Final/OT2022 Week 5

Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO

Indianapolis Colts vs Denver Broncos, Week 5 2022

Indianapolis Colts

AwayWon

12

Denver Broncos

Home

9

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Colts0333312
Broncos333009

IND 12DEN 9 Final/OT

  • Passing leader

    Russell Wilson

    DEN · QB

    11.2PPR pts

    21/39, 274 YDS, 2 INT

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Alec Pierce

    IND · WR

    16.1PPR pts

    8 REC, 81 YDS

  • Broncos leader

    Melvin Gordon III

    DEN · RB

    13.3PPR pts

    15 ATT, 54 YDS, 3 REC, 49 REC YDS

  • Defensive playmaker

    Caden Sterns

    DEN

    2 INT, 3 TKL

Colts 12, Broncos 9: Indianapolis wins it in overtime

Indianapolis trailed 6–3 at halftime, regulation ended 9–9, and the Colts won it 12–9 in overtime. Denver outgained the Colts 375–306.

The Broncos went 2-for-15 on third down and committed two turnovers, while the Colts kept the ball for 34:36.

Key advantages

  • +12% third-down rate IND 25% · DEN 13%
  • +1:45 time of possession IND 34:36 · DEN 32:51

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

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Why the Colts Won

Indianapolis won the third-down and time of possession battles.

Team stats comparison, Colts vs Broncos
ColtsStatBroncos
25%Third-down conversion13%
34:36Time of possession32:51
Other team stats
306Total yards375
4.2Yards per play5.3
73Plays71
2Turnovers2

Scoring Summary

The Colts scored four field goals; the Broncos scored three field goals.

Scoring plays, Colts vs Broncos
TimeTeamPlayINDDEN
1st quarter
9:28DENBrandon McManus 33-yard FG Takes lead03
2nd quarter
10:58DENBrandon McManus 44-yard FG Extends lead06
0:12INDChase McLaughlin 52-yard FG36
3rd quarter
8:51INDChase McLaughlin 51-yard FG Ties game66
3:19DENBrandon McManus 45-yard FG Takes lead69
4th quarter
0:05INDChase McLaughlin 31-yard FG Ties game99
Overtime
5:50INDChase McLaughlin 48-yard FG Game winner129

Fantasy Points: Colts vs Broncos, Week 5 2022

Fantasy leaders

  1. Alec PierceINDWR16.1 PTSWR18
  2. Melvin GordonDENRB13.3 PTSRB24
  3. Deon JacksonINDRB13.1 PTSRB25
  4. Courtland SuttonDENWR12.4 PTSWR28

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Russell WilsonDENQB11.2QB2421/3927402422054.9
Matt RyanINDQB8.1QB2726/412510211060.1

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Alec PierceINDWR16.1WR18WR———98810
Melvin GordonDENRB13.3RB24RB1554033490
Deon JacksonINDRB13.1RB25RB1362044290
Courtland SuttonDENWR12.4WR28WR———115740Start/Sit →
Mike BooneDENRB11.5RB29RB738033470
Michael PittmanINDWR10.9WR37WR———85590
Eric SaubertDENTE8.6TE15TE———75360Start/Sit →
Phillip LindsayINDRB8.4RB37RB1140043140
Jerry JeudyDENWR8.3WR52WR———83530Start/Sit →
Parris CampbellINDWR4.2WR84WR———32220
Ashton DulinINDWR2.8WR90WR———11180Start/Sit →
Kylen GransonINDTE2.6TE37TE———31160Start/Sit →
KJ HamlerDENWR2.0WR99WR———21100
Nyheim Miller-HinesINDRB1.8RB68RB1302150
Mo Alie-CoxINDTE1.7TE42TE———1170Start/Sit →
Albert OkwuegbunamDENTE1.5TE47TE———1150
Montrell WashingtonDENWR0.9WR111WR190————
Devine OzigboDENRB0.2RB77RB120————
Eric TomlinsonDENTE0.0—TE———1000
Andrew BeckDENRB0.0—RB———1000
Tyrie ClevelandDENWR0.0—WR———1000
Jelani WoodsINDTE0.0—TE———1000

Fantasy Usage

Indianapolis Colts

Snap Share

  1. Michael PittmanWR78 snaps99%
  2. Parris CampbellWR73 snaps92%
  3. Alec PierceWR47 snaps59%
  4. Deon JacksonRB46 snaps58%
  5. Kylen GransonTE38 snaps48%

Target Share36 targets

  1. Alec Pierce25%, 9 targets
  2. Michael Pittman22%, 8 targets
  3. Phillip Lindsay11%, 4 targets
  4. Deon Jackson11%, 4 targets
  5. Parris Campbell8%, 3 targets
  6. Other22%, 8 targets

Carry Share26 carries

  1. Deon Jackson50%, 13 carries
  2. Phillip Lindsay42%, 11 carries
  3. Matt Ryan4%, 1 carries
  4. Nyheim Miller-Hines4%, 1 carries

Denver Broncos

Snap Share

  1. Courtland SuttonWR68 snaps93%
  2. Jerry JeudyWR61 snaps84%
  3. Melvin GordonRB41 snaps56%
  4. Eric SaubertTE41 snaps56%
  5. KJ HamlerWR39 snaps53%

Target Share38 targets

  1. Courtland Sutton29%, 11 targets
  2. Jerry Jeudy21%, 8 targets
  3. Eric Saubert18%, 7 targets
  4. Melvin Gordon8%, 3 targets
  5. Mike Boone8%, 3 targets
  6. Other16%, 6 targets

Carry Share28 carries

  1. Melvin Gordon54%, 15 carries
  2. Mike Boone25%, 7 carries
  3. Russell Wilson14%, 4 carries
  4. Devine Ozigbo4%, 1 carries
  5. Montrell Washington4%, 1 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
Michael PittmanINDWR7899%822%0
Courtland SuttonDENWR6893%1129%0
Parris CampbellINDWR7392%38%0
Jerry JeudyDENWR6184%821%0
Alec PierceINDWR4759%925%0
Deon JacksonINDRB4658%411%13
Melvin GordonDENRB4156%38%15
Eric SaubertDENTE4156%718%0
KJ HamlerDENWR3953%25%0
Kylen GransonINDTE3848%38%0
Eric TomlinsonDENTE3548%13%0
Mo Alie-CoxINDTE3544%13%0
Mike BooneDENRB3041%38%7
Phillip LindsayINDRB3038%411%11
Jelani WoodsINDTE2329%13%0
Andrew BeckDENRB1926%13%0
Albert OkwuegbunamDENTE1521%13%0
Ashton DulinINDWR1215%13%0
Tyrie ClevelandDENWR1014%13%0
Michael StrachanINDWR79%00%0
Montrell WashingtonDENWR45%00%1
Nyheim Miller-HinesINDRB34%26%1
Devine OzigboDENRB23%00%1

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

  • Biggest overperformer+2.0Mike Boone11.5 PTS vs 9.5 xFP
  • Biggest underperformer−9.9Matt Ryan8.1 PTS vs 18.0 xFP
  • Highest expected volume19.1 xFPRussell Wilson11.2 PTS scored
Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Russell WilsonDEN · QB11.219.1−7.9100%39 att—39414%00%
Courtland SuttonDEN · WR12.418.3−5.993%29% tgt—000%1129%
Matt RyanIND · QB8.118.0−9.9100%41 att—4114%00%
Alec PierceIND · WR16.115.0+1.159%25% tgt—000%925%
Deon JacksonIND · RB13.115.0−1.958%50% car—01350%411%
Melvin Gordon IIIDEN · RB13.314.6−1.356%54% car—01554%38%
Phillip LindsayIND · RB8.413.7−5.338%42% car—01142%411%
Jerry JeudyDEN · WR8.313.3−5.084%21% tgt—000%821%
Michael Pittman Jr.IND · WR10.913.3−2.499%22% tgt—000%822%
Eric SaubertDEN · TE8.611.7−3.156%18% tgt—000%718%
Mike BooneDEN · RB11.59.5+2.041%25% car—0725%38%
Kylen GransonIND · TE2.65.0−2.448%8% tgt—000%38%
Parris CampbellIND · WR4.25.0−0.892%8% tgt—000%38%
Nyheim HinesIND · —1.84.0−2.2—6% tgt—014%26%
KJ HamlerDEN · WR2.03.3−1.353%5% tgt—000%25%
Albert Okwuegbunam Jr.DEN · TE1.51.7−0.221%3% tgt—000%13%
Andrew BeckDEN · RB0.01.7−1.726%3% tgt—000%13%
Ashton DulinIND · WR2.81.7+1.115%3% tgt—000%13%
Eric TomlinsonDEN · TE0.01.7−1.748%3% tgt—000%13%
Jelani WoodsIND · TE0.01.7−1.729%3% tgt—000%13%
Mo Alie-CoxIND · TE1.71.70.044%3% tgt—000%13%
Tyrie ClevelandDEN · WR0.01.7−1.714%3% tgt—000%13%
Devine OzigboDEN · RB0.20.6−0.43%4% car—014%00%
Montrell WashingtonDEN · WR0.90.6+0.35%4% car—014%00%

Team totals: Colts 36 targets and 26 carries; Broncos 38 targets and 28 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2022 season: 1.67 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.64 per carry and 0.42 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Matt Ryan Unlucky

IND · QB · 8.1 pts on 18.0 expected

26 of 41 passing for 251 yards, 2 interceptions; 1 carry for 1 yard.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 18.0 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Russell Wilson Unlucky

DEN · QB · 11.2 pts on 19.1 expected

21 of 39 passing for 274 yards, 2 interceptions; 4 carries for 22 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 19.1 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Alec Pierce

IND · WR · 16.1 pts on 15.0 expected

9 targets (25% of the team's), 8 catches for 81 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 15.0 expected.

Deon Jackson

IND · RB · 13.1 pts on 15.0 expected

4 targets (11% of the team's), 4 catches for 29 yards; 13 carries (50% of the team's) for 62 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 15.0 expected.

Trend: Season high in carries (13).

Courtland Sutton Unlucky

DEN · WR · 12.4 pts on 18.3 expected

11 targets (29% of the team's), 5 catches for 74 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 18.3 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Courtland Sutton →

Melvin Gordon III

DEN · RB · 13.3 pts on 14.6 expected

3 targets (8% of the team's), 3 catches for 49 yards; 15 carries (54% of the team's) for 54 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 14.6 expected.

Phillip Lindsay Unlucky

IND · RB · 8.4 pts on 13.7 expected

4 targets (11% of the team's), 3 catches for 14 yards; 11 carries (42% of the team's) for 40 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 13.7 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Jerry Jeudy Unlucky

DEN · WR · 8.3 pts on 13.3 expected

8 targets (21% of the team's), 3 catches for 53 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 13.3 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Jerry Jeudy →

Stock Up, Stock Down

Indianapolis Colts

  • Stock up: Deon Jackson played 58% of the snaps, up from a 4% season average.
  • Stock down: Ashton Dulin played 15% of the snaps, down from a 38% season average.

Denver Broncos

  • Stock up: Melvin Gordon III played 56% of the snaps, up from a 32% season average.
  • Stock up: Jerry Jeudy played 84% of the snaps, up from a 63% season average.
  • Stock up: Mike Boone played 41% of the snaps, up from a 17% season average.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2022 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Colts defense and Broncos defense
Points allowed toColts DBroncos D
QBs18.014.6
RBs24.923.5
WRs29.926.0
TEs11.814.5

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Denver opened at 60% win probability, climbed as high as >99%, then lost.

Broncos win probability

Broncos win probability by game minuteBroncos started at 60%, stood at 69% at halftime and finished at 0%, across 7 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4OT100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. −10McLaughlin 52-yd FG79% → 69%Q2 0:12
  2. −13McLaughlin 51-yd FG70% → 56%Q3 8:51
  3. +15McManus 45-yd FG56% → 71%Q3 3:19
  4. −50McLaughlin 31-yd FG>99% → 50%Q4 0:05
  5. −50McLaughlin 48-yd FG50% → <1%OT 5:50

Swing in Broncos win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Colts vs Broncos
Indianapolis ColtsMeasureDenver Broncos
73Plays71
64%Pass rate61%
4.3Yds / dropback5.8
4.1Yds / carry4.5
4/16Third downs2/15

Efficiency edge Indianapolis ran 2 more plays than Denver.

  • Top targets
  • IND Pierce 25% · Pittman 22% · Jackson 11%
  • DEN Sutton 29% · Jeudy 21% · Saubert 18%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Colts vs Broncos
ResultINDDEN
Touchdowns00
Field goals43
Punts75
Turnovers22
Turnovers on downs01
Missed field goals01
  • The Broncos opened the scoring on their first possession, a 10-play, 49-yard drive that ended in a field goal.
All 27 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
INDQ1 15:00381:23Punt
DENQ1 13:3710494:09Field goal
INDQ1 9:284243:03Punt
DENQ1 6:253-41:10Punt
INDQ1 5:15311:03Punt
DENQ1 4:12351:31Punt
INDQ1 2:413-112:29Punt
DENQ1 0:1210404:14Field goal
INDQ2 10:589515:19Interception
DENQ2 5:394131:51Punt
INDQ2 3:4814523:36Field goal
DENQ2 0:121-10:12End of half
DENQ3 15:004112:12Punt
INDQ3 12:489343:57Field goal
DENQ3 8:518594:21Missed FG
INDQ3 4:303-50:52Interception
DENQ3 3:38400:19Field goal
INDQ3 3:19341:27Punt
DENQ3 1:527432:45Interception
INDQ4 14:075163:23Punt
DENQ4 10:44382:11Punt
INDQ4 8:33351:46Punt
DENQ4 6:4711724:34Interception
INDQ4 2:1310672:08Field goal
DENQ4 0:051-10:05End of half
INDOT 10:008454:10Field goal
DENOT 5:506703:17Downs
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Colts vs Broncos Head-to-Head

The Colts and Broncos first met in 1974 and have played 31 times since.

All-time series
16–15Colts lead, 31 meetings since 1974
Postseason
3–0Colts won in 2003, 2004, and 2014
Largest Colts win
55–231988
Largest Broncos win
35–131993

Since 2021

2–1 Colts lead

3 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. C = Colts win, B = Broncos win, outlined = this game.

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2022 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Colts vs Broncos
ColtsStatBroncos
4-12-1Record5-12
17.0Points per game16.9
311.6Yards per game325.1
4.8Yards per play5.1
25.1Points allowed per game21.1
334.0Yards allowed per game320.0

Colts vs Broncos Odds and Results

How this game finished against the betting lines.

Spread
DEN −3.5Broncos failed to cover by 6.5
Total
42Under: 21 points scored (by 21)

Expected vs Actual Scoring

Implied team totals against the actual score
TeamImpliedActualDifference
Broncos22.89−13.8
Colts19.312−7.3

Both offenses finished under the market's expectation, which matches the low fantasy output in the Fantasy tab.

Betting Trends

Each team's 2022 season through this game. Over/under is overs first.

Indianapolis Colts

Against the spread
2–3
Over/under
0–5
ATS as favorite
0–3
ATS as underdog
2–0
ATS on the road
1–2

Denver Broncos

Against the spread
1–4
Over/under
1–4
ATS as favorite
0–3
ATS as underdog
1–1
ATS at home
1–2

Lines: ESPN's consensus, captured at kickoff. Individual sportsbooks varied.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Betting availability depends on your state.

Colts and Broncos in Fantasy

The two teams don't meet again this season. If you roster a Colt or a Bronco, these answer the week-to-week question.

Keep Exploring

2022 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Colts vs Broncos Game FAQ

Who won the 2022 Colts vs Broncos Week 5 game?

The Indianapolis Colts beat the Denver Broncos 12–9 in Week 5 of the 2022 season. The game was played at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, CO, on October 6, 2022. See the Colts' 2022 schedule.

What was the final score of Colts vs Broncos?

The final score was Colts 12, Broncos 9 in overtime. The Broncos led 6–3 at halftime, and the second half went Colts 6, Broncos 3 before overtime.

What happened in the Colts vs Broncos game?

Indianapolis trailed 6–3 at halftime, regulation ended 9–9, and the Colts won it 12–9 in overtime. Denver outgained the Colts 375–306. Alec Pierce led all players with 8 catches for 81 yards.

What was the game-winning score in Colts vs Broncos?

Chase McLaughlin's 48-yard field goal with 5:50 left in the overtime gave the Colts a 12–9 lead they never gave up. It was the final score of the game.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Colts vs Broncos?

Alec Pierce led the game with 16.1 PPR fantasy points, the WR18 of Week 5, on 8 catches for 81 yards. Melvin Gordon was next with 13.3 (RB24). See Alec Pierce's 2022 game log.

Who led Colts vs Broncos in passing, rushing and receiving?

Russell Wilson (DEN) led all passers with 21 of 39 for 274 yards and 2 interceptions. Deon Jackson (IND) led in rushing with 13 carries for 62 yards. Alec Pierce (IND) led in receiving with 8 catches for 81 yards.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Colts vs Broncos?

Mike Boone outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 11.5 PPR points on 9.5 xFP (+2.0). Matt Ryan fell furthest short, with 8.1 points on 18.0 xFP (−9.9). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

Who had the highest expected fantasy points in Colts vs Broncos?

Russell Wilson had the most fantasy opportunity in the game, worth 19.1 expected PPR points (xFP) at league-average rates, and scored 11.2. Expected points measure the volume of a player's pass attempts, carries and targets, not how well he used them.

How did the Colts come back to beat the Broncos?

The Colts' chances of winning fell as low as <1% in the fourth quarter. Chase McLaughlin's 48-yard field goal in the overtime was the biggest swing of the game. Chase McLaughlin's 48-yard field goal then put them ahead for good.

What is the all-time Colts vs Broncos record?

The Colts lead the all-time series 16–15 across 31 meetings since 1974, including a 3–0 record in the postseason.

When did the Colts and Broncos last play before this game?

Before Week 5 of 2022, they last met in the 2019 season on October 27, 2019, when the Colts beat the Broncos 15–13.

Have the Colts and Broncos met in the playoffs?

Yes, 3 times, most recently in the 2014 playoffs. The Colts are 3–0 against the Broncos in the postseason.

What was the closing spread for Colts vs Broncos?

The consensus closing spread at kickoff was Broncos −3.5, making the Denver Broncos 3.5-point favorites, with a closing total of 42. That implied about 22.8 points for the Broncos and 19.3 for the Colts.

Did Colts vs Broncos go over or under the total?

The game went under. The consensus closing total was 42, and the teams combined for 21 points, 21 under the number.

Who covered the spread in Colts vs Broncos?

The Colts covered as 3.5-point underdogs against the closing line of Broncos −3.5. The final margin was 3 points.