Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills, Divisional Round 2023
Kansas City Chiefs
AwayWon, advanced
27
Buffalo Bills
Home
24
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | 3 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 27 |
| Bills | 3 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 24 |
KC 27BUF 24 Final
Passing leader
18.5PPR pts
17/23, 215 YDS, 2 TD
Top fantasy scorer
24.5PPR pts
5 REC, 75 YDS, 2 TD
Bills leader
30.6PPR pts
26/39, 186 YDS, 1 TD, 2 RUSH TD
Defensive playmaker
Nick Bolton
13 TKL
Chiefs 27, Bills 24: Kansas City rallies from 4 down at halftime in the 2023 Divisional Round
Kansas City erased a 17–13 halftime deficit, outscoring Buffalo 14–7 after the break to win 27–24. Buffalo outgained the Chiefs 368–361, but the Chiefs averaged 7.7 yards per play.
The Bills went 7-for-14 on third down.
The Chiefs went on to win Super Bowl LVIII.
The two teams meet again in Week 12 of 2026. If you roster anyone from either side, run the start/sit call in Redraft Command and it will weigh your lineup, your opponent and your league scoring, not only the player rankings.
Key advantages
- +3.0 yards/play KC 7.7 · BUF 4.7
Game Highlights
Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube
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Why the Chiefs Won
Kansas City won the efficiency battle.
| Chiefs | Stat | Bills |
|---|---|---|
| 7.7 | Yards per play | 4.7 |
| Other team stats | ||
| 361 | Total yards | 368 |
| 47 | Plays | 78 |
| 1 | Turnovers | 0 |
| 20% | Third-down conversion | 50% |
| 22:57 | Time of possession | 37:03 |
Scoring Summary
The Chiefs scored three touchdowns and two field goals; the Bills scored three touchdowns and one field goal.
| Time | Team | Play | KC | BUF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st quarter | ||||
| 8:08 | BUF | Tyler Bass 27-yard FG Takes lead | 0 | 3 |
| 4:35 | KC | Harrison Butker 47-yard FG Ties game | 3 | 3 |
| 2nd quarter | ||||
| 13:32 | BUF | Josh Allen 5-yard TD run Takes leadTyler Bass XP | 3 | 10 |
| 9:12 | KC | Harrison Butker 29-yard FG | 6 | 10 |
| 3:33 | KC | Patrick Mahomes → Travis Kelce, 22-yard TD Takes leadHarrison Butker XP | 13 | 10 |
| 0:26 | BUF | Josh Allen 2-yard TD run Takes leadTyler Bass XP | 13 | 17 |
| 3rd quarter | ||||
| 11:48 | KC | Patrick Mahomes → Travis Kelce, 3-yard TD Takes leadHarrison Butker XP | 20 | 17 |
| 3:23 | BUF | Josh Allen → Khalil Shakir, 13-yard TD Takes leadTyler Bass XP | 20 | 24 |
| 4th quarter | ||||
| 14:20 | KC | Isiah Pacheco 4-yard TD run Game winnerHarrison Butker XP | 27 | 24 |
Playoff game: these points don't count in most season-long fantasy leagues.
Fantasy Points vs Expected
Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.
- Biggest overperformer+14.5Travis Kelce24.5 PTS vs 10.0 xFP
- Biggest underperformer−8.2Stefon Diggs5.8 PTS vs 14.0 xFP
- Highest expected volume23.8 xFPJosh Allen30.6 PTS scored
| Player | PTS | xFP | vs xFP | Snap% | Usage | Rte% | Pass att | Car | Car% | Tgt | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenBUF · QB | 30.6 | 23.8 | +6.8 | — | 39 att | — | 39 | 12 | 31% | 0 | 0% |
| James Cook IIIBUF · RB | 12.2 | 19.4 | −7.2 | — | 46% car | — | 0 | 18 | 46% | 5 | 14% |
| Khalil ShakirBUF · WR | 17.4 | 15.0 | +2.4 | — | 24% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 9 | 24% |
| Stefon DiggsBUF · WR | 5.8 | 14.0 | −8.2 | — | 22% tgt | — | 0 | 1 | 3% | 8 | 22% |
| Patrick MahomesKC · QB | 18.5 | 13.4 | +5.1 | — | 23 att | — | 23 | 6 | 25% | 0 | 0% |
| Isiah PachecoKC · RB | 18.1 | 10.9 | +7.2 | — | 63% car | — | 0 | 15 | 63% | 1 | 5% |
| Travis KelceKC · TE | 24.5 | 10.0 | +14.5 | — | 29% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 6 | 29% |
| Dalton KincaidBUF · TE | 9.5 | 8.3 | +1.2 | — | 14% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 5 | 14% |
| Latavius MurrayBUF · RB | 5.7 | 6.7 | −1.0 | — | 11% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 4 | 11% |
| Marquez Valdes-ScantlingKC · WR | 8.2 | 6.7 | +1.5 | — | 19% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 4 | 19% |
| Rashee RiceKC · WR | 8.7 | 6.7 | +2.0 | — | 19% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 4 | 19% |
| Ty JohnsonBUF · RB | 6.4 | 6.0 | +0.4 | — | 18% car | — | 0 | 7 | 18% | 1 | 3% |
| Noah GrayKC · TE | 4.6 | 5.0 | −0.4 | — | 14% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 3 | 14% |
| Trent SherfieldBUF · WR | 1.7 | 5.0 | −3.3 | — | 8% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 3 | 8% |
| Clyde Edwards-HelaireKC · RB | 4.0 | 2.9 | +1.1 | — | 8% car | — | 0 | 2 | 8% | 1 | 5% |
| Mecole Hardman Jr.KC · WR | -0.9 | 2.3 | −3.2 | — | 5% tgt | — | 0 | 1 | 4% | 1 | 5% |
| Dawson KnoxBUF · TE | 1.4 | 1.7 | −0.3 | — | 3% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1 | 3% |
| Deonte HartyBUF · WR | 1.3 | 1.7 | −0.4 | — | 3% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1 | 3% |
| Justin WatsonKC · WR | 0.0 | 1.7 | −1.7 | — | 5% tgt | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1 | 5% |
| Damar HamlinBUF · — | 0.2 | 0.6 | −0.4 | — | 3% car | — | 0 | 1 | 3% | 0 | 0% |
Team totals: Chiefs 21 targets and 24 carries; Bills 37 targets and 39 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts aren't available for this game. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2023 season: 1.67 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.61 per carry and 0.42 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.
Fantasy Verdicts
Patrick Mahomes Ran hot
17 of 23 passing for 215 yards, 2 touchdowns; 6 carries for 19 yards.
Verdict: The opportunities were worth 13.4 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.
No interceptions after 4 in the previous four games. Best score since Week 12.
Josh Allen Ran hot
26 of 39 passing for 186 yards, 1 touchdown; 12 carries for 72 yards and 2 touchdowns.
Verdict: The opportunities were worth 23.8 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.
No interceptions after 4 in the previous four games. Best score since Week 12.
Isiah Pacheco Ran hot
1 target (5% of the team's), 1 catch for 14 yards; 15 carries (63% of the team's) for 97 yards and 1 touchdown.
Verdict: The opportunities were worth 10.9 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.
A touchdown in 5 of the last 8 games.
Travis Kelce Ran hot
6 targets (29% of the team's), 5 catches for 75 yards and 2 touchdowns.
Verdict: The opportunities were worth 10.0 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.
Best score since Week 7.
James Cook III Unlucky
5 targets (14% of the team's), 4 catches for 21 yards; 18 carries (46% of the team's) for 61 yards.
Verdict: The role was there, worth 19.4 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.
Best score since Week 15.
Khalil Shakir
9 targets (24% of the team's), 7 catches for 44 yards and 1 touchdown.
Verdict: The points matched the role, 15.0 expected.
Season high in targets (9). Best score since Week 11.
Stefon Diggs Unlucky
8 targets (22% of the team's), 3 catches for 21 yards; 1 carry (3% of the team's) for 7 yards.
Verdict: The role was there, worth 14.0 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.
Lowest-scoring game of the season.
Fantasy Matchups
Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2023 through Week 18.
| Points allowed to | Chiefs D | Bills D |
|---|---|---|
| QBs | 14.8 | 14.8 |
| RBs | 19.2 | 20.9 |
| WRs | 27.5 | 29.5 |
| TEs | 10.6 | 10.3 |
Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.
How the Game Swung
Buffalo opened at 50% win probability and fell below 2% in the fourth quarter.
Bills win probability
Key Swings
- −27Mahomes → Kelce, 22-yd TD65% → 38%Q2 3:33
- +28Allen 2-yd TD run38% → 66%Q2 0:26
- −30Mahomes → Kelce, 3-yd TD67% → 37%Q3 11:48
- +36Allen → Shakir, 13-yd TD34% → 70%Q3 3:23
- −40Pacheco 4-yd TD run73% → 32%Q4 14:20
Swing in Bills win probability, in points
Play Calling and Possessions
| Kansas City Chiefs | Measure | Buffalo Bills |
|---|---|---|
| 47 | Plays | 78 |
| 49% | Pass rate | 50% |
| 9.3 | Yds / dropback | 4.8 |
| 6.1 | Yds / carry | 4.7 |
| 1/5 | Third downs | 7/14 |
Efficiency edge Kansas City ran 31 fewer plays but gained 4.5 more yards per dropback.
- Top targets
- KC Kelce 29% · Valdes-Scantling 19% · Rice 19%
- BUF Shakir 24% · Diggs 22% · Kincaid 14%
Possession Results
| Result | KC | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Touchdowns | 3 | 3 |
| Field goals | 2 | 1 |
| Punts | 1 | 2 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 0 |
| Turnovers on downs | 0 | 1 |
| Missed field goals | 0 | 1 |
BUF turnover edge: +1
- The Bills opened the scoring on their first possession, a 14-play, 60-yard drive that ended in a field goal.
All 17 possessions, drive by drive
| Team | Start | Plays | Yards | Time | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | Q1 15:00 | 14 | 60 | 6:52 | Field goal |
| KC | Q1 8:08 | 7 | 46 | 3:33 | Field goal |
| BUF | Q1 4:35 | 11 | 75 | 6:03 | Touchdown |
| KC | Q2 13:32 | 10 | 64 | 4:20 | Field goal |
| BUF | Q2 9:12 | 5 | 15 | 3:05 | Punt |
| KC | Q2 6:07 | 5 | 65 | 2:34 | Touchdown |
| BUF | Q2 3:33 | 12 | 75 | 3:07 | Touchdown |
| KC | Q2 0:26 | 1 | -13 | 0:26 | End of half |
| KC | Q3 15:00 | 6 | 75 | 3:12 | Touchdown |
| BUF | Q3 11:48 | 15 | 75 | 8:25 | Touchdown |
| KC | Q3 3:23 | 8 | 75 | 4:03 | Touchdown |
| BUF | Q4 14:20 | 4 | 7 | 1:27 | Downs |
| KC | Q4 12:53 | 2 | 31 | 0:44 | Fumble |
| BUF | Q4 12:09 | 3 | -2 | 1:24 | Punt |
| KC | Q4 10:45 | 5 | 8 | 2:22 | Punt |
| BUF | Q4 8:23 | 16 | 54 | 6:40 | Missed FG |
| KC | Q4 1:43 | 5 | 8 | 1:43 | End of game |
About these numbers
Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.
Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.
Chiefs vs Bills Head-to-Head
The Chiefs and Bills first met in 1960 and have played 58 times since.
- All-time series
- 31–26–1Bills lead, 58 meetings since 1960
- Postseason
- 5–2Split 5–2
- Largest Chiefs win
- 38–52003
- Largest Bills win
- 41–72011
Since 2021
5–3 Bills lead
8 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.
Oldest to newest. B = Bills win, C = Chiefs win, outlined = this game.
2026 Meetings
- Week 12 Chiefs at Bills Upcoming
Recent Meetings
- 2025 Wk 9 Chiefs at Bills, 2025 Wk 9 recap BUF 28 KC 21 BUF W
- 2024 Conference Championship Bills at Chiefs, 2024 Conference Championship recap KC 32 BUF 29 KC W
- 2024 Wk 11 Chiefs at Bills, 2024 Wk 11 recap BUF 30 KC 21 BUF W
- 2023 Divisional Round Chiefs at Bills KC 27 BUF 24 KC W
- 2023 Wk 14 Bills at Chiefs, 2023 Wk 14 recap BUF 20 KC 17 BUF W
- 2022 Wk 6 Bills at Chiefs, 2022 Wk 6 recap BUF 24 KC 20 BUF W
- 2021 Divisional Round Bills at Chiefs, 2021 Divisional Round recap KC 42 BUF 36 KC W
- 2021 Wk 5 Bills at Chiefs, 2021 Wk 5 recap BUF 38 KC 20 BUF W
Season to Date (Through Week 18)
The 2023 regular season, from each game's box score.
| Chiefs | Stat | Bills |
|---|---|---|
| 11-6 | Record | 11-6 |
| 21.8 | Points per game | 26.5 |
| 351.3 | Yards per game | 374.5 |
| 5.5 | Yards per play | 5.7 |
| 17.3 | Points allowed per game | 18.3 |
| 289.8 | Yards allowed per game | 307.2 |
Chiefs vs Bills Fantasy Outlook for 2026
One meeting is left on the 2026 schedule: Week 12 in Buffalo. Here's how to decide who to play in your league.
- Start/Sit ToolShould your Chiefs or Bills player start in Week 12? Compare the decision against your other options.
- Fantasy Football ProjectionsSee the latest weekly and rest-of-season projections for Chiefs and Bills players.
- Fantasy Points Allowed by PositionHow the Chiefs and Bills defenses have treated QBs, RBs, WRs and TEs.
- Strength of ScheduleWhere this matchup falls in each team's fantasy playoff run.
- Redraft CommandConnect your league for personalized lineup, trade and roster advice.
Keep Exploring
2023 Game Logs for Players in This Game
Chiefs vs Bills Game FAQ
Who won the 2023 Chiefs vs Bills Divisional Round game?
The Kansas City Chiefs beat the Buffalo Bills 27–24 in the Divisional Round of the 2023 playoffs. The game was played at Highmark Stadium (Old) in Orchard Park, NY, on January 21, 2024. See the Chiefs' 2023 schedule.
What was the final score of Chiefs vs Bills?
The final score was Chiefs 27, Bills 24. The Bills led 17–13 at halftime, and the second half went Chiefs 14, Bills 7.
What happened in the Chiefs vs Bills game?
Kansas City erased a 17–13 halftime deficit, outscoring Buffalo 14–7 after the break to win 27–24. Buffalo outgained the Chiefs 368–361, but the Chiefs averaged 7.7 yards per play. The Chiefs committed 1 turnover, the Bills none.
What was the game-winning score in Chiefs vs Bills?
Isiah Pacheco's 4-yard touchdown run with 14:20 left in the fourth quarter gave the Chiefs a 27–24 lead they never gave up. It was the final score of the game.
How did the Chiefs beat the Bills?
The Chiefs beat the Bills 27–24 because they averaged 7.7 yards per play to 4.7. Isiah Pacheco's 4-yard touchdown run put them ahead for good.
Which team won the turnover battle in Chiefs vs Bills?
The Bills won the turnover battle 1–0: the Chiefs gave the ball away 1 time and the Bills not at all. The Chiefs won the game anyway.
What was the turning point of Chiefs vs Bills?
Isiah Pacheco's 4-yard touchdown run with 14:20 left in the fourth quarter was the biggest swing of the game, moving the Bills' win probability from 73% to 32%.
What is the all-time Chiefs vs Bills record?
The Bills lead the all-time series 31–26–1 across 58 meetings since 1960, including a 2–5 record in the postseason.
When did the Chiefs and Bills last play before this game?
Before the 2023 Divisional Round, they last met in the 2023 season on December 10, 2023, when the Bills beat the Chiefs 20–17.
Have the Chiefs and Bills met in the playoffs?
Yes, 7 times, most recently in the 2024 playoffs. The Chiefs are 5–2 against the Bills in the postseason.
What is the Chiefs vs Bills record since 2021?
The Bills lead 5–3 across 8 meetings since the 2021 season, including this game.