Aaron Jones Sr. 2026 fantasy outlook and rest-of-season projection
- Age
- 31
- Height / weight
- 5'10", 208 lb
- Experience
- 10th season
- Drafted
- 2017 R5, #182
2026 Season
- PPR PPG
- 12.3
- Pos rank
- RB21
- Rostered
- 90%
Week 8 at Lions, Sun Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET 24th vs. RBs, tough
Aaron Jones Sr. Rest-of-Season Outlook
Through 6 games he's RB21 at 12.3 PPR points per game, against 9.9 over 12 games last season (RB41). He's running ahead of last season's pace.
Through Week 7 he ranks 7th of 57 in rushing volume (17.5 carries per game), 16th of 57 in receiving role (3.2 targets per game) and 43rd of 56 in efficiency (1.47 yards after contact per carry). His points come from his rushing volume. Efficiency is the soft spot. Kyler Murray is his quarterback.
The job is secure: he's the listed starter and one of the best at his position. The main risk is health, and Jordan Mason is next on the depth chart if he misses time.
The next favorable matchups are the Bills in Week 9 (3rd against RBs) and the Packers in Week 10 (6th against RBs).
Read our preseason outlook (June 2026)
Published June 17, 2026. Kept for reference; the take above replaces it.
The 2025 tape flags real decline: Jones managed just 12 games, a -0.057 EPA per play, and a 4.15 yards-per-carry mark that trailed his 4.46 in a 17-game 2024 when he finished RB7 by our rank. His explosive-run rate dipped to 9.09 percent, breakaway runs to 3.79, and he forced a broken tackle only once every 26.4 carries while gaining a thin 1.77 yards after contact. The 90.7 fantasy points and rank of 39 reflect a back past his ground-game prime.
The receiving role is what keeps him relevant. He still ran 198 routes on a 55.1 percent snap share and turned 41 targets into 28 catches, banking 227 yards after the catch and an 8.8 percent target share. Now 30 in Minnesota, he splits early downs with Jordan Mason while owning passing-down work, leaving him a PPR-leaning flex with a capped ceiling. Hamstring, hip, and shoulder issues make a full season unlikely, so treat him as a late-round dart, not a weekly starter.
What Drives His Outlook
His 2026 rank through Week 7 among the 57 running backs who have played at least six games. Each bar is one running back, best on the left; his is highlighted.
Rushing volume
Receiving role
Efficiency
- Yards after contact per carry
- 1.47
- Broken tackles
- 4
- Explosive-run rate
- 8.6%
- Red-zone opportunities
- 14
- Snap share
- 65.3%
- Targets
- 19
What Could Change His Value
Upside
- A soft stretchThe Bills in Week 9 and the Packers in Week 10 are top-10 matchups for RBs.Wk 8 DET, 24thWk 9 BUF, 3rdWk 10 GB, 6thWk 11 SF, 9th
- Heavy rushing volume17.5 carries per game, 7th of 57 RBs in 2026.
- Featured receiving role3.2 targets per game, 16th of 57 RBs in 2026.
Risk
- HealthHis role is secure; if he misses time, Jordan Mason is next on the depth chart.
- Weak efficiency1.47 yards after contact per carry, 43rd of 56 RBs in 2026.
- A tough matchupThe Lions in Week 8 (24th) is among the stingiest defenses against RBs.
Keep researching Aaron Jones Sr
- RB rest-of-season rankingsWhere every RB ranks for the rest of 2026Open
- Vikings depth chartWho starts, who backs up, and who is next man upOpen
- RB strength of scheduleWhich defenses RBs face the rest of the wayOpen
- Trade value chartWhat every player is worth in a redraft tradeOpen
- Vikings usage reportSnap share, targets and touches by playerOpen
- RB projectionsWeekly and rest-of-season RB projectionsOpen
- Vikings scheduleEvery remaining opponent and the fantasy matchupOpen
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Aaron Jones Sr. Fantasy Outlook FAQ
What is Aaron Jones Sr.'s fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?
Aaron Jones Sr. projects as a workhorse RB2 every week for the rest of the 2026 season: a weekly starter in 12-team PPR, 10-team PPR and half-PPR leagues. His rushing volume (17.5 carries per game, 7th of 57 RBs in 2026) supports that. His efficiency (1.47 yards after contact per carry, 43rd of 56 RBs in 2026) holds him back. See his live rank in Redraft Command.
What is Aaron Jones Sr.'s rest-of-season fantasy ranking?
Aaron Jones Sr. is the RB21 in PPR points per game through Week 8. That puts him in RB2 territory, a weekly starter in 10-team PPR leagues.
What is Aaron Jones Sr.'s projected role going forward?
Aaron Jones Sr. is the listed starting RB, with Jordan Mason next on the depth chart. Nothing on the chart threatens the job, so the role is his to lose on performance.
Will Aaron Jones Sr. get more touches?
Aaron Jones Sr.'s touches are trending down: 18.5 a game over his last two games against 20.7 for the season. His share of the offense is what his fantasy value rides on.
What is Aaron Jones Sr.'s fantasy football upside?
Aaron Jones Sr.'s upside: his ceiling this season is 18.7 PPR points (Week 5, RB7), his rushing volume (17.5 carries per game, 7th of 57 RBs in 2026) gives him a weekly floor to build on and the Bills in Week 9 and the Packers in Week 10 are top-10 matchups for RBs.
What could hurt Aaron Jones Sr.'s fantasy value?
Aaron Jones Sr.'s risks: Jordan Mason is next on the depth chart if he is benched or hurt, his efficiency (1.47 yards after contact per carry, 43rd of 56 RBs in 2026) limits his scoring and the Lions in Week 8 is a tough matchup. See his injury status and history.
How difficult is Aaron Jones Sr.'s remaining fantasy schedule?
Favorable: of his next seven games, 5 come against a top-10 matchup for RBs and 1 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.