Final2021 Week 13

Highmark Stadium (Old), Orchard Park, NY

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills, Week 13 2021

New England Patriots

AwayWon

14

Buffalo Bills

Home

10

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Patriots830314
Bills703010

NE 14BUF 10 Final

  • Passing leader

    Josh Allen

    BUF · QB

    11.7PPR pts

    15/30, 145 YDS, 1 TD

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Damien Harris

    NE · RB

    17.1PPR pts

    10 ATT, 111 YDS, 1 TD

  • Bills leader

    Gabe Davis

    BUF · WR

    11.0PPR pts

    2 REC, 30 YDS, 1 TD

  • Defensive playmaker

    Matthew Judon

    NE

    1 SACK, 3 TKL

Patriots 14, Bills 10: New England beats Buffalo

New England led 11–7 at halftime to win 14–10. The Patriots finished with a narrow 241–230 edge in total offense and averaged 4.9 yards per play.

The Bills went 4-for-13 on third down and committed one turnover, while the Patriots kept the ball for 32:01.

The two teams meet again in Week 4 of 2026. If you roster anyone from either side, run the start/sit call in Redraft Command and it will weigh your lineup, your opponent and your league scoring, not only the player rankings.

Key advantages

  • +0.9 yards/play NE 4.9 · BUF 4.0
  • +11 total yards NE 241 · BUF 230
  • +4:02 time of possession NE 32:01 · BUF 27:59

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

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Why the Patriots Won

New England won the efficiency and time of possession battles.

Team stats comparison, Patriots vs Bills
PatriotsStatBills
4.9Yards per play4.0
241Total yards230
32:01Time of possession27:59
Other team stats
49Plays57
1Turnovers1
17%Third-down conversion31%

Scoring Summary

The Patriots scored one touchdown and two field goals; the Bills scored one touchdown and one field goal.

Scoring plays, Patriots vs Bills
TimeTeamPlayNEBUF
1st quarter
5:18NEDamien Harris 64-yard TD run Takes leadBrandon Bolden 2-pt run80
2:02BUFJosh Allen → Gabriel Davis, 14-yard TDTyler Bass XP87
2nd quarter
11:28NENick Folk 41-yard FG Extends lead117
3rd quarter
6:35BUFTyler Bass 35-yard FG1110
4th quarter
13:01NENick Folk 34-yard FG Extends lead1410

Fantasy Points: Patriots vs Bills, Week 13 2021

Fantasy leaders

  1. Damien HarrisNERB17.1 PTSRB15
  2. Gabe DavisBUFWR11.0 PTSWR31
  3. Josh AllenBUFQB10.7 PTSQB22
  4. Stefon DiggsBUFWR9.1 PTSWR38

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Josh AllenBUFQB10.7QB2215/3014510639075.0Start/Sit →
Mac JonesNEQB-0.5—2/319005-3084.0Start/Sit →

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Damien HarrisNERB17.1RB15RB101111————
Gabe DavisBUFWR11.0WR31WR———42301
Stefon DiggsBUFWR9.1WR38WR———74510Start/Sit →
Rhamondre StevensonNERB7.8RB30RB24780————Start/Sit →
Brandon BoldenNERB6.5RB36RB42801170
Zack MossBUFRB5.3RB42RB821032120
Emmanuel SandersBUFWR5.2WR56WR———63220
Devin SingletaryBUFRB3.6RB47RB10360————Start/Sit →
Dawson KnoxBUFTE3.4TE30TE———62140Start/Sit →
Jonnu SmithNETE2.1TE39TE1-1011120Start/Sit →
Cole BeasleyBUFWR2.1WR82WR———31110
Matt BreidaBUFRB1.8RB58RB1301150
Nelson AgholorNEWR0.6WR103WR1601000
Kendrick BourneNEWR0.3WR104WR130————Start/Sit →

Fantasy Usage

New England Patriots

Snap Share

  1. Jonnu SmithTE39 snaps76%
  2. Rhamondre StevensonRB32 snaps63%
  3. Jakobi MeyersWR27 snaps53%
  4. Nelson AgholorWR25 snaps49%
  5. N'Keal HarryTE25 snaps49%

Target Share3 targets

  1. Brandon Bolden33%, 1 targets
  2. Nelson Agholor33%, 1 targets
  3. Jonnu Smith33%, 1 targets

Carry Share46 carries

  1. Rhamondre Stevenson52%, 24 carries
  2. Damien Harris22%, 10 carries
  3. Mac Jones11%, 5 carries
  4. Brandon Bolden9%, 4 carries
  5. Nelson Agholor2%, 1 carries
  6. Other4%, 2 carries

Buffalo Bills

Snap Share

  1. Dawson KnoxTE56 snaps97%
  2. Stefon DiggsWR55 snaps95%
  3. Emmanuel SandersWR46 snaps79%
  4. Cole BeasleyWR40 snaps69%
  5. Devin SingletaryRB28 snaps48%

Target Share30 targets

  1. Stefon Diggs23%, 7 targets
  2. Emmanuel Sanders20%, 6 targets
  3. Dawson Knox20%, 6 targets
  4. Gabe Davis13%, 4 targets
  5. Cole Beasley10%, 3 targets
  6. Other13%, 4 targets

Carry Share25 carries

  1. Devin Singletary40%, 10 carries
  2. Zack Moss32%, 8 carries
  3. Josh Allen24%, 6 carries
  4. Matt Breida4%, 1 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
Dawson KnoxBUFTE5697%620%0
Stefon DiggsBUFWR5595%723%0
Emmanuel SandersBUFWR4679%620%0
Jonnu SmithNETE3976%133%1
Cole BeasleyBUFWR4069%310%0
Rhamondre StevensonNERB3263%00%24
Jakobi MeyersNEWR2753%00%0
Nelson AgholorNEWR2549%133%1
N'Keal HarryNETE2549%00%0
Devin SingletaryBUFRB2848%00%10
Zack MossBUFRB2441%310%8
Hunter HenryNETE1529%00%0
Kendrick BourneNEWR1529%00%1
Gabe DavisBUFWR1628%413%0
Damien HarrisNERB1325%00%10
Tommy SweeneyBUFTE1322%00%0
Matt BreidaBUFRB712%13%1
Brandon BoldenNERB612%133%4
Matthew SlaterNEWR24%00%0
Jake KumerowBUFWR12%00%0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

  • Biggest overperformer+10.7Damien Harris17.1 PTS vs 6.4 xFP
  • Biggest underperformer−7.6Rhamondre Stevenson7.8 PTS vs 15.4 xFP
  • Highest expected volume17.0 xFPJosh Allen11.7 PTS scored
Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Josh AllenBUF · QB11.717.0−5.3100%30 att—30624%00%
Rhamondre StevensonNE · RB7.815.4−7.663%52% car—02452%00%
Stefon DiggsBUF · WR9.111.8−2.795%23% tgt—000%723%
Zack MossBUF · RB5.310.2−4.941%32% car—0832%310%
Dawson KnoxBUF · TE3.410.1−6.797%20% tgt—000%620%
Emmanuel SandersBUF · WR5.210.1−4.979%20% tgt—000%620%
Gabe DavisBUF · WR11.06.7+4.328%13% tgt—000%413%
Damien HarrisNE · RB17.16.4+10.725%22% car—01022%00%
Devin SingletaryBUF · RB3.66.4−2.848%40% car—01040%00%
Cole BeasleyBUF · WR2.15.1−3.069%10% tgt—000%310%
Mac JonesNE · QB0.54.5−4.0100%3 att—3511%00%
Brandon BoldenNE · RB6.54.3+2.212%33% tgt—049%133%
Jonnu SmithNE · TE2.12.3−0.276%33% tgt—012%133%
Matt BreidaBUF · RB1.82.3−0.512%4% car—014%13%
Nelson AgholorNE · WR0.62.3−1.749%33% tgt—012%133%
Kendrick BourneNE · WR0.30.6−0.329%2% car—012%00%

Team totals: Patriots 3 targets and 46 carries; Bills 30 targets and 25 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2021 season: 1.68 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.64 per carry and 0.44 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Mac Jones

NE · QB · 0.5 pts on 4.5 expected

2 of 3 passing for 19 yards; 5 carries for -3 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 4.5 expected.

Start/Sit: Mac Jones →

Josh Allen Unlucky

BUF · QB · 11.7 pts on 17.0 expected

15 of 30 passing for 145 yards, 1 touchdown; 6 carries for 39 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 17.0 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Josh Allen →

Rhamondre Stevenson Unlucky

NE · RB · 7.8 pts on 15.4 expected

24 carries (52% of the team's) for 78 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 15.4 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Rhamondre Stevenson →

Damien Harris Ran hot

NE · RB · 17.1 pts on 6.4 expected

10 carries (22% of the team's) for 111 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 6.4 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Stefon Diggs

BUF · WR · 9.1 pts on 11.8 expected

7 targets (23% of the team's), 4 catches for 51 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 11.8 expected.

Start/Sit: Stefon Diggs →

Zack Moss

BUF · RB · 5.3 pts on 10.2 expected

3 targets (10% of the team's), 2 catches for 12 yards; 8 carries (32% of the team's) for 21 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 10.2 expected.

Dawson Knox Unlucky

BUF · TE · 3.4 pts on 10.1 expected

6 targets (20% of the team's), 2 catches for 14 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 10.1 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Dawson Knox →

Jonnu Smith Volume, no payoff

NE · TE · 2.1 pts on 2.3 expected

1 target (33% of the team's), 1 catch for 12 yards; 1 carry (2% of the team's) for -1 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 2.3 expected.

Start/Sit: Jonnu Smith →

Stock Up, Stock Down

New England Patriots

  • Stock up: Rhamondre Stevenson led the backfield with 63% of the snaps after trailing Damien Harris before this game.
  • Stock up: Jonnu Smith played 76% of the snaps, up from a 53% season average.
  • Stock down: Damien Harris lost the backfield lead: 25% of the snaps to Rhamondre Stevenson's 63%.

Buffalo Bills

  • Stock up: Stefon Diggs played 95% of the snaps, up from a 80% season average.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2021 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Patriots defense and Bills defense
Points allowed toPatriots DBills D
QBs13.412.2
RBs21.520.4
WRs28.723.8
TEs6.97.6

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Buffalo opened at 59% win probability and fell below 2% in the fourth quarter.

Bills win probability

Bills win probability by game minuteBills started at 59%, stood at 40% at halftime and finished at 0%, across 5 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. −25Harris 64-yd TD run58% → 33%Q1 5:18
  2. +23Allen → Davis, 14-yd TD32% → 55%Q1 2:02
  3. −11Folk 41-yd FG54% → 43%Q2 11:28
  4. +14Bass 35-yd FG36% → 50%Q3 6:35
  5. −18Folk 34-yd FG48% → 30%Q4 13:01

Swing in Bills win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Patriots vs Bills
New England PatriotsMeasureBuffalo Bills
49Plays57
6%Pass rate56%
6.3Yds / dropback4.1
4.8Yds / carry4.0
2/12Third downs4/13

Efficiency edge New England ran 8 fewer plays but gained 2.2 more yards per dropback.

  • Top targets
  • NE Bolden 33% · Smith 33% · Agholor 33%
  • BUF Diggs 23% · Knox 20% · Sanders 20%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Patriots vs Bills
ResultNEBUF
Touchdowns11
Field goals21
Punts65
Turnovers01
Turnovers on downs11
Missed field goals01

NE turnover edge: +1

  • The Patriots opened the scoring on their third possession, a 3-play, 69-yard drive that ended in a touchdown.
  • The Patriots drained the clock with two second-half drives of four to nine minutes.
All 20 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
NEQ1 15:003-12:14Punt
BUFQ1 12:46331:30Punt
NEQ1 11:16352:07Punt
BUFQ1 9:09492:14Fumble
NEQ1 6:553691:37Touchdown
BUFQ1 5:18533:11Punt
BUFQ1 2:071140:05Touchdown
NEQ1 2:029525:34Field goal
BUFQ2 11:289266:16Punt
NEQ2 5:12342:10Punt
BUFQ2 3:02371:14Punt
NEQ2 1:484251:48Punt
BUFQ3 15:004161:20Punt
NEQ3 13:40544:25Punt
BUFQ3 9:158462:40Field goal
NEQ3 6:3514598:34Field goal
BUFQ4 13:0111495:37Missed FG
NEQ4 7:24361:37Punt
BUFQ4 5:4711623:52Downs
NEQ4 1:554-91:55Downs
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Patriots vs Bills Head-to-Head

The Patriots and Bills first met in 1960 and have played 133 times since. They have been AFC East rivals since 1970.

All-time series
80–52–1Patriots lead, 133 meetings since 1960
Postseason
1–1Patriots won in 1963; Bills won in 2021
Largest Patriots win
56–102007
Largest Bills win
45–101970

Since 2021

7–4 Bills lead

11 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. B = Bills win, P = Patriots win, outlined = this game.

2026 Meetings

  • Week 4 Patriots at Bills Upcoming
  • Week 13 Bills at Patriots Upcoming

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2021 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Patriots vs Bills
PatriotsStatBills
10-7Record11-6
27.2Points per game28.4
353.4Yards per game381.9
5.7Yards per play5.7
17.8Points allowed per game17.0
310.8Yards allowed per game272.8

Patriots vs Bills Odds and Results

How this game finished against the betting lines.

Spread
BUF −3Bills failed to cover by 7
Total
40Under: 24 points scored (by 16)

Expected vs Actual Scoring

Implied team totals against the actual score
TeamImpliedActualDifference
Bills21.510−11.5
Patriots18.514−4.5

Both offenses finished under the market's expectation, which matches the low fantasy output in the Fantasy tab.

Betting Trends

Each team's 2021 season through this game. Over/under is overs first.

New England Patriots

Against the spread
9–4
Over/under
6–7
ATS as favorite
6–3
ATS as underdog
3–1
ATS on the road
5–1

Buffalo Bills

Against the spread
6–5–1
Over/under
5–7
ATS as favorite
5–5–1
ATS as underdog
1–0
ATS at home
2–3–1

Lines: ESPN's consensus, captured at kickoff. Individual sportsbooks varied.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Betting availability depends on your state.

Patriots vs Bills Fantasy Outlook for 2026

Two meetings are left on the 2026 schedule: Week 4 in Buffalo and Week 13 in New England. Here's how to decide who to play in your league.

Keep Exploring

2021 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Patriots vs Bills Game FAQ

Who won the 2021 Patriots vs Bills Week 13 game?

The New England Patriots beat the Buffalo Bills 14–10 in Week 13 of the 2021 season. The game was played at Highmark Stadium (Old) in Orchard Park, NY, on December 6, 2021. See the Patriots' 2021 schedule.

What was the final score of Patriots vs Bills?

The final score was Patriots 14, Bills 10. The Patriots led 11–7 at halftime, and the second half went Patriots 3, Bills 3.

What happened in the Patriots vs Bills game?

New England led 11–7 at halftime to win 14–10. The Patriots finished with a narrow 241–230 edge in total offense and averaged 4.9 yards per play. Damien Harris led all players with 10 carries for 111 rushing yards and a touchdown.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Patriots vs Bills?

Damien Harris led the game with 17.1 PPR fantasy points, the RB15 of Week 13, on 10 carries for 111 rushing yards and a touchdown. Gabe Davis was next with 11.0 (WR31).

Who led Patriots vs Bills in passing, rushing and receiving?

Josh Allen (BUF) led all passers with 15 of 30 for 145 yards and a touchdown. Damien Harris (NE) led in rushing with 10 carries for 111 yards and a touchdown. Stefon Diggs (BUF) led in receiving with 4 catches for 51 yards.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Patriots vs Bills?

Damien Harris outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 17.1 PPR points on 6.4 xFP (+10.7). Rhamondre Stevenson fell furthest short, with 7.8 points on 15.4 xFP (−7.6). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

Who had the highest expected fantasy points in Patriots vs Bills?

Josh Allen had the most fantasy opportunity in the game, worth 17.0 expected PPR points (xFP) at league-average rates, and scored 11.7. Expected points measure the volume of a player's pass attempts, carries and targets, not how well he used them.

How did the Patriots beat the Bills?

The Patriots beat the Bills 14–10 because they averaged 4.9 yards per play to 4.0 and outgained them 241–230.

What was the turning point of Patriots vs Bills?

Damien Harris' 64-yard touchdown run with 5:18 left in the first quarter was the biggest swing of the game, moving the Bills' win probability from 58% to 33%.

What is the all-time Patriots vs Bills record?

The Patriots lead the all-time series 80–52–1 across 133 meetings since 1960, including a 1–1 record in the postseason.

When did the Patriots and Bills last play before this game?

Before Week 13 of 2021, they last met in the 2020 season on December 28, 2020, when the Bills beat the Patriots 38–9.

Have the Patriots and Bills met in the playoffs?

Yes, 2 times, most recently in the 2021 playoffs. The Patriots are 1–1 against the Bills in the postseason.

What was the closing spread for Patriots vs Bills?

The consensus closing spread at kickoff was Bills −3, making the Buffalo Bills 3-point favorites, with a closing total of 40. That implied about 21.5 points for the Bills and 18.5 for the Patriots.

Did Patriots vs Bills go over or under the total?

The game went under. The consensus closing total was 40, and the teams combined for 24 points, 16 under the number.

Who covered the spread in Patriots vs Bills?

The Patriots covered as 3-point underdogs against the closing line of Bills −3. The final margin was 4 points.