Final2025 Week 18

Highmark Stadium (Old), Orchard Park, NY

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills, Week 18 2025

New York Jets

Away

8

Buffalo Bills

HomeWon

35

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jets00088
Bills7148635

NYJ 8BUF 35 Final

  • Passing leader

    Mitchell Trubisky

    BUF · QB

    28.9PPR pts

    22/29, 259 YDS, 4 TD

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Ray Davis

    BUF · RB

    25.4PPR pts

    21 ATT, 151 YDS, 2 REC, 23 REC YDS, 1 REC TD

  • Jets leader

    Brady Cook

    NYJ · QB

    9.1PPR pts

    11/22, 60 YDS, 1 TD

  • Defensive playmaker

    T.J. Sanders

    BUF

    1 SACK, 1 TKL

Bills 35, Jets 8: Buffalo leads from start to finish

Buffalo led 21–0 at halftime after a 14-point second quarter and outscored New York 14–8 after the break to win 35–8. The Bills finished with a 470–122 edge in total offense and averaged 6.5 yards per play.

New York didn't get on the board until the fourth quarter.

The Jets went 5-for-13 on third down, while the Bills kept the ball for 38:20 and finished without a giveaway.

The two teams meet again in Week 10 of 2026. If you roster anyone from either side, run the start/sit call in Redraft Command and it will weigh your lineup, your opponent and your league scoring, not only the player rankings.

Key advantages

  • +3.8 yards/play BUF 6.5 · NYJ 2.7
  • +348 total yards BUF 470 · NYJ 122
  • +8% third-down rate BUF 46% · NYJ 38%

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

Got a Jet or Bill on your fantasy team?

Check their next matchup with the Start/Sit Tool, compare their value in the Fantasy Trade Calculator, or connect your league for personalized advice in Redraft Command.

Connect your league

Works with Sleeper, ESPN and Fleaflicker. No password needed.

Why the Bills Won

Buffalo won the efficiency, third-down, and time of possession battles.

Team stats comparison, Jets vs Bills
JetsStatBills
2.7Yards per play6.5
122Total yards470
38%Third-down conversion46%
Other team stats
46Plays72
0Turnovers0
21:40Time of possession38:20

Scoring Summary

The Bills scored five touchdowns; the Jets scored one touchdown.

Scoring plays, Jets vs Bills
TimeTeamPlayNYJBUF
1st quarter
8:17BUFMitchell Trubisky → Dawson Knox, 17-yard TD Takes leadMatt Prater XP07
2nd quarter
11:43BUFTy Johnson 6-yard TD run Extends leadMatt Prater XP014
4:58BUFMitchell Trubisky → Ray Davis, 2-yard TD Extends leadMatt Prater XP021
3rd quarter
7:46BUFMitchell Trubisky → Gabe Davis, 2-yard TD Extends leadMitchell Trubisky → Keon Coleman, 2-pt conversion029
4th quarter
12:05BUFMitchell Trubisky → Ty Johnson, 6-yard TD Extends lead2-pt try failed035
7:33NYJBrady Cook → Andrew Beck, 2-yard TDBrady Cook → Quentin Skinner, 2-pt conversion835

Fantasy Points: Jets vs Bills, Week 18 2025

Fantasy leaders

  1. Mitchell TrubiskyBUFQB28.9 PTSQB1
  2. Ray DavisBUFRB25.4 PTSRB3
  3. Ty JohnsonBUFRB19.6 PTSRB6
  4. Gabe DavisBUFWR15.1 PTSWR13

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Mitchell TrubiskyBUFQB28.9QB122/2925940550142.1Start/Sit →
Brady CookNYJQB9.1QB2411/22601037071.4

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Ray DavisBUFRB25.4RB3RB21151022231Start/Sit →
Ty JohnsonBUFRB19.6RB6RB1336122201Start/Sit →
Gabe DavisBUFWR15.1WR13WR———75411
Dawson KnoxBUFTE10.4TE12TE———22241Start/Sit →
Keon ColemanBUFWR8.9WR32WR———42490Start/Sit →
Dalton KincaidBUFTE7.8TE18TE———33480Start/Sit →
Isaiah WilliamsNYJWR7.4WR42WR———75240Start/Sit →
Andrew BeckNYJRB7.2RB32RB———2121
Keleki LatuBUFTE6.1TE27TE———33310
Khalil HerbertNYJRB5.6RB49RB124202140Start/Sit →
John MetchieNYJWR5.0WR56WR———43200
Reggie GilliamBUFRB3.6RB58RB24011220Start/Sit →
Quentin SkinnerNYJWR2.0WR87WR———11100
Kene NwangwuNYJRB1.8RB71RB71801000Start/Sit →
James CookBUFRB1.5RB72RB2150————
Joshua PalmerBUFWR1.1WR103WR———3110Start/Sit →
Jackson HawesBUFTE1.0TE62TE———1100Start/Sit →
Arian SmithNYJWR0.2WR108WR1202000
Adonai MitchellNYJWR0.0—WR———3000Start/Sit →

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Ray DavisBUF · RB25.417.0+8.4—49% car—02149%27%
Mitchell TrubiskyBUF · QB28.916.1+12.8—29 att—29512%00%
Gabe DavisBUF · WR15.111.9+3.2—25% tgt—000%725%
Isaiah WilliamsNYJ · WR7.411.9−4.5—32% tgt—000%732%
Ty JohnsonBUF · RB19.611.8+7.8—30% car—01330%27%
Brady CookNYJ · QB9.111.7−2.6—22 att—22313%00%
Khalil HerbertNYJ · RB5.611.2−5.6—52% car—01252%29%
John Metchie IIINYJ · WR5.06.8−1.8—18% tgt—000%418%
Keon ColemanBUF · WR8.96.8+2.1—14% tgt—000%414%
Kene NwangwuNYJ · RB1.86.2−4.4—30% car—0730%15%
Adonai MitchellNYJ · WR0.05.1−5.1—14% tgt—000%314%
Dalton KincaidBUF · TE7.85.1+2.7—11% tgt—000%311%
Joshua PalmerBUF · WR1.15.1−4.0—11% tgt—000%311%
Keleki LatuBUF · TE6.15.1+1.0—11% tgt—000%311%
Arian SmithNYJ · WR0.24.1−3.9—9% tgt—014%29%
Andrew BeckNYJ · RB7.23.4+3.8—9% tgt—000%29%
Dawson KnoxBUF · TE10.43.4+7.0—7% tgt—000%27%
Reggie GilliamBUF · RB3.63.0+0.6—5% car—025%14%
Jackson HawesBUF · TE1.01.7−0.7—4% tgt—000%14%
Quentin SkinnerNYJ · WR4.01.7+2.3—5% tgt—000%15%
James Cook IIIBUF · RB1.51.3+0.2—5% car—025%00%

Team totals: Jets 22 targets and 23 carries; Bills 28 targets and 43 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts aren't available for this game. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2025 season: 1.70 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.65 per carry and 0.44 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Brady Cook

NYJ · QB · 9.1 pts on 11.7 expected

11 of 22 passing for 60 yards, 1 touchdown; 3 carries for 7 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 11.7 expected.

Mitchell Trubisky Ran hot

BUF · QB · 28.9 pts on 16.1 expected

22 of 29 passing for 259 yards, 4 touchdowns; 5 carries for 5 yards.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 16.1 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Mitchell Trubisky →

Isaiah Williams Volume, no payoff

NYJ · WR · 7.4 pts on 11.9 expected

7 targets (32% of the team's), 5 catches for 24 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 11.9 expected.

Start/Sit: Isaiah Williams →

Khalil Herbert Unlucky

NYJ · RB · 5.6 pts on 11.2 expected

2 targets (9% of the team's), 1 catch for 4 yards; 12 carries (52% of the team's) for 42 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 11.2 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Trend: Season high in carries (12).

Start/Sit: Khalil Herbert →

Ray Davis Ran hot

BUF · RB · 25.4 pts on 17.0 expected

2 targets (7% of the team's), 2 catches for 23 yards and 1 touchdown; 21 carries (49% of the team's) for 151 yards.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 17.0 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Ray Davis →

Gabe Davis

BUF · WR · 15.1 pts on 11.9 expected

7 targets (25% of the team's), 5 catches for 41 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 11.9 expected.

Ty Johnson Ran hot

BUF · RB · 19.6 pts on 11.8 expected

2 targets (7% of the team's), 2 catches for 20 yards and 1 touchdown; 13 carries (30% of the team's) for 36 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 11.8 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Ty Johnson →

Adonai Mitchell Unlucky

NYJ · WR · 0.0 pts on 5.1 expected

3 targets (14% of the team's), 0 catches for 0 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 5.1 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Adonai Mitchell →

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2025 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Jets defense and Bills defense
Points allowed toJets DBills D
QBs19.813.6
RBs28.024.4
WRs29.825.9
TEs15.27.5

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Buffalo opened at 84% win probability and passed 98% before halftime on the way to the win.

Bills win probability

Bills win probability by game minuteBills started at 84%, stood at >99% at halftime and finished at 100%, across 6 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. +11Trubisky → Knox, 17-yd TD83% → 93%Q1 8:17
  2. +5Johnson 6-yd TD run93% → 98%Q2 11:43
  3. +1Trubisky → Davis, 2-yd TD98% → >99%Q2 4:58

Swing in Bills win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Jets vs Bills
New York JetsMeasureBuffalo Bills
46Plays72
50%Pass rate40%
2.3Yds / dropback8.9
3.0Yds / carry4.9
5/13Third downs6/13

Efficiency edge Buffalo ran 26 more plays and gained 6.6 more yards per dropback.

  • Top targets
  • NYJ Williams 32% · Metchie 18% · Mitchell 14%
  • BUF Davis 25% · Coleman 14% · Kincaid 11%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Jets vs Bills
ResultNYJBUF
Touchdowns15
Field goals00
Punts50
Turnovers00
Turnovers on downs22
  • The Bills opened the scoring on their first possession, a 11-play, 80-yard drive that ended in a touchdown.
  • The Bills scored touchdowns on two of their first three drives, then drained the clock with three second-half drives of four to eight minutes.
All 17 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
BUFQ1 15:0011806:43Touchdown
NYJQ1 8:17301:48Punt
BUFQ1 6:295351:58Downs
NYJQ1 4:31341:27Punt
BUFQ1 3:0413846:21Touchdown
NYJQ2 11:437203:52Downs
BUFQ2 7:515512:53Touchdown
NYJQ2 4:5813344:33Punt
BUFQ2 0:25220:25End of half
NYJQ3 15:004242:11Downs
BUFQ3 12:4911545:03Touchdown
NYJQ3 7:463-91:03Punt
BUFQ3 6:438654:29Downs
NYJQ3 2:14342:14Punt
BUFQ4 15:005552:55Touchdown
NYJQ4 12:0510484:32Touchdown
BUFQ4 7:3312467:33End of game
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Jets vs Bills Head-to-Head

The Jets and Bills first met in 1960 and have played 131 times since. They have been AFC East rivals since 1970.

All-time series
73–58Bills lead, 131 meetings since 1960
Postseason
1–0Bills won in 1981
Largest Jets win
42–31985
Largest Bills win
37–01989

Since 2021

8–2 Bills lead

10 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. B = Bills win, J = Jets win, outlined = this game.

2026 Meetings

  • Week 10 Bills at Jets Upcoming
  • Week 18 Jets at Bills Upcoming

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2025 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Jets vs Bills
JetsStatBills
3-14Record12-5
17.6Points per game28.3
263.6Yards per game376.3
4.4Yards per play5.9
29.6Points allowed per game21.5
355.6Yards allowed per game293.1

Jets vs Bills Odds and Results

How this game finished against the betting lines.

Spread
BUF −13.5Bills covered by 13.5
Total
39.5Over: 43 points scored (by 3.5)

Expected vs Actual Scoring

Implied team totals against the actual score
TeamImpliedActualDifference
Bills26.535+8.5
Jets13.08−5.0

The Bills beat their implied total and the Jets fell short of theirs; the Fantasy tab has the player lines behind it.

Betting Trends

Last 6 meetings: Jets 3–3 ATS, unders 4–2.

Each team's 2025 season through this game. Over/under is overs first.

New York Jets

Against the spread
1–5
Over/under
5–1
ATS as underdog
1–5
ATS on the road
0–3

Buffalo Bills

Against the spread
3–3
Over/under
4–2
ATS as favorite
3–3
ATS at home
1–2

Lines: ESPN's consensus, captured at kickoff. Individual sportsbooks varied.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Betting availability depends on your state.

Jets vs Bills Fantasy Outlook for 2026

Two meetings are left on the 2026 schedule: Week 10 in New York and Week 18 in Buffalo. Here's how to decide who to play in your league.

Keep Exploring

2025 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Jets vs Bills Game FAQ

Who won the 2025 Jets vs Bills Week 18 game?

The Buffalo Bills beat the New York Jets 35–8 in Week 18 of the 2025 season. The game was played at Highmark Stadium (Old) in Orchard Park, NY, on January 4, 2026. See the Bills' 2025 schedule.

What was the final score of Jets vs Bills?

The final score was Bills 35, Jets 8. The Bills led 21–0 at halftime, and the second half went Jets 8, Bills 14.

What happened in the Jets vs Bills game?

Buffalo led 21–0 at halftime after a 14-point second quarter and outscored New York 14–8 after the break to win 35–8. The Bills finished with a 470–122 edge in total offense and averaged 6.5 yards per play. Mitchell Trubisky led all players with 22 of 29 passing for 259 yards and 4 touchdowns, plus 5 carries for 5 rushing yards.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Jets vs Bills?

Mitchell Trubisky led the game with 28.9 PPR fantasy points, the QB1 of Week 18, on 22 of 29 passing for 259 yards and 4 touchdowns, plus 5 carries for 5 rushing yards. Ray Davis was next with 25.4 (RB3). See Mitchell Trubisky's 2025 game log.

Who led Jets vs Bills in passing, rushing and receiving?

Mitchell Trubisky (BUF) led all passers with 22 of 29 for 259 yards and 4 touchdowns. Ray Davis (BUF) led in rushing with 21 carries for 151 yards. Keon Coleman (BUF) led in receiving with 2 catches for 49 yards.

How many fantasy points did Mitchell Trubisky score against the Jets?

Mitchell Trubisky scored 28.9 fantasy points against the Jets in Week 18 of the 2025 season, the same in PPR, half-PPR and standard scoring because he had no catches, on 22 of 29 passing for 259 yards and 4 touchdowns, plus 5 carries for 5 rushing yards.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Jets vs Bills?

Mitchell Trubisky outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 28.9 PPR points on 16.1 xFP (+12.8). Khalil Herbert fell furthest short, with 5.6 points on 11.2 xFP (−5.6). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

Who had the highest expected fantasy points in Jets vs Bills?

Ray Davis had the most fantasy opportunity in the game, worth 17.0 expected PPR points (xFP) at league-average rates, and scored 25.4. Expected points measure the volume of a player's pass attempts, carries and targets, not how well he used them.

How did the Bills beat the Jets?

The Bills beat the Jets 35–8 because they averaged 6.5 yards per play to 2.7 and outgained them 470–122.

What is the all-time Jets vs Bills record?

The Bills lead the all-time series 73–58 across 131 meetings since 1960, including a 1–0 record in the postseason.

When did the Jets and Bills last play before this game?

Before Week 18 of 2025, they last met in the 2025 season on September 14, 2025, when the Bills beat the Jets 30–10.

Have the Jets and Bills met in the playoffs?

Yes, 1 time, most recently in the 1981 playoffs. The Jets are 0–1 against the Bills in the postseason.

What was the closing spread for Jets vs Bills?

The consensus closing spread at kickoff was Bills −13.5, making the Buffalo Bills 13.5-point favorites, with a closing total of 39.5. That implied about 26.5 points for the Bills and 13.0 for the Jets.

Did Jets vs Bills go over or under the total?

The game went over. The consensus closing total was 39.5, and the teams combined for 43 points, 3.5 over the number.

Who covered the spread in Jets vs Bills?

The Bills covered by 13.5 against the closing line of Bills −13.5. The final margin was 27 points.