Final2021 Week 13
Highmark Stadium (Old), Orchard Park, NY|
New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills, Week 13 2021
New England Patriots
AwayWon
14
Buffalo Bills
Home
10
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 |
| Bills | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
NE 14 · BUF 10 Final
Passing leader
BUF · QB
11.7PPR pts
15/30, 145 YDS, 1 TD
Top fantasy scorer
Damien Harris
NE · RB
17.1PPR pts
10 ATT, 111 YDS, 1 TD
Bills leader
Gabe Davis
BUF · WR
11.0PPR pts
2 REC, 30 YDS, 1 TD
Defensive playmaker
Matthew Judon
NE
1 SACK, 3 TKL
Patriots 14, Bills 10: New England beats Buffalo
New England led 11–7 at halftime to win 14–10. The Patriots finished with a narrow 241–230 edge in total offense and averaged 4.9 yards per play.
The Bills went 4-for-13 on third down and committed one turnover, while the Patriots kept the ball for 32:01.
The two teams meet again in Week 4 of 2026. If you roster anyone from either side, run the start/sit call in Redraft Command and it will weigh your lineup, your opponent and your league scoring, not only the player rankings.
Key advantages
- +0.9 yards/play NE 4.9 · BUF 4.0
- +11 total yards NE 241 · BUF 230
- +4:02 time of possession NE 32:01 · BUF 27:59
Game Highlights
Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube
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Why the Patriots Won
New England won the efficiency and time of possession battles.
| Patriots | Stat | Bills |
|---|---|---|
| 4.9 | Yards per play | 4.0 |
| 241 | Total yards | 230 |
| 32:01 | Time of possession | 27:59 |
| Other team stats | ||
| 49 | Plays | 57 |
| 1 | Turnovers | 1 |
| 17% | Third-down conversion | 31% |
Scoring Summary
The Patriots scored one touchdown and two field goals; the Bills scored one touchdown and one field goal.
| Time | Team | Play | NE | BUF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st quarter | ||||
| 5:18 | NE | Damien Harris 64-yard TD run Takes leadBrandon Bolden 2-pt run | 8 | 0 |
| 2:02 | BUF | Josh Allen → Gabriel Davis, 14-yard TDTyler Bass XP | 8 | 7 |
| 2nd quarter | ||||
| 11:28 | NE | Nick Folk 41-yard FG Extends lead | 11 | 7 |
| 3rd quarter | ||||
| 6:35 | BUF | Tyler Bass 35-yard FG | 11 | 10 |
| 4th quarter | ||||
| 13:01 | NE | Nick Folk 34-yard FG Extends lead | 14 | 10 |
Fantasy Points: Patriots vs Bills, Week 13 2021
Fantasy leaders
- Damien HarrisNE · RB17.1 PTSRB15
- Gabe DavisBUF · WR11.0 PTSWR31
- Josh AllenBUF · QB10.7 PTSQB22
- Stefon DiggsBUF · WR9.1 PTSWR38
Player Stats
Quarterbacks
| Player | FPTS | FIN | CMP/ATT | Pass YDS | TD | INT | Rush ATT | Rush YDS | Rush TD | Rate | Start/Sit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.7 | QB22 | 15/30 | 145 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 39 | 0 | 75.0 | Start/Sit → | |
| -0.5 | — | 2/3 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 0 | 84.0 | Start/Sit → |
WRs, RBs, & TEs
| Player | FPTS | FIN | POS | Rush ATT | Rush YDS | Rush TD | TGT | REC | Rec YDS | Rec TD | Start/Sit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.1 | RB15 | RB | 10 | 111 | 1 | — | — | — | — | ||
| 11.0 | WR31 | WR | — | — | — | 4 | 2 | 30 | 1 | ||
| 9.1 | WR38 | WR | — | — | — | 7 | 4 | 51 | 0 | Start/Sit → | |
| 7.8 | RB30 | RB | 24 | 78 | 0 | — | — | — | — | Start/Sit → | |
| 6.5 | RB36 | RB | 4 | 28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | ||
| 5.3 | RB42 | RB | 8 | 21 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 0 | ||
| 5.2 | WR56 | WR | — | — | — | 6 | 3 | 22 | 0 | ||
| 3.6 | RB47 | RB | 10 | 36 | 0 | — | — | — | — | Start/Sit → | |
| 3.4 | TE30 | TE | — | — | — | 6 | 2 | 14 | 0 | Start/Sit → | |
| 2.1 | TE39 | TE | 1 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 | Start/Sit → | |
| 2.1 | WR82 | WR | — | — | — | 3 | 1 | 11 | 0 | ||
| 1.8 | RB58 | RB | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | ||
| 0.6 | WR103 | WR | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 0.3 | WR104 | WR | 1 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | — | Start/Sit → |
Fantasy Usage
New England Patriots
Snap Share
Jonnu SmithTE39 snaps76%
Rhamondre StevensonRB32 snaps63%
Jakobi MeyersWR27 snaps53%
Nelson AgholorWR25 snaps49%
N'Keal HarryTE25 snaps49%
Target Share3 targets
- Brandon Bolden33%, 1 targets
- Nelson Agholor33%, 1 targets
- Jonnu Smith33%, 1 targets
Carry Share46 carries
- Rhamondre Stevenson52%, 24 carries
- Damien Harris22%, 10 carries
- Mac Jones11%, 5 carries
- Brandon Bolden9%, 4 carries
- Nelson Agholor2%, 1 carries
- Other4%, 2 carries
Buffalo Bills
Snap Share
Dawson KnoxTE56 snaps97%
Stefon DiggsWR55 snaps95%
Emmanuel SandersWR46 snaps79%
Cole BeasleyWR40 snaps69%
Devin SingletaryRB28 snaps48%
Target Share30 targets
- Stefon Diggs23%, 7 targets
- Emmanuel Sanders20%, 6 targets
- Dawson Knox20%, 6 targets
- Gabe Davis13%, 4 targets
- Cole Beasley10%, 3 targets
- Other13%, 4 targets
Carry Share25 carries
- Devin Singletary40%, 10 carries
- Zack Moss32%, 8 carries
- Josh Allen24%, 6 carries
- Matt Breida4%, 1 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
| Player | SNAPS | SNAP % | TGT | TGT % | CAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 97% | 6 | 20% | 0 | |
| 55 | 95% | 7 | 23% | 0 | |
| 46 | 79% | 6 | 20% | 0 | |
| 39 | 76% | 1 | 33% | 1 | |
| 40 | 69% | 3 | 10% | 0 | |
| 32 | 63% | 0 | 0% | 24 | |
| 27 | 53% | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 25 | 49% | 1 | 33% | 1 | |
| 25 | 49% | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 28 | 48% | 0 | 0% | 10 | |
| 24 | 41% | 3 | 10% | 8 | |
| 15 | 29% | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 15 | 29% | 0 | 0% | 1 | |
| 16 | 28% | 4 | 13% | 0 | |
| 13 | 25% | 0 | 0% | 10 | |
| 13 | 22% | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 7 | 12% | 1 | 3% | 1 | |
| 6 | 12% | 1 | 33% | 4 | |
| 2 | 4% | 0 | 0% | 0 | |
| 1 | 2% | 0 | 0% | 0 |
Fantasy Points vs Expected
Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.
- Biggest overperformer+10.7Damien Harris17.1 PTS vs 6.4 xFP
- Biggest underperformer−7.6Rhamondre Stevenson7.8 PTS vs 15.4 xFP
- Highest expected volume17.0 xFPJosh Allen11.7 PTS scored
| Player | PTS | xFP | vs xFP | Snap% | Usage | Rte% | Pass att | Car | Car% | Tgt | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenBUF · QB | 11.7 | 17.0 | −5.3 | 100% | 30 att | — | 30 | 6 | 24% | 0 | 0% |
| Rhamondre StevensonNE · RB | 7.8 | 15.4 | −7.6 | 63% | 52% car | — | 0 | 24 | 52% | 0 | 0% |
| Stefon DiggsBUF · WR | 9.1 | 11.8 | −2.7 | 95% | 23% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 7 | 23% |
| Zack MossBUF · RB | 5.3 | 10.2 | −4.9 | 41% | 32% car | — | 0 | 8 | 32% | 3 | 10% |
| Dawson KnoxBUF · TE | 3.4 | 10.1 | −6.7 | 97% | 20% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 6 | 20% |
| Emmanuel SandersBUF · WR | 5.2 | 10.1 | −4.9 | 79% | 20% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 6 | 20% |
| Gabe DavisBUF · WR | 11.0 | 6.7 | +4.3 | 28% | 13% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 4 | 13% |
| Damien HarrisNE · RB | 17.1 | 6.4 | +10.7 | 25% | 22% car | — | 0 | 10 | 22% | 0 | 0% |
| Devin SingletaryBUF · RB | 3.6 | 6.4 | −2.8 | 48% | 40% car | — | 0 | 10 | 40% | 0 | 0% |
| Cole BeasleyBUF · WR | 2.1 | 5.1 | −3.0 | 69% | 10% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 3 | 10% |
| Mac JonesNE · QB | 0.5 | 4.5 | −4.0 | 100% | 3 att | — | 3 | 5 | 11% | 0 | 0% |
| Brandon BoldenNE · RB | 6.5 | 4.3 | +2.2 | 12% | 33% tgt | — | 0 | 4 | 9% | 1 | 33% |
| Jonnu SmithNE · TE | 2.1 | 2.3 | −0.2 | 76% | 33% tgt | — | 0 | 1 | 2% | 1 | 33% |
| Matt BreidaBUF · RB | 1.8 | 2.3 | −0.5 | 12% | 4% car | — | 0 | 1 | 4% | 1 | 3% |
| Nelson AgholorNE · WR | 0.6 | 2.3 | −1.7 | 49% | 33% tgt | — | 0 | 1 | 2% | 1 | 33% |
| Kendrick BourneNE · WR | 0.3 | 0.6 | −0.3 | 29% | 2% car | — | 0 | 1 | 2% | 0 | 0% |
Team totals: Patriots 3 targets and 46 carries; Bills 30 targets and 25 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2021 season: 1.68 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.64 per carry and 0.44 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.
Fantasy Verdicts
Mac Jones
NE · QB · 0.5 pts on 4.5 expected
2 of 3 passing for 19 yards; 5 carries for -3 yards.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 4.5 expected.
Last 5 games + this one (PPR): 11.7, 6.0, 19.9, 11.4, 21.5, 0.5
W8W9W10W11W12W13
Lowest-scoring game of the season.
Josh Allen Unlucky
BUF · QB · 11.7 pts on 17.0 expected
15 of 30 passing for 145 yards, 1 touchdown; 6 carries for 39 yards.
Verdict: The role was there, worth 17.0 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.
Last 5 games + this one (PPR): 28.5, 10.6, 21.9, 17.2, 28.7, 11.7
W8W9W10W11W12W13
No interceptions after 7 in the previous four games. Fewest points since Week 9.
Rhamondre Stevenson Unlucky
NE · RB · 7.8 pts on 15.4 expected
24 carries (52% of the team's) for 78 yards.
Verdict: The role was there, worth 15.4 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.
Last 5 games + this one (PPR): 4.1, 12.6, 27.4, 8.5, 4.6, 7.8
W8W9W10W11W12W13
Season high in carries (24).
Damien Harris Ran hot
NE · RB · 17.1 pts on 6.4 expected
10 carries (22% of the team's) for 111 yards and 1 touchdown.
Verdict: The opportunities were worth 6.4 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.
Last 5 games + this one (PPR): 25.3, 14.0, 10.3, 7.5, 12.2, 17.1
W7W8W9W11W12W13
Best score since Week 7. A touchdown in 7 of the last 8 games.
Stefon Diggs
BUF · WR · 9.1 pts on 11.8 expected
7 targets (23% of the team's), 4 catches for 51 yards.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 11.8 expected.
Last 5 games + this one (PPR): 15.0, 14.5, 30.2, 18.3, 20.4, 9.1
W8W9W10W11W12W13
Fewest points since Week 5. A touchdown in 5 of the last 8 games.
Zack Moss
BUF · RB · 5.3 pts on 10.2 expected
3 targets (10% of the team's), 2 catches for 12 yards; 8 carries (32% of the team's) for 21 yards.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 10.2 expected.
Last 5 games + this one (PPR): 4.9, 11.8, 4.4, 8.7, 0.5, 5.3
W6W8W9W10W11W13
Dawson Knox Unlucky
BUF · TE · 3.4 pts on 10.1 expected
6 targets (20% of the team's), 2 catches for 14 yards.
Verdict: The role was there, worth 10.1 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.
Last 5 games + this one (PPR): 20.7, 7.5, 2.7, 14.0, 18.2, 3.4
W5W6W10W11W12W13
Jonnu Smith Volume, no payoff
NE · TE · 2.1 pts on 2.3 expected
1 target (33% of the team's), 1 catch for 12 yards; 1 carry (2% of the team's) for -1 yards.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 2.3 expected.
Last 5 games + this one (PPR): 7.7, 3.3, 1.8, 2.7, 8.8, 2.1
W7W8W9W11W12W13
Stock Up, Stock Down
New England Patriots
- ▲Stock up: Rhamondre Stevenson led the backfield with 63% of the snaps after trailing Damien Harris before this game.
- ▲Stock up: Jonnu Smith played 76% of the snaps, up from a 53% season average.
- ▼Stock down: Damien Harris lost the backfield lead: 25% of the snaps to Rhamondre Stevenson's 63%.
Buffalo Bills
- ▲Stock up: Stefon Diggs played 95% of the snaps, up from a 80% season average.
Fantasy Matchups
Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2021 through Week 18.
| Points allowed to | Patriots D | Bills D |
|---|---|---|
| QBs | 13.4 | 12.2 |
| RBs | 21.5 | 20.4 |
| WRs | 28.7 | 23.8 |
| TEs | 6.9 | 7.6 |
Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.
How the Game Swung
Buffalo opened at 59% win probability and fell below 2% in the fourth quarter.
Bills win probability
Key Swings
- −25Harris 64-yd TD run58% → 33%Q1 5:18
- +23Allen → Davis, 14-yd TD32% → 55%Q1 2:02
- −11Folk 41-yd FG54% → 43%Q2 11:28
- +14Bass 35-yd FG36% → 50%Q3 6:35
- −18Folk 34-yd FG48% → 30%Q4 13:01
Swing in Bills win probability, in points
Play Calling and Possessions
| New England Patriots | Measure | Buffalo Bills |
|---|---|---|
| 49 | Plays | 57 |
| 6% | Pass rate | 56% |
| 6.3 | Yds / dropback | 4.1 |
| 4.8 | Yds / carry | 4.0 |
| 2/12 | Third downs | 4/13 |
Efficiency edge New England ran 8 fewer plays but gained 2.2 more yards per dropback.
- Top targets
- NE Bolden 33% · Smith 33% · Agholor 33%
- BUF Diggs 23% · Knox 20% · Sanders 20%
Possession Results
| Result | NE | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Touchdowns | 1 | 1 |
| Field goals | 2 | 1 |
| Punts | 6 | 5 |
| Turnovers | 0 | 1 |
| Turnovers on downs | 1 | 1 |
| Missed field goals | 0 | 1 |
NE turnover edge: +1
- The Patriots opened the scoring on their third possession, a 3-play, 69-yard drive that ended in a touchdown.
- The Patriots drained the clock with two second-half drives of four to nine minutes.
All 20 possessions, drive by drive
| Team | Start | Plays | Yards | Time | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NE | Q1 15:00 | 3 | -1 | 2:14 | Punt |
| BUF | Q1 12:46 | 3 | 3 | 1:30 | Punt |
| NE | Q1 11:16 | 3 | 5 | 2:07 | Punt |
| BUF | Q1 9:09 | 4 | 9 | 2:14 | Fumble |
| NE | Q1 6:55 | 3 | 69 | 1:37 | Touchdown |
| BUF | Q1 5:18 | 5 | 3 | 3:11 | Punt |
| BUF | Q1 2:07 | 1 | 14 | 0:05 | Touchdown |
| NE | Q1 2:02 | 9 | 52 | 5:34 | Field goal |
| BUF | Q2 11:28 | 9 | 26 | 6:16 | Punt |
| NE | Q2 5:12 | 3 | 4 | 2:10 | Punt |
| BUF | Q2 3:02 | 3 | 7 | 1:14 | Punt |
| NE | Q2 1:48 | 4 | 25 | 1:48 | Punt |
| BUF | Q3 15:00 | 4 | 16 | 1:20 | Punt |
| NE | Q3 13:40 | 5 | 4 | 4:25 | Punt |
| BUF | Q3 9:15 | 8 | 46 | 2:40 | Field goal |
| NE | Q3 6:35 | 14 | 59 | 8:34 | Field goal |
| BUF | Q4 13:01 | 11 | 49 | 5:37 | Missed FG |
| NE | Q4 7:24 | 3 | 6 | 1:37 | Punt |
| BUF | Q4 5:47 | 11 | 62 | 3:52 | Downs |
| NE | Q4 1:55 | 4 | -9 | 1:55 | Downs |
About these numbers
Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.
Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.
Patriots vs Bills Head-to-Head
The Patriots and Bills first met in 1960 and have played 133 times since. They have been AFC East rivals since 1970.
- All-time series
- 80–52–1Patriots lead, 133 meetings since 1960
- Postseason
- 1–1Patriots won in 1963; Bills won in 2021
- Largest Patriots win
- 56–102007
- Largest Bills win
- 45–101970
Since 2021
7–4 Bills lead
11 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.
- P
- B
- B
- B
- B
- P
- B
- B
- P
- P
- B
Oldest to newest. B = Bills win, P = Patriots win, outlined = this game.
2026 Meetings
- Week 4 Patriots at Bills Upcoming
- Week 13 Bills at Patriots Upcoming
Recent Meetings
- 2025 Wk 15 Bills at Patriots, 2025 Wk 15 recap BUF 35 NE 31 BUF W
- 2025 Wk 5 Patriots at Bills, 2025 Wk 5 recap NE 23 BUF 20 NE W
- 2024 Wk 18 Bills at Patriots, 2024 Wk 18 recap NE 23 BUF 16 NE W
- 2024 Wk 16 Patriots at Bills, 2024 Wk 16 recap BUF 24 NE 21 BUF W
- 2023 Wk 17 Patriots at Bills, 2023 Wk 17 recap BUF 27 NE 21 BUF W
- 2023 Wk 7 Bills at Patriots, 2023 Wk 7 recap NE 29 BUF 25 NE W
- 2022 Wk 18 Patriots at Bills, 2022 Wk 18 recap BUF 35 NE 23 BUF W
- 2022 Wk 13 Bills at Patriots, 2022 Wk 13 recap BUF 24 NE 10 BUF W
- 2021 Wild Card Patriots at Bills, 2021 Wild Card recap BUF 47 NE 17 BUF W
- 2021 Wk 16 Bills at Patriots, 2021 Wk 16 recap BUF 33 NE 21 BUF W
- 2021 Wk 13 Patriots at Bills NE 14 BUF 10 NE W
Season to Date (Through Week 18)
The 2021 regular season, from each game's box score.
| Patriots | Stat | Bills |
|---|---|---|
| 10-7 | Record | 11-6 |
| 27.2 | Points per game | 28.4 |
| 353.4 | Yards per game | 381.9 |
| 5.7 | Yards per play | 5.7 |
| 17.8 | Points allowed per game | 17.0 |
| 310.8 | Yards allowed per game | 272.8 |
Patriots vs Bills Odds and Results
How this game finished against the betting lines.
- Spread
- BUF −3Bills failed to cover by 7
- Total
- 40Under: 24 points scored (by 16)
Expected vs Actual Scoring
| Team | Implied | Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bills | 21.5 | 10 | −11.5 |
| Patriots | 18.5 | 14 | −4.5 |
Both offenses finished under the market's expectation, which matches the low fantasy output in the Fantasy tab.
Betting Trends
Each team's 2021 season through this game. Over/under is overs first.
New England Patriots
- Against the spread
- 9–4
- Over/under
- 6–7
- ATS as favorite
- 6–3
- ATS as underdog
- 3–1
- ATS on the road
- 5–1
Buffalo Bills
- Against the spread
- 6–5–1
- Over/under
- 5–7
- ATS as favorite
- 5–5–1
- ATS as underdog
- 1–0
- ATS at home
- 2–3–1
Lines: ESPN's consensus, captured at kickoff. Individual sportsbooks varied.
21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Betting availability depends on your state.
Patriots vs Bills Fantasy Outlook for 2026
Two meetings are left on the 2026 schedule: Week 4 in Buffalo and Week 13 in New England. Here's how to decide who to play in your league.
- Start/Sit ToolShould your Patriots or Bills player start in Week 4? Compare the decision against your other options.
- Fantasy Football ProjectionsSee the latest weekly and rest-of-season projections for Patriots and Bills players.
- Fantasy Points Allowed by PositionHow the Patriots and Bills defenses have treated QBs, RBs, WRs and TEs.
- Strength of ScheduleWhere these two matchups fall in each team's fantasy playoff run.
- Redraft CommandConnect your league for personalized lineup, trade and roster advice.
Keep Exploring
2021 Game Logs for Players in This Game
Patriots vs Bills Game FAQ
Who won the 2021 Patriots vs Bills Week 13 game?
The New England Patriots beat the Buffalo Bills 14–10 in Week 13 of the 2021 season. The game was played at Highmark Stadium (Old) in Orchard Park, NY, on December 6, 2021. See the Patriots' 2021 schedule.
What was the final score of Patriots vs Bills?
The final score was Patriots 14, Bills 10. The Patriots led 11–7 at halftime, and the second half went Patriots 3, Bills 3.
What happened in the Patriots vs Bills game?
New England led 11–7 at halftime to win 14–10. The Patriots finished with a narrow 241–230 edge in total offense and averaged 4.9 yards per play. Damien Harris led all players with 10 carries for 111 rushing yards and a touchdown.
Who scored the most fantasy points in Patriots vs Bills?
Damien Harris led the game with 17.1 PPR fantasy points, the RB15 of Week 13, on 10 carries for 111 rushing yards and a touchdown. Gabe Davis was next with 11.0 (WR31).
Who led Patriots vs Bills in passing, rushing and receiving?
Josh Allen (BUF) led all passers with 15 of 30 for 145 yards and a touchdown. Damien Harris (NE) led in rushing with 10 carries for 111 yards and a touchdown. Stefon Diggs (BUF) led in receiving with 4 catches for 51 yards.
Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Patriots vs Bills?
Damien Harris outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 17.1 PPR points on 6.4 xFP (+10.7). Rhamondre Stevenson fell furthest short, with 7.8 points on 15.4 xFP (−7.6). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.
Who had the highest expected fantasy points in Patriots vs Bills?
Josh Allen had the most fantasy opportunity in the game, worth 17.0 expected PPR points (xFP) at league-average rates, and scored 11.7. Expected points measure the volume of a player's pass attempts, carries and targets, not how well he used them.
How did the Patriots beat the Bills?
The Patriots beat the Bills 14–10 because they averaged 4.9 yards per play to 4.0 and outgained them 241–230.
What was the turning point of Patriots vs Bills?
Damien Harris' 64-yard touchdown run with 5:18 left in the first quarter was the biggest swing of the game, moving the Bills' win probability from 58% to 33%.
What is the all-time Patriots vs Bills record?
The Patriots lead the all-time series 80–52–1 across 133 meetings since 1960, including a 1–1 record in the postseason.
When did the Patriots and Bills last play before this game?
Before Week 13 of 2021, they last met in the 2020 season on December 28, 2020, when the Bills beat the Patriots 38–9.
Have the Patriots and Bills met in the playoffs?
Yes, 2 times, most recently in the 2021 playoffs. The Patriots are 1–1 against the Bills in the postseason.
What was the closing spread for Patriots vs Bills?
The consensus closing spread at kickoff was Bills −3, making the Buffalo Bills 3-point favorites, with a closing total of 40. That implied about 21.5 points for the Bills and 18.5 for the Patriots.
Did Patriots vs Bills go over or under the total?
The game went under. The consensus closing total was 40, and the teams combined for 24 points, 16 under the number.
Who covered the spread in Patriots vs Bills?
The Patriots covered as 3-point underdogs against the closing line of Bills −3. The final margin was 4 points.
