps, up from a 35% season average.
- ▲Stock up: Nick Vannett played 79% of the snaps, up from a 51% season average.
- ▼Stock down: Alvin Kamara played 60% of the snaps, down from a 77% season average.
Fantasy Matchups
Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2021 through Week 18.
| Points allowed to | Dolphins D | Saints D |
|---|---|---|
| QBs | 16.2 | 16.3 |
| RBs | 21.3 | 17.7 |
| WRs | 33.1 | 34.8 |
| TEs | 12.0 | 9.4 |
Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.
How the Game Swung
New Orleans opened at 41% win probability and fell below 2% in the third quarter.
Saints win probability
Key Swings
- −19Needham 28-yd pick-six42% → 23%Q1 10:25
- −7Sanders 48-yd FG22% → 15%Q1 2:09
- +7Maher 38-yd FG12% → 19%Q2 2:45
- −13Tagovailoa → Waddle, 1-yd TD15% → 3%Q3 5:10
Swing in Saints win probability, in points
Play Calling and Possessions
| Miami Dolphins | Measure | New Orleans Saints |
|---|---|---|
| 59 | Plays | 51 |
| 49% | Pass rate | 55% |
| 6.0 | Yds / dropback | 2.9 |
| 2.9 | Yds / carry | 3.6 |
| 5/15 | Third downs | 0/12 |
Efficiency edge Miami ran 8 more plays and gained 3.1 more yards per dropback.
- Top targets
- MIA Waddle 46% · Gesicki 15% · Smythe 12%
- NO Humphrey 28% · Callaway 28% · Kamara 22%
Possession Results
| Result | MIA | NO |
|---|---|---|
| Touchdowns | 1 | 0 |
| Field goals | 2 | 1 |
| Punts | 6 | 7 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 2 |
| Turnovers on downs | 0 | 1 |
| Missed field goals | 1 | 0 |
MIA turnover edge: +1
- The Dolphins opened the scoring on their second possession, a 12-play, 39-yard drive that ended in a field goal.
All 23 possessions, drive by drive
| Team | Start | Plays | Yards | Time | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | Q1 15:00 | 6 | 32 | 3:22 | Punt |
| NO | Q1 11:38 | 3 | 7 | 1:13 | Interception |
| NO | Q1 10:25 | 3 | -6 | 1:34 | Punt |
| MIA | Q1 8:51 | 12 | 39 | 6:42 | Field goal |
| NO | Q1 2:09 | 3 | -3 | 1:58 | Punt |
| MIA | Q1 0:11 | 5 | 20 | 2:57 | Punt |
| NO | Q2 12:14 | 4 | 9 | 2:23 | Punt |
| MIA | Q2 9:51 | 3 | 0 | 2:27 | Punt |
| NO | Q2 7:24 | 8 | 55 | 4:39 | Field goal |
| MIA | Q2 2:45 | 8 | 34 | 2:45 | Missed FG |
| NO | Q3 15:00 | 3 | 6 | 1:23 | Punt |
| MIA | Q3 13:37 | 3 | 1 | 1:21 | Interception |
| NO | Q3 12:16 | 5 | 12 | 2:36 | Punt |
| MIA | Q3 9:40 | 9 | 86 | 4:30 | Touchdown |
| NO | Q3 5:10 | 4 | 14 | 2:22 | Punt |
| MIA | Q3 2:48 | 3 | 9 | 2:20 | Punt |
| NO | Q3 0:28 | 4 | 9 | 1:11 | Downs |
| MIA | Q4 14:17 | 6 | 22 | 2:12 | Field goal |
| NO | Q4 12:05 | 7 | -4 | 4:00 | Punt |
| MIA | Q4 8:05 | 4 | 17 | 3:33 | Punt |
| NO | Q4 4:32 | 6 | 59 | 1:41 | Interception |
| MIA | Q4 2:51 | 3 | 6 | 1:47 | Punt |
| NO | Q4 1:04 | 2 | 6 | 1:04 | End of game |
About these numbers
The Dolphins' interception touchdown is counted as a Saints interception, not as a Dolphins possession. Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.
Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.
Dolphins vs Saints Head-to-Head
The Dolphins and Saints first met in 1970 and have played 14 times since.
- All-time series
- 8–6Dolphins lead, 14 meetings since 1970
- Postseason
- 0No playoff meetings
- Largest Dolphins win
- 21–01974
- Largest Saints win
- 38–172013
Since 2021
2–0 Dolphins lead
2 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.
- D
- D
Oldest to newest. D = Dolphins win, S = Saints win, outlined = this game.
Recent Meetings
- 2025 Wk 13 Saints at Dolphins, 2025 Wk 13 recap MIA 21 NO 17 MIA W
- 2021 Wk 16 Dolphins at Saints MIA 20 NO 3 MIA W
Season to Date (Through Week 18)
The 2021 regular season, from each game's box score.
| Dolphins | Stat | Saints |
|---|---|---|
| 9-8 | Record | 9-8 |
| 20.1 | Points per game | 21.4 |
| 307.0 | Yards per game | 304.5 |
| 4.8 | Yards per play | 4.9 |
| 21.9 | Points allowed per game | 19.7 |
| 337.5 | Yards allowed per game | 318.2 |
Dolphins vs Saints Odds and Results
How this game finished against the betting lines.
- Spread
- MIA −3Dolphins covered by 14
- Total
- 37.5Under: 23 points scored (by 14.5)
Expected vs Actual Scoring
| Team | Implied | Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dolphins | 20.3 | 20 | −0.3 |
| Saints | 17.3 | 3 | −14.3 |
Both offenses finished under the market's expectation, which matches the low fantasy output in the Fantasy tab.
Betting Trends
Each team's 2021 season through this game. Over/under is overs first.
Miami Dolphins
- Against the spread
- 8–6–1
- Over/under
- 6–9
- ATS as favorite
- 4–3
- ATS as underdog
- 4–3–1
- ATS on the road
- 4–2–1
New Orleans Saints
- Against the spread
- 7–8
- Over/under
- 6–9
- ATS as favorite
- 2–4
- ATS as underdog
- 5–4
- ATS at home
- 2–5
Lines: ESPN's consensus, captured at kickoff. Individual sportsbooks varied.
21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Betting availability depends on your state.
Dolphins and Saints in Fantasy
The two teams don't meet again this season. If you roster a Dolphin or a Saint, these answer the week-to-week question.
- Start/Sit ToolShould your Dolphins or Saints player start this week? Compare the decision against your other options.
- Fantasy Football ProjectionsSee the latest weekly and rest-of-season projections for Dolphins and Saints players.
- Fantasy Points Allowed by PositionHow the Dolphins and Saints defenses have treated QBs, RBs, WRs and TEs.
- Strength of ScheduleWhere each team's remaining games fall in your fantasy playoff run.
- Redraft CommandConnect your league for personalized lineup, trade and roster advice.
Keep Exploring
2021 Game Logs for Players in This Game
Dolphins vs Saints Game FAQ
Who won the 2021 Dolphins vs Saints Week 16 game?
The Miami Dolphins beat the New Orleans Saints 20–3 in Week 16 of the 2021 season. The game was played at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA, on December 27, 2021. See the Dolphins' 2021 schedule.
What was the final score of Dolphins vs Saints?
The final score was Dolphins 20, Saints 3. The Dolphins led 10–3 at halftime, and the second half went Dolphins 10, Saints 0.
What happened in the Dolphins vs Saints game?
Miami led 10–3 at halftime and outscored New Orleans 10–0 after the break to win 20–3. The Dolphins finished with a 259–164 edge in total offense and averaged 4.4 yards per play. Jaylen Waddle led all players with 10 catches for 92 yards and a touchdown. The Saints committed 2 turnovers, the Dolphins 1.
Who scored the most fantasy points in Dolphins vs Saints?
Jaylen Waddle led the game with 25.2 PPR fantasy points, the WR8 of Week 16, on 10 catches for 92 yards and a touchdown. Lil'Jordan Humphrey was next with 10.0 (WR47). See Jaylen Waddle's 2021 game log.
Who led Dolphins vs Saints in passing, rushing and receiving?
Tua Tagovailoa (MIA) led all passers with 19 of 26 for 198 yards, a touchdown and an interception. Alvin Kamara (NO) led in rushing with 13 carries for 52 yards. Jaylen Waddle (MIA) led in receiving with 10 catches for 92 yards and a touchdown.
How many fantasy points did Jaylen Waddle score against the Saints?
Jaylen Waddle scored 25.2 points in PPR leagues, 20.2 in half-PPR and 15.2 in standard scoring against the Saints in Week 16 of the 2021 season, on 10 catches for 92 yards and a touchdown. He drew 46% of his team's targets.
Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Dolphins vs Saints?
Jaylen Waddle outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 25.2 PPR points on 20.2 xFP (+5.0). Alvin Kamara fell furthest short, with 7.9 points on 15.1 xFP (−7.2). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.
Who had the highest expected fantasy points in Dolphins vs Saints?
Jaylen Waddle had the most fantasy opportunity in the game, worth 20.2 expected PPR points (xFP) at league-average rates, and scored 25.2. Expected points measure the volume of a player's pass attempts, carries and targets, not how well he used them.
How did the Dolphins beat the Saints?
The Dolphins beat the Saints 20–3 because they averaged 4.4 yards per play to 3.2, won the turnover battle 2–1, and outgained them 259–164.
Which team won the turnover battle in Dolphins vs Saints?
The Dolphins won the turnover battle 2–1: the Saints gave the ball away 2 times and the Dolphins 1 time. The Dolphins won the game.
What is the all-time Dolphins vs Saints record?
The Dolphins lead the all-time series 8–6 across 14 meetings since 1970.
When did the Dolphins and Saints last play before this game?
Before Week 16 of 2021, they last met in the 2017 season on October 1, 2017, when the Saints beat the Dolphins 20–0.
What was the closing spread for Dolphins vs Saints?
The consensus closing spread at kickoff was Dolphins −3, making the Miami Dolphins 3-point favorites, with a closing total of 37.5. That implied about 20.3 points for the Dolphins and 17.3 for the Saints.
Did Dolphins vs Saints go over or under the total?
The game went under. The consensus closing total was 37.5, and the teams combined for 23 points, 14.5 under the number.
Who covered the spread in Dolphins vs Saints?
The Dolphins covered by 14 against the closing line of Dolphins −3. The final margin was 17 points.
