Davis Mills Rest-of-Season Outlook

Mills profiles as exactly what his profession demands of a backup: steady in a pinch, replaceable when the franchise quarterback returns. His 2025 spot duty produced a 39.4% success rate and minus-0.093 EPA per play across six games, with a 6.6-point negative CPOE that underlines how far below average his accuracy graded. He threw five touchdowns to one pick on 159 attempts, but at 5.75 yards per completion and only 10.2% deep attempts, the upside ceiling stays low. The lone redeeming arrow is improvement over a brutal 2024 line (minus-0.281 EPA, minus-11.7 CPOE).

For 2026, the math is simple. With C.J. Stroud healthy, Mills returns to the bench and carries no standalone value, sitting around QB60 in consensus rankings and rostered in roughly half a percent of leagues. He merits a streaming look only if Stroud misses time, where a projection near 153 passing yards and under one touchdown per game caps him as a desperation bye-week play.