Terrance Ferguson 2026 fantasy outlook and rest-of-season projection
- Age
- 23
- Height / weight
- 6'5", 252 lb
- Experience
- 2nd season
- Drafted
- 2025 R2, #46
2026 Season
- PPR PPG
- 6.4
- Pos rank
- TE29
- Rostered
- 22%
Week 4 at Eagles, Sun Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET 32nd vs. TEs, tough
Terrance Ferguson Rest-of-Season Outlook
Efficient depth TE on the sideline for now
On injured reserve, ankle.
Preseason Projection vs. Reality
He finished TE52 last season at 4.0 points per game.
Our Take After Week 4
Through 3 games he's TE29 at 6.4 PPR points per game, against 4.0 over 13 games last season (TE52). He's running ahead of last season's pace.
Last season he ranked 58th of 81 in route participation (27.1%), 52nd of 82 in target share (4.3%) and 24th of 82 in efficiency (1.38 yards per route run). His points come from his efficiency. Route participation is the soft spot. Matthew Stafford is his quarterback.
He's on injured reserve, ankle. Until he's back, his value is a bench spot at most, and Tyler Higbee takes his snaps.
The next favorable matchups are the Cardinals in Week 6 (6th against TEs) and the Raiders in Week 7 (4th against TEs).
Read our preseason outlook (June 2026)
Published June 17, 2026. Kept for reference; the take above replaces it.
Ferguson, the Rams second-round rookie (Pick 46, Oregon), flashed vertical juice rarely seen at tight end: in 11 games on a thin 36.7 percent snap share he turned 25 targets into 11 catches for 231 yards, three scores and a sparkling 21 yards per reception. His 18.64 air yards per target and 0.295 EPA per play scream big-play threat, but a 44 percent catch rate and 17.36 yards before the catch per grab reveal a feast-or-famine, downfield-only role with little underneath volume.
That profile produced just 41.1 fantasy points and a 4.3 percent target share, the mark of a complementary piece behind Los Angeles veterans. The path to fantasy relevance runs through expanded snaps and red-zone work, where he saw three targets and two end-zone looks. Year two could bring a leap if the Rams clear the depth chart, making him a worthwhile dynasty stash. For 2026 redraft, treat him as a TD-dependent streaming dart, not a startable weekly tight end.
What Drives His Outlook
His 2025 rank among the 81 tight ends who played at least six games. Each bar is one tight end, best on the left; his is highlighted.
Route participation
Target share
Efficiency
- Average depth of target
- 18.6
- Drop rate
- 0.0%
- Red-zone targets
- 3
- Route participation
- 27.1%
- YAC per reception
- 3.6
What Could Change His Value
Upside
- A soft stretchThe Cardinals in Week 6 and the Raiders in Week 7 are top-10 matchups for TEs.Wk 4 PHI, 32ndWk 5 BUF, 24thWk 6 ARI, 6thWk 7 LV, 4th
- Strong efficiency1.38 yards per route run, 24th of 82 TEs in 2025.
Risk
- InjuryHe's on injured reserve, ankle, and Tyler Higbee is next on the depth chart.
- Limited route participation27.1% route participation, 58th of 81 TEs in 2025.
- Tough matchupsThe Eagles in Week 4 (32nd) and the Bills in Week 5 (24th) are among the stingiest defenses against TEs.
All Terrance Ferguson stats & analysis
TEs like Terrance Ferguson
Terrance Ferguson Fantasy Outlook FAQ
What is Terrance Ferguson's fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?
Terrance Ferguson projects as an efficient depth TE on the sideline for now for the rest of the 2026 season: a bench stash in TE-premium leagues and waiver-wire material in 12-team and 10-team leagues. His efficiency (1.38 yards per route run, 24th of 82 TEs in 2025) supports that. His route participation (27.1% route participation, 58th of 81 TEs in 2025) holds him back. See his live rank in Redraft Command.
What is Terrance Ferguson's rest-of-season fantasy ranking?
Terrance Ferguson is the TE29 in PPR points per game through Week 4. That puts him in depth TE territory, waiver-wire material in 12-team leagues.
What is Terrance Ferguson's projected role going forward?
Terrance Ferguson is TE2 on the depth chart, so a bigger role needs an injury or a change ahead of him.
Will Terrance Ferguson get more targets?
Terrance Ferguson's targets are trending up: 5.5 a game over his last two games against 4.0 for the season. His share of the offense is what his fantasy value rides on.
What is Terrance Ferguson's fantasy football upside?
Terrance Ferguson's upside: his ceiling this season is 17.4 PPR points (Week 2, TE8), his efficiency (1.38 yards per route run, 24th of 82 TEs in 2025) gives him a weekly floor to build on and the Cardinals in Week 6 and the Raiders in Week 7 are top-10 matchups for TEs.
What could hurt Terrance Ferguson's fantasy value?
Terrance Ferguson's risks: he is on injured reserve, ankle, his route participation (27.1% route participation, 58th of 81 TEs in 2025) limits his scoring and the Eagles in Week 4 and the Bills in Week 5 are tough matchups. See his injury status and history.
How difficult is Terrance Ferguson's remaining fantasy schedule?
Favorable: of his next seven games, 4 come against a top-10 matchup for TEs and 2 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.