Final2025 Week 4

Highmark Stadium (Old), Orchard Park, NY

New Orleans Saints vs Buffalo Bills, Week 4 2025

New Orleans Saints

Away

19

Buffalo Bills

HomeWon

31

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saints736319
Bills14071031

NO 19BUF 31 Final

  • Passing leader

    Josh Allen

    BUF · QB

    25.9PPR pts

    16/22, 209 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT, 1 RUSH TD

  • Top fantasy scorer

    James Cook III

    BUF · RB

    22.5PPR pts

    22 ATT, 117 YDS, 1 TD, 3 REC, 18 REC YDS

  • Saints leader

    Spencer Rattler

    NO · QB

    13.9PPR pts

    18/27, 126 YDS, 1 TD

  • Defensive playmaker

    Cole Bishop

    BUF

    1 INT, 5 TKL

Bills 31, Saints 19: Buffalo beats New Orleans

Buffalo led 14–10 at halftime and outscored New Orleans 17–9 after the break to win 31–19. The Bills finished with a 356–298 edge in total offense and averaged 6.2 yards per play.

The Saints went 5-for-13 on third down and committed one turnover.

Key advantages

  • +1.6 yards/play BUF 6.2 · NO 4.6
  • +58 total yards BUF 356 · NO 298
  • +2:42 time of possession BUF 31:21 · NO 28:39

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

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Why the Bills Won

Buffalo won the efficiency and time of possession battles.

Team stats comparison, Saints vs Bills
SaintsStatBills
4.6Yards per play6.2
298Total yards356
28:39Time of possession31:21
Other team stats
65Plays57
1Turnovers1
38%Third-down conversion30%

Scoring Summary

The Bills scored four touchdowns and one field goal; the Saints scored two touchdowns and two field goals.

Scoring plays, Saints vs Bills
TimeTeamPlayNOBUF
1st quarter
10:49BUFJosh Allen → Khalil Shakir, 43-yard TD Takes leadMatt Prater XP07
6:46NOKendre Miller 18-yard TD run Ties gameBlake Grupe XP77
2:29BUFJames Cook 1-yard TD run Takes leadMatt Prater XP714
2nd quarter
5:31NOBlake Grupe 54-yard FG1014
3rd quarter
6:42BUFJosh Allen 5-yard TD run Extends leadMatt Prater XP1021
0:14NOSpencer Rattler → Chris Olave, 3-yard TD2-pt try failed1621
4th quarter
8:53NOBlake Grupe 35-yard FG1921
7:07BUFJosh Allen → Dalton Kincaid, 28-yard TD Extends leadMatt Prater XP1928
2:09BUFMatt Prater 35-yard FG Extends lead1931

Fantasy Points: Saints vs Bills, Week 4 2025

Fantasy leaders

  1. Josh AllenBUFQB25.9 PTSQB7
  2. James CookBUFRB22.5 PTSRB10
  3. Khalil ShakirBUFWR17.9 PTSWR15
  4. Spencer RattlerNOQB13.9 PTSQB21

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Josh AllenBUFQB25.9QB716/22209217451113.6Start/Sit →
Spencer RattlerNOQB13.9QB2118/2712610649089.4Start/Sit →

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
James CookBUFRB22.5RB10RB22117143180
Khalil ShakirBUFWR17.9WR15WR———55691Start/Sit →
Kendre MillerNORB12.5RB25RB11651————Start/Sit →
Alvin KamaraNORB11.2RB29RB157005420Start/Sit →
Chris OlaveNOWR10.0WR35WR———63201Start/Sit →
Dalton KincaidBUFTE9.8TE19TE———21281Start/Sit →
Rashid ShaheedNOWR9.2WR40WR25054470Start/Sit →
Keon ColemanBUFWR7.5WR50WR———43450Start/Sit →
Juwan JohnsonNOTE5.8TE28TE———33280Start/Sit →
Brandin CooksNOWR5.2WR67WR———43220Start/Sit →
Joshua PalmerBUFWR4.5WR72WR———32250Start/Sit →
Jackson HawesBUFTE2.5TE45TE———11150Start/Sit →
Curtis SamuelBUFWR1.9WR101WR———2190
Jack StollNOTE1.7TE50TE———1170
Ray DavisBUFRB0.3RB71RB130————Start/Sit →
Ty JohnsonBUFRB0.0—RB100————Start/Sit →
Elijah MooreBUFWR0.0—WR100————Start/Sit →
Dawson KnoxBUFTE0.0—TE———1000Start/Sit →

Fantasy Usage

New Orleans Saints

Snap Share

  1. Brandin CooksWR60 snaps90%
  2. Juwan JohnsonTE60 snaps90%
  3. Chris OlaveWR57 snaps85%
  4. Alvin KamaraRB49 snaps73%
  5. Rashid ShaheedWR47 snaps70%

Target Share24 targets

  1. Chris Olave25%, 6 targets
  2. Alvin Kamara21%, 5 targets
  3. Rashid Shaheed21%, 5 targets
  4. Brandin Cooks17%, 4 targets
  5. Juwan Johnson13%, 3 targets
  6. Other4%, 1 targets

Carry Share34 carries

  1. Alvin Kamara44%, 15 carries
  2. Kendre Miller32%, 11 carries
  3. Spencer Rattler18%, 6 carries
  4. Rashid Shaheed6%, 2 carries

Buffalo Bills

Snap Share

  1. James CookRB43 snaps73%
  2. Keon ColemanWR43 snaps73%
  3. Khalil ShakirWR31 snaps53%
  4. Jackson HawesTE31 snaps53%
  5. Dawson KnoxTE24 snaps41%

Target Share22 targets

  1. Khalil Shakir23%, 5 targets
  2. James Cook18%, 4 targets
  3. Keon Coleman18%, 4 targets
  4. Joshua Palmer14%, 3 targets
  5. Curtis Samuel9%, 2 targets
  6. Other18%, 4 targets

Carry Share32 carries

  1. James Cook69%, 22 carries
  2. Josh Allen22%, 7 carries
  3. Ty Johnson3%, 1 carries
  4. Elijah Moore3%, 1 carries
  5. Ray Davis3%, 1 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
Brandin CooksNOWR6090%417%0
Juwan JohnsonNOTE6090%313%0
Chris OlaveNOWR5785%625%0
Alvin KamaraNORB4973%521%15
James CookBUFRB4373%418%22
Keon ColemanBUFWR4373%418%0
Rashid ShaheedNOWR4770%521%2
Khalil ShakirBUFWR3153%523%0
Jackson HawesBUFTE3153%15%0
Dawson KnoxBUFTE2441%15%0
Dalton KincaidBUFTE2237%29%0
Jack StollNOTE2436%14%0
Curtis SamuelBUFWR2034%29%0
Kendre MillerNORB2131%00%11
Elijah MooreBUFWR1831%00%1
Reggie GilliamBUFRB1729%00%0
Joshua PalmerBUFWR1525%314%0
Tyrell ShaversBUFWR1424%00%0
Ty JohnsonBUFRB1220%00%1
Moliki MatavaoNOTE69%00%0
Ray DavisBUFRB58%00%1
Mason TiptonNOWR57%00%0
Devaughn VeleNOWR46%00%0
Velus JonesNOWR11%00%0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

  • Biggest overperformer+11.6Josh Allen25.9 PTS vs 14.3 xFP
  • Biggest underperformer−7.0Alvin Kamara11.2 PTS vs 18.2 xFP
  • Highest expected volume21.0 xFPJames Cook III22.5 PTS scored
Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
James Cook IIIBUF · RB22.521.0+1.573%69% car—02269%418%
Alvin KamaraNO · RB11.218.2−7.073%44% car—01544%520%
Spencer RattlerNO · QB13.917.6−3.7100%27 att—27618%14%
Josh AllenBUF · QB25.914.3+11.6100%22 att—22722%00%
Chris OlaveNO · WR10.010.7−0.785%24% tgt—100%624%
Rashid ShaheedNO · WR9.29.8−0.670%20% tgt—026%520%
Khalil ShakirBUF · WR17.98.5+9.453%23% tgt—000%523%
Kendre MillerNO · RB12.57.1+5.431%32% car—01132%00%
Brandin CooksNO · WR5.26.8−1.690%16% tgt—000%416%
Keon ColemanBUF · WR7.56.8+0.773%18% tgt—000%418%
Joshua PalmerBUF · WR4.55.1−0.625%14% tgt—000%314%
Juwan JohnsonNO · TE5.85.1+0.790%12% tgt—000%312%
Curtis SamuelBUF · WR1.93.4−1.534%9% tgt—000%29%
Dalton KincaidBUF · TE9.83.4+6.437%9% tgt—000%29%
Dawson KnoxBUF · TE0.01.7−1.741%5% tgt—000%15%
Jack StollNO · TE1.71.70.036%4% tgt—000%14%
Jackson HawesBUF · TE2.51.7+0.853%5% tgt—000%15%
Elijah MooreBUF · WR0.00.6−0.631%3% car—013%00%
Ray DavisBUF · RB0.30.6−0.38%3% car—013%00%
Ty JohnsonBUF · RB0.00.6−0.620%3% car—013%00%

Team totals: Saints 25 targets and 34 carries; Bills 22 targets and 32 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2025 season: 1.70 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.65 per carry and 0.44 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Spencer Rattler

NO · QB · 13.9 pts on 17.6 expected

18 of 27 passing for 126 yards, 1 touchdown; 1 target (4% of the team's), 0 catches for 0 yards; 6 carries for 49 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 17.6 expected.

Start/Sit: Spencer Rattler →

Josh Allen Ran hot

BUF · QB · 25.9 pts on 14.3 expected

16 of 22 passing for 209 yards, 2 touchdowns, 1 interception; 7 carries for 45 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 14.3 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Josh Allen →

Alvin Kamara Unlucky

NO · RB · 11.2 pts on 18.2 expected

5 targets (20% of the team's), 4 catches for 2 yards; 15 carries (44% of the team's) for 70 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 18.2 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Alvin Kamara →

Chris Olave

NO · WR · 10.0 pts on 10.7 expected

0 of 1 passing for 0 yards, 1 interception; 6 targets (24% of the team's), 3 catches for 20 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 10.7 expected.

Start/Sit: Chris Olave →

James Cook III Strong role

BUF · RB · 22.5 pts on 21.0 expected

4 targets (18% of the team's), 3 catches for 18 yards; 22 carries (69% of the team's) for 117 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 21.0 expected.

Khalil Shakir Ran hot

BUF · WR · 17.9 pts on 8.5 expected

5 targets (23% of the team's), 5 catches for 69 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 8.5 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Khalil Shakir →

Kendre Miller Ran hot

NO · RB · 12.5 pts on 7.1 expected

11 carries (32% of the team's) for 65 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 7.1 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Kendre Miller →

Dalton Kincaid Ran hot

BUF · TE · 9.8 pts on 3.4 expected

2 targets (9% of the team's), 1 catch for 28 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 3.4 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Dalton Kincaid →

Stock Up, Stock Down

New Orleans Saints

  • Stock up: Brandin Cooks played 90% of the snaps, up from a 71% season average.

Buffalo Bills

  • Stock up: James Cook III played 73% of the snaps, up from a 57% season average.
  • Stock up: Jackson Hawes played 53% of the snaps, up from a 36% season average.
  • Stock down: Joshua Palmer played 25% of the snaps, down from a 52% season average.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2025 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Saints defense and Bills defense
Points allowed toSaints DBills D
QBs14.513.6
RBs19.624.4
WRs27.425.9
TEs12.57.5

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Buffalo opened at 50% win probability and passed 98% in the fourth quarter on the way to the win.

Bills win probability

Bills win probability by game minuteBills started at 50%, stood at 66% at halftime and finished at 100%, across 9 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. +20Allen → Shakir, 43-yd TD50% → 70%Q1 10:49
  2. −21Miller 18-yd TD run71% → 50%Q1 6:46
  3. +22Cook 1-yd TD run50% → 72%Q1 2:29
  4. +22Allen 5-yd TD run69% → 91%Q3 6:42
  5. +31Allen → Kincaid, 28-yd TD67% → 97%Q4 7:07

Swing in Bills win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Saints vs Bills
New Orleans SaintsMeasureBuffalo Bills
65Plays57
48%Pass rate44%
3.5Yds / dropback7.6
5.6Yds / carry5.2
5/13Third downs3/10

Efficiency edge Buffalo ran 8 fewer plays but gained 4.1 more yards per dropback.

  • Top targets
  • NO Olave 24% · Kamara 20% · Shaheed 20%
  • BUF Shakir 23% · Cook 18% · Coleman 18%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Saints vs Bills
ResultNOBUF
Touchdowns24
Field goals21
Punts32
Turnovers11
Turnovers on downs21
  • The Bills opened the scoring on their first possession, a 7-play, 79-yard drive that ended in a touchdown.
  • The Bills scored touchdowns on two of their first three drives.
All 21 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
BUFQ1 15:007794:11Touchdown
NOQ1 10:497694:03Touchdown
BUFQ1 6:467664:17Touchdown
NOQ1 2:298313:51Punt
BUFQ2 13:383-10:53Interception
NOQ2 12:45321:31Punt
BUFQ2 11:145162:31Punt
NOQ2 8:437133:12Field goal
BUFQ2 5:313-212:39Punt
NOQ2 2:528351:30Interception
BUFQ2 1:223111:22End of half
NOQ3 15:004192:09Punt
BUFQ3 12:519806:09Touchdown
NOQ3 6:4211656:28Touchdown
BUFQ3 0:145192:22Downs
NOQ4 12:529323:59Field goal
BUFQ4 8:534601:46Touchdown
NOQ4 7:076281:31Downs
BUFQ4 5:369423:27Field goal
NOQ4 2:094-10:25Downs
BUFQ4 1:443-31:44End of game
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Saints vs Bills Head-to-Head

The Saints and Bills first met in 1973 and have played 13 times since.

All-time series
7–6Saints lead, 13 meetings since 1973
Postseason
0No playoff meetings
Largest Saints win
47–102017
Largest Bills win
31–62021

Since 2021

2–0 Bills lead

2 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. B = Bills win, S = Saints win, outlined = this game.

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2025 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Saints vs Bills
SaintsStatBills
6-11Record12-5
18.0Points per game28.3
313.6Yards per game376.3
5.0Yards per play5.9
22.5Points allowed per game21.5
299.8Yards allowed per game293.1

Saints and Bills in Fantasy

The two teams don't meet again this season. If you roster a Saint or a Bill, these answer the week-to-week question.

Keep Exploring

2025 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Saints vs Bills Game FAQ

Who won the 2025 Saints vs Bills Week 4 game?

The Buffalo Bills beat the New Orleans Saints 31–19 in Week 4 of the 2025 season. The game was played at Highmark Stadium (Old) in Orchard Park, NY, on September 28, 2025. See the Bills' 2025 schedule.

What was the final score of Saints vs Bills?

The final score was Bills 31, Saints 19. The Bills led 14–10 at halftime, and the second half went Saints 9, Bills 17.

What happened in the Saints vs Bills game?

Buffalo led 14–10 at halftime and outscored New Orleans 17–9 after the break to win 31–19. The Bills finished with a 356–298 edge in total offense and averaged 6.2 yards per play. Josh Allen led all players with 16 of 22 passing for 209 yards and 2 touchdowns, plus 7 carries for 45 rushing yards and a touchdown.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Saints vs Bills?

Josh Allen led the game with 25.9 PPR fantasy points, the QB7 of Week 4, on 16 of 22 passing for 209 yards and 2 touchdowns, plus 7 carries for 45 rushing yards and a touchdown. James Cook was next with 22.5 (RB10). See Josh Allen's 2025 game log.

Who led Saints vs Bills in passing, rushing and receiving?

Josh Allen (BUF) led all passers with 16 of 22 for 209 yards, 2 touchdowns and an interception. James Cook (BUF) led in rushing with 22 carries for 117 yards and a touchdown. Khalil Shakir (BUF) led in receiving with 5 catches for 69 yards and a touchdown.

How many fantasy points did Josh Allen score against the Saints?

Josh Allen scored 25.9 fantasy points against the Saints in Week 4 of the 2025 season, the same in PPR, half-PPR and standard scoring because he had no catches, on 16 of 22 passing for 209 yards and 2 touchdowns, plus 7 carries for 45 rushing yards and a touchdown.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Saints vs Bills?

Josh Allen outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 25.9 PPR points on 14.3 xFP (+11.6). Alvin Kamara fell furthest short, with 11.2 points on 18.2 xFP (−7.0). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

Who had the highest expected fantasy points in Saints vs Bills?

James Cook III had the most fantasy opportunity in the game, worth 21.0 expected PPR points (xFP) at league-average rates, and scored 22.5. Expected points measure the volume of a player's pass attempts, carries and targets, not how well he used them.

How did the Bills beat the Saints?

The Bills beat the Saints 31–19 because they averaged 6.2 yards per play to 4.6 and outgained them 356–298.

What was the turning point of Saints vs Bills?

Josh Allen's 28-yard touchdown pass to Dalton Kincaid with 7:07 left in the fourth quarter was the biggest swing of the game, moving the Bills' win probability from 67% to 97%.

What is the all-time Saints vs Bills record?

The Saints lead the all-time series 7–6 across 13 meetings since 1973.

When did the Saints and Bills last play before this game?

Before Week 4 of 2025, they last met in the 2021 season on November 25, 2021, when the Bills beat the Saints 31–6.

What is the Saints vs Bills record since 2021?

The Bills lead 2–0 across 2 meetings since the 2021 season, including this game.