Justin Jefferson Dynasty Value 2026
Justin Jefferson dynasty outlook: superflex and 1QB value, dynasty rank, age curve, startup and rookie draft cost, long-term market trend, production history and trade context.
Justin Jefferson dynasty outlook
Justin Jefferson is ranked #13 overall and WR6 in StatChasers' superflex dynasty rankings, a first-round startup piece at a market value of 6,537.
He is 27.0 years old — in the receiver prime. Age is weighted per position in the model value, so this is priced in rather than mentioned in passing.
His win-now value (5,735) and dynasty value (6,537) are close, so he costs about the same to a contender as to a rebuilder.
In dynasty startup drafts Justin goes at pick 16.2 on average (round 2.04 in a 12-team startup, WR5 by ADP), with a typical range of 11 to 21 across 916 drafts; his startup cost is steady over the last 30 days.
Over the longer run his startup ADP has fallen: from an average pick of 5.7 in 2024-01 to 15.4 in 2026-09, across 29 months of drafts.
Production trajectory: 11.9 PPR points per game in 2025 over 17 games, down from 18.7 in 2024, finishing WR21.
Drafted round 1, pick 22 by Minnesota Vikings in 2020. Draft capital keeps mattering in dynasty long after it stops mattering in redraft — teams keep giving opportunity to players they spent a pick on.
Player profile
| Team | Minnesota Vikings |
| Position | WR |
| Age | 27.0 |
| Experience | 6 yrs |
| Number | #18 |
| Bye week | Week 6 |
| Status | Active |
Dynasty value
| Superflex value (StatChasers Market) | 6,537 |
| Superflex rank | #13 · WR6 |
| 1QB value | 6,500 |
| 1QB rank | #10 · WR6 |
| 30-day movement | — |
| Win-now (redraft) value | 5,735 |
| Timeline | Balanced |
| Model value | 5,926 |
| Model vs market | -9.3% |
| Signal | Fair Value |
Run a trade with Justin in the dynasty trade calculator, or find one with the dynasty trade finder.
Justin Jefferson startup draft cost
Drafted in 916 completed dynasty startup drafts · overall ADP rank #13 · WR5 · earliest pick 3, latest 52 · 7-day +2.0, 14-day +3.0. Expected pick 16.1; availability falls off hardest between picks 17 and 18 (−11 points of availability). Full board on the dynasty startup rankings page.
Justin Jefferson dynasty value trend
Average startup-draft pick by month, oldest to newest — a taller bar is an earlier pick and a more valuable player. Months with fewer than three completed drafts are omitted. Range over this window: pick 5.0 to 18.3.
Justin Jefferson production by season
Career production, which in dynasty is read as a trajectory rather than a snapshot: the direction across seasons matters more than any single line.
| Season | Team | Games | PPR / game | Half / game | Std / game | PPR finish | Half finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | MIN | 17 | 11.9 | 9.4 | 6.9 | WR21 | WR25 |
| 2024 | MIN | 17 | 18.7 | 15.6 | 12.6 | WR2 | WR2 |
| 2023 | MIN | 10 | 20.2 | 16.8 | 13.4 | WR33 | WR29 |
| 2022 | MIN | 17 | 21.7 | 17.9 | 14.2 | WR1 | WR1 |
| 2021 | MIN | 17 | 19.4 | 16.2 | 13.0 | WR4 | WR4 |
| 2020 | MIN | 16 | 17.1 | 14.3 | 11.6 | WR6 | WR5 |
Justin Jefferson draft capital and athletic profile
Combine measurements with the percentile against other WRs in the database. Athletic profile and draft capital are long-horizon inputs — they say little about next Sunday and a good deal about how long a team keeps handing a player opportunity.
Draft capital
| Draft class | 2020 |
| Round | 1 |
| Overall pick | #22 |
| Drafted by | Minnesota Vikings |
| Height | 6'1" |
| Weight | 202 lb |
Combine testing
Bar length is the percentile against the position cohort.
Justin Jefferson injury history
Durability compounds over a dynasty horizon in a way it never does over one season, so the record is here in full rather than summarised into a grade.
| Season | Week | Injury | Severity | Games missed | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | — | Hamstring Strain | minor | 0 | Sustained a very minor left hamstring strain during the second day of training camp and was held out of practice as a precaution. |
| 2024 | 3 | Jammed Finger | minor | 0 | Suffered a jammed finger during the Week 3 game against the Texans but played through the injury. |
| 2024 | 2 | Quad Contusion | minor | 0 | Sustained a right quad contusion in Week 2 against the 49ers but was not listed on the following week's injury report. |
| 2023 | 14 | Chest Injury | moderate | 0 | Took a hard hit against the Raiders, resulting in a chest injury that required a precautionary hospital visit, but he returned for the next game. |
| 2023 | 5 | Hamstring Strain | major | 7 | Suffered a right hamstring injury in Week 5 against the Chiefs, which led to him being placed on Injured Reserve and missing seven games. |
| 2022 | 10 | Turf Toe | minor | 0 | Developed turf toe after the Week 10 game against the Bills but did not miss any games. |
| 2021 | — | AC Joint Sprain | minor | 0 | Sprained his AC joint during a practice in early August but was ready for the start of the season. |
Dynasty assets valued near Justin Jefferson
Same position, nearest dynasty value — the players he is realistically swapped for.
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Data on this page updated 2026-09-30.