Final2023 Week 4

Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints, Week 4 2023

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

AwayWon

26

New Orleans Saints

Home

9

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Buccaneers01401226
Saints30339

TB 26NO 9 Final

  • Passing leader

    Baker Mayfield

    TB · QB

    23.9PPR pts

    25/32, 246 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Alvin Kamara

    NO · RB

    21.4PPR pts

    11 ATT, 51 YDS, 13 REC, 33 REC YDS

  • Saints leader

    Michael Thomas

    NO · WR

    9.3PPR pts

    4 REC, 53 YDS

  • Defensive playmaker

    Isaac Yiadom

    NO

    1 INT, 6 TKL

Buccaneers 26, Saints 9: Tampa Bay beats New Orleans

Tampa Bay led 14–3 at halftime after a 14-point second quarter and outscored New Orleans 12–6 after the break to win 26–9. The Buccaneers finished with a 353–197 edge in total offense and averaged 5.3 yards per play.

The gap showed up everywhere. The Saints went 5-for-14 on third down and committed three turnovers.

The two teams meet again in Week 15 of 2026. If you roster anyone from either side, run the start/sit call in Redraft Command and it will weigh your lineup, your opponent and your league scoring, not only the player rankings.

Key advantages

  • +2.1 yards/play TB 5.3 · NO 3.2
  • +2 turnover margin TB 1 · NO 3 turnovers
  • +156 total yards TB 353 · NO 197

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

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Why the Buccaneers Won

Tampa Bay won the efficiency, turnover, third-down, and time of possession battles.

Team stats comparison, Buccaneers vs Saints
BuccaneersStatSaints
5.3Yards per play3.2
1Turnovers3
353Total yards197
Other team stats
67Plays61
53%Third-down conversion36%
31:11Time of possession28:49

Scoring Summary

The Buccaneers scored three touchdowns and two field goals; the Saints scored three field goals.

Scoring plays, Buccaneers vs Saints
TimeTeamPlayTBNO
1st quarter
9:20NOBlake Grupe 37-yard FG Takes lead03
2nd quarter
5:19TBBaker Mayfield → Cade Otton, 4-yard TD Takes leadChase McLaughlin XP73
0:19TBBaker Mayfield → Trey Palmer, 1-yard TD Extends leadChase McLaughlin XP143
3rd quarter
0:49NOBlake Grupe 32-yard FG146
4th quarter
13:31TBChase McLaughlin 51-yard FG Extends lead176
8:29NOBlake Grupe 44-yard FG179
3:44TBBaker Mayfield → Deven Thompkins, 5-yard TD Extends lead2-pt try failed239
2:24TBChase McLaughlin 28-yard FG Extends lead269

Fantasy Points: Buccaneers vs Saints, Week 4 2023

Fantasy leaders

  1. Baker MayfieldTBQB23.9 PTSQB7
  2. Alvin KamaraNORB21.4 PTSRB9
  3. Chris GodwinTBWR19.4 PTSWR10
  4. Deven ThompkinsTBWR15.6 PTSWR18

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Baker MayfieldTBQB23.9QB725/32246318310116.9Start/Sit →
Derek CarrNOQB3.2QB3223/371270021068.2
Jameis WinstonNOQB-1.0—0/1001———0.0Start/Sit →

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Alvin KamaraNORB21.4RB9RB115101413330Start/Sit →
Chris GodwinTBWR19.4WR10WR———1181140
Deven ThompkinsTBWR15.6WR18WR111044451
Rachaad WhiteTBRB10.8RB21RB1556033220Start/Sit →
Cade OttonTBTE10.3TE15TE———43131Start/Sit →
Michael ThomasNOWR9.3WR43WR———64530
Trey PalmerTBWR8.6WR48WR———3261
Mike EvansTBWR7.0WR54WR———33400Start/Sit →
Rashid ShaheedNOWR6.3WR60WR———73330Start/Sit →
Taysom HillNOTE3.2TE35TE41001170
Ke'Shawn VaughnTBRB2.9RB56RB91601130
Kendre MillerNORB1.8RB65RB1301150Start/Sit →
Chris OlaveNOWR1.4WR119WR———6140Start/Sit →
Rakim JarrettTBWR1.3WR120WR———1130
Lynn BowdenNOWR0.0—WR———1000

Fantasy Usage

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Snap Share

  1. Cade OttonTE71 snaps100%
  2. Chris GodwinWR53 snaps75%
  3. Trey PalmerWR53 snaps75%
  4. Rachaad WhiteRB50 snaps70%
  5. Deven ThompkinsWR45 snaps63%

Target Share30 targets

  1. Chris Godwin37%, 11 targets
  2. Cade Otton13%, 4 targets
  3. Deven Thompkins13%, 4 targets
  4. Mike Evans10%, 3 targets
  5. Rachaad White10%, 3 targets
  6. Other17%, 5 targets

Carry Share33 carries

  1. Rachaad White45%, 15 carries
  2. Ke'Shawn Vaughn27%, 9 carries
  3. Baker Mayfield24%, 8 carries
  4. Deven Thompkins3%, 1 carries

New Orleans Saints

Snap Share

  1. Chris OlaveWR53 snaps82%
  2. Michael ThomasWR52 snaps80%
  3. Alvin KamaraRB49 snaps75%
  4. Jimmy GrahamTE42 snaps65%
  5. Rashid ShaheedWR38 snaps58%

Target Share36 targets

  1. Alvin Kamara39%, 14 targets
  2. Rashid Shaheed19%, 7 targets
  3. Michael Thomas17%, 6 targets
  4. Chris Olave17%, 6 targets
  5. Taysom Hill3%, 1 targets
  6. Other6%, 2 targets

Carry Share18 carries

  1. Alvin Kamara61%, 11 carries
  2. Taysom Hill22%, 4 carries
  3. Derek Carr11%, 2 carries
  4. Kendre Miller6%, 1 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
Cade OttonTBTE71100%413%0
Chris OlaveNOWR5382%617%0
Michael ThomasNOWR5280%617%0
Alvin KamaraNORB4975%1439%11
Chris GodwinTBWR5375%1137%0
Trey PalmerTBWR5375%310%0
Rachaad WhiteTBRB5070%310%15
Jimmy GrahamNOTE4265%00%0
Deven ThompkinsTBWR4563%413%1
Rashid ShaheedNOWR3858%719%0
Taysom HillNOTE3351%13%4
Mike EvansTBWR2637%310%0
Ke'Shawn VaughnTBRB2130%13%9
Keith KirkwoodNOWR1929%00%0
Ko KieftTBTE1521%00%0
Rakim JarrettTBWR1318%13%0
Lynn BowdenNOWR1117%13%0
Tony JonesNORB1117%00%0
David WellsTBTE811%00%0
Kendre MillerNORB58%13%1

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

  • Biggest overperformer+8.3Deven Thompkins15.6 PTS vs 7.3 xFP
  • Biggest underperformer−13.6Derek Carr3.2 PTS vs 16.8 xFP
  • Highest expected volume30.1 xFPAlvin Kamara21.4 PTS scored
Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Alvin KamaraNO · RB21.430.1−8.775%58% car—01158%1437%
Chris Godwin Jr.TB · WR19.418.8+0.675%37% tgt—100%1137%
Baker MayfieldTB · QB23.918.4+5.5100%32 att—32824%00%
Derek CarrNO · QB3.216.8−13.686%37 att—37211%00%
Rachaad WhiteTB · RB10.814.2−3.470%45% car—01545%310%
Rashid ShaheedNO · WR6.311.7−5.458%18% tgt—000%718%
Chris OlaveNO · WR1.410.0−8.682%16% tgt—000%616%
Michael ThomasNO · WR9.310.0−0.780%16% tgt—000%616%
Deven ThompkinsTB · WR15.67.3+8.363%13% tgt—013%413%
Ke'Shawn VaughnTB · RB2.97.2−4.330%27% car—0927%13%
Cade OttonTB · TE10.36.7+3.6100%13% tgt—000%413%
Mike EvansTB · WR7.05.0+2.037%10% tgt—000%310%
Trey PalmerTB · WR8.65.0+3.675%10% tgt—000%310%
Taysom HillNO · TE3.24.5−1.351%21% car—1421%13%
Adam PrenticeNO · RB0.04.0−4.0—5% tgt—015%25%
Kendre MillerNO · RB1.82.3−0.58%5% car—015%13%
Lynn Bowden Jr.NO · WR0.01.7−1.717%3% tgt—000%13%
Rakim JarrettTB · WR1.31.7−0.418%3% tgt—000%13%
Jameis WinstonNO · QB-1.00.4−1.42%1 att—100%00%

Team totals: Buccaneers 30 targets and 33 carries; Saints 38 targets and 19 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2023 season: 1.67 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.61 per carry and 0.42 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Baker Mayfield Ran hot

TB · QB · 23.9 pts on 18.4 expected

25 of 32 passing for 246 yards, 3 touchdowns, 1 interception; 8 carries for 31 yards.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 18.4 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Baker Mayfield →

Derek Carr Unlucky

NO · QB · 3.2 pts on 16.8 expected

23 of 37 passing for 127 yards; 2 carries for 1 yard.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 16.8 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Chris Godwin Jr. Strong role

TB · WR · 19.4 pts on 18.8 expected

0 of 1 passing for 0 yards; 11 targets (37% of the team's), 8 catches for 114 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 18.8 expected.

Rachaad White

TB · RB · 10.8 pts on 14.2 expected

3 targets (10% of the team's), 3 catches for 22 yards; 15 carries (45% of the team's) for 56 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 14.2 expected.

Start/Sit: Rachaad White →

Alvin Kamara Volume, no payoff

NO · RB · 21.4 pts on 30.1 expected

14 targets (37% of the team's), 13 catches for 33 yards; 11 carries (58% of the team's) for 51 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 30.1 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Alvin Kamara →

Rashid Shaheed Unlucky

NO · WR · 6.3 pts on 11.7 expected

7 targets (18% of the team's), 3 catches for 33 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 11.7 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Rashid Shaheed →

Chris Olave Unlucky

NO · WR · 1.4 pts on 10.0 expected

6 targets (16% of the team's), 1 catch for 4 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 10.0 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Chris Olave →

Deven Thompkins Ran hot

TB · WR · 15.6 pts on 7.3 expected

4 targets (13% of the team's), 4 catches for 45 yards and 1 touchdown; 1 carry (3% of the team's) for 11 yards.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 7.3 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Stock Up, Stock Down

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Stock up: Deven Thompkins played 63% of the snaps, up from a 31% season average.
  • Stock up: Trey Palmer played 75% of the snaps, up from a 52% season average.
  • Stock down: Mike Evans played 37% of the snaps, down from a 75% season average.

New Orleans Saints

  • Stock up: Alvin Kamara led the backfield with 75% of the snaps after trailing Kendre Miller before this game.
  • Stock up: Taysom Hill played 51% of the snaps, up from a 28% season average.
  • Stock down: Kendre Miller lost the backfield lead: 8% of the snaps to Alvin Kamara's 75%.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2023 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Buccaneers defense and Saints defense
Points allowed toBuccaneers DSaints D
QBs17.715.4
RBs17.619.3
WRs35.929.9
TEs14.812.4

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

New Orleans opened at 50% win probability and fell below 2% in the fourth quarter.

Saints win probability

Saints win probability by game minuteSaints started at 50%, stood at 13% at halftime and finished at 0%, across 8 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. +9Grupe 37-yd FG50% → 59%Q1 9:20
  2. −26Mayfield → Otton, 4-yd TD61% → 35%Q2 5:19
  3. −21Mayfield → Palmer, 1-yd TD34% → 13%Q2 0:19
  4. +7Grupe 32-yd FG6% → 12%Q3 0:49
  5. −6McLaughlin 51-yd FG11% → 4%Q4 13:31

Swing in Saints win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Buccaneers vs Saints
Tampa Bay BuccaneersMeasureNew Orleans Saints
67Plays61
51%Pass rate69%
7.0Yds / dropback3.0
3.5Yds / carry3.7
8/15Third downs5/14

Efficiency edge Tampa Bay ran 6 more plays and gained 4.0 more yards per dropback.

  • Top targets
  • TB Godwin 37% · Otton 13% · Thompkins 13%
  • NO Kamara 37% · Shaheed 18% · Olave 16%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Buccaneers vs Saints
ResultTBNO
Touchdowns30
Field goals23
Punts44
Turnovers13

TB turnover edge: +2

  • The Saints opened the scoring on their first possession, a 11-play, 56-yard drive that ended in a field goal.
All 22 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
NOQ1 15:0011565:40Field goal
TBQ1 9:207324:00Punt
NOQ1 5:20310:56Punt
TBQ1 4:24330:50Punt
NOQ1 3:348324:24Punt
TBQ2 14:1017878:51Touchdown
NOQ2 5:196153:13Punt
TBQ2 2:068591:25Interception
NOQ2 0:41150:12Fumble
TBQ2 0:29260:10Touchdown
NOQ2 0:191-10:19End of half
TBQ3 15:003-52:15Punt
NOQ3 12:45341:22Punt
TBQ3 11:235163:25Punt
NOQ3 7:5812577:09Field goal
TBQ3 0:496422:18Field goal
NOQ4 13:3114495:02Field goal
TBQ4 8:2910754:45Touchdown
NOQ4 3:444-60:22Fumble
TBQ4 3:22490:58Field goal
NOQ4 2:24100:10Interception
TBQ4 2:14412:14End of game
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Buccaneers vs Saints Head-to-Head

The Buccaneers and Saints first met in 1977 and have played 69 times since. They have been NFC South rivals since 2002.

All-time series
41–28Saints lead, 69 meetings since 1977
Postseason
1–0Buccaneers won in 2020
Largest Buccaneers win
48–212001
Largest Saints win
41–02012

Since 2021

6–4 Buccaneers lead

10 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. B = Buccaneers win, S = Saints win, outlined = this game.

2026 Meetings

  • Week 15 Saints at Buccaneers Upcoming
  • Week 18 Buccaneers at Saints Upcoming

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2023 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Buccaneers vs Saints
BuccaneersStatSaints
9-8Record9-8
20.5Points per game23.6
313.0Yards per game337.2
5.1Yards per play5.1
19.1Points allowed per game19.2
344.2Yards allowed per game327.2

Buccaneers vs Saints Fantasy Outlook for 2026

Two meetings are left on the 2026 schedule: Week 15 in Tampa Bay and Week 18 in New Orleans. Here's how to decide who to play in your league.

Keep Exploring

2023 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Buccaneers vs Saints Game FAQ

Who won the 2023 Buccaneers vs Saints Week 4 game?

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the New Orleans Saints 26–9 in Week 4 of the 2023 season. The game was played at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA, on October 1, 2023. See the Buccaneers' 2023 schedule.

What was the final score of Buccaneers vs Saints?

The final score was Buccaneers 26, Saints 9. The Buccaneers led 14–3 at halftime, and the second half went Buccaneers 12, Saints 6.

What happened in the Buccaneers vs Saints game?

Tampa Bay led 14–3 at halftime after a 14-point second quarter and outscored New Orleans 12–6 after the break to win 26–9. The Buccaneers finished with a 353–197 edge in total offense and averaged 5.3 yards per play. Baker Mayfield led all players with 25 of 32 passing for 246 yards and 3 touchdowns, plus 8 carries for 31 rushing yards. The Saints committed 3 turnovers, the Buccaneers 1.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Buccaneers vs Saints?

Baker Mayfield led the game with 23.9 PPR fantasy points, the QB7 of Week 4, on 25 of 32 passing for 246 yards and 3 touchdowns, plus 8 carries for 31 rushing yards. Alvin Kamara was next with 21.4 (RB9). See Baker Mayfield's 2023 game log.

Who led Buccaneers vs Saints in passing, rushing and receiving?

Baker Mayfield (TB) led all passers with 25 of 32 for 246 yards, 3 touchdowns and an interception. Rachaad White (TB) led in rushing with 15 carries for 56 yards. Chris Godwin (TB) led in receiving with 8 catches for 114 yards.

How many fantasy points did Baker Mayfield score against the Saints?

Baker Mayfield scored 23.9 fantasy points against the Saints in Week 4 of the 2023 season, the same in PPR, half-PPR and standard scoring because he had no catches, on 25 of 32 passing for 246 yards and 3 touchdowns, plus 8 carries for 31 rushing yards.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Buccaneers vs Saints?

Deven Thompkins outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 15.6 PPR points on 7.3 xFP (+8.3). Derek Carr fell furthest short, with 3.2 points on 16.8 xFP (−13.6). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

Who had the highest expected fantasy points in Buccaneers vs Saints?

Alvin Kamara had the most fantasy opportunity in the game, worth 30.1 expected PPR points (xFP) at league-average rates, and scored 21.4. Expected points measure the volume of a player's pass attempts, carries and targets, not how well he used them.

How did the Buccaneers beat the Saints?

The Buccaneers beat the Saints 26–9 because they averaged 5.3 yards per play to 3.2, won the turnover battle 3–1, and outgained them 353–197.

Which team won the turnover battle in Buccaneers vs Saints?

The Buccaneers won the turnover battle 3–1: the Saints gave the ball away 3 times and the Buccaneers 1 time. The Buccaneers won the game.

What was the turning point of Buccaneers vs Saints?

Baker Mayfield's 4-yard touchdown pass to Cade Otton with 5:19 left in the second quarter was the biggest swing of the game, moving the Saints' win probability from 61% to 35%.

What is the all-time Buccaneers vs Saints record?

The Saints lead the all-time series 41–28 across 69 meetings since 1977, including a 0–1 record in the postseason.

When did the Buccaneers and Saints last play before this game?

Before Week 4 of 2023, they last met in the 2022 season on December 5, 2022, when the Buccaneers beat the Saints 17–16.

Have the Buccaneers and Saints met in the playoffs?

Yes, 1 time, most recently in the 2020 playoffs. The Buccaneers are 1–0 against the Saints in the postseason.

What is the Buccaneers vs Saints record since 2021?

The Buccaneers lead 6–4 across 10 meetings since the 2021 season, including this game.