Caleb Williams 2026 fantasy outlook and rest-of-season projection
- Age
- 24
- Height / weight
- 6'1", 226 lb
- Experience
- 3rd season
- Drafted
- 2024 R1, #1
2026 Season
- PPR PPG
- 23.0
- Pos rank
- QB20
- Rostered
- 93%
Week 4 vs. Jets, Sun Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET 24th vs. QBs, tough
Caleb Williams Rest-of-Season Outlook
Volume-driven QB2 on the sideline for now
Out, hamstring.
Preseason Projection vs. Reality
He finished QB5 last season at 19.1 points per game.
Our Take After Week 4
Through 2 games he's QB20 at 23.0 PPR points per game, against 19.1 over 17 games last season (QB5). He's running ahead of last season's pace.
Last season he ranked 7th of 41 in passing volume (33.4 attempts per game), 16th of 41 in efficiency (0.074 EPA per play) and 12th of 41 in rushing (22.5 rush yards per game). His points come from his passing volume. Efficiency is the soft spot. Luther Burden and Kalif Raymond are his top two targets.
He's out, hamstring. Until he's back, his value is a bench spot at most, and Case Keenum takes his snaps.
Read our preseason outlook (June 2026)
Published June 16, 2026. Kept for reference; the take above replaces it.
Williams turned a shaky rookie campaign into a genuine QB1 breakout, climbing to a seventh-place finish on 316.2 fantasy points across 17 games. The efficiency jump tells the story: his EPA per play flipped from minus-0.057 to a positive 0.074, success rate rose to 43.8 percent, and his touchdown total nearly tripled the value of his rookie year at 27 scores against just seven picks for a franchise-record 3,942 yards. Crucially, sacks collapsed from 68 to 24 as the pocket finally held.
The dual-threat element keeps the floor sturdy, with 383 rushing yards and three scores layered on top of that passing production. A 58.1 percent completion rate and a 13.9 percent deep-attempt mark leave obvious room to grow, but with an elite play-caller and a loaded receiving room around him, betting on another step forward is the easy call here. Draft him as a high-upside QB1.
What Drives His Outlook
His 2025 rank among the 41 quarterbacks who played at least six games. Each bar is one quarterback, best on the left; his is highlighted.
Passing volume
Efficiency
Rushing
- Success rate
- 43.8%
- CPOE
- −3.5
- Sacks taken
- 24
- Pressure rate
- 25.1%
- Bad-throw rate
- 20.7%
- Deep-attempt rate
- 13.9%
What Could Change His Value
Upside
- The scheduleNone of his next four opponents is a top-10 matchup for QBs.Wk 4 NYJ, 24thWk 5 GB, 22ndWk 6 ATL, 13thWk 7 NE, 29th
- Heavy passing volume33.4 attempts per game, 7th of 41 QBs in 2025.
- Major rushing22.5 rush yards per game, 12th of 41 QBs in 2025.
Risk
- InjuryHe's out, hamstring, and Case Keenum is next on the depth chart.
- Tough matchupsThe Jets in Week 4 (24th) and the Patriots in Week 7 (29th) are among the stingiest defenses against QBs.
- Pressure and sacks24 sacks and a 25.1% pressure rate in 2025.
All Caleb Williams stats & analysis
QBs like Caleb Williams
Caleb Williams Fantasy Outlook FAQ
What is Caleb Williams's fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?
Caleb Williams projects as a volume-driven QB2 on the sideline for now for the rest of the 2026 season: a bench stash in superflex and 2QB, 12-team 1QB and 10-team 1QB leagues. His passing volume (33.4 attempts per game, 7th of 41 QBs in 2025) supports that. His efficiency (0.074 EPA per play, 16th of 41 QBs in 2025) holds him back. See his live rank in Redraft Command.
What is Caleb Williams's rest-of-season fantasy ranking?
Caleb Williams is the QB20 in PPR points per game through Week 4. That puts him in QB2 territory, a bench stash in 12-team 1QB leagues.
What is Caleb Williams's projected role going forward?
Caleb Williams is the listed starting QB, with Case Keenum next on the depth chart. He is out, hamstring for now, which puts that role on hold.
What is Caleb Williams's fantasy football upside?
Caleb Williams's upside: his ceiling this season is 37.3 PPR points (Week 1, QB1) and his passing volume (33.4 attempts per game, 7th of 41 QBs in 2025) gives him a weekly floor to build on.
What could hurt Caleb Williams's fantasy value?
Caleb Williams's risks: he is out, hamstring, his efficiency (0.074 EPA per play, 16th of 41 QBs in 2025) limits his scoring and the Jets in Week 4 and the Patriots in Week 7 are tough matchups. See his injury status and history.
How difficult is Caleb Williams's remaining fantasy schedule?
Difficult: of his next seven games, 0 come against a top-10 matchup for QBs and 4 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.