Final2023 Week 1

U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Minnesota Vikings, Week 1 2023

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

AwayWon

20

Minnesota Vikings

Home

17

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Buccaneers377320
Vikings0100717

TB 20MIN 17 Final

  • Passing leader

    Kirk Cousins

    MIN · QB

    17.5PPR pts

    33/44, 344 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Justin Jefferson

    MIN · WR

    24.0PPR pts

    9 REC, 150 YDS

  • Vikings leader

    Jordan Addison

    MIN · WR

    16.1PPR pts

    4 REC, 61 YDS, 1 TD

  • Defensive playmaker

    Christian Izien

    TB

    1 INT, 3 TKL

Buccaneers 20, Vikings 17: Tampa Bay holds off Minnesota

Tampa Bay broke a 10–10 halftime tie, outscoring Minnesota 10–7 after the break to win 20–17. Minnesota outgained the Buccaneers 369–242.

The Vikings went 6-for-14 on third down and committed three turnovers, while the Buccaneers finished without a giveaway.

Key advantages

  • +3 turnover margin TB 0 turnovers
  • +1:18 time of possession TB 30:39 · MIN 29:21

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

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Why the Buccaneers Won

Tampa Bay won the turnover and time of possession battles.

Team stats comparison, Buccaneers vs Vikings
BuccaneersStatVikings
0Turnovers3
30:39Time of possession29:21
Other team stats
242Total yards369
3.6Yards per play5.9
68Plays63
35%Third-down conversion43%

Scoring Summary

The Buccaneers scored two touchdowns and two field goals; the Vikings scored two touchdowns and one field goal.

Scoring plays, Buccaneers vs Vikings
TimeTeamPlayTBMIN
1st quarter
3:23TBChase McLaughlin 36-yard FG Takes lead30
2nd quarter
11:15MINKirk Cousins → Jordan Addison, 39-yard TD Takes leadGreg Joseph XP37
5:41MINGreg Joseph 25-yard FG Extends lead310
1:09TBBaker Mayfield → Mike Evans, 28-yard TD Ties gameChase McLaughlin XP1010
3rd quarter
6:01TBBaker Mayfield → Trey Palmer, 7-yard TD Takes leadChase McLaughlin XP1710
4th quarter
13:37MINKirk Cousins → Alexander Mattison, 4-yard TD Ties gameGreg Joseph XP1717
5:10TBChase McLaughlin 57-yard FG Game winner2017

Fantasy Points: Buccaneers vs Vikings, Week 1 2023

Fantasy leaders

  1. Justin JeffersonMINWR24.0 PTSWR7
  2. Mike EvansTBWR18.6 PTSWR13
  3. Kirk CousinsMINQB17.5 PTSQB9
  4. Jordan AddisonMINWR16.1 PTSWR19

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Kirk CousinsMINQB17.5QB933/4434421370102.8Start/Sit →
Baker MayfieldTBQB16.0QB1321/3417320811094.4Start/Sit →

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Justin JeffersonMINWR24.0WR7WR———1291500Start/Sit →
Mike EvansTBWR18.6WR13WR———106661Start/Sit →
Jordan AddisonMINWR16.1WR19WR———64611Start/Sit →
Alexander MattisonMINRB13.4RB17RB1134043101
T.J. HockensonMINTE11.5TE3TE———98350Start/Sit →
Chris GodwinTBWR10.1WR40WR———65510
Trey PalmerTBWR8.8WR47WR———3281
Rachaad WhiteTBRB6.9RB39RB1739022100Start/Sit →
Josh OliverMINTE6.2TE23TE———33320
K.J. OsbornMINWR6.1WR65WR———63310Start/Sit →
Sean TuckerTBRB4.4RB48RB51502290Start/Sit →
Cade OttonTBTE3.9TE32TE———32190Start/Sit →
Deven ThompkinsTBWR3.0WR90WR———32100
Ty ChandlerMINRB2.8RB60RB30011180
Chase EdmondsTBRB0.8RB77RB280————
Rakim JarrettTBWR0.0—WR100————
Ko KieftTBTE0.0—TE———3000Start/Sit →

Fantasy Usage

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Snap Share

  1. Cade OttonTE66 snaps97%
  2. Chris GodwinWR58 snaps85%
  3. Mike EvansWR57 snaps84%
  4. Rachaad WhiteRB54 snaps79%
  5. Ko KieftTE32 snaps47%

Target Share32 targets

  1. Mike Evans31%, 10 targets
  2. Chris Godwin19%, 6 targets
  3. Cade Otton9%, 3 targets
  4. Deven Thompkins9%, 3 targets
  5. Ko Kieft9%, 3 targets
  6. Other22%, 7 targets

Carry Share33 carries

  1. Rachaad White52%, 17 carries
  2. Baker Mayfield24%, 8 carries
  3. Sean Tucker15%, 5 carries
  4. Chase Edmonds6%, 2 carries
  5. Rakim Jarrett3%, 1 carries

Minnesota Vikings

Snap Share

  1. Justin JeffersonWR63 snaps98%
  2. K.J. OsbornWR58 snaps91%
  3. T.J. HockensonTE48 snaps75%
  4. Alexander MattisonRB47 snaps73%
  5. Jordan AddisonWR36 snaps56%

Target Share41 targets

  1. Justin Jefferson29%, 12 targets
  2. T.J. Hockenson22%, 9 targets
  3. K.J. Osborn15%, 6 targets
  4. Jordan Addison15%, 6 targets
  5. Alexander Mattison10%, 4 targets
  6. Other10%, 4 targets

Carry Share17 carries

  1. Alexander Mattison65%, 11 carries
  2. Kirk Cousins18%, 3 carries
  3. Ty Chandler18%, 3 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
Justin JeffersonMINWR6398%1229%0
Cade OttonTBTE6697%39%0
K.J. OsbornMINWR5891%615%0
Chris GodwinTBWR5885%619%0
Mike EvansTBWR5784%1031%0
Rachaad WhiteTBRB5479%26%17
T.J. HockensonMINTE4875%922%0
Alexander MattisonMINRB4773%410%11
Jordan AddisonMINWR3656%615%0
Ko KieftTBTE3247%39%0
Josh OliverMINTE3047%37%0
Trey PalmerTBWR2334%39%0
Deven ThompkinsTBWR1826%39%0
Ty ChandlerMINRB1117%12%3
Sean TuckerTBRB1015%26%5
Chase EdmondsTBRB812%00%2
David WellsTBTE812%00%0
Rakim JarrettTBWR69%00%1
Johnny MundtMINTE58%00%0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Kirk CousinsMIN · QB17.520.4−2.9100%44 att—44318%00%
Justin JeffersonMIN · WR24.020.0+4.098%27% tgt—000%1227%
Baker MayfieldTB · QB16.019.2−3.2100%34 att—34824%00%
Mike EvansTB · WR18.616.7+1.984%31% tgt—000%1031%
T.J. HockensonMIN · TE11.515.0−3.575%20% tgt—000%920%
Rachaad WhiteTB · RB6.913.8−6.979%52% car—01752%26%
Alexander MattisonMIN · RB13.413.40.073%65% car—01165%49%
Chris Godwin Jr.TB · WR10.110.0+0.185%19% tgt—000%619%
Jordan AddisonMIN · WR16.110.0+6.156%14% tgt—000%614%
K.J. OsbornMIN · WR6.110.0−3.991%14% tgt—000%614%
Sean TuckerTB · RB4.46.4−2.015%15% car—0515%26%
C.J. HamMIN · RB2.75.0−2.3—7% tgt—000%37%
Cade OttonTB · TE3.95.0−1.197%9% tgt—000%39%
Deven ThompkinsTB · WR3.05.0−2.026%9% tgt—000%39%
Josh OliverMIN · TE6.25.0+1.247%7% tgt—000%37%
Ko KieftTB · TE0.05.0−5.047%9% tgt—000%39%
Trey PalmerTB · WR8.85.0+3.834%9% tgt—000%39%
Ty ChandlerMIN · RB2.83.5−0.717%18% car—0318%12%
Chase EdmondsTB · RB0.81.2−0.412%6% car—026%00%
Rakim JarrettTB · WR0.00.6−0.69%3% car—013%00%

Team totals: Buccaneers 32 targets and 33 carries; Vikings 44 targets and 17 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2023 season: 1.67 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.61 per carry and 0.42 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Kirk Cousins

MIN · QB · 17.5 pts on 20.4 expected

33 of 44 passing for 344 yards, 2 touchdowns, 1 interception; 3 carries for 7 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 20.4 expected.

Start/Sit: Kirk Cousins →

Mike Evans Strong role

TB · WR · 18.6 pts on 16.7 expected

10 targets (31% of the team's), 6 catches for 66 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 16.7 expected.

Start/Sit: Mike Evans →

Rachaad White Unlucky

TB · RB · 6.9 pts on 13.8 expected

2 targets (6% of the team's), 2 catches for 10 yards; 17 carries (52% of the team's) for 39 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 13.8 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Rachaad White →

Jordan Addison Ran hot

MIN · WR · 16.1 pts on 10.0 expected

6 targets (14% of the team's), 4 catches for 61 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 10.0 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Jordan Addison →

Ko Kieft Unlucky

TB · TE · 0.0 pts on 5.0 expected

3 targets (9% of the team's), 0 catches for 0 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 5.0 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Ko Kieft →

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2023 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Buccaneers defense and Vikings defense
Points allowed toBuccaneers DVikings D
QBs17.717.0
RBs17.619.4
WRs35.937.4
TEs14.811.5

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Minnesota opened at 62% win probability, climbed as high as 82%, then lost.

Vikings win probability

Vikings win probability by game minuteVikings started at 62%, stood at 58% at halftime and finished at 0%, across 7 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. +24Cousins → Addison, 39-yd TD49% → 73%Q2 11:15
  2. −24Mayfield → Evans, 28-yd TD82% → 58%Q2 1:09
  3. −33Mayfield → Palmer, 7-yd TD57% → 24%Q3 6:01
  4. +38Cousins → Mattison, 4-yd TD17% → 56%Q4 13:37
  5. −28McLaughlin 57-yd FG53% → 25%Q4 5:10

Swing in Vikings win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Buccaneers vs Vikings
Tampa Bay BuccaneersMeasureMinnesota Vikings
68Plays63
51%Pass rate73%
4.8Yds / dropback7.1
2.2Yds / carry2.4
6/17Third downs6/14

Efficiency edge Tampa Bay ran 5 more plays than Minnesota.

  • Top targets
  • TB Evans 31% · Godwin 19% · Otton 9%
  • MIN Jefferson 27% · Hockenson 20% · Addison 14%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Buccaneers vs Vikings
ResultTBMIN
Touchdowns22
Field goals21
Punts65
Turnovers03

TB turnover edge: +3

  • The Buccaneers opened the scoring on their third possession, a 4-play, 0-yard drive that ended in a field goal.
  • Minnesota's first four possessions all ended in a three-and-out or a fumble.
  • The Buccaneers drained the clock with two second-half drives of four to nine minutes.
All 23 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
MINQ1 15:00330:48Punt
TBQ1 14:12320:36Punt
MINQ1 13:369605:17Fumble
TBQ1 8:195142:05Punt
MINQ1 6:143-61:16Fumble
TBQ1 4:58401:35Field goal
MINQ1 3:23382:18Punt
TBQ1 1:05371:57Punt
MINQ2 14:086832:53Touchdown
TBQ2 11:15311:51Punt
MINQ2 9:249623:43Field goal
TBQ2 5:41350:46Punt
MINQ2 4:55392:16Punt
TBQ2 2:397611:30Touchdown
MINQ2 1:096620:53Interception
TBQ2 0:16150:16End of half
TBQ3 15:0016758:59Touchdown
MINQ3 6:0116757:24Touchdown
TBQ4 13:375152:26Punt
MINQ4 11:11331:15Punt
TBQ4 9:5610384:46Field goal
MINQ4 5:10331:18Punt
TBQ4 3:5210393:52End of game
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Buccaneers vs Vikings Head-to-Head

The Buccaneers and Vikings first met in 1977 and have played 58 times since.

All-time series
34–24Vikings lead, 58 meetings since 1977
Postseason
0No playoff meetings
Largest Buccaneers win
41–132000
Largest Vikings win
45–131986

Since 2021

1–1 Series tied

2 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. B = Buccaneers win, V = Vikings win, outlined = this game.

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2023 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Buccaneers vs Vikings
BuccaneersStatVikings
9-8Record7-10
20.5Points per game20.2
313.0Yards per game347.8
5.1Yards per play5.5
19.1Points allowed per game21.3
344.2Yards allowed per game333.2

Buccaneers vs Vikings Odds and Results

How this game finished against the betting lines.

Spread
MIN −4Vikings failed to cover by 7
Total
45Under: 37 points scored (by 8)

Expected vs Actual Scoring

Implied team totals against the actual score
TeamImpliedActualDifference
Vikings24.517−7.5
Buccaneers20.520−0.5

Both offenses finished under the market's expectation, which matches the low fantasy output in the Fantasy tab.

Betting Trends

Each team's 2023 season through this game. Over/under is overs first.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Against the spread
1–0
Over/under
0–1
ATS as underdog
1–0
ATS on the road
1–0

Minnesota Vikings

Against the spread
0–1
Over/under
0–1
ATS as favorite
0–1
ATS at home
0–1

Lines: ESPN's consensus, captured at kickoff. Individual sportsbooks varied.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Betting availability depends on your state.

Buccaneers and Vikings in Fantasy

The two teams don't meet again this season. If you roster a Buccaneer or a Viking, these answer the week-to-week question.

Keep Exploring

2023 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Buccaneers vs Vikings Game FAQ

Who won the 2023 Buccaneers vs Vikings Week 1 game?

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the Minnesota Vikings 20–17 in Week 1 of the 2023 season. The game was played at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, MN, on September 10, 2023. See the Buccaneers' 2023 schedule.

What was the final score of Buccaneers vs Vikings?

The final score was Buccaneers 20, Vikings 17. The teams were tied 10–10 at halftime, and the second half went Buccaneers 10, Vikings 7.

What happened in the Buccaneers vs Vikings game?

Tampa Bay broke a 10–10 halftime tie, outscoring Minnesota 10–7 after the break to win 20–17. Minnesota outgained the Buccaneers 369–242. Justin Jefferson led all players with 9 catches for 150 yards. The Vikings committed 3 turnovers, the Buccaneers none.

What was the game-winning score in Buccaneers vs Vikings?

Chase McLaughlin's 57-yard field goal with 5:10 left in the fourth quarter gave the Buccaneers a 20–17 lead they never gave up. It was the final score of the game.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Buccaneers vs Vikings?

Justin Jefferson led the game with 24.0 PPR fantasy points, the WR7 of Week 1, on 9 catches for 150 yards. Mike Evans was next with 18.6 (WR13). See Justin Jefferson's 2023 game log.

Who led Buccaneers vs Vikings in passing, rushing and receiving?

Kirk Cousins (MIN) led all passers with 33 of 44 for 344 yards, 2 touchdowns and an interception. Rachaad White (TB) led in rushing with 17 carries for 39 yards. Justin Jefferson (MIN) led in receiving with 9 catches for 150 yards.

How many fantasy points did Justin Jefferson score against the Buccaneers?

Justin Jefferson scored 24.0 points in PPR leagues, 19.5 in half-PPR and 15.0 in standard scoring against the Buccaneers in Week 1 of the 2023 season, on 9 catches for 150 yards. He drew 27% of his team's targets.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Buccaneers vs Vikings?

Jordan Addison outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 16.1 PPR points on 10.0 xFP (+6.1). Rachaad White fell furthest short, with 6.9 points on 13.8 xFP (−6.9). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

How did the Buccaneers come back to beat the Vikings?

The Buccaneers' chances of winning fell as low as 18% in the first half. Chase McLaughlin's 57-yard field goal then put them ahead for good.

Which team won the turnover battle in Buccaneers vs Vikings?

The Buccaneers won the turnover battle 3–0: the Vikings gave the ball away 3 times and the Buccaneers not at all. The Buccaneers won the game.

What is the all-time Buccaneers vs Vikings record?

The Vikings lead the all-time series 34–24 across 58 meetings since 1977.

When did the Buccaneers and Vikings last play before this game?

Before Week 1 of 2023, they last met in the 2020 season on December 13, 2020, when the Buccaneers beat the Vikings 26–14.

What was the closing spread for Buccaneers vs Vikings?

The consensus closing spread at kickoff was Vikings −4, making the Minnesota Vikings 4-point favorites, with a closing total of 45. That implied about 24.5 points for the Vikings and 20.5 for the Buccaneers.

Did Buccaneers vs Vikings go over or under the total?

The game went under. The consensus closing total was 45, and the teams combined for 37 points, 8 under the number.

Who covered the spread in Buccaneers vs Vikings?

The Buccaneers covered as 4-point underdogs against the closing line of Vikings −4. The final margin was 3 points.