NFC East · 2026 Season
New York Giants
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New York Giants
New York Giants Usage & Opportunity Report 2026
Updated through Week 4 · refreshed every Tuesday
Fantasy production follows opportunity, not the other way around — so this report tracks who's on the field and who the ball is going to, before the box score catches up. The essentials: target share (share of team pass attempts), snap share, and red-zone touches. The premium layer, in each player's expandable profile: first-read share (how often the play is designed for him), air-yards share (30%+ is the alpha-receiver threshold), and expected fantasy points (xFP) vs. fantasy points over expected (FPOE) — xFP is stable, repeatable volume; FPOE is efficiency that regresses. Route share (the % of dropbacks a player runs a route on — the stat that matters most for tight ends), targets per route run (TPRR) and yards per route run (YPRR — the best receiver efficiency stat there is) join the profiles when the league's route data is published. Since 2017, receivers at a 20%+ target share average 15.3 fantasy points per game; the 10–20% group averages 9.8. That cliff is why this table exists.
- Pass rate over expected−9.0%30thRuns more than game situations call for — a cap on the pass-catchers' volume and a floor under Skattebo
- Red-zone pass rate43%28thRun-first inside the 20 — Skattebo's 5 green-zone carries eat the receivers' TDs
- Neutral pace33.2s19th fastestSeconds per play in neutral situations
- Plays per game59.019thOffensive plays a game — league-average volume, so shares decide it
- Team xFP / game75.426thTotal expected fantasy points this offense creates — a thin pie, so only the top shares pay
The Target Tree
All 83 Giants pass attempts through Week 4
- Isaiah Likely 27.7%
- Malik Nabers 22.9%
- Malachi Fields 14.5%
- Cam Skattebo 9.6%
- Darnell Mooney 9.6%
- Singletary/Johnson/Ricard 13.3%
- Everyone else 1.2%
- No target (throwaways, spikes, batted) 1.2%
The Backfield Split
Who owns which situations — the RB stat that actually predicts the box score.
- Cam Skattebo 65.3%
- Devin Singletary 18.8%
- Najee Harris 12.9%
- Other backs 3.0%
Share of the backs' carries + targets in each situation. Snap-by-snap splits need the league's participation data, which is published after the season.
- 22.0Skattebo weighted opps/game — RB16 in the NFL
- 13Skattebo high-value touches (in-10 carries + targets)
- 9.5Singletary weighted opps/game
- +1.4Skattebo wOpp/g vs. last season — the same role as last season
Why Skattebo's floor holds in PPR: He keeps 50% of the backs' third-down work as well as the early downs, so his catches don't depend on game script — a 40-catch pace. Trailing by 7+, he still gets 69% of the backs' work — no one takes the hurry-up snaps from him.
The Singletary math if Skattebo misses time: Singletary backs up the red-zone role (the valuable ones). A Skattebo absence projects Singletary to ~50% of weighted opportunities — about 19.4 a game, an RB2 by volume — and why he's a STASH, not a cut.
Run Direction — carries & yards per carry by gap
- 7.813 attLeft end
- 4.111 attLeft tackle
- 3.447 attMiddle
- 2.65 attRight tackle
- 2.08 attRight end
Designed runs only; "Middle" includes runs behind either guard.
The left side is the run game's engine: 7.8 yards per carry off left end and 4.1 behind left tackle — 29% of all designed runs go that way. Interior volume (47 attempts) does the clock work at 3.4; the left edge does the damage. When the line's left side sits out practice, that's a usage note, not just an injury note.
Where Winston Attacks
Share of pass attempts & yards per attempt by field zone — through Week 4
- 4%10.0 YPADeep left
- 2%0.0 YPADeep middle
- 4%0.0 YPADeep right
Line of scrimmage · deep = 20+ air yards
- 45%6.5 YPAShort left
- 20%5.9 YPAShort middle · Likely
- 25%5.2 YPAShort right · Likely
The short left is the efficiency engine (6.5 YPA). Winston keeps 90% of his throws under 20 air yards, with the deep left his most explosive zone (10 YPA on 3 attempts). Fields's fantasy problem, mapped: a 17.8-yard aDOT puts him in the 10% deep slice of this chart while the short left feasts. Gold = highest-YPA high-volume zone.
| Profile | Player | Opportunity (WOPR) | Target share | Snap share | RZ touches | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam SkatteboRB1, 66% of RB touchesRB16 in weighted opps/game, NFL | —touch share 66% | 9.6%+18.2 vs W1 | 65%+16 vs W1 | 94 · 1 · 4 — leads team | Starter | |
A shared backfield. 64% of the weighted opportunities means another back takes a real cut every week, so his floor rises and falls with game script. He's −1.6 a game against expected: the volume is there and the box score hasn't caught up — a buy signal, not a warning. Bars show percentile vs. all NFL RBs. | ||||||
| Isaiah LikelyTE1TE2 in target share, NFL | 0.54elite for TE | 27.7%−4.9 vs W1 | 67%+35 vs W1 | 44 · 0 · 0 | Set & forget | |
The ceiling problem in two numbers: a 18.4% air-yards share and a 5.8 aDOT. His targets travel nowhere, so even a healthy target share converts to modest yardage — and the share itself is the one drifting down. Production is running +0.1 over expected, so this is volume, not a hot streak. Bars show percentile vs. all NFL TEs. | ||||||
| Malik NabersWR1WR20 in target share, NFL | 0.52strong — elite at 0.60 | 22.9%−3.7 vs W1 | 68%+26 vs W1 | 31 · 1 · 1 | Set & forget | |
Volume you can set in the lineup. A 22.9% target share and 10.5 expected points a game, with a 25% first-read share; a 25.6% air-yards share decides how much of that turns into yards. He's −3.3 a game against expected: the volume is there and the box score hasn't caught up — a buy signal, not a warning. Bars show percentile vs. all NFL WRs. | ||||||
| Malachi FieldsWR2WR57 in target share, NFL | 0.42flex range | 14.5%−4.7 vs W1 | 74%steady | 00 · 0 · 0 | Volatile | |
The deep-decoy profile. A 17.8-yard aDOT sits past the depth where weekly production turns boom/bust, and a 14.5% target share says he isn't earning volume when he's out there. Best-ball ceiling, seasonal-league headache. Bars show percentile vs. all NFL WRs. | ||||||
| Darnell MooneyWR3WR78 in target share, NFL | 0.23below startable | 9.6%+6.7 vs W1 | 57%−13 vs W1 | 00 · 0 · 0 | Volatile | |
The role is arriving before the box score does. His target share has run 7% → 9% → 14% over the last 3 games. Volume that is growing this fast gets repriced the week it scores. Production is running +0.9 over expected, so this is volume, not a hot streak. Bars show percentile vs. all NFL WRs. | ||||||
| Devin SingletaryRB2 · handcuff, 15% of RB touchesRB49 in weighted opps/game, NFL | —touch share 15% | 6.0%−10.7 vs W1 | 21%−10 vs W1 | 33 · 0 · – | Stash | |
Contingent value, quantified. The 15% touch share is standalone-flex-in-a-pinch at best; the real number is what it becomes if Skattebo misses time — see The Backfield Split above. Bars show percentile vs. all NFL RBs. | ||||||
| Jameis WinstonQB1QB34 in xFP/game, NFL | —every dropback | —the passer | 60%+12 vs W2 | 0– · 0 · 0 | Volatile | |
A pocket passer's profile. 0 green-zone carries and a 1.8% scramble rate: his points have to come through the air, so his weekly range follows the pass volume (QB34 in expected points). He's −5.1 a game against expected: the volume is there and the box score hasn't caught up — a buy signal, not a warning. Bars show percentile vs. all NFL QBs. | ||||||
How to read this table
- Set & forget 20%+ target share or locked bell-cow role — start everywhere
- Starter 17–19% target share or a lead back's full workload — weekly lineup play
- Flex 15–16% share or a committee lead — matchup-dependent
- Volatile under 15% — deep leagues only
- Stash the role behind the role
- WOPR: 1.5 × target share + 0.7 × air-yards share
- + button: opens the full advanced profile — first-read share, air-yards share, xFP/FPOE — with percentile bars vs. the league
Buy low
Cam Skattebo
The role is arriving before the box score does. Trade for him this week — not after the two-touchdown game makes it obvious to your league.
- +16snap share pts since W1
- +18.2target share pts since W1
Sell high
Malachi Fields
Season totals still read like a starter, but the share just fell to a season low. Name value currently exceeds trajectory.
- −4.7target share pts since W1
- 9.1%W3 share — season low
Watch
Darnell Mooney
Under 10% target share on a shrinking snap count. One more quiet week and he's droppable in 12-team leagues; an injury above him is the fastest path back.
- 13.6%W3 target share
- 0RZ touches since W1
Usage trends are one of the core inputs behind our player pricing — Redraft Command re-runs every player's value as these shares move, so a riser like Skattebo gets repriced before your leaguemates notice.
Data: nflverse play-by-play · nflverse snap counts (PFR) · FTN Data charting via nflverse (first-read share) · ffopportunity expected points (xFP). Regular season, through Week 4.
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- Fantasy Football ToolsThe #1 ranked fantasy football toolset.Open
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- Fantasy Points AllowedHow New York's defense performs against QB, RB, WR and TE.Open
Common questions
Who leads the New York Giants in target share?
Isaiah Likely leads the New York Giants with a 27.7% target share through Week 4, down 4.9 points since Week 1. Malik Nabers is second at 22.9%.