Final2024 AFC Conference Championship
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO|
Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs, Conference Championship 2024
Buffalo Bills
Away
29
Kansas City Chiefs
HomeWon, advanced
32
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bills | 3 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 29 |
| Chiefs | 7 | 14 | 0 | 11 | 32 |
BUF 29 · KC 32 Final
Passing leader
KC · QB
30.1PPR pts
18/26, 245 YDS, 1 TD, 2 RUSH TD
Top fantasy scorer
James Cook III
BUF · RB
28.4PPR pts
13 ATT, 85 YDS, 2 TD, 3 REC, 49 REC YDS
Bills leader
BUF · QB
21.4PPR pts
22/34, 237 YDS, 2 TD
Defensive playmaker
Matt Milano
BUF
1 SACK, 9 TKL
Chiefs 32, Bills 29: Kansas City rallies in the fourth quarter of the 2024 Conference Championship
Kansas City led 21–16 at halftime after a 14-point second quarter and won 32–29, though Buffalo took the second half 13–11. Buffalo outgained the Chiefs 374–368, but the Chiefs averaged 5.8 yards per play.
The Bills went 5-for-14 on third down.
The Chiefs' run ended in the Super Bowl, a 40–22 loss to the Eagles.
The two teams meet again in Week 12 of 2026. If you roster anyone from either side, run the start/sit call in Redraft Command and it will weigh your lineup, your opponent and your league scoring, not only the player rankings.
Key advantages
- +0.3 yards/play KC 5.8 · BUF 5.5
- +20% third-down rate KC 56% · BUF 36%
Game Highlights
Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube
Got a Bill or Chief on your fantasy team?
Check their next matchup with the Start/Sit Tool, compare their value in the Fantasy Trade Calculator, or connect your league for personalized advice in Redraft Command.
Works with Sleeper, ESPN and Fleaflicker. No password needed.
Why the Chiefs Won
Kansas City won the efficiency and third-down battles.
| Bills | Stat | Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | Yards per play | 5.8 |
| 36% | Third-down conversion | 56% |
| Other team stats | ||
| 374 | Total yards | 368 |
| 68 | Plays | 63 |
| 0 | Turnovers | 1 |
| 30:32 | Time of possession | 29:28 |
Scoring Summary
The Chiefs scored four touchdowns and one field goal; the Bills scored four touchdowns and one field goal.
| Time | Team | Play | BUF | KC |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st quarter | ||||
| 8:56 | KC | Kareem Hunt 12-yard TD run Takes leadHarrison Butker XP | 0 | 7 |
| 3:45 | BUF | Tyler Bass 53-yard FG | 3 | 7 |
| 2nd quarter | ||||
| 10:25 | BUF | James Cook 6-yard TD run Takes leadTyler Bass XP | 10 | 7 |
| 4:13 | KC | Patrick Mahomes → Xavier Worthy, 11-yard TD Takes leadHarrison Butker XP | 10 | 14 |
| 1:55 | KC | Patrick Mahomes 1-yard TD run Extends leadHarrison Butker XP | 10 | 21 |
| 0:23 | BUF | Josh Allen → Mack Hollins, 34-yard TD2-pt try failed | 16 | 21 |
| 3rd quarter | ||||
| 2:56 | BUF | James Cook 1-yard TD run Takes lead2-pt try failed | 22 | 21 |
| 4th quarter | ||||
| 10:14 | KC | Patrick Mahomes 10-yard TD run Takes leadPatrick Mahomes → Justin Watson, 2-pt conversion | 22 | 29 |
| 6:15 | BUF | Josh Allen → Curtis Samuel, 4-yard TD Ties gameTyler Bass XP | 29 | 29 |
| 3:33 | KC | Harrison Butker 35-yard FG Game winner | 29 | 32 |
Playoff game: these points don't count in most season-long fantasy leagues.
Fantasy Points vs Expected
Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.
- Biggest overperformer+14.8James Cook III28.4 PTS vs 13.6 xFP
- Biggest underperformer−4.7Keon Coleman2.2 PTS vs 6.9 xFP
- Highest expected volume22.3 xFPJosh Allen21.4 PTS scored
| Player | PTS | xFP | vs xFP | Snap% | Usage | Rte% | Pass att | Car | Car% | Tgt | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenBUF · QB | 21.4 | 22.3 | −0.9 | — | 34 att | — | 34 | 11 | 34% | 0 | 0% |
| Patrick MahomesKC · QB | 30.1 | 18.7 | +11.4 | — | 26 att | — | 26 | 11 | 31% | 0 | 0% |
| James Cook IIIBUF · RB | 28.4 | 13.6 | +14.8 | — | 41% car | — | 0 | 13 | 41% | 3 | 10% |
| Xavier WorthyKC · WR | 22.1 | 13.3 | +8.8 | — | 28% tgt | — | 0 | 2 | 6% | 7 | 28% |
| Kareem HuntKC · RB | 14.0 | 12.8 | +1.2 | — | 49% car | — | 0 | 17 | 49% | 1 | 4% |
| Khalil ShakirBUF · WR | 10.6 | 12.0 | −1.4 | — | 23% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 7 | 23% |
| Hollywood BrownKC · — | 6.5 | 8.6 | −2.1 | — | 20% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 5 | 20% |
| Amari CooperBUF · WR | 7.3 | 6.9 | +0.4 | — | 13% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 4 | 13% |
| Dalton KincaidBUF · TE | 3.3 | 6.9 | −3.6 | — | 13% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 4 | 13% |
| Keon ColemanBUF · WR | 2.2 | 6.9 | −4.7 | — | 13% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 4 | 13% |
| Mack HollinsBUF · WR | 16.3 | 6.9 | +9.4 | — | 13% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 4 | 13% |
| Travis KelceKC · TE | 3.9 | 6.9 | −3.0 | — | 16% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 4 | 16% |
| Isiah PachecoKC · RB | 4.4 | 6.7 | −2.3 | — | 14% car | — | 0 | 5 | 14% | 2 | 8% |
| Ty JohnsonBUF · RB | 2.9 | 5.6 | −2.7 | — | 19% car | — | 0 | 6 | 19% | 1 | 3% |
| Curtis SamuelBUF · WR | 7.4 | 5.1 | +2.3 | — | 10% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 3 | 10% |
| JuJu Smith-SchusterKC · WR | 8.0 | 5.1 | +2.9 | — | 12% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 3 | 12% |
| DeAndre HopkinsKC · WR | 2.1 | 3.4 | −1.3 | — | 8% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 2 | 8% |
| Dawson KnoxBUF · TE | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.0 | — | 3% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1 | 3% |
| Samaje PerineKC · RB | 2.7 | 1.7 | +1.0 | — | 4% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1 | 4% |
| Ray DavisBUF · RB | 0.4 | 1.3 | −0.9 | — | 6% car | — | 0 | 2 | 6% | 0 | 0% |
Team totals: Bills 31 targets and 32 carries; Chiefs 25 targets and 35 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts aren't available for this game. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2024 season: 1.71 PPR points per target (68% catch rate), 0.65 per carry and 0.44 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.
Fantasy Verdicts
Josh Allen
BUF · QB · 21.4 pts on 22.3 expected
22 of 34 passing for 237 yards, 2 touchdowns; 11 carries for 39 yards.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 22.3 expected.
Last 5 games + this one (PPR): 51.9, 41.3, 12.2, 23.0, 0.0, 21.4
W14W15W16W17W18CONF
Patrick Mahomes Ran hot
KC · QB · 30.1 pts on 18.7 expected
18 of 26 passing for 245 yards, 1 touchdown; 11 carries for 43 yards and 2 touchdowns.
Verdict: The opportunities were worth 18.7 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.
Last 5 games + this one (PPR): 16.6, 14.1, 15.8, 23.7, 26.0, 30.1
W13W14W15W16W17CONF
Best fantasy game of the season.
James Cook III Ran hot
BUF · RB · 28.4 pts on 13.6 expected
3 targets (10% of the team's), 3 catches for 49 yards; 13 carries (41% of the team's) for 85 yards and 2 touchdowns.
Verdict: The opportunities were worth 13.6 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.
Last 5 games + this one (PPR): 4.9, 26.3, 27.6, 11.3, 8.8, 28.4
W14W15W16W17W18CONF
Best score since Week 2. A touchdown in 7 of the last 8 games.
Khalil Shakir
BUF · WR · 10.6 pts on 12.0 expected
7 targets (23% of the team's), 6 catches for 46 yards.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 12.0 expected.
Last 5 games + this one (PPR): 7.0, 21.6, 15.9, 4.2, 5.5, 10.6
W13W14W15W16W17CONF
Xavier Worthy Ran hot
KC · WR · 22.1 pts on 13.3 expected
7 targets (28% of the team's), 6 catches for 85 yards and 1 touchdown; 2 carries (6% of the team's) for 16 yards.
Verdict: The opportunities were worth 13.3 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.
Last 5 games + this one (PPR): 9.6, 19.6, 20.5, 22.9, 0.0, 22.1
W14W15W16W17W18CONF
Kareem Hunt
KC · RB · 14.0 pts on 12.8 expected
1 target (4% of the team's), 1 catch for 6 yards; 17 carries (49% of the team's) for 64 yards and 1 touchdown.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 12.8 expected.
Last 5 games + this one (PPR): 3.5, 3.9, 5.9, 15.9, 8.0, 14.0
W13W14W15W16W17CONF
Mack Hollins Ran hot
BUF · WR · 16.3 pts on 6.9 expected
4 targets (13% of the team's), 3 catches for 73 yards and 1 touchdown.
Verdict: The opportunities were worth 6.9 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.
Last 5 games + this one (PPR): 15.7, 1.7, 4.5, 5.3, 5.5, 16.3
W14W15W16W17W18CONF
Best fantasy game of the season.
Fantasy Matchups
Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2024 through Week 18.
| Points allowed to | Bills D | Chiefs D |
|---|---|---|
| QBs | 16.5 | 17.7 |
| RBs | 24.2 | 16.2 |
| WRs | 33.2 | 33.2 |
| TEs | 12.0 | 14.8 |
Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.
How the Game Swung
Kansas City opened at 50% win probability and passed 98% in the fourth quarter on the way to the win.
Chiefs win probability
Key Swings
- +27Mahomes → Worthy, 11-yd TD38% → 65%Q2 4:13
- −30Cook 1-yd TD run75% → 45%Q3 2:56
- +47Mahomes 10-yd TD run43% → 90%Q4 10:14
- −45Allen → Samuel, 4-yd TD95% → 50%Q4 6:15
- +32Butker 35-yd FG50% → 82%Q4 3:33
Swing in Chiefs win probability, in points
Play Calling and Possessions
| Buffalo Bills | Measure | Kansas City Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| 68 | Plays | 63 |
| 53% | Pass rate | 44% |
| 6.3 | Yds / dropback | 8.3 |
| 4.6 | Yds / carry | 3.9 |
| 5/14 | Third downs | 5/9 |
Efficiency edge Kansas City ran 5 fewer plays but gained 2.0 more yards per dropback.
- Top targets
- BUF Shakir 23% · Cooper 13% · Kincaid 13%
- KC Worthy 28% · Brown 20% · Kelce 16%
Possession Results
| Result | BUF | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Touchdowns | 4 | 4 |
| Field goals | 1 | 1 |
| Punts | 2 | 2 |
| Turnovers | 0 | 1 |
| Turnovers on downs | 2 | 0 |
BUF turnover edge: +1
- The Chiefs opened the scoring on their first possession, a 9-play, 90-yard drive that ended in a touchdown.
- The Chiefs scored touchdowns on two of their first three drives.
All 19 possessions, drive by drive
| Team | Start | Plays | Yards | Time | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | Q1 15:00 | 3 | 4 | 0:59 | Punt |
| KC | Q1 14:01 | 9 | 90 | 5:05 | Touchdown |
| BUF | Q1 8:56 | 10 | 35 | 5:11 | Field goal |
| KC | Q1 3:45 | 6 | 40 | 2:48 | Fumble |
| BUF | Q1 0:57 | 10 | 72 | 5:32 | Touchdown |
| KC | Q2 10:25 | 11 | 70 | 6:12 | Touchdown |
| BUF | Q2 4:13 | 3 | 0 | 0:34 | Punt |
| KC | Q2 3:39 | 6 | 34 | 1:44 | Touchdown |
| BUF | Q2 1:55 | 7 | 73 | 1:32 | Touchdown |
| KC | Q2 0:23 | 1 | -1 | 0:23 | End of half |
| KC | Q3 15:00 | 8 | 33 | 4:59 | Punt |
| BUF | Q3 10:01 | 12 | 80 | 7:05 | Touchdown |
| KC | Q3 2:56 | 3 | -5 | 1:00 | Punt |
| BUF | Q3 1:56 | 9 | 29 | 4:01 | Downs |
| KC | Q4 12:55 | 5 | 59 | 2:41 | Touchdown |
| BUF | Q4 10:14 | 9 | 70 | 3:59 | Touchdown |
| KC | Q4 6:15 | 8 | 51 | 2:42 | Field goal |
| BUF | Q4 3:33 | 6 | 17 | 1:39 | Downs |
| KC | Q4 1:54 | 7 | 27 | 1:54 | End of game |
About these numbers
Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.
Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.
Bills vs Chiefs Head-to-Head
The Bills and Chiefs first met in 1960 and have played 58 times since.
- All-time series
- 31–26–1Bills lead, 58 meetings since 1960
- Postseason
- 5–2Split 5–2
- Largest Bills win
- 41–72011
- Largest Chiefs win
- 38–52003
Since 2021
5–3 Bills lead
8 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.
- B
- C
- B
- B
- C
- B
- C
- B
Oldest to newest. B = Bills win, C = Chiefs win, outlined = this game.
2026 Meetings
- Week 12 Chiefs at Bills Upcoming
Recent Meetings
- 2025 Wk 9 Chiefs at Bills, 2025 Wk 9 recap BUF 28 KC 21 BUF W
- 2024 Conference Championship Bills at Chiefs KC 32 BUF 29 KC W
- 2024 Wk 11 Chiefs at Bills, 2024 Wk 11 recap BUF 30 KC 21 BUF W
- 2023 Divisional Round Chiefs at Bills, 2023 Divisional Round recap KC 27 BUF 24 KC W
- 2023 Wk 14 Bills at Chiefs, 2023 Wk 14 recap BUF 20 KC 17 BUF W
- 2022 Wk 6 Bills at Chiefs, 2022 Wk 6 recap BUF 24 KC 20 BUF W
- 2021 Divisional Round Bills at Chiefs, 2021 Divisional Round recap KC 42 BUF 36 KC W
- 2021 Wk 5 Bills at Chiefs, 2021 Wk 5 recap BUF 38 KC 20 BUF W
Season to Date (Through Week 18)
The 2024 regular season, from each game's box score.
| Bills | Stat | Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| 13-4 | Record | 15-2 |
| 30.9 | Points per game | 22.6 |
| 359.1 | Yards per game | 327.6 |
| 6.0 | Yards per play | 5.1 |
| 21.6 | Points allowed per game | 19.2 |
| 341.5 | Yards allowed per game | 320.6 |
Bills vs Chiefs Fantasy Outlook for 2026
One meeting is left on the 2026 schedule: Week 12 in Buffalo. Here's how to decide who to play in your league.
- Start/Sit ToolShould your Bills or Chiefs player start in Week 12? Compare the decision against your other options.
- Fantasy Football ProjectionsSee the latest weekly and rest-of-season projections for Bills and Chiefs players.
- Fantasy Points Allowed by PositionHow the Bills and Chiefs defenses have treated QBs, RBs, WRs and TEs.
- Strength of ScheduleWhere this matchup falls in each team's fantasy playoff run.
- Redraft CommandConnect your league for personalized lineup, trade and roster advice.
Keep Exploring
2024 Game Logs for Players in This Game
Bills vs Chiefs Game FAQ
Who won the 2024 Bills vs Chiefs Conference Championship game?
The Kansas City Chiefs beat the Buffalo Bills 32–29 in the Conference Championship of the 2024 playoffs. The game was played at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO, on January 26, 2025. See the Chiefs' 2024 schedule.
What was the final score of Bills vs Chiefs?
The final score was Chiefs 32, Bills 29. The Chiefs led 21–16 at halftime, and the second half went Bills 13, Chiefs 11.
What happened in the Bills vs Chiefs game?
Kansas City led 21–16 at halftime after a 14-point second quarter and won 32–29, though Buffalo took the second half 13–11. Buffalo outgained the Chiefs 374–368, but the Chiefs averaged 5.8 yards per play. The Chiefs committed 1 turnover, the Bills none.
What was the game-winning score in Bills vs Chiefs?
Harrison Butker's 35-yard field goal with 3:33 left in the fourth quarter gave the Chiefs a 32–29 lead they never gave up. It was the final score of the game.
How did the Chiefs beat the Bills?
The Chiefs beat the Bills 32–29 because they averaged 5.8 yards per play to 5.5. Harrison Butker's 35-yard field goal put them ahead for good.
Which team won the turnover battle in Bills vs Chiefs?
The Bills won the turnover battle 1–0: the Chiefs gave the ball away 1 time and the Bills not at all. The Chiefs won the game anyway.
What was the turning point of Bills vs Chiefs?
Patrick Mahomes' 10-yard touchdown run with 10:14 left in the fourth quarter was the biggest swing of the game, moving the Chiefs' win probability from 43% to 90%.
What is the all-time Bills vs Chiefs record?
The Bills lead the all-time series 31–26–1 across 58 meetings since 1960, including a 2–5 record in the postseason.
When did the Bills and Chiefs last play before this game?
Before the 2024 Conference Championship round, they last met in the 2024 season on November 17, 2024, when the Bills beat the Chiefs 30–21.
Have the Bills and Chiefs met in the playoffs?
Yes, 7 times, most recently in the 2024 playoffs. The Bills are 2–5 against the Chiefs in the postseason.
What is the Bills vs Chiefs record since 2021?
The Bills lead 5–3 across 8 meetings since the 2021 season, including this game.
