Mike Gesicki 2026 fantasy outlook and rest-of-season projection
- Age
- 30
- Height / weight
- 6'6", 245 lb
- Experience
- 9th season
- Drafted
- 2018 R2, #42
2026 Season
- PPR PPG
- 10.5
- Pos rank
- TE16
- Rostered
- 13%
Week 4 vs. Jaguars, Sun Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET 27th vs. TEs, tough
Mike Gesicki Rest-of-Season Outlook
TE2 with matchup weeks
Preseason Projection vs. Reality
He finished TE41 last season at 5.4 points per game.
Our Take After Week 4
Through 3 games he's TE16 at 10.5 PPR points per game, against 5.4 over 13 games last season (TE41). He's running ahead of last season's pace.
Last season he ranked 49th of 81 in route participation (35.7%), 40th of 82 in target share (6.9%) and 32nd of 82 in efficiency (1.28 yards per route run). Route participation is the soft spot. Joe Burrow is his quarterback.
He's TE2 on the depth chart, so his value depends on the players ahead of him.
The next favorable matchup is the Dolphins in Week 5 (9th against TEs).
Read our preseason outlook (June 2026)
Published June 16, 2026. Kept for reference; the take above replaces it.
The 2024 version of Gesicki ranked 10th at the position on a 0.292 WOPR, 13.2% target share, and 83 targets that turned into 665 yards. None of that carried over. In 2025 he slid to TE36, drawing just 42 targets across 12 games for a 6.9% target share and a 0.175 target-per-route-run rate, while his route share cratered to 35.7% on a 38.5% snap rate. The 307 yards and two scores read like a backup line because that is what the role became.
The efficiency markers still flicker, a 0.127 EPA per play and 57.1% success rate, but volume that thin caps the ceiling. Cincinnati funnels everything to Chase, Higgins, and Chase Brown, with Fant and Sample splitting the leftovers behind him. He profiles as a touchdown-dependent dart in TE-premium and deep formats only, and a waiver name everywhere else until the snaps return.
What Drives His Outlook
His 2025 rank among the 81 tight ends who played at least six games. Each bar is one tight end, best on the left; his is highlighted.
Route participation
Target share
Efficiency
- Average depth of target
- 9.9
- Drop rate
- 2.4%
- Red-zone targets
- 7
- Route participation
- 35.7%
- YAC per reception
- 2.3
What Could Change His Value
Upside
- A soft spotThe Dolphins in Week 5 is a top-10 matchup for TEs.Wk 4 JAX, 27thWk 5 MIA, 9thWk 7 BAL, 20thWk 8 TEN, 30th
Risk
- RoleHe's TE2 on the depth chart.
- Tough matchupsThe Jaguars in Week 4 (27th) and the Titans in Week 8 (30th) are among the stingiest defenses against TEs.
All Mike Gesicki stats & analysis
TEs like Mike Gesicki
Mike Gesicki Fantasy Outlook FAQ
What is Mike Gesicki's fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?
Mike Gesicki projects as a tE2 with matchup weeks for the rest of the 2026 season: a weekly starter in TE-premium leagues and a matchup play in 12-team and 10-team leagues. His route participation (35.7% route participation, 49th of 81 TEs in 2025) holds him back. See his live rank in Redraft Command.
What is Mike Gesicki's rest-of-season fantasy ranking?
Mike Gesicki is the TE16 in PPR points per game through Week 4. That puts him in TE2 territory, a matchup play in 12-team leagues.
What is Mike Gesicki's projected role going forward?
Mike Gesicki is TE2 on the depth chart, so a bigger role needs an injury or a change ahead of him.
Will Mike Gesicki get more targets?
Mike Gesicki's targets are trending down: 1.5 a game over his last two games against 3.3 for the season. His share of the offense is what his fantasy value rides on.
What is Mike Gesicki's fantasy football upside?
Mike Gesicki's upside: his ceiling this season is 18.8 PPR points (Week 1, TE4) and the Dolphins in Week 5 is a top-10 matchup for TEs.
What could hurt Mike Gesicki's fantasy value?
Mike Gesicki's risks: his route participation (35.7% route participation, 49th of 81 TEs in 2025) limits his scoring and the Jaguars in Week 4 and the Titans in Week 8 are tough matchups. See his injury status and history.
How difficult is Mike Gesicki's remaining fantasy schedule?
Difficult: of his next seven games, 2 come against a top-10 matchup for TEs and 3 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.