Drake Maye 2026 fantasy outlook and rest-of-season projection
- Age
- 24
- Height / weight
- 6'4", 225 lb
- Experience
- 3rd season
- Drafted
- 2024 R1, #3
2026 Season
- PPR PPG
- 9.2
- Pos rank
- QB31
- Rostered
- 87%
Week 4 at Bills, Sun Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET 10th vs. QBs, favorable
Drake Maye Rest-of-Season Outlook
Efficient QB3 for deep leagues only
Preseason Projection vs. Reality
He finished QB2 last season at 21.2 points per game.
Our Take After Week 4
Through 3 games he's QB31 at 9.2 PPR points per game, against 21.2 over 17 games last season (QB2). He's running behind last season's pace.
Last season he ranked 24th of 41 in passing volume (28.9 attempts per game), 1st of 41 in efficiency (0.27 EPA per play) and 9th of 41 in rushing (26.5 rush yards per game). His points come from his efficiency. Passing volume is the soft spot. Mack Hollins and DeMario Douglas are his top two targets.
The main risk is the job itself. He's the listed starter with Tommy Devito next on the depth chart, and a benching or an injury would take his value to zero overnight.
The next favorable matchup is the Bills in Week 4 (10th against QBs).
Read our preseason outlook (June 2026)
Published June 17, 2026. Kept for reference; the take above replaces it.
Maye's 2025 jump wasn't noise, it was a full rebuild of his profile. His EPA per play swung from -0.03 to plus-0.265, his success rate climbed to 53%, and his CPOE hit a league-best-tier 10.8 on a 72% completion clip. He threw 31 touchdowns against just 8 picks over 17 games while finishing fourth among quarterbacks in fantasy points, and the dual-threat floor held with 450 rushing yards and 4 scores on the ground. The deep ball arrived too: 67 throws of 20-plus yards after only 25 the year prior.
The surrounding cast now matches the talent. New England added A.J. Brown and Romeo Doubs and shored up the line, giving Maye real outlets behind one of last year's most efficient passing attacks. A tougher schedule is the only legitimate worry, but with the rushing volume and red-zone usage intact, he profiles as a set-and-forget QB1 who can challenge the position's elite.
What Drives His Outlook
His 2025 rank among the 41 quarterbacks who played at least six games. Each bar is one quarterback, best on the left; his is highlighted.
Passing volume
Efficiency
Rushing
- Success rate
- 53.0%
- CPOE
- +10.8
- Sacks taken
- 47
- Pressure rate
- 21.8%
- Bad-throw rate
- 13.8%
- Deep-attempt rate
- 13.0%
What Could Change His Value
Upside
- A soft spotThe Bills in Week 4 is a top-10 matchup for QBs.Wk 4 BUF, 10thWk 5 LV, 18thWk 6 NYJ, 24thWk 7 CHI, 11th
- Strong efficiency0.27 EPA per play, 1st of 41 QBs in 2025.
- Major rushing26.5 rush yards per game, 9th of 41 QBs in 2025.
Risk
- Job securityTommy Devito is next on the depth chart; a benching or injury hands him the job.
- A tough matchupThe Jets in Week 6 (24th) is among the stingiest defenses against QBs.
- Pressure and sacks47 sacks and a 21.8% pressure rate in 2025.
All Drake Maye stats & analysis
QBs like Drake Maye
Drake Maye Fantasy Outlook FAQ
What is Drake Maye's fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?
Drake Maye projects as an efficient QB3 for deep leagues only for the rest of the 2026 season: a streamer in superflex and 2QB leagues and waiver-wire material in 1QB leagues. His efficiency (0.27 EPA per play, 1st of 41 QBs in 2025) supports that. His passing volume (28.9 attempts per game, 24th of 41 QBs in 2025) holds him back. See his live rank in Redraft Command.
What is Drake Maye's rest-of-season fantasy ranking?
Drake Maye is the QB31 in PPR points per game through Week 4. That puts him in QB3 territory, waiver-wire material in 12-team 1QB leagues.
What is Drake Maye's projected role going forward?
Drake Maye is the listed starting QB, with Tommy Devito next on the depth chart. Nothing on the chart threatens the job, so the role is his to lose on performance.
Will Drake Maye get more pass attempts?
Drake Maye's pass attempts are trending down: 23.5 a game over his last two games against 26.7 for the season. Game script drives much of that, and trailing teams throw more.
What is Drake Maye's fantasy football upside?
Drake Maye's upside: his ceiling this season is 12.8 PPR points (Week 1, QB23), his efficiency (0.27 EPA per play, 1st of 41 QBs in 2025) gives him a weekly floor to build on and the Bills in Week 4 is a top-10 matchup for QBs.
What could hurt Drake Maye's fantasy value?
Drake Maye's risks: Tommy Devito is next on the depth chart if he is benched or hurt, his passing volume (28.9 attempts per game, 24th of 41 QBs in 2025) limits his scoring and the Jets in Week 6 is a tough matchup. See his injury status and history.
How difficult is Drake Maye's remaining fantasy schedule?
Favorable: of his next seven games, 3 come against a top-10 matchup for QBs and 1 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.