Buffalo Bills vs New Orleans Saints, Week 12 2021
Buffalo Bills
AwayWon
31
New Orleans Saints
Home
6
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bills | 7 | 3 | 14 | 7 | 31 |
| Saints | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 |
BUF 31NO 6 Final
Passing leader
28.7PPR pts
23/28, 260 YDS, 4 TD, 2 INT
Top fantasy scorer
20.4PPR pts
7 REC, 74 YDS, 1 TD
Saints leader
Trevor Siemian
9.8PPR pts
17/29, 163 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
Defensive playmaker
Bradley Roby
1 INT, 8 TKL
Bills 31, Saints 6: Buffalo leads from start to finish
Buffalo led 10–0 at halftime and outscored New Orleans 21–6 after the break to win 31–6. The Bills finished with a 361–190 edge in total offense and averaged 5.8 yards per play.
New Orleans didn't get on the board until the fourth quarter.
The Saints went 5-for-14 on third down and committed one turnover, while the Bills kept the ball for 34:38.
Key advantages
- +2.5 yards/play BUF 5.8 · NO 3.3
- +171 total yards BUF 361 · NO 190
- +26% third-down rate BUF 62% · NO 36%
Game Highlights
Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube
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Why the Bills Won
Buffalo won the efficiency, third-down, and time of possession battles.
| Bills | Stat | Saints |
|---|---|---|
| 5.8 | Yards per play | 3.3 |
| 361 | Total yards | 190 |
| 62% | Third-down conversion | 36% |
| Other team stats | ||
| 62 | Plays | 57 |
| 2 | Turnovers | 1 |
| 34:38 | Time of possession | 25:22 |
Scoring Summary
The Bills scored four touchdowns and one field goal; the Saints scored one touchdown.
| Time | Team | Play | BUF | NO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st quarter | ||||
| 7:09 | BUF | Josh Allen → Dawson Knox, 7-yard TD Takes leadTyler Bass XP | 7 | 0 |
| 2nd quarter | ||||
| 8:46 | BUF | Tyler Bass 34-yard FG Extends lead | 10 | 0 |
| 3rd quarter | ||||
| 8:48 | BUF | Josh Allen → Stefon Diggs, 5-yard TD Extends leadTyler Bass XP | 17 | 0 |
| 4:19 | BUF | Josh Allen → Dawson Knox, 24-yard TD Extends leadTyler Bass XP | 24 | 0 |
| 4th quarter | ||||
| 14:54 | NO | Trevor Siemian → Nick Vannett, 11-yard TD2-pt try failed | 24 | 6 |
| 8:17 | BUF | Josh Allen → Matt Breida, 23-yard TD Extends leadTyler Bass XP | 31 | 6 |
Fantasy Points: Bills vs Saints, Week 12 2021
Fantasy leaders
- Josh Allen28.7 PTSQB1
- Stefon Diggs20.4 PTSWR7
- Dawson Knox18.2 PTSTE3
- Matt Breida13.5 PTSRB17
Player Stats
Quarterbacks
| Player | FPTS | FIN | CMP/ATT | Pass YDS | TD | INT | Rush ATT | Rush YDS | Rush TD | Rate | Start/Sit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | 28.7 | QB1 | 23/28 | 260 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 43 | 0 | 115.2 | Start/Sit → |
| Trevor Siemian | 9.8 | QB27 | 17/29 | 163 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 71.5 |
WRs, RBs, & TEs
| Player | FPTS | FIN | POS | Rush ATT | Rush YDS | Rush TD | TGT | REC | Rec YDS | Rec TD | Start/Sit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefon Diggs | 20.4 | WR7 | WR | — | — | — | 9 | 7 | 74 | 1 | Start/Sit → |
| Dawson Knox | 18.2 | TE3 | TE | — | — | — | 3 | 3 | 32 | 2 | Start/Sit → |
| Matt Breida | 13.5 | RB17 | RB | 9 | 26 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 1 | |
| Cole Beasley | 9.6 | WR38 | WR | — | — | — | 5 | 5 | 46 | 0 | |
| Ty Montgomery | 9.5 | RB28 | RB | 6 | 14 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 31 | 0 | |
| Nick Vannett | 8.1 | TE17 | TE | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | |
| Lil'Jordan Humphrey | 7.7 | WR49 | WR | — | — | — | 5 | 3 | 47 | 0 | Start/Sit → |
| Tre'Quan Smith | 7.1 | WR51 | WR | — | — | — | 5 | 4 | 31 | 0 | |
| Gabe Davis | 6.7 | WR56 | WR | — | — | — | 3 | 2 | 47 | 0 | |
| Devin Singletary | 5.8 | RB43 | RB | 15 | 44 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | Start/Sit → |
| Emmanuel Sanders | 5.8 | WR58 | WR | — | — | — | 3 | 3 | 28 | 0 | |
| Marquez Callaway | 4.4 | WR74 | WR | — | — | — | 4 | 2 | 24 | 0 | |
| Tony Jones | 2.7 | RB58 | RB | 16 | 27 | 0 | — | — | — | — | |
| Deonte Harty | 1.9 | WR97 | WR | — | — | — | 5 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
Fantasy Usage
Buffalo Bills
Snap Share
Target Share26 targets
- Stefon Diggs35%, 9 targets
- Cole Beasley19%, 5 targets
- Emmanuel Sanders12%, 3 targets
- Dawson Knox12%, 3 targets
- Gabe Davis12%, 3 targets
- Other12%, 3 targets
Carry Share32 carries
- , 15 carries
- , 9 carries
- , 8 carries
New Orleans Saints
Snap Share
Target Share27 targets
- Ty Montgomery26%, 7 targets
- Tre'Quan Smith19%, 5 targets
- Lil'Jordan Humphrey19%, 5 targets
- Deonte Harty19%, 5 targets
- Marquez Callaway15%, 4 targets
- Other4%, 1 targets
Carry Share25 carries
- , 16 carries
- , 6 carries
- , 3 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
| Player | SNAPS | SNAP % | TGT | TGT % | CAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dawson Knox | 60 | 91% | 3 | 12% | 0 |
| Stefon Diggs | 54 | 82% | 9 | 35% | 0 |
| Tre'Quan Smith | 45 | 79% | 5 | 19% | 0 |
| Emmanuel Sanders | 51 | 77% | 3 | 12% | 0 |
| Cole Beasley | 46 | 70% | 5 | 19% | 0 |
| Devin Singletary | 45 | 68% | 1 | 4% | 15 |
| Marquez Callaway | 34 | 60% | 4 | 15% | 0 |
| Ty Montgomery | 29 | 51% | 7 | 26% | 6 |
| Lil'Jordan Humphrey | 27 | 47% | 5 | 19% | 0 |
| Gabe Davis | 28 | 42% | 3 | 12% | 0 |
| Juwan Johnson | 24 | 42% | 0 | 0% | 0 |
| Deonte Harty | 23 | 40% | 5 | 19% | 0 |
| Kenny Stills | 21 | 37% | 0 | 0% | 0 |
| Nick Vannett | 21 | 37% | 1 | 4% | 0 |
| Tony Jones | 21 | 37% | 0 | 0% | 16 |
| Matt Breida | 21 | 32% | 2 | 8% | 9 |
| Garrett Griffin | 18 | 32% | 0 | 0% | 0 |
| Tommy Sweeney | 14 | 21% | 0 | 0% | 0 |
| Jake Kumerow | 5 | 8% | 0 | 0% | 0 |
| Reggie Gilliam | 3 | 5% | 0 | 0% | 0 |
| Kevin White | 1 | 2% | 0 | 0% | 0 |
| Marquez Stevenson | 1 | 2% | 0 | 0% | 0 |
Fantasy Points vs Expected
Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.
- Biggest overperformer+13.1Dawson Knox18.2 PTS vs 5.1 xFP
- Biggest underperformer−7.6Tony Jones Jr.2.7 PTS vs 10.3 xFP
- Highest expected volume17.4 xFPJosh Allen28.7 PTS scored
| Player | PTS | xFP | vs xFP | Snap% | Usage | Rte% | Pass att | Car | Car% | Tgt | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenBUF · QB | 28.7 | 17.4 | +11.3 | 95% | 28 att | — | 28 | 8 | 25% | 0 | 0% |
| Ty Montgomery IINO · RB | 9.5 | 15.6 | −6.1 | 51% | 25% tgt | — | 0 | 6 | 24% | 7 | 25% |
| Stefon DiggsBUF · WR | 20.4 | 15.2 | +5.2 | 82% | 35% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 9 | 35% |
| Trevor SiemianNO · QB | 9.8 | 14.7 | −4.9 | 100% | 29 att | — | 29 | 3 | 12% | 0 | 0% |
| Devin SingletaryBUF · RB | 5.8 | 11.3 | −5.5 | 68% | 47% car | — | 0 | 15 | 47% | 1 | 4% |
| Tony Jones Jr.NO · — | 2.7 | 10.3 | −7.6 | 37% | 64% car | — | 0 | 16 | 64% | 0 | 0% |
| Matt BreidaBUF · RB | 13.5 | 9.1 | +4.4 | 32% | 28% car | — | 0 | 9 | 28% | 2 | 8% |
| Cole BeasleyBUF · WR | 9.6 | 8.4 | +1.2 | 70% | 19% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 5 | 19% |
| Deonte HartyNO · WR | 1.9 | 8.4 | −6.5 | 40% | 18% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 5 | 18% |
| Lil'Jordan HumphreyNO · WR | 7.7 | 8.4 | −0.7 | 47% | 18% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 5 | 18% |
| Tre'Quan SmithNO · WR | 7.1 | 8.4 | −1.3 | 79% | 18% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 5 | 18% |
| Marquez CallawayNO · WR | 4.4 | 6.7 | −2.3 | 60% | 14% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 4 | 14% |
| Dawson KnoxBUF · TE | 18.2 | 5.1 | +13.1 | 91% | 12% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 3 | 12% |
| Emmanuel SandersBUF · WR | 5.8 | 5.1 | +0.7 | 77% | 12% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 3 | 12% |
| Gabe DavisBUF · WR | 6.7 | 5.1 | +1.6 | 42% | 12% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 3 | 12% |
| Adam PrenticeNO · RB | 2.0 | 1.7 | +0.3 | — | 4% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1 | 4% |
| Nick VannettNO · TE | 8.1 | 1.7 | +6.4 | 37% | 4% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1 | 4% |
Team totals: Bills 26 targets and 32 carries; Saints 28 targets and 25 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2021 season: 1.68 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.64 per carry and 0.44 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.
Fantasy Verdicts
Josh Allen Ran hot
23 of 28 passing for 260 yards, 4 touchdowns, 2 interceptions; 8 carries for 43 yards.
Verdict: The opportunities were worth 17.4 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.
Best score since Week 6.
Trevor Siemian
17 of 29 passing for 163 yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception; 3 carries for 3 yards.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 14.7 expected.
Fewest points since Week 8.
Stefon Diggs Ran hot
9 targets (35% of the team's), 7 catches for 74 yards and 1 touchdown.
Verdict: The opportunities were worth 15.2 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.
A touchdown in 5 of the last 8 games.
Devin Singletary Unlucky
1 target (4% of the team's), 1 catch for 4 yards; 15 carries (47% of the team's) for 44 yards.
Verdict: The role was there, worth 11.3 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.
Season high in carries (15). Fewest points since Week 8.
Ty Montgomery II Unlucky
7 targets (25% of the team's), 5 catches for 31 yards; 6 carries (24% of the team's) for 14 yards.
Verdict: The role was there, worth 15.6 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.
Season high in targets (7). Best fantasy game of the season.
Tony Jones Jr. Volume, no payoff
16 carries (64% of the team's) for 27 yards.
Verdict: The role was there, worth 10.3 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.
Season high in carries (16).
Deonte Harty Unlucky
5 targets (18% of the team's), 1 catch for 9 yards.
Verdict: The role was there, worth 8.4 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.
Lowest-scoring game of the season.
Dawson Knox Ran hot
3 targets (12% of the team's), 3 catches for 32 yards and 2 touchdowns.
Verdict: The opportunities were worth 5.1 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.
Best score since Week 5. A touchdown in 5 of the last 8 games.
Stock Up, Stock Down
Buffalo Bills
- Stock up: Devin Singletary played 68% of the snaps, up from a 48% season average.
- Stock up: Matt Breida played 32% of the snaps, up from a 15% season average.
New Orleans Saints
- Stock up: Ty Montgomery II played 51% of the snaps, up from a 30% season average.
- Stock up: Lil'Jordan Humphrey played 47% of the snaps, up from a 31% season average.
- Stock down: Marquez Callaway played 60% of the snaps, down from a 79% season average.
Fantasy Matchups
Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2021 through Week 18.
| Points allowed to | Bills D | Saints D |
|---|---|---|
| QBs | 12.2 | 16.3 |
| RBs | 20.4 | 17.7 |
| WRs | 23.8 | 34.8 |
| TEs | 7.6 | 9.4 |
Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.
How the Game Swung
New Orleans opened at 30% win probability and fell below 2% in the third quarter.
Saints win probability
Key Swings
- −17Allen → Knox, 7-yd TD31% → 15%Q1 7:09
- −5Bass 34-yd FG14% → 9%Q2 8:46
- −6Allen → Diggs, 5-yd TD7% → 1%Q3 8:48
Swing in Saints win probability, in points
Play Calling and Possessions
| Buffalo Bills | Measure | New Orleans Saints |
|---|---|---|
| 62 | Plays | 57 |
| 48% | Pass rate | 56% |
| 8.3 | Yds / dropback | 4.6 |
| 3.5 | Yds / carry | 1.8 |
| 8/13 | Third downs | 5/14 |
Efficiency edge Buffalo ran 5 more plays and gained 3.7 more yards per dropback.
- Top targets
- BUF Diggs 35% · Beasley 19% · Knox 12%
- NO Montgomery 25% · Harty 18% · Humphrey 18%
Possession Results
| Result | BUF | NO |
|---|---|---|
| Touchdowns | 4 | 1 |
| Field goals | 1 | 0 |
| Punts | 3 | 5 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 1 |
| Turnovers on downs | 0 | 2 |
NO turnover edge: +1
- The Bills opened the scoring on their first possession, a 10-play, 65-yard drive that ended in a touchdown.
All 21 possessions, drive by drive
| Team | Start | Plays | Yards | Time | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Q1 15:00 | 3 | 7 | 1:57 | Punt |
| BUF | Q1 13:03 | 10 | 65 | 5:54 | Touchdown |
| NO | Q1 7:09 | 6 | 24 | 3:48 | Punt |
| BUF | Q1 3:21 | 6 | -1 | 3:30 | Punt |
| NO | Q2 14:51 | 6 | 16 | 2:05 | Downs |
| BUF | Q2 12:46 | 7 | 38 | 4:00 | Field goal |
| NO | Q2 8:46 | 7 | 11 | 2:38 | Punt |
| BUF | Q2 6:08 | 5 | 15 | 2:55 | Interception |
| NO | Q2 3:13 | 4 | 2 | 1:26 | Downs |
| BUF | Q2 1:47 | 7 | 39 | 1:39 | Interception |
| NO | Q2 0:08 | 1 | -1 | 0:08 | End of half |
| BUF | Q3 15:00 | 11 | 75 | 6:12 | Touchdown |
| NO | Q3 8:48 | 3 | 4 | 1:38 | Punt |
| BUF | Q3 7:10 | 5 | 53 | 2:51 | Touchdown |
| NO | Q3 4:19 | 10 | 75 | 4:25 | Touchdown |
| BUF | Q4 14:54 | 5 | 20 | 2:52 | Punt |
| NO | Q4 12:02 | 3 | 4 | 1:20 | Punt |
| BUF | Q4 10:42 | 4 | 51 | 2:25 | Touchdown |
| NO | Q4 8:17 | 5 | 16 | 1:18 | Interception |
| BUF | Q4 6:59 | 3 | 0 | 2:20 | Punt |
| NO | Q4 4:39 | 9 | 37 | 4:39 | End of game |
About these numbers
Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.
Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.
Bills vs Saints Head-to-Head
The Bills and Saints first met in 1973 and have played 13 times since.
- All-time series
- 7–6Saints lead, 13 meetings since 1973
- Postseason
- 0No playoff meetings
- Largest Bills win
- 31–62021
- Largest Saints win
- 47–102017
Since 2021
2–0 Bills lead
2 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.
Oldest to newest. B = Bills win, S = Saints win, outlined = this game.
Recent Meetings
- 2025 Wk 4 Saints at Bills, 2025 Wk 4 recap BUF 31 NO 19 BUF W
- 2021 Wk 12 Bills at Saints BUF 31 NO 6 BUF W
Season to Date (Through Week 18)
The 2021 regular season, from each game's box score.
| Bills | Stat | Saints |
|---|---|---|
| 11-6 | Record | 9-8 |
| 28.4 | Points per game | 21.4 |
| 381.9 | Yards per game | 304.5 |
| 5.7 | Yards per play | 4.9 |
| 17.0 | Points allowed per game | 19.7 |
| 272.8 | Yards allowed per game | 318.2 |
Bills vs Saints Odds and Results
How this game finished against the betting lines.
- Spread
- BUF −7Bills covered by 18
- Total
- 45Under: 37 points scored (by 8)
Expected vs Actual Scoring
| Team | Implied | Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bills | 26.0 | 31 | +5.0 |
| Saints | 19.0 | 6 | −13.0 |
The Bills beat their implied total and the Saints fell short of theirs; the Fantasy tab has the player lines behind it.
Betting Trends
Each team's 2021 season through this game. Over/under is overs first.
Buffalo Bills
- Against the spread
- 6–4–1
- Over/under
- 5–6
- ATS as favorite
- 5–4–1
- ATS as underdog
- 1–0
- ATS on the road
- 4–2
New Orleans Saints
- Against the spread
- 5–6
- Over/under
- 6–5
- ATS as favorite
- 1–4
- ATS as underdog
- 4–2
- ATS at home
- 2–3
Lines: ESPN's consensus, captured at kickoff. Individual sportsbooks varied.
21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Betting availability depends on your state.
Bills and Saints in Fantasy
The two teams don't meet again this season. If you roster a Bill or a Saint, these answer the week-to-week question.
- Start/Sit ToolShould your Bills or Saints player start this week? Compare the decision against your other options.
- Fantasy Football ProjectionsSee the latest weekly and rest-of-season projections for Bills and Saints players.
- Fantasy Points Allowed by PositionHow the Bills and Saints defenses have treated QBs, RBs, WRs and TEs.
- Strength of ScheduleWhere each team's remaining games fall in your fantasy playoff run.
- Redraft CommandConnect your league for personalized lineup, trade and roster advice.
Keep Exploring
2021 Game Logs for Players in This Game
Bills vs Saints Game FAQ
Who won the 2021 Bills vs Saints Week 12 game?
The Buffalo Bills beat the New Orleans Saints 31–6 in Week 12 of the 2021 season. The game was played at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA, on November 25, 2021. See the Bills' 2021 schedule.
What was the final score of Bills vs Saints?
The final score was Bills 31, Saints 6. The Bills led 10–0 at halftime, and the second half went Bills 21, Saints 6.
What happened in the Bills vs Saints game?
Buffalo led 10–0 at halftime and outscored New Orleans 21–6 after the break to win 31–6. The Bills finished with a 361–190 edge in total offense and averaged 5.8 yards per play. Josh Allen led all players with 23 of 28 passing for 260 yards and 4 touchdowns, plus 8 carries for 43 rushing yards. The Bills committed 2 turnovers, the Saints 1.
Who scored the most fantasy points in Bills vs Saints?
Josh Allen led the game with 28.7 PPR fantasy points, the QB1 of Week 12, on 23 of 28 passing for 260 yards and 4 touchdowns, plus 8 carries for 43 rushing yards. Stefon Diggs was next with 20.4 (WR7). See Josh Allen's 2021 game log.
Who led Bills vs Saints in passing, rushing and receiving?
Josh Allen (BUF) led all passers with 23 of 28 for 260 yards, 4 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Devin Singletary (BUF) led in rushing with 15 carries for 44 yards. Stefon Diggs (BUF) led in receiving with 7 catches for 74 yards and a touchdown.
How many fantasy points did Josh Allen score against the Saints?
Josh Allen scored 28.7 fantasy points against the Saints in Week 12 of the 2021 season, the same in PPR, half-PPR and standard scoring because he had no catches, on 23 of 28 passing for 260 yards and 4 touchdowns, plus 8 carries for 43 rushing yards.
Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Bills vs Saints?
Dawson Knox outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 18.2 PPR points on 5.1 xFP (+13.1). Tony Jones Jr. fell furthest short, with 2.7 points on 10.3 xFP (−7.6). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.
Who had the highest expected fantasy points in Bills vs Saints?
Josh Allen had the most fantasy opportunity in the game, worth 17.4 expected PPR points (xFP) at league-average rates, and scored 28.7. Expected points measure the volume of a player's pass attempts, carries and targets, not how well he used them.
How did the Bills beat the Saints?
The Bills beat the Saints 31–6 because they averaged 5.8 yards per play to 3.3 and outgained them 361–190.
Which team won the turnover battle in Bills vs Saints?
The Saints won the turnover battle 2–1: the Bills gave the ball away 2 times and the Saints 1 time. The Bills won the game anyway.
What is the all-time Bills vs Saints record?
The Saints lead the all-time series 7–6 across 13 meetings since 1973.
When did the Bills and Saints last play before this game?
Before Week 12 of 2021, they last met in the 2017 season on November 12, 2017, when the Saints beat the Bills 47–10.
What was the closing spread for Bills vs Saints?
The consensus closing spread at kickoff was Bills −7, making the Buffalo Bills 7-point favorites, with a closing total of 45. That implied about 26.0 points for the Bills and 19.0 for the Saints.
Did Bills vs Saints go over or under the total?
The game went under. The consensus closing total was 45, and the teams combined for 37 points, 8 under the number.
Who covered the spread in Bills vs Saints?
The Bills covered by 18 against the closing line of Bills −7. The final margin was 25 points.