Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills, Divisional Round 2024
Baltimore Ravens
Away
25
Buffalo Bills
HomeWon, advanced
27
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens | 7 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 25 |
| Bills | 7 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 27 |
BAL 25BUF 27 Final
Passing leader
19.1PPR pts
18/25, 254 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
Top fantasy scorer
17.3PPR pts
4 REC, 73 YDS, 1 TD
Ravens leader
16.6PPR pts
4 REC, 66 YDS, 1 TD
Defensive playmaker
Taylor Rapp
1 INT, 2 TKL
Bills 27, Ravens 25: Buffalo holds off Baltimore in the 2024 Divisional Round
Buffalo led 21–10 at halftime after a 14-point second quarter and won 27–25, though Baltimore took the second half 15–6. Baltimore outgained the Bills 416–273.
The Ravens went 7-for-10 on third down and committed three turnovers, while the Bills finished without a giveaway.
The Bills' run ended in the Conference Championship, a 32–29 loss to the Chiefs.
The two teams meet again in Week 8 of 2026. If you roster anyone from either side, run the start/sit call in Redraft Command and it will weigh your lineup, your opponent and your league scoring, not only the player rankings.
Key advantages
- +3 turnover margin BUF 0 turnovers
- +3:28 time of possession BUF 31:44 · BAL 28:16
Game Highlights
Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube
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Why the Bills Won
Buffalo won the turnover and time of possession battles.
| Ravens | Stat | Bills |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Turnovers | 0 |
| 28:16 | Time of possession | 31:44 |
| Other team stats | ||
| 416 | Total yards | 273 |
| 7.3 | Yards per play | 4.6 |
| 57 | Plays | 59 |
| 70% | Third-down conversion | 45% |
Scoring Summary
The Bills scored three touchdowns and two field goals; the Ravens scored three touchdowns and two field goals.
| Time | Team | Play | BAL | BUF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st quarter | ||||
| 10:40 | BAL | Lamar Jackson → Rashod Bateman, 16-yard TD Takes leadJustin Tucker XP | 7 | 0 |
| 4:43 | BUF | Ray Davis 1-yard TD run Ties gameTyler Bass XP | 7 | 7 |
| 2nd quarter | ||||
| 8:52 | BUF | Josh Allen 1-yard TD run Takes leadTyler Bass XP | 7 | 14 |
| 3:43 | BAL | Justin Tucker 26-yard FG | 10 | 14 |
| 0:16 | BUF | Josh Allen 4-yard TD run Extends leadTyler Bass XP | 10 | 21 |
| 3rd quarter | ||||
| 9:47 | BAL | Justin Tucker 47-yard FG | 13 | 21 |
| 1:37 | BAL | Derrick Henry 5-yard TD run2-pt try failed | 19 | 21 |
| 4th quarter | ||||
| 12:04 | BUF | Tyler Bass 51-yard FG Extends lead | 19 | 24 |
| 3:29 | BUF | Tyler Bass 21-yard FG Extends lead | 19 | 27 |
| 1:33 | BAL | Lamar Jackson → Isaiah Likely, 24-yard TD2-pt try failed | 25 | 27 |
Playoff game: these points don't count in most season-long fantasy leagues.
Fantasy Points vs Expected
Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.
- Biggest overperformer+8.7Isaiah Likely17.3 PTS vs 8.6 xFP
- Biggest underperformer−5.0James Cook III11.2 PTS vs 16.2 xFP
- Highest expected volume16.3 xFPJosh Allen19.1 PTS scored
| Player | PTS | xFP | vs xFP | Snap% | Usage | Rte% | Pass att | Car | Car% | Tgt | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenBUF · QB | 19.1 | 16.3 | +2.8 | — | 22 att | — | 22 | 10 | 28% | 0 | 0% |
| James Cook IIIBUF · RB | 11.2 | 16.2 | −5.0 | — | 47% car | — | 0 | 17 | 47% | 3 | 14% |
| Lamar JacksonBAL · QB | 19.1 | 15.0 | +4.1 | — | 25 att | — | 25 | 6 | 20% | 0 | 0% |
| Derrick HenryBAL · RB | 14.4 | 13.9 | +0.5 | — | 53% car | — | 0 | 16 | 53% | 2 | 8% |
| Mark AndrewsBAL · TE | 9.4 | 13.3 | −3.9 | — | 28% tgt | — | 0 | 2 | 7% | 7 | 28% |
| Khalil ShakirBUF · WR | 12.7 | 12.0 | +0.7 | — | 33% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 7 | 33% |
| Isaiah LikelyBAL · TE | 17.3 | 8.6 | +8.7 | — | 20% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 5 | 20% |
| Rashod BatemanBAL · WR | 16.6 | 8.6 | +8.0 | — | 20% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 5 | 20% |
| Justice HillBAL · RB | 7.7 | 7.3 | +0.4 | — | 20% car | — | 0 | 6 | 20% | 2 | 8% |
| Ty JohnsonBUF · RB | 4.9 | 5.0 | −0.1 | — | 14% car | — | 0 | 5 | 14% | 1 | 5% |
| Curtis SamuelBUF · WR | 2.9 | 3.4 | −0.5 | — | 10% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 2 | 10% |
| Dalton KincaidBUF · TE | 2.1 | 3.4 | −1.3 | — | 10% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 2 | 10% |
| Dawson KnoxBUF · TE | 1.0 | 3.4 | −2.4 | — | 10% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 2 | 10% |
| Mack HollinsBUF · WR | 2.2 | 3.4 | −1.2 | — | 10% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 2 | 10% |
| Ray DavisBUF · RB | 8.9 | 2.6 | +6.3 | — | 11% car | — | 0 | 4 | 11% | 0 | 0% |
| Amari CooperBUF · WR | 0.0 | 1.7 | −1.7 | — | 5% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1 | 5% |
| Anthony MillerBAL · WR | 2.6 | 1.7 | +0.9 | — | 4% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1 | 4% |
| Keon ColemanBUF · WR | 1.5 | 1.7 | −0.2 | — | 5% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1 | 5% |
| Nelson AgholorBAL · WR | 0.0 | 1.7 | −1.7 | — | 4% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1 | 4% |
| Steven SimsBAL · WR | 1.4 | 1.7 | −0.3 | — | 4% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1 | 4% |
| Tylan WallaceBAL · WR | 3.7 | 1.7 | +2.0 | — | 4% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1 | 4% |
Team totals: Ravens 25 targets and 30 carries; Bills 21 targets and 36 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts aren't available for this game. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2024 season: 1.71 PPR points per target (68% catch rate), 0.65 per carry and 0.44 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.
Fantasy Verdicts
Lamar Jackson
18 of 25 passing for 254 yards, 2 touchdowns, 1 interception; 6 carries for 39 yards.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 15.0 expected.
Fewest points since Week 11.
Josh Allen
16 of 22 passing for 127 yards; 10 carries for 20 yards and 2 touchdowns.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 16.3 expected.
Derrick Henry
2 targets (8% of the team's), 0 catches for 0 yards; 16 carries (53% of the team's) for 84 yards and 1 touchdown.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 13.9 expected.
Fewest points since Week 15.
Mark Andrews
7 targets (28% of the team's), 5 catches for 61 yards; 2 carries (7% of the team's) for 3 yards.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 13.3 expected.
Fewest points since Week 11. A touchdown in 6 of the last 8 games.
James Cook III Unlucky
3 targets (14% of the team's), 3 catches for 15 yards; 17 carries (47% of the team's) for 67 yards.
Verdict: The role was there, worth 16.2 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.
A touchdown in 6 of the last 8 games.
Khalil Shakir Strong role
7 targets (33% of the team's), 6 catches for 67 yards.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 12.0 expected.
Isaiah Likely Ran hot
5 targets (20% of the team's), 4 catches for 73 yards and 1 touchdown.
Verdict: The opportunities were worth 8.6 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.
Best score since Week 1.
Rashod Bateman Ran hot
5 targets (20% of the team's), 4 catches for 66 yards and 1 touchdown.
Verdict: The opportunities were worth 8.6 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.
A touchdown in 5 of the last 8 games.
Fantasy Matchups
Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2024 through Week 18.
| Points allowed to | Ravens D | Bills D |
|---|---|---|
| QBs | 18.5 | 16.5 |
| RBs | 19.2 | 24.2 |
| WRs | 36.0 | 33.2 |
| TEs | 12.8 | 12.0 |
Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.
How the Game Swung
Buffalo opened at 50% win probability and passed 98% in the fourth quarter on the way to the win.
Bills win probability
Key Swings
- −20Jackson → Bateman, 16-yd TD50% → 30%Q1 10:40
- +22Davis 1-yd TD run28% → 50%Q1 4:43
- +24Allen 1-yd TD run50% → 74%Q2 8:52
- +21Allen 4-yd TD run66% → 87%Q2 0:16
- −26Henry 5-yd TD run87% → 61%Q3 1:37
Swing in Bills win probability, in points
Play Calling and Possessions
| Baltimore Ravens | Measure | Buffalo Bills |
|---|---|---|
| 57 | Plays | 59 |
| 47% | Pass rate | 39% |
| 8.9 | Yds / dropback | 5.5 |
| 5.9 | Yds / carry | 4.1 |
| 7/10 | Third downs | 5/11 |
Efficiency edge Buffalo ran 2 more plays than Baltimore.
- Top targets
- BAL Andrews 28% · Likely 20% · Bateman 20%
- BUF Shakir 33% · Cook 14% · Samuel 10%
Possession Results
| Result | BAL | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Touchdowns | 3 | 3 |
| Field goals | 2 | 2 |
| Punts | 0 | 3 |
| Turnovers | 3 | 0 |
BUF turnover edge: +3
- The Ravens opened the scoring on their first possession, a 8-play, 73-yard drive that ended in a touchdown.
- The Bills scored touchdowns on two of their first three drives, then drained the clock with three second-half drives of four to six minutes.
All 18 possessions, drive by drive
| Team | Start | Plays | Yards | Time | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAL | Q1 15:00 | 8 | 73 | 4:20 | Touchdown |
| BUF | Q1 10:40 | 11 | 70 | 5:57 | Touchdown |
| BAL | Q1 4:43 | 2 | -1 | 0:51 | Interception |
| BUF | Q1 3:52 | 4 | 4 | 3:11 | Punt |
| BAL | Q1 0:41 | 9 | 54 | 4:36 | Fumble |
| BUF | Q2 11:05 | 4 | 24 | 2:13 | Touchdown |
| BAL | Q2 8:52 | 9 | 57 | 5:09 | Field goal |
| BUF | Q2 3:43 | 9 | 70 | 3:27 | Touchdown |
| BAL | Q2 0:16 | 1 | -1 | 0:16 | End of half |
| BUF | Q3 15:00 | 3 | 1 | 1:12 | Punt |
| BAL | Q3 13:48 | 9 | 35 | 4:01 | Field goal |
| BUF | Q3 9:47 | 6 | 18 | 4:26 | Punt |
| BAL | Q3 5:21 | 7 | 80 | 3:44 | Touchdown |
| BUF | Q3 1:37 | 10 | 37 | 4:33 | Field goal |
| BAL | Q4 12:04 | 6 | 26 | 3:23 | Fumble |
| BUF | Q4 8:41 | 11 | 52 | 5:12 | Field goal |
| BAL | Q4 3:29 | 8 | 88 | 1:56 | Touchdown |
| BUF | Q4 1:33 | 3 | 15 | 1:33 | End of game |
About these numbers
Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.
Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.
Ravens vs Bills Head-to-Head
The Ravens and Bills first met in 1999 and have played 14 times since.
- All-time series
- 7–7Series tied, 14 meetings since 1999
- Postseason
- 2–0Bills won in 2020 and 2024
- Largest Ravens win
- 47–32018
- Largest Bills win
- 17–32020
Since 2021
3–1 Bills lead
4 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.
Oldest to newest. B = Bills win, R = Ravens win, outlined = this game.
2026 Meetings
- Week 8 Ravens at Bills Upcoming
Recent Meetings
- 2025 Wk 1 Ravens at Bills, 2025 Wk 1 recap BUF 41 BAL 40 BUF W
- 2024 Divisional Round Ravens at Bills BUF 27 BAL 25 BUF W
- 2024 Wk 4 Bills at Ravens, 2024 Wk 4 recap BAL 35 BUF 10 BAL W
- 2022 Wk 4 Bills at Ravens, 2022 Wk 4 recap BUF 23 BAL 20 BUF W
Season to Date (Through Week 18)
The 2024 regular season, from each game's box score.
| Ravens | Stat | Bills |
|---|---|---|
| 12-5 | Record | 13-4 |
| 30.5 | Points per game | 30.9 |
| 424.9 | Yards per game | 359.1 |
| 6.8 | Yards per play | 6.0 |
| 21.2 | Points allowed per game | 21.6 |
| 324.2 | Yards allowed per game | 341.5 |
Ravens vs Bills Fantasy Outlook for 2026
One meeting is left on the 2026 schedule: Week 8 in Buffalo. Here's how to decide who to play in your league.
- Start/Sit ToolShould your Ravens or Bills player start in Week 8? Compare the decision against your other options.
- Fantasy Football ProjectionsSee the latest weekly and rest-of-season projections for Ravens and Bills players.
- Fantasy Points Allowed by PositionHow the Ravens and Bills defenses have treated QBs, RBs, WRs and TEs.
- Strength of ScheduleWhere this matchup falls in each team's fantasy playoff run.
- Redraft CommandConnect your league for personalized lineup, trade and roster advice.
Keep Exploring
2024 Game Logs for Players in This Game
Ravens vs Bills Game FAQ
Who won the 2024 Ravens vs Bills Divisional Round game?
The Buffalo Bills beat the Baltimore Ravens 27–25 in the Divisional Round of the 2024 playoffs. The game was played at Highmark Stadium (Old) in Orchard Park, NY, on January 19, 2025. See the Bills' 2024 schedule.
What was the final score of Ravens vs Bills?
The final score was Bills 27, Ravens 25. The Bills led 21–10 at halftime, and the second half went Ravens 15, Bills 6.
What happened in the Ravens vs Bills game?
Buffalo led 21–10 at halftime after a 14-point second quarter and won 27–25, though Baltimore took the second half 15–6. Baltimore outgained the Bills 416–273. The Ravens committed 3 turnovers, the Bills none.
How did the Bills beat the Ravens?
The Bills beat the Ravens 27–25 because they won the turnover battle 3–0.
Which team won the turnover battle in Ravens vs Bills?
The Bills won the turnover battle 3–0: the Ravens gave the ball away 3 times and the Bills not at all. The Bills won the game.
What was the turning point of Ravens vs Bills?
Derrick Henry's 5-yard touchdown run with 1:37 left in the third quarter was the biggest swing of the game, moving the Bills' win probability from 87% to 61%.
What is the all-time Ravens vs Bills record?
The all-time series is tied 7–7 across 14 meetings since 1999, and the Bills are 2–0 in the postseason.
When did the Ravens and Bills last play before this game?
Before the 2024 Divisional Round, they last met in the 2024 season on September 29, 2024, when the Ravens beat the Bills 35–10.
Have the Ravens and Bills met in the playoffs?
Yes, 2 times, most recently in the 2024 playoffs. The Ravens are 0–2 against the Bills in the postseason.
What is the Ravens vs Bills record since 2021?
The Bills lead 3–1 across 4 meetings since the 2021 season, including this game.