Dak Prescott 2026 fantasy outlook and rest-of-season projection
- Age
- 33
- Height / weight
- 6'2", 230 lb
- Experience
- 11th season
- Drafted
- 2016 R4, #135
2026 Season
- PPR PPG
- 21.4
- Pos rank
- QB9
- Rostered
- 95%
Week 4 at Texans, Sun Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET 9th vs. QBs, favorable
Dak Prescott Rest-of-Season Outlook
Volume-driven QB1 every week
Preseason Projection vs. Reality
He finished QB6 last season at 19.0 points per game.
Our Take After Week 4
Through 3 games he's QB9 at 21.4 PPR points per game, against 19.0 over 17 games last season (QB6). He's running ahead of last season's pace.
Last season he ranked 3rd of 41 in passing volume (35.3 attempts per game), 9th of 41 in efficiency (0.14 EPA per play) and 27th of 41 in rushing (10.4 rush yards per game). His points come from his passing volume. Rushing is the soft spot. CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens are his top two targets.
The job is secure: he's the listed starter and one of the best at his position. The main risk is health, and Sam Howell is next on the depth chart if he misses time.
The next favorable matchups are the Texans in Week 4 (9th against QBs) and the Eagles in Week 7 (7th against QBs).
Read our preseason outlook (June 2026)
Published June 16, 2026. Kept for reference; the take above replaces it.
Prescott reclaimed elite status in 2025, ranking third among quarterbacks with 313.8 fantasy points across a full 17 games after the 2024 ankle injury limited him to eight starts and a dismal QB31 finish. His 4,552 yards, 30 touchdowns and a 0.138 EPA per play confirmed the dip was health-driven, not decline, though his 47.4% success rate still trailed the 50% he posted at his 2023 peak. At 32, the efficiency floor is firmly established, and a 67.3% completion rate keeps the volume productive.
The surrounding talent only strengthens the case: a CeeDee Lamb, George Pickens and Jake Ferguson trio gives him a complete passing menu, and sharper red-zone conversion could push him toward the top five. He profiles as a draft-day bargain, with consensus rankings near QB11 and a price hovering around the eighth quarterback off the board. Modest passing-volume regression is plausible, but the discount makes him a near-lock value at QB1.
What Drives His Outlook
His 2025 rank among the 41 quarterbacks who played at least six games. Each bar is one quarterback, best on the left; his is highlighted.
Passing volume
Efficiency
Rushing
- Success rate
- 47.4%
- CPOE
- +2.2
- Sacks taken
- 31
- Pressure rate
- 21.6%
- Bad-throw rate
- 12.5%
- Deep-attempt rate
- 10.5%
What Could Change His Value
Upside
- A soft stretchThe Texans in Week 4 and the Eagles in Week 7 are top-10 matchups for QBs.Wk 4 HOU, 9thWk 5 TB, 23rdWk 6 GB, 22ndWk 7 PHI, 7th
- Heavy passing volume35.3 attempts per game, 3rd of 41 QBs in 2025.
- Strong efficiency0.14 EPA per play, 9th of 41 QBs in 2025.
Risk
- HealthHis role is secure; if he misses time, Sam Howell is next on the depth chart.
- A tough matchupThe Buccaneers in Week 5 (23rd) is among the stingiest defenses against QBs.
- Pressure and sacks31 sacks and a 21.6% pressure rate in 2025.
All Dak Prescott stats & analysis
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Dak Prescott Fantasy Outlook FAQ
What is Dak Prescott's fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?
Dak Prescott projects as a volume-driven QB1 every week for the rest of the 2026 season: a weekly starter in superflex and 2QB, 12-team 1QB and 10-team 1QB leagues. His passing volume (35.3 attempts per game, 3rd of 41 QBs in 2025) supports that. His rushing (10.4 rush yards per game, 27th of 41 QBs in 2025) holds him back. See his live rank in Redraft Command.
What is Dak Prescott's rest-of-season fantasy ranking?
Dak Prescott is the QB9 in PPR points per game through Week 4. That puts him in QB1 territory, a weekly starter in 12-team 1QB leagues.
What is Dak Prescott's projected role going forward?
Dak Prescott is the listed starting QB, with Sam Howell next on the depth chart. Nothing on the chart threatens the job, so the role is his to lose on performance.
Will Dak Prescott get more pass attempts?
Dak Prescott's pass attempts are holding steady: 35.5 a game over his last two games against 35.0 for the season. Game script drives much of that, and trailing teams throw more.
What is Dak Prescott's fantasy football upside?
Dak Prescott's upside: his ceiling this season is 29.8 PPR points (Week 2, QB3), his passing volume (35.3 attempts per game, 3rd of 41 QBs in 2025) gives him a weekly floor to build on and the Texans in Week 4 and the Eagles in Week 7 are top-10 matchups for QBs.
What could hurt Dak Prescott's fantasy value?
Dak Prescott's risks: Sam Howell is next on the depth chart if he is benched or hurt, his rushing (10.4 rush yards per game, 27th of 41 QBs in 2025) limits his scoring and the Buccaneers in Week 5 is a tough matchup. See his injury status and history.
How difficult is Dak Prescott's remaining fantasy schedule?
Favorable: of his next seven games, 4 come against a top-10 matchup for QBs and 2 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.