Final2025 Week 11

Highmark Stadium (Old), Orchard Park, NY

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Buffalo Bills, Week 11 2025

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Away

32

Buffalo Bills

HomeWon

44

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Buccaneers3176632
Bills714101344

TB 32BUF 44 Final

  • Passing leader

    Josh Allen

    BUF · QB

    44.7PPR pts

    19/30, 317 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT, 3 RUSH TD

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Sean Tucker

    TB · RB

    34.0PPR pts

    19 ATT, 106 YDS, 2 TD, 2 REC, 34 REC YDS, 1 REC TD

  • Buccaneers leader

    Baker Mayfield

    TB · QB

    17.8PPR pts

    16/28, 173 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT, 1 RUSH TD

  • Defensive playmaker

    Cole Bishop

    BUF

    1 INT, 7 TKL

Bills 44, Buccaneers 32: Buffalo beats Tampa Bay

Buffalo led 21–20 at halftime after a 14-point second quarter and outscored Tampa Bay 23–12 after the break to win 44–32. The Bills finished with a 414–367 edge in total offense and averaged 7.8 yards per play.

The Buccaneers went 9-for-16 on third down and committed two turnovers.

Key advantages

  • +2.4 yards/play BUF 7.8 · TB 5.4
  • +47 total yards BUF 414 · TB 367

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

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Why the Bills Won

Buffalo won the efficiency battle.

Team stats comparison, Buccaneers vs Bills
BuccaneersStatBills
5.4Yards per play7.8
367Total yards414
Other team stats
68Plays53
2Turnovers3
56%Third-down conversion55%
35:07Time of possession24:53

Scoring Summary

The Bills scored six touchdowns and one field goal; the Buccaneers scored four touchdowns and two field goals.

Scoring plays, Buccaneers vs Bills
TimeTeamPlayTBBUF
1st quarter
8:54TBChase McLaughlin 23-yard FG Takes lead30
4:09BUFJosh Allen 2-yard TD run Takes leadMatt Prater XP37
2nd quarter
12:00TBBaker Mayfield 4-yard TD run Takes leadChase McLaughlin XP107
8:52BUFJosh Allen → Tyrell Shavers, 43-yard TD Takes leadMatt Prater XP1014
5:37TBSean Tucker 43-yard TD run Takes leadChase McLaughlin XP1714
0:36BUFJosh Allen → Ty Johnson, 52-yard TD Takes leadMatt Prater XP1721
0:00TBChase McLaughlin 24-yard FG2021
3rd quarter
7:26TBSean Tucker 6-yard TD run Takes lead2-pt try failed2621
5:01BUFMatt Prater 39-yard FG2624
3:48BUFJosh Allen → James Cook III, 25-yard TD Takes leadMatt Prater XP2631
4th quarter
13:38TBBaker Mayfield → Sean Tucker, 28-yard TD Takes lead2-pt try failed3231
9:06BUFJosh Allen 5-yard TD run Game winner2-pt try failed3237
2:35BUFJosh Allen 9-yard TD run Extends leadMatt Prater XP3244

Fantasy Points: Buccaneers vs Bills, Week 11 2025

Fantasy leaders

  1. Josh AllenBUFQB44.7 PTSQB1
  2. Sean TuckerTBRB34.0 PTSRB2
  3. James CookBUFRB20.4 PTSRB7
  4. Tyrell ShaversBUFWR19.0 PTSWR10

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Josh AllenBUFQB44.7QB119/30317326403104.4Start/Sit →
Baker MayfieldTBQB17.8QB716/2817311539172.5Start/Sit →
Teddy BridgewaterTBQB-0.1—————1-10—

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Sean TuckerTBRB34.0RB2RB19106222341Start/Sit →
James CookBUFRB20.4RB7RB1648033661
Tyrell ShaversBUFWR19.0WR10WR———54901Start/Sit →
Ty JohnsonBUFRB15.0RB16RB19022611Start/Sit →
Sterling ShepardTBWR10.1WR30WR17054540
Emeka EgbukaTBWR9.0WR39WR———95400Start/Sit →
Rachaad WhiteTBRB8.2RB36RB1051032110Start/Sit →
Gabe DavisBUFWR7.0WR49WR———43400
Cade OttonTBTE4.8TE28TE———52280Start/Sit →
Curtis SamuelBUFWR3.9WR67WR———32190
Joshua PalmerBUFWR3.7WR69WR———52170Start/Sit →
Dawson KnoxBUFTE3.3TE38TE———31230Start/Sit →
Tez JohnsonTBWR1.6WR99WR3003160Start/Sit →
Keleki LatuBUFTE1.4TE52TE———1140
Khalil ShakirBUFWR0.7WR106WR———31-30Start/Sit →
Mecole HardmanBUFWR-2.0—WR———1000

Fantasy Usage

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Snap Share

  1. Cade OttonTE68 snaps97%
  2. Emeka EgbukaWR66 snaps94%
  3. Tez JohnsonWR58 snaps83%
  4. Sterling ShepardWR46 snaps66%
  5. Rachaad WhiteRB42 snaps60%

Target Share27 targets

  1. Emeka Egbuka33%, 9 targets
  2. Sterling Shepard19%, 5 targets
  3. Cade Otton19%, 5 targets
  4. Rachaad White11%, 3 targets
  5. Tez Johnson11%, 3 targets
  6. Other7%, 2 targets

Carry Share39 carries

  1. Sean Tucker49%, 19 carries
  2. Rachaad White26%, 10 carries
  3. Baker Mayfield13%, 5 carries
  4. Tez Johnson8%, 3 carries
  5. Teddy Bridgewater3%, 1 carries
  6. Other3%, 1 carries

Buffalo Bills

Snap Share

  1. Dawson KnoxTE43 snaps77%
  2. James CookRB37 snaps66%
  3. Khalil ShakirWR30 snaps54%
  4. Tyrell ShaversWR30 snaps54%
  5. Curtis SamuelWR28 snaps50%

Target Share30 targets

  1. Joshua Palmer17%, 5 targets
  2. Tyrell Shavers17%, 5 targets
  3. Gabe Davis13%, 4 targets
  4. Curtis Samuel10%, 3 targets
  5. Dawson Knox10%, 3 targets
  6. Other33%, 10 targets

Carry Share23 carries

  1. James Cook70%, 16 carries
  2. Josh Allen26%, 6 carries
  3. Ty Johnson4%, 1 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
Cade OttonTBTE6897%519%0
Emeka EgbukaTBWR6694%933%0
Tez JohnsonTBWR5883%311%3
Dawson KnoxBUFTE4377%310%0
James CookBUFRB3766%310%16
Sterling ShepardTBWR4666%519%1
Rachaad WhiteTBRB4260%311%10
Khalil ShakirBUFWR3054%310%0
Tyrell ShaversBUFWR3054%517%0
Curtis SamuelBUFWR2850%310%0
Joshua PalmerBUFWR2850%517%0
Sean TuckerTBRB3144%27%19
Gabe DavisBUFWR2341%413%0
Jackson HawesBUFTE1934%00%0
Ty JohnsonBUFRB1832%27%1
Payne DurhamTBTE2130%00%0
Reggie GilliamBUFRB1221%00%0
Keleki LatuBUFTE611%13%0
Ryan MillerTBWR710%00%0
Kameron JohnsonTBWR69%00%0
Mecole HardmanBUFWR47%13%0
Devin CulpTBTE46%00%0
Ray DavisBUFRB12%00%0
Owen WrightTBRB11%00%0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

  • Biggest overperformer+27.5Josh Allen44.7 PTS vs 17.2 xFP
  • Biggest underperformer−6.3Emeka Egbuka9.0 PTS vs 15.3 xFP
  • Highest expected volume17.2 xFPJosh Allen44.7 PTS scored
Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Josh AllenBUF · QB44.717.2+27.5100%30 att—30626%00%
Baker MayfieldTB · QB17.815.7+2.199%28 att—28513%00%
Sean TuckerTB · RB34.015.7+18.344%49% car—01949%27%
James Cook IIIBUF · RB20.415.4+5.066%70% car—01670%310%
Emeka EgbukaTB · WR9.015.3−6.394%33% tgt—000%933%
Rachaad WhiteTB · RB8.211.6−3.460%26% car—01026%311%
Sterling ShepardTB · WR10.19.2+0.966%19% tgt—013%519%
Cade OttonTB · TE4.88.5−3.797%19% tgt—000%519%
Joshua PalmerBUF · WR3.78.5−4.850%17% tgt—000%517%
Tyrell ShaversBUF · WR19.08.5+10.554%17% tgt—000%517%
Tez JohnsonTB · WR1.67.1−5.583%11% tgt—038%311%
Gabe DavisBUF · WR7.06.8+0.241%13% tgt—000%413%
Curtis SamuelBUF · WR3.95.1−1.250%10% tgt—000%310%
Dawson KnoxBUF · TE3.35.1−1.877%10% tgt—000%310%
Khalil ShakirBUF · WR0.75.1−4.454%10% tgt—000%310%
Ty JohnsonBUF · RB15.04.1+10.932%7% tgt—014%27%
Keleki LatuBUF · TE1.41.7−0.311%3% tgt—000%13%
Mecole Hardman Jr.BUF · WR-2.01.7−3.77%3% tgt—000%13%
Teddy BridgewaterTB · QB-0.10.6−0.71%0 att—013%00%

Team totals: Buccaneers 27 targets and 39 carries; Bills 30 targets and 23 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2025 season: 1.70 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.65 per carry and 0.44 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Baker Mayfield

TB · QB · 17.8 pts on 15.7 expected

16 of 28 passing for 173 yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception; 5 carries for 39 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 15.7 expected.

Start/Sit: Baker Mayfield →

Josh Allen Ran hot

BUF · QB · 44.7 pts on 17.2 expected

19 of 30 passing for 317 yards, 3 touchdowns, 2 interceptions; 6 carries for 40 yards and 3 touchdowns.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 17.2 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Josh Allen →

Sean Tucker Ran hot

TB · RB · 34.0 pts on 15.7 expected

2 targets (7% of the team's), 2 catches for 34 yards and 1 touchdown; 19 carries (49% of the team's) for 106 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 15.7 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Sean Tucker →

Emeka Egbuka Volume, no payoff

TB · WR · 9.0 pts on 15.3 expected

9 targets (33% of the team's), 5 catches for 40 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 15.3 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Emeka Egbuka →

James Cook III Strong role

BUF · RB · 20.4 pts on 15.4 expected

3 targets (10% of the team's), 3 catches for 66 yards and 1 touchdown; 16 carries (70% of the team's) for 48 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 15.4 expected.

Joshua Palmer

BUF · WR · 3.7 pts on 8.5 expected

5 targets (17% of the team's), 2 catches for 17 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 8.5 expected.

Start/Sit: Joshua Palmer →

Tyrell Shavers Ran hot

BUF · WR · 19.0 pts on 8.5 expected

5 targets (17% of the team's), 4 catches for 90 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 8.5 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Tyrell Shavers →

Tez Johnson Unlucky

TB · WR · 1.6 pts on 7.1 expected

3 targets (11% of the team's), 1 catch for 6 yards; 3 carries (8% of the team's) for 0 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 7.1 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Tez Johnson →

Stock Up, Stock Down

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Stock up: Sean Tucker played 44% of the snaps, up from a 18% season average.
  • Stock up: Tez Johnson played 83% of the snaps, up from a 51% season average.

Buffalo Bills

  • Stock up: Tyrell Shavers played 54% of the snaps, up from a 33% season average.
  • Stock up: Dawson Knox played 77% of the snaps, up from a 56% season average.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2025 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Buccaneers defense and Bills defense
Points allowed toBuccaneers DBills D
QBs20.213.6
RBs20.624.4
WRs30.425.9
TEs15.87.5

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Buffalo opened at 50% win probability and passed 98% in the fourth quarter on the way to the win.

Bills win probability

Bills win probability by game minuteBills started at 50%, stood at 54% at halftime and finished at 100%, across 13 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. +28Allen → Johnson, 52-yd TD38% → 66%Q2 0:36
  2. −28Tucker 6-yd TD run55% → 27%Q3 7:26
  3. +35Allen → Cook, 25-yd TD40% → 75%Q3 3:48
  4. −34Mayfield → Tucker, 28-yd TD78% → 44%Q4 13:38
  5. +40Allen 5-yd TD run42% → 83%Q4 9:06

Swing in Bills win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Buccaneers vs Bills
Tampa Bay BuccaneersMeasureBuffalo Bills
68Plays53
43%Pass rate57%
5.7Yds / dropback10.6
5.2Yds / carry4.2
9/16Third downs6/11

Efficiency edge Buffalo ran 15 fewer plays but gained 4.9 more yards per dropback.

  • Top targets
  • TB Egbuka 33% · Otton 19% · Shepard 19%
  • BUF Palmer 17% · Shavers 17% · Davis 13%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Buccaneers vs Bills
ResultTBBUF
Touchdowns46
Field goals21
Punts42
Turnovers22
  • The Buccaneers opened the scoring on their second possession, a 4-play, 2-yard drive that ended in a field goal.
  • The Bills scored touchdowns on two of their first three drives, then drained the clock with two second-half drives of four to five minutes.
All 24 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
TBQ1 15:007264:23Punt
BUFQ1 10:37200:11Interception
TBQ1 10:26421:32Field goal
BUFQ1 8:5410364:45Touchdown
TBQ1 4:0911697:09Touchdown
BUFQ2 12:006673:08Touchdown
TBQ2 8:526663:15Touchdown
BUFQ2 5:37481:14Interception
TBQ2 4:236253:15Punt
BUFQ2 1:084920:32Touchdown
TBQ2 0:365580:36Field goal
BUFQ3 15:00312:15Punt
TBQ3 12:45391:33Punt
TBQ3 11:127433:46Touchdown
BUFQ3 7:265252:25Field goal
TBQ3 5:01341:08Interception
BUFQ3 3:531250:05Touchdown
TBQ3 3:489625:10Touchdown
BUFQ4 13:388814:32Touchdown
TBQ4 9:06381:51Punt
BUFQ4 7:158854:40Touchdown
TBQ4 2:355260:51Fumble
BUFQ4 1:44391:06Punt
TBQ4 0:381-10:38End of game
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Buccaneers vs Bills Head-to-Head

The Buccaneers and Bills first met in 1976 and have played 14 times since.

All-time series
8–6Buccaneers lead, 14 meetings since 1976
Postseason
0No playoff meetings
Largest Buccaneers win
27–62013
Largest Bills win
33–202009

Since 2021

2–1 Bills lead

3 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. BUF = Bills win, TB = Buccaneers win, outlined = this game.

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2025 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Buccaneers vs Bills
BuccaneersStatBills
8-9Record12-5
22.4Points per game28.3
320.4Yards per game376.3
5.1Yards per play5.9
24.2Points allowed per game21.5
337.2Yards allowed per game293.1

Buccaneers and Bills in Fantasy

The two teams don't meet again this season. If you roster a Buccaneer or a Bill, these answer the week-to-week question.

Keep Exploring

2025 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Buccaneers vs Bills Game FAQ

Who won the 2025 Buccaneers vs Bills Week 11 game?

The Buffalo Bills beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 44–32 in Week 11 of the 2025 season. The game was played at Highmark Stadium (Old) in Orchard Park, NY, on November 16, 2025. See the Bills' 2025 schedule.

What was the final score of Buccaneers vs Bills?

The final score was Bills 44, Buccaneers 32. The Bills led 21–20 at halftime, and the second half went Buccaneers 12, Bills 23.

What happened in the Buccaneers vs Bills game?

Buffalo led 21–20 at halftime after a 14-point second quarter and outscored Tampa Bay 23–12 after the break to win 44–32. The Bills finished with a 414–367 edge in total offense and averaged 7.8 yards per play. Josh Allen led all players with 19 of 30 passing for 317 yards and 3 touchdowns, plus 6 carries for 40 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns. The Bills committed 3 turnovers, the Buccaneers 2.

What was the game-winning score in Buccaneers vs Bills?

Josh Allen's 5-yard touchdown run with 9:06 left in the fourth quarter gave the Bills a 37–32 lead they never gave up.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Buccaneers vs Bills?

Josh Allen led the game with 44.7 PPR fantasy points, the QB1 of Week 11, on 19 of 30 passing for 317 yards and 3 touchdowns, plus 6 carries for 40 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns. Sean Tucker was next with 34.0 (RB2). See Josh Allen's 2025 game log.

Who led Buccaneers vs Bills in passing, rushing and receiving?

Josh Allen (BUF) led all passers with 19 of 30 for 317 yards, 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Sean Tucker (TB) led in rushing with 19 carries for 106 yards and 2 touchdowns. Tyrell Shavers (BUF) led in receiving with 4 catches for 90 yards and a touchdown.

How many fantasy points did Josh Allen score against the Buccaneers?

Josh Allen scored 44.7 fantasy points against the Buccaneers in Week 11 of the 2025 season, the same in PPR, half-PPR and standard scoring because he had no catches, on 19 of 30 passing for 317 yards and 3 touchdowns, plus 6 carries for 40 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Buccaneers vs Bills?

Josh Allen outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 44.7 PPR points on 17.2 xFP (+27.5). Emeka Egbuka fell furthest short, with 9.0 points on 15.3 xFP (−6.3). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

Who had the highest expected fantasy points in Buccaneers vs Bills?

Josh Allen had the most fantasy opportunity in the game, worth 17.2 expected PPR points (xFP) at league-average rates, and scored 44.7. Expected points measure the volume of a player's pass attempts, carries and targets, not how well he used them.

How did the Bills beat the Buccaneers?

The Bills beat the Buccaneers 44–32 because they averaged 7.8 yards per play to 5.4 and outgained them 414–367. Josh Allen's 5-yard touchdown run put them ahead for good.

Which team won the turnover battle in Buccaneers vs Bills?

The Buccaneers won the turnover battle 3–2: the Bills gave the ball away 3 times and the Buccaneers 2 times. The Bills won the game anyway.

What was the turning point of Buccaneers vs Bills?

Josh Allen's 5-yard touchdown run with 9:06 left in the fourth quarter was the biggest swing of the game, moving the Bills' win probability from 42% to 83%.

What is the all-time Buccaneers vs Bills record?

The Buccaneers lead the all-time series 8–6 across 14 meetings since 1976.

When did the Buccaneers and Bills last play before this game?

Before Week 11 of 2025, they last met in the 2023 season on October 26, 2023, when the Bills beat the Buccaneers 24–18.

What is the Buccaneers vs Bills record since 2021?

The Bills lead 2–1 across 3 meetings since the 2021 season, including this game.