Matthew Stafford Dynasty Value 2026
Matthew Stafford dynasty outlook: superflex and 1QB value, dynasty rank, age curve, startup and rookie draft cost, long-term market trend, production history and trade context.
Matthew Stafford dynasty outlook
Matthew Stafford is ranked #96 overall and QB26 in StatChasers' superflex dynasty rankings, a depth or upside hold at a market value of 1,636.
He is 38.0 years old — late in the quarterback curve, though the position ages more gently than any other. Age is weighted per position in the model value, so this is priced in rather than mentioned in passing.
Matthew's win-now value (2,213) sits above his dynasty value (1,636), the profile of a player contenders pay up for and rebuilding teams are usually right to sell.
Format matters here: Matthew is worth 1,636 in superflex against 723 in 1QB, a +126.3% difference — the usual superflex quarterback premium. Check which format a comparable trade came from before using it as a price.
The model values Matthew +22.3% above the dynasty market, a buy-low signal: his production and age say the price is too low.
In dynasty startup drafts Matthew goes at pick 91.8 on average (round 8.08 in a 12-team startup, QB23 by ADP), with a typical range of 53 to 132 across 913 drafts; his startup cost is falling over the last 30 days (-4.0 picks).
Over the longer run his startup ADP has risen: from an average pick of 101.0 in 2024-01 to 91.6 in 2026-09, across 29 months of drafts.
Production trajectory: 21.1 PPR points per game in 2025 over 17 games, up from 13.9 in 2024, finishing QB3.
Drafted round 1, pick 1 by Detroit Lions in 2009. Draft capital keeps mattering in dynasty long after it stops mattering in redraft — teams keep giving opportunity to players they spent a pick on.
Player profile
| Team | Los Angeles Rams |
| Position | QB |
| Age | 38.0 |
| Experience | 17 yrs |
| Number | #9 |
| Bye week | Week 11 |
| Status | Active |
Dynasty value
| Superflex value (StatChasers Market) | 1,636 |
| Superflex rank | #96 · QB26 |
| 1QB value | 723 |
| 1QB rank | #148 · QB28 |
| 30-day movement | — |
| Win-now (redraft) value | 2,213 |
| Timeline | Contender asset |
| Model value | 2,001 |
| Model vs market | +22.3% |
| Signal | Buy |
Run a trade with Matthew in the dynasty trade calculator, or find one with the dynasty trade finder.
Matthew Stafford startup draft cost
Drafted in 913 completed dynasty startup drafts · overall ADP rank #88 · QB23 · earliest pick 19, latest 255 · 7-day -2.0, 14-day -4.0. Expected pick 90.6; availability falls off hardest between picks 49 and 50 (−1 points of availability). Full board on the dynasty startup rankings page.
Matthew Stafford dynasty value trend
Average startup-draft pick by month, oldest to newest — a taller bar is an earlier pick and a more valuable player. Months with fewer than three completed drafts are omitted. Range over this window: pick 60.7 to 135.1.
Matthew Stafford production by season
Career production, which in dynasty is read as a trajectory rather than a snapshot: the direction across seasons matters more than any single line.
| Season | Team | Games | PPR / game | Half / game | Std / game | PPR finish | Half finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | LAR | 17 | 21.1 | 21.1 | 21.1 | QB3 | QB3 |
| 2024 | LAR | 16 | 13.9 | 13.9 | 13.9 | QB19 | QB19 |
| 2023 | LAR | 15 | 16.9 | 16.9 | 16.9 | QB15 | QB15 |
| 2022 | LAR | 9 | 12.8 | 12.8 | 12.8 | QB32 | QB32 |
| 2021 | LAR | 17 | 20.1 | 20.1 | 20.1 | QB5 | QB5 |
| 2020 | DET | 16 | 16.8 | 16.8 | 16.8 | QB15 | QB15 |
Matthew Stafford draft capital and athletic profile
Combine measurements with the percentile against other QBs in the database. Athletic profile and draft capital are long-horizon inputs — they say little about next Sunday and a good deal about how long a team keeps handing a player opportunity.
Draft capital
| Draft class | 2009 |
| Round | 1 |
| Overall pick | #1 |
| Drafted by | Detroit Lions |
| Height | 6'2" |
| Weight | 225 lb |
Combine testing
Bar length is the percentile against the position cohort.
Matthew Stafford injury history
Durability compounds over a dynasty horizon in a way it never does over one season, so the record is here in full rather than summarised into a grade.
| Season | Week | Injury | Severity | Games missed | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | — | Hamstring Tightness | minor | 0 | Experienced hamstring tightness during a joint practice in the preseason and was held out as a precaution. |
| 2023 | 18 | Concussion Evaluation | minor | 0 | Was evaluated for a concussion during the Wild Card playoff game against the Lions after taking a hard hit, but returned to the game. |
| 2023 | 8 | Thumb Sprain | moderate | 1 | Sprained the UCL in his right thumb against the Cowboys, causing him to miss the following game. |
| 2022 | 11 | Spinal Cord Contusion | 7 | Suffered a spinal cord contusion that led to him being placed on injured reserve, ending his season. | |
| 2022 | 10 | Concussion | moderate | 1 | Entered concussion protocol after a sack in the game against the Saints. |
| 2022 | — | Elbow Tendinitis | minor | 0 | Managed tendinitis in his throwing elbow with an offseason injection and limited throwing during training camp. |
| 2021 | — | Thumb Surgery | moderate | 0 | Underwent offseason surgery to repair a partially torn UCL in his right thumb. |
| 2020 | 16 | Ribs/Thumb/Ankle | minor | 0 | Played through multiple injuries late in the season, including to his ribs, right thumb, and a high ankle sprain. |
| 2019 | 9 | Back Fractures | 8 | Suffered non-displaced fractures in his upper thoracic spine, ending his season after Week 9. | |
| 2018 | 17 | Back Fractures | moderate | 0 | Played through the end of the season with fractures in his back. |
Dynasty assets valued near Matthew Stafford
Same position, nearest dynasty value — the players he is realistically swapped for.
Use Matthew in the dynasty tools
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Data on this page updated 2026-09-30.