Final2023 Week 8

Highmark Stadium (Old), Orchard Park, NY

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Buffalo Bills, Week 8 2023

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Away

18

Buffalo Bills

HomeWon

24

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Buccaneers0100818
Bills3147024

TB 18BUF 24 Final

  • Passing leader

    Josh Allen

    BUF · QB

    30.1PPR pts

    31/40, 324 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT, 1 RUSH TD

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Gabe Davis

    BUF · WR

    23.7PPR pts

    9 REC, 87 YDS, 1 TD

  • Buccaneers leader

    Baker Mayfield

    TB · QB

    21.4PPR pts

    25/42, 237 YDS, 2 TD

  • Defensive playmaker

    William Gholston

    TB

    1 INT, 2 TKL

Bills 24, Buccaneers 18: Buffalo beats Tampa Bay

Buffalo led 17–10 at halftime after a 14-point second quarter and won 24–18, though Tampa Bay took the second half 8–7. The Bills finished with a 427–302 edge in total offense and averaged 6.3 yards per play.

The Buccaneers went 4-for-15 on third down.

Key advantages

  • +1.4 yards/play BUF 6.3 · TB 4.9
  • +125 total yards BUF 427 · TB 302
  • +27% third-down rate BUF 54% · TB 27%

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Why the Bills Won

Buffalo won the efficiency, third-down, and time of possession battles.

Team stats comparison, Buccaneers vs Bills
BuccaneersStatBills
4.9Yards per play6.3
302Total yards427
27%Third-down conversion54%
Other team stats
62Plays68
0Turnovers1
28:03Time of possession31:57

Scoring Summary

The Bills scored three touchdowns and one field goal; the Buccaneers scored two touchdowns and one field goal.

Scoring plays, Buccaneers vs Bills
TimeTeamPlayTBBUF
1st quarter
8:04BUFTyler Bass 37-yard FG Takes lead03
2nd quarter
11:03BUFJosh Allen 13-yard TD run Extends leadTyler Bass XP010
7:40TBChase McLaughlin 57-yard FG310
6:46TBBaker Mayfield → Chris Godwin, 3-yard TD Ties gameChase McLaughlin XP1010
2:40BUFJosh Allen → Dalton Kincaid, 22-yard TD Takes leadTyler Bass XP1017
3rd quarter
10:40BUFJosh Allen → Gabe Davis, 4-yard TD Extends leadTyler Bass XP1024
4th quarter
2:44TBBaker Mayfield → Mike Evans, 24-yard TDBaker Mayfield → Cade Otton, 2-pt conversion1824

Fantasy Points: Buccaneers vs Bills, Week 8 2023

Fantasy leaders

  1. Josh AllenBUFQB30.1 PTSQB2
  2. Gabe DavisBUFWR23.7 PTSWR9
  3. Baker MayfieldTBQB21.4 PTSQB10
  4. Rachaad WhiteTBRB17.9 PTSRB10

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Josh AllenBUFQB30.1QB231/40324217411106.7Start/Sit →
Baker MayfieldTBQB21.4QB1025/4223720319091.1Start/Sit →

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Gabe DavisBUFWR23.7WR9WR———129871
Rachaad WhiteTBRB17.9RB10RB939077700Start/Sit →
Chris GodwinTBWR17.8WR16WR114075541
Dalton KincaidBUFTE17.5TE8TE———75651Start/Sit →
Stefon DiggsBUFWR16.0WR21WR———129700Start/Sit →
Khalil ShakirBUFWR15.2WR25WR———66920Start/Sit →
Mike EvansTBWR12.9WR33WR———63391Start/Sit →
Cade OttonTBTE8.7TE17TE———64270Start/Sit →
James CookBUFRB8.3RB33RB146701160
Trey PalmerTBWR5.2WR80WR———63220
Chase EdmondsTBRB4.1RB58RB35032160
Latavius MurrayBUFRB2.1RB66RB5701140
Rakim JarrettTBWR1.9WR103WR———3190
Ke'Shawn VaughnTBRB0.1RB79RB110————
Payne DurhamTBTE0.0—TE———1000Start/Sit →

Fantasy Usage

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Snap Share

  1. Cade OttonTE66 snaps97%
  2. Mike EvansWR58 snaps85%
  3. Chris GodwinWR58 snaps85%
  4. Rachaad WhiteRB56 snaps82%
  5. Trey PalmerWR55 snaps81%

Target Share39 targets

  1. Chris Godwin18%, 7 targets
  2. Rachaad White18%, 7 targets
  3. Mike Evans15%, 6 targets
  4. Cade Otton15%, 6 targets
  5. Trey Palmer15%, 6 targets
  6. Other18%, 7 targets

Carry Share17 carries

  1. Rachaad White53%, 9 carries
  2. Baker Mayfield18%, 3 carries
  3. Chase Edmonds18%, 3 carries
  4. Chris Godwin6%, 1 carries
  5. Ke'Shawn Vaughn6%, 1 carries

Buffalo Bills

Snap Share

  1. Stefon DiggsWR68 snaps99%
  2. Gabe DavisWR68 snaps99%
  3. Dalton KincaidTE58 snaps84%
  4. James CookRB46 snaps67%
  5. Khalil ShakirWR45 snaps65%

Target Share39 targets

  1. Stefon Diggs31%, 12 targets
  2. Gabe Davis31%, 12 targets
  3. Dalton Kincaid18%, 7 targets
  4. Khalil Shakir15%, 6 targets
  5. Latavius Murray3%, 1 targets
  6. Other3%, 1 targets

Carry Share26 carries

  1. James Cook54%, 14 carries
  2. Josh Allen27%, 7 carries
  3. Latavius Murray19%, 5 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
Stefon DiggsBUFWR6899%1231%0
Gabe DavisBUFWR6899%1231%0
Cade OttonTBTE6697%615%0
Mike EvansTBWR5885%615%0
Chris GodwinTBWR5885%718%1
Dalton KincaidBUFTE5884%718%0
Rachaad WhiteTBRB5682%718%9
Trey PalmerTBWR5581%615%0
James CookBUFRB4667%13%14
Khalil ShakirBUFWR4565%615%0
Latavius MurrayBUFRB2333%13%5
Trent SherfieldBUFWR2232%00%0
Deven ThompkinsTBWR1116%00%0
Rakim JarrettTBWR1015%38%0
Chase EdmondsTBRB812%38%3
Payne DurhamTBTE812%13%0
Ko KieftTBTE69%00%0
Deonte HartyBUFWR69%00%0
Ke'Shawn VaughnTBRB46%00%1
Reggie GilliamBUFRB23%00%0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

  • Biggest overperformer+9.0Josh Allen30.1 PTS vs 21.1 xFP
  • Biggest underperformer−4.8Trey Palmer5.2 PTS vs 10.0 xFP
  • Highest expected volume21.1 xFPJosh Allen30.1 PTS scored
Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Josh AllenBUF · QB30.121.1+9.0100%40 att—40727%00%
Gabe DavisBUF · WR23.720.0+3.799%31% tgt—000%1231%
Stefon DiggsBUF · WR16.020.0−4.099%31% tgt—000%1231%
Baker MayfieldTB · QB21.419.5+1.9100%42 att—42318%00%
Rachaad WhiteTB · RB17.917.2+0.782%53% car—0953%718%
Chris Godwin Jr.TB · WR17.812.3+5.585%18% tgt—016%718%
Dalton KincaidBUF · TE17.511.7+5.884%18% tgt—000%718%
James Cook IIIBUF · RB8.310.3−2.067%54% car—01454%13%
Cade OttonTB · TE8.710.0−1.397%15% tgt—000%615%
Khalil ShakirBUF · WR15.210.0+5.265%15% tgt—000%615%
Mike EvansTB · WR12.910.0+2.985%15% tgt—000%615%
Trey PalmerTB · WR5.210.0−4.881%15% tgt—000%615%
Chase EdmondsTB · RB4.16.8−2.712%18% car—0318%38%
Rakim JarrettTB · WR1.95.0−3.115%8% tgt—000%38%
Latavius MurrayBUF · RB2.14.7−2.633%19% car—0519%13%
Payne DurhamTB · TE0.01.7−1.712%3% tgt—000%13%
Ke'Shawn VaughnTB · RB0.10.6−0.56%6% car—016%00%

Team totals: Buccaneers 39 targets and 17 carries; Bills 39 targets and 26 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2023 season: 1.67 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.61 per carry and 0.42 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Baker Mayfield

TB · QB · 21.4 pts on 19.5 expected

25 of 42 passing for 237 yards, 2 touchdowns; 3 carries for 19 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 19.5 expected.

Start/Sit: Baker Mayfield →

Josh Allen Ran hot

BUF · QB · 30.1 pts on 21.1 expected

31 of 40 passing for 324 yards, 2 touchdowns, 1 interception; 7 carries for 41 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 21.1 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Josh Allen →

Rachaad White

TB · RB · 17.9 pts on 17.2 expected

7 targets (18% of the team's), 7 catches for 70 yards; 9 carries (53% of the team's) for 39 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 17.2 expected.

Start/Sit: Rachaad White →

Chris Godwin Jr. Ran hot

TB · WR · 17.8 pts on 12.3 expected

7 targets (18% of the team's), 5 catches for 54 yards and 1 touchdown; 1 carry (6% of the team's) for 14 yards.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 12.3 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Gabe Davis Strong role

BUF · WR · 23.7 pts on 20.0 expected

12 targets (31% of the team's), 9 catches for 87 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 20.0 expected.

Stefon Diggs Volume, no payoff

BUF · WR · 16.0 pts on 20.0 expected

12 targets (31% of the team's), 9 catches for 70 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 20.0 expected.

Start/Sit: Stefon Diggs →

Dalton Kincaid Ran hot

BUF · TE · 17.5 pts on 11.7 expected

7 targets (18% of the team's), 5 catches for 65 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 11.7 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Dalton Kincaid →

Khalil Shakir Ran hot

BUF · WR · 15.2 pts on 10.0 expected

6 targets (15% of the team's), 6 catches for 92 yards.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 10.0 points; efficiency supplied the rest.

Start/Sit: Khalil Shakir →

Stock Up, Stock Down

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Stock up: Mike Evans played 85% of the snaps, up from a 70% season average.
  • Stock up: Trey Palmer played 81% of the snaps, up from a 60% season average.
  • Stock down: Ke'Shawn Vaughn played 6% of the snaps, down from a 25% season average.

Buffalo Bills

  • Stock up: Stefon Diggs played 99% of the snaps, up from a 83% season average.
  • Stock up: Dalton Kincaid played 84% of the snaps, up from a 60% season average.
  • Stock up: Khalil Shakir played 65% of the snaps, up from a 26% season average.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2023 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Buccaneers defense and Bills defense
Points allowed toBuccaneers DBills D
QBs17.714.8
RBs17.620.9
WRs35.929.5
TEs14.810.3

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Buffalo opened at 50% win probability and passed 98% in the fourth quarter on the way to the win.

Bills win probability

Bills win probability by game minuteBills started at 50%, stood at 77% at halftime and finished at 100%, across 7 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. +9Bass 37-yd FG50% → 59%Q1 8:04
  2. +21Allen 13-yd TD run61% → 81%Q2 11:03
  3. −25Mayfield → Godwin, 3-yd TD75% → 50%Q2 6:46
  4. +26Allen → Kincaid, 22-yd TD50% → 76%Q2 2:40
  5. +16Allen → Davis, 4-yd TD79% → 94%Q3 10:40

Swing in Bills win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Buccaneers vs Bills
Tampa Bay BuccaneersMeasureBuffalo Bills
62Plays68
73%Pass rate62%
5.0Yds / dropback7.4
4.6Yds / carry4.4
4/15Third downs7/13

Efficiency edge Buffalo ran 6 more plays and gained 2.4 more yards per dropback.

  • Top targets
  • TB Godwin 18% · White 18% · Otton 15%
  • BUF Davis 31% · Diggs 31% · Kincaid 18%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Buccaneers vs Bills
ResultTBBUF
Touchdowns23
Field goals11
Punts64
Turnovers01
Turnovers on downs01
Missed field goals10

TB turnover edge: +1

  • The Bills opened the scoring on their first possession, a 10-play, 77-yard drive that ended in a field goal.
All 22 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
TBQ1 15:006162:25Punt
BUFQ1 12:3510774:31Field goal
TBQ1 8:047483:43Missed FG
BUFQ1 4:218594:24Downs
TBQ2 14:57321:09Punt
BUFQ2 13:485232:45Touchdown
TBQ2 11:038363:23Field goal
BUFQ2 7:40100:07Interception
TBQ2 7:332230:47Touchdown
BUFQ2 6:469754:06Touchdown
TBQ2 2:407292:29Punt
BUFQ2 0:111-10:11End of half
BUFQ3 15:009754:20Touchdown
TBQ3 10:404183:00Punt
BUFQ3 7:406262:47Punt
TBQ3 4:53392:21Punt
BUFQ3 2:329363:30Punt
TBQ4 14:02361:04Punt
BUFQ4 12:585182:53Punt
TBQ4 10:0517927:21Touchdown
BUFQ4 2:446292:23Punt
TBQ4 0:214250:21End of game
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Buccaneers vs Bills Head-to-Head

The Buccaneers and Bills first met in 1976 and have played 14 times since.

All-time series
8–6Buccaneers lead, 14 meetings since 1976
Postseason
0No playoff meetings
Largest Buccaneers win
27–62013
Largest Bills win
33–202009

Since 2021

2–1 Bills lead

3 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. BUF = Bills win, TB = Buccaneers win, outlined = this game.

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2023 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Buccaneers vs Bills
BuccaneersStatBills
9-8Record11-6
20.5Points per game26.5
313.0Yards per game374.5
5.1Yards per play5.7
19.1Points allowed per game18.3
344.2Yards allowed per game307.2

Buccaneers and Bills in Fantasy

The two teams don't meet again this season. If you roster a Buccaneer or a Bill, these answer the week-to-week question.

Keep Exploring

2023 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Buccaneers vs Bills Game FAQ

Who won the 2023 Buccaneers vs Bills Week 8 game?

The Buffalo Bills beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24–18 in Week 8 of the 2023 season. The game was played at Highmark Stadium (Old) in Orchard Park, NY, on October 26, 2023. See the Bills' 2023 schedule.

What was the final score of Buccaneers vs Bills?

The final score was Bills 24, Buccaneers 18. The Bills led 17–10 at halftime, and the second half went Buccaneers 8, Bills 7.

What happened in the Buccaneers vs Bills game?

Buffalo led 17–10 at halftime after a 14-point second quarter and won 24–18, though Tampa Bay took the second half 8–7. The Bills finished with a 427–302 edge in total offense and averaged 6.3 yards per play. Josh Allen led all players with 31 of 40 passing for 324 yards and 2 touchdowns, plus 7 carries for 41 rushing yards and a touchdown. The Bills committed 1 turnover, the Buccaneers none.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Buccaneers vs Bills?

Josh Allen led the game with 30.1 PPR fantasy points, the QB2 of Week 8, on 31 of 40 passing for 324 yards and 2 touchdowns, plus 7 carries for 41 rushing yards and a touchdown. Gabe Davis was next with 23.7 (WR9). See Josh Allen's 2023 game log.

Who led Buccaneers vs Bills in passing, rushing and receiving?

Josh Allen (BUF) led all passers with 31 of 40 for 324 yards, 2 touchdowns and an interception. James Cook (BUF) led in rushing with 14 carries for 67 yards. Khalil Shakir (BUF) led in receiving with 6 catches for 92 yards.

How many fantasy points did Josh Allen score against the Buccaneers?

Josh Allen scored 30.1 fantasy points against the Buccaneers in Week 8 of the 2023 season, the same in PPR, half-PPR and standard scoring because he had no catches, on 31 of 40 passing for 324 yards and 2 touchdowns, plus 7 carries for 41 rushing yards and a touchdown.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Buccaneers vs Bills?

Josh Allen outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 30.1 PPR points on 21.1 xFP (+9.0). Trey Palmer fell furthest short, with 5.2 points on 10.0 xFP (−4.8). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

Who had the highest expected fantasy points in Buccaneers vs Bills?

Josh Allen had the most fantasy opportunity in the game, worth 21.1 expected PPR points (xFP) at league-average rates, and scored 30.1. Expected points measure the volume of a player's pass attempts, carries and targets, not how well he used them.

How did the Bills beat the Buccaneers?

The Bills beat the Buccaneers 24–18 because they averaged 6.3 yards per play to 4.9 and outgained them 427–302.

Which team won the turnover battle in Buccaneers vs Bills?

The Buccaneers won the turnover battle 1–0: the Bills gave the ball away 1 time and the Buccaneers not at all. The Bills won the game anyway.

What was the turning point of Buccaneers vs Bills?

Josh Allen's 22-yard touchdown pass to Dalton Kincaid with 2:40 left in the second quarter was the biggest swing of the game, moving the Bills' win probability from 50% to 76%.

What is the all-time Buccaneers vs Bills record?

The Buccaneers lead the all-time series 8–6 across 14 meetings since 1976.

When did the Buccaneers and Bills last play before this game?

Before Week 8 of 2023, they last met in the 2021 season on December 12, 2021, when the Buccaneers beat the Bills 33–27.

What is the Buccaneers vs Bills record since 2021?

The Bills lead 2–1 across 3 meetings since the 2021 season, including this game.