Josh Downs Dynasty Value 2026
Josh Downs dynasty outlook: superflex and 1QB value, dynasty rank, age curve, startup and rookie draft cost, long-term market trend, production history and trade context.
Josh Downs dynasty outlook
Josh Downs is ranked #122 overall and WR49 in StatChasers' superflex dynasty rankings, a depth or upside hold at a market value of 1,078.
He is 25.0 years old — in the receiver prime. Age is weighted per position in the model value, so this is priced in rather than mentioned in passing.
Josh's dynasty value (1,078) runs well ahead of his win-now value (632) — the market is paying for what he becomes, not what he does this season. That is a rebuilder's asset, and a contender's trade chip.
The model values Josh +196.8% above the dynasty market, a buy-low signal: his production and age say the price is too low.
In dynasty startup drafts Josh goes at pick 132.2 on average (round 12.01 in a 12-team startup, WR52 by ADP), with a typical range of 110 to 156 across 908 drafts; his startup cost is rising over the last 30 days (+8.0 picks).
Over the longer run his startup ADP has fallen: from an average pick of 93.3 in 2024-01 to 117.5 in 2026-09, across 29 months of drafts.
Production trajectory: 8.5 PPR points per game in 2025 over 16 games, down from 13.1 in 2024, finishing WR44.
Drafted round 3, pick 79 by Indianapolis Colts in 2023. Draft capital keeps mattering in dynasty long after it stops mattering in redraft — teams keep giving opportunity to players they spent a pick on.
Player profile
| Team | Indianapolis Colts |
| Position | WR |
| Age | 25.0 |
| Experience | 3 yrs |
| Number | #2 |
| Bye week | Week 13 |
| Status | Active |
Dynasty value
| Superflex value (StatChasers Market) | 1,078 |
| Superflex rank | #122 · WR49 |
| 1QB value | 1,061 |
| 1QB rank | #115 · WR49 |
| 30-day movement | — |
| Win-now (redraft) value | 632 |
| Timeline | Rebuild asset |
| Model value | 3,199 |
| Model vs market | +196.8% |
| Signal | Strong Buy |
Run a trade with Josh in the dynasty trade calculator, or find one with the dynasty trade finder.
Josh Downs startup draft cost
Drafted in 908 completed dynasty startup drafts · overall ADP rank #131 · WR52 · earliest pick 85, latest 202 · 7-day -1.0, 14-day +1.0. Full board on the dynasty startup rankings page.
Josh Downs dynasty value trend
Average startup-draft pick by month, oldest to newest — a taller bar is an earlier pick and a more valuable player. Months with fewer than three completed drafts are omitted. Range over this window: pick 93.3 to 156.6.
Josh Downs production by season
Career production, which in dynasty is read as a trajectory rather than a snapshot: the direction across seasons matters more than any single line.
| Season | Team | Games | PPR / game | Half / game | Std / game | PPR finish | Half finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | IND | 16 | 8.5 | 6.7 | 4.9 | WR44 | WR48 |
| 2024 | IND | 14 | 13.1 | 10.5 | 8.0 | WR35 | WR36 |
| 2023 | IND | 17 | 9.2 | 7.2 | 5.2 | WR43 | WR46 |
Josh Downs draft capital and athletic profile
Combine measurements with the percentile against other WRs in the database. Athletic profile and draft capital are long-horizon inputs — they say little about next Sunday and a good deal about how long a team keeps handing a player opportunity.
Draft capital
| Draft class | 2023 |
| Round | 3 |
| Overall pick | #79 |
| Drafted by | Indianapolis Colts |
| Height | 5'9" |
| Weight | 171 lb |
Combine testing
Bar length is the percentile against the position cohort.
Josh Downs injury history
Durability compounds over a dynasty horizon in a way it never does over one season, so the record is here in full rather than summarised into a grade.
| Season | Week | Injury | Severity | Games missed | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 7 | Concussion | moderate | 1 | Was inactive for the Week 7 game after being diagnosed with a concussion. |
| 2025 | — | Hamstring | minor | 0 | Left a mid-August practice with a left hamstring injury after a play. |
| 2024 | 12 | Shoulder | minor | 0 | Injured his shoulder in the Week 12 game against the Detroit Lions, and while he returned to the game, he missed practice the following Wednesday. |
| 2024 | — | High Ankle Sprain | moderate | 2 | Sustained a high ankle sprain during a 7-on-7 practice drill in early August with an estimated recovery time of 4-6 weeks. |
Dynasty assets valued near Josh Downs
Same position, nearest dynasty value — the players he is realistically swapped for.
Use Josh in the dynasty tools
Is Josh on your dynasty roster?
Connect your league and Dynasty Command shows who owns Josh Downs, what he is worth in your exact format, whether he fits your contention window, and which managers in your league would trade for him.
Open Josh in Dynasty Command →All StatChasers dynasty tools
Data on this page updated 2026-09-30.