Daniel Jones 2026 fantasy outlook and rest-of-season projection
- Age
- 29
- Height / weight
- 6'5", 230 lb
- Experience
- 8th season
- Drafted
- 2019 R1, #6
2026 Season
- PPR PPG
- 10.4
- Pos rank
- QB28
- Rostered
- 21%
Week 4 at Commanders, Sun Oct 4, 9:30 AM ET 2nd vs. QBs, favorable
Daniel Jones Rest-of-Season Outlook
Efficient QB3 with streaming weeks
Preseason Projection vs. Reality
He finished QB17 last season at 18.0 points per game.
Our Take After Week 4
Through 3 games he's QB28 at 10.4 PPR points per game, against 18.0 over 13 games last season (QB17). He's running behind last season's pace.
Last season he ranked 22nd of 41 in passing volume (29.5 attempts per game), 5th of 41 in efficiency (0.17 EPA per play) and 25th of 41 in rushing (12.6 rush yards per game). His points come from his efficiency. Rushing is the soft spot. Josh Downs and Tyler Warren are his top two targets.
The main risk is the job itself. He's the listed starter with Anthony Richardson SR. next on the depth chart, and a benching or an injury would take his value to zero overnight.
The next favorable matchup is the Commanders in Week 4 (2nd against QBs).
Read our preseason outlook (June 2026)
Published June 17, 2026. Kept for reference; the take above replaces it.
Indianapolis bet on Jones and the early returns validated it: across 13 games in 2025 he posted a 0.169 EPA per play, a 51% success rate and a plus-2.3 CPOE, completing 68% for 3,101 yards with 19 touchdowns against just eight picks. That is a massive leap from his 2024 NYG line, where he graded out negative (-0.056 EPA, 44.9% success) over 10 games. He chipped in five rushing scores on 45 carries, and his 226.4 fantasy points landed him at QB18 despite the shortened year.
The catch is health. A December Achilles tear, on top of an earlier fibula fracture, clouds the legs that powered his ceiling, and OTA reports limited him to 7-on-7 work. The pass-catching room thinned with Pittman gone, leaving Pierce as the main holdover. Treat him as a back-end QB2 and a draft-day discount until Week 1 availability is confirmed.
What Drives His Outlook
His 2025 rank among the 41 quarterbacks who played at least six games. Each bar is one quarterback, best on the left; his is highlighted.
Passing volume
Efficiency
Rushing
- Success rate
- 51.0%
- CPOE
- +2.3
- Sacks taken
- 22
- Pressure rate
- 20.3%
- Bad-throw rate
- 12.1%
- Deep-attempt rate
- 9.1%
What Could Change His Value
Upside
- A soft spotThe Commanders in Week 4 is a top-10 matchup for QBs.Wk 4 WAS, 2ndWk 5 PIT, 26thWk 6 TEN, 31stWk 7 MIN, 27th
- Strong efficiency0.17 EPA per play, 5th of 41 QBs in 2025.
Risk
- Job securityAnthony Richardson SR. is next on the depth chart; a benching or injury hands him the job.
- Tough matchupsThe Steelers in Week 5 (26th) and the Titans in Week 6 (31st) are among the stingiest defenses against QBs.
- Pressure and sacks22 sacks and a 20.3% pressure rate in 2025.
All Daniel Jones stats & analysis
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Daniel Jones Fantasy Outlook FAQ
What is Daniel Jones's fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?
Daniel Jones projects as an efficient QB3 with streaming weeks for the rest of the 2026 season: a weekly starter in superflex and 2QB leagues, a streamer in 12-team 1QB leagues and waiver-wire material in 10-team 1QB leagues. His efficiency (0.17 EPA per play, 5th of 41 QBs in 2025) supports that. His rushing (12.6 rush yards per game, 25th of 41 QBs in 2025) holds him back. See his live rank in Redraft Command.
What is Daniel Jones's rest-of-season fantasy ranking?
Daniel Jones is the QB28 in PPR points per game through Week 4. That puts him in QB3 territory, a streamer in 12-team 1QB leagues.
What is Daniel Jones's projected role going forward?
Daniel Jones is the listed starting QB, with Anthony Richardson SR. next on the depth chart. Nothing on the chart threatens the job, so the role is his to lose on performance.
Will Daniel Jones get more pass attempts?
Daniel Jones's pass attempts are holding steady: 33.5 a game over his last two games against 32.7 for the season. Game script drives much of that, and trailing teams throw more.
What is Daniel Jones's fantasy football upside?
Daniel Jones's upside: his ceiling this season is 12.4 PPR points (Week 2, QB23), his efficiency (0.17 EPA per play, 5th of 41 QBs in 2025) gives him a weekly floor to build on and the Commanders in Week 4 is a top-10 matchup for QBs.
What could hurt Daniel Jones's fantasy value?
Daniel Jones's risks: Anthony Richardson SR. is next on the depth chart if he is benched or hurt, his rushing (12.6 rush yards per game, 25th of 41 QBs in 2025) limits his scoring and the Steelers in Week 5 and the Titans in Week 6 are tough matchups. See his injury status and history.
How difficult is Daniel Jones's remaining fantasy schedule?
Difficult: of his next seven games, 3 come against a top-10 matchup for QBs and 4 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.