Tyler Warren 2026 fantasy outlook and rest-of-season projection
- Age
- 24
- Height / weight
- 6'6", 256 lb
- Experience
- 2nd season
- Drafted
- 2025 R1, #14
2026 Season
- PPR PPG
- 13.1
- Pos rank
- TE8
- Rostered
- 99%
Week 4 at Commanders, Sun Oct 4, 9:30 AM ET 2nd vs. TEs, favorable
Tyler Warren Rest-of-Season Outlook
Target-heavy TE1 every week
Preseason Projection vs. Reality
He finished TE4 last season at 11.1 points per game.
Our Take After Week 4
Through 3 games he's TE8 at 13.1 PPR points per game, against 11.1 over 17 games last season (TE4). He's running ahead of last season's pace.
Last season he ranked 3rd of 81 in route participation (89.2%), 3rd of 82 in target share (21.1%) and 15th of 82 in efficiency (1.60 yards per route run). His points come from his target share. Daniel Jones is his quarterback.
The job is secure: he's the listed starter and one of the best at his position. The main risk is health, and Mo Alie-Cox is next on the depth chart if he misses time.
The next favorable matchup is the Commanders in Week 4 (2nd against TEs).
Read our preseason outlook (June 2026)
Published June 17, 2026. Kept for reference; the take above replaces it.
Warren validated his No. 14 overall pedigree immediately, ranking TE5 by our metric with a monster 17-game debut: 112 targets on a 21.1 percent share, 76 catches for 817 yards and four scores, on an 89.2 percent route share. His 0.219 targets per route run and 0.413 WOPR are alpha-level usage for a tight end, and a +0.158 EPA per play with a 49.1 percent success rate confirm real production. The 21 red-zone and 11 end-zone looks signal touchdown upside.
The yards profile leaves room to grow: just 10.75 yards per reception and a modest 5.38 air yards per target paint him as a high-floor underneath chain-mover, and only two drops on 78 catchable balls shows reliable hands. At 23 with Daniel Jones now steering Indianapolis, the target volume should hold and the four touchdowns look like a low-water mark. Warren is a set-and-forget weekly TE1, a top-five draft option at a position where his floor is a genuine roster-builder.
What Drives His Outlook
His 2025 rank among the 81 tight ends who played at least six games. Each bar is one tight end, best on the left; his is highlighted.
Route participation
Target share
Efficiency
- Average depth of target
- 5.4
- Drop rate
- 1.8%
- Red-zone targets
- 21
- Route participation
- 89.2%
- YAC per reception
- 6.2
What Could Change His Value
Upside
- A soft spotThe Commanders in Week 4 is a top-10 matchup for TEs.Wk 4 WAS, 2ndWk 5 PIT, 23rdWk 6 TEN, 30thWk 7 MIN, 25th
- Every-down route participation89.2% route participation, 3rd of 81 TEs in 2025.
- Heavy target share21.1% target share, 3rd of 82 TEs in 2025.
Risk
- HealthHis role is secure; if he misses time, Mo Alie-Cox is next on the depth chart.
- Tough matchupsThe Steelers in Week 5 (23rd) and the Titans in Week 6 (30th) are among the stingiest defenses against TEs.
All Tyler Warren stats & analysis
TEs like Tyler Warren
Tyler Warren Fantasy Outlook FAQ
What is Tyler Warren's fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?
Tyler Warren projects as a target-heavy TE1 every week for the rest of the 2026 season: a weekly starter in TE-premium, 12-team and 10-team leagues. His target share (21.1% target share, 3rd of 82 TEs in 2025) supports that. See his live rank in Redraft Command.
What is Tyler Warren's rest-of-season fantasy ranking?
Tyler Warren is the TE8 in PPR points per game through Week 4. That puts him in TE1 territory, a weekly starter in 12-team leagues.
What is Tyler Warren's projected role going forward?
Tyler Warren is the listed starting TE, with Mo Alie-Cox next on the depth chart. Nothing on the chart threatens the job, so the role is his to lose on performance.
Will Tyler Warren get more targets?
Tyler Warren's targets are holding steady: 8.5 a game over his last two games against 7.3 for the season. His share of the offense is what his fantasy value rides on.
What is Tyler Warren's fantasy football upside?
Tyler Warren's upside: his ceiling this season is 14.7 PPR points (Week 3, TE10), his target share (21.1% target share, 3rd of 82 TEs in 2025) gives him a weekly floor to build on and the Commanders in Week 4 is a top-10 matchup for TEs.
What could hurt Tyler Warren's fantasy value?
Tyler Warren's risks: Mo Alie-Cox is next on the depth chart if he is benched or hurt and the Steelers in Week 5 and the Titans in Week 6 are tough matchups. See his injury status and history.
How difficult is Tyler Warren's remaining fantasy schedule?
Difficult: of his next seven games, 3 come against a top-10 matchup for TEs and 4 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.