Jake Ferguson Dynasty Value 2026
Jake Ferguson dynasty outlook: superflex and 1QB value, dynasty rank, age curve, startup and rookie draft cost, long-term market trend, production history and trade context.
Jake Ferguson dynasty outlook
Jake Ferguson is ranked #105 overall and TE12 in StatChasers' superflex dynasty rankings, a depth or upside hold at a market value of 1,512.
He is 27.0 years old — inside the tight-end prime, which runs late. Age is weighted per position in the model value, so this is priced in rather than mentioned in passing.
Jake's dynasty value (1,512) runs well ahead of his win-now value (637) — the market is paying for what he becomes, not what he does this season. That is a rebuilder's asset, and a contender's trade chip.
The model values Jake +124.7% above the dynasty market, a buy-low signal: his production and age say the price is too low.
In dynasty startup drafts Jake goes at pick 104.3 on average (round 9.08 in a 12-team startup, TE11 by ADP), with a typical range of 83 to 126 across 913 drafts; his startup cost is rising over the last 30 days (+1.0 picks).
Over the longer run his startup ADP has fallen: from an average pick of 104.3 in 2024-01 to 112.5 in 2026-09, across 29 months of drafts.
Production trajectory: 11.1 PPR points per game in 2025 over 17 games, up from 7.5 in 2024, finishing TE5.
Drafted round 4, pick 129 by Dallas Cowboys in 2022. Draft capital keeps mattering in dynasty long after it stops mattering in redraft — teams keep giving opportunity to players they spent a pick on.
Player profile
| Team | Dallas Cowboys |
| Position | TE |
| Age | 27.0 |
| Experience | 4 yrs |
| Number | #87 |
| Bye week | Week 14 |
| Status | Active |
Dynasty value
| Superflex value (StatChasers Market) | 1,512 |
| Superflex rank | #105 · TE12 |
| 1QB value | 1,496 |
| 1QB rank | #95 · TE12 |
| 30-day movement | — |
| Win-now (redraft) value | 637 |
| Timeline | Rebuild asset |
| Model value | 3,398 |
| Model vs market | +124.7% |
| Signal | Strong Buy |
Run a trade with Jake in the dynasty trade calculator, or find one with the dynasty trade finder.
Jake Ferguson startup draft cost
Drafted in 913 completed dynasty startup drafts · overall ADP rank #104 · TE11 · earliest pick 16, latest 311 · 7-day -2.0, 14-day -2.0. Full board on the dynasty startup rankings page.
Jake Ferguson dynasty value trend
Average startup-draft pick by month, oldest to newest — a taller bar is an earlier pick and a more valuable player. Months with fewer than three completed drafts are omitted. Range over this window: pick 45.0 to 185.2.
Jake Ferguson production by season
Career production, which in dynasty is read as a trajectory rather than a snapshot: the direction across seasons matters more than any single line.
| Season | Team | Games | PPR / game | Half / game | Std / game | PPR finish | Half finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | DAL | 17 | 11.1 | 8.7 | 6.2 | TE5 | TE8 |
| 2024 | DAL | 14 | 7.5 | 5.4 | 3.2 | TE25 | TE30 |
| 2023 | DAL | 17 | 10.4 | 8.3 | 6.2 | TE9 | TE8 |
| 2022 | DAL | 16 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 1.8 | TE48 | TE47 |
Jake Ferguson draft capital and athletic profile
Combine measurements with the percentile against other TEs in the database. Athletic profile and draft capital are long-horizon inputs — they say little about next Sunday and a good deal about how long a team keeps handing a player opportunity.
Draft capital
| Draft class | 2022 |
| Round | 4 |
| Overall pick | #129 |
| Drafted by | Dallas Cowboys |
| Height | 6'5" |
| Weight | 250 lb |
Combine testing
Bar length is the percentile against the position cohort.
Dynasty assets valued near Jake Ferguson
Same position, nearest dynasty value — the players he is realistically swapped for.
Use Jake in the dynasty tools
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Data on this page updated 2026-09-30.