Final2023 Week 16

Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO

New England Patriots vs Denver Broncos, Week 16 2023

New England Patriots

AwayWon

26

Denver Broncos

Home

23

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Patriots0320326
Broncos7001623

NE 26DEN 23 Final

  • Passing leader

    Bailey Zappe

    NE · QB

    16.4PPR pts

    25/33, 256 YDS, 2 TD

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Ezekiel Elliott

    NE · RB

    21.0PPR pts

    12 ATT, 27 YDS, 9 REC, 33 REC YDS, 1 REC TD

  • Broncos leader

    Russell Wilson

    DEN · QB

    23.5PPR pts

    25/37, 238 YDS, 2 TD

  • Defensive playmaker

    Cody Davis

    NE

    1 TD

Patriots 26, Broncos 23: New England rallies from 4 down at halftime

New England erased a 7–3 halftime deficit, outscoring Denver 23–16 after the break to win 26–23. The Patriots finished with a narrow 289–276 edge in total offense and averaged 5.2 yards per play.

The Broncos went 4-for-13 on third down and committed two turnovers.

The two teams meet again in Week 17 of 2026. If you roster anyone from either side, run the start/sit call in Redraft Command and it will weigh your lineup, your opponent and your league scoring, not only the player rankings.

Key advantages

  • +1.0 yards/play NE 5.2 · DEN 4.2
  • +1 turnover margin NE 1 · DEN 2 turnovers
  • +13 total yards NE 289 · DEN 276

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

Got a Patriot or Bronco on your fantasy team?

Check their next matchup with the Start/Sit Tool, compare their value in the Fantasy Trade Calculator, or connect your league for personalized advice in Redraft Command.

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Why the Patriots Won

New England won the efficiency and turnover battles.

Team stats comparison, Patriots vs Broncos
PatriotsStatBroncos
5.2Yards per play4.2
1Turnovers2
289Total yards276
Other team stats
56Plays65
23%Third-down conversion31%
28:42Time of possession31:18

Scoring Summary

The Patriots scored three touchdowns and two field goals; the Broncos scored three touchdowns.

Scoring plays, Patriots vs Broncos
TimeTeamPlayNEDEN
1st quarter
5:15DENJavonte Williams 3-yard TD run Takes leadWil Lutz XP07
2nd quarter
13:30NEChad Ryland 33-yard FG37
3rd quarter
9:48NEBailey Zappe → Ezekiel Elliott, 15-yard TD Takes leadXP missed97
1:34NEBailey Zappe → Mike Gesicki, 11-yard TD Extends leadChad Ryland XP167
1:28NECody Davis 1-yard fumble return TD Extends leadChad Ryland XP237
4th quarter
8:33DENRussell Wilson → Lucas Krull, 3-yard TDRussell Wilson → Brandon Johnson, 2-pt conversion2315
2:53DENRussell Wilson → Brandon Johnson, 21-yard TD Ties gameRussell Wilson → Javonte Williams, 2-pt conversion2323
0:02NEChad Ryland 56-yard FG Game winner2623

Fantasy Points: Patriots vs Broncos, Week 16 2023

Fantasy leaders

  1. Russell WilsonDENQB23.5 PTSQB7
  2. Ezekiel ElliottNERB21.0 PTSRB6
  3. Bailey ZappeNEQB16.4 PTSQB20
  4. Brandon JohnsonDENWR15.7 PTSWR24

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Bailey ZappeNEQB16.4QB2025/3325620120117.7
Russell WilsonDENQB23.5QB725/37238204200103.2

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Ezekiel ElliottNERB21.0RB6RB12270119331
Brandon JohnsonDENWR15.7WR24WR———53471
Lucas KrullDENTE12.8TE11TE———54281Start/Sit →
DeMario DouglasNEWR12.4WR32WR———85740Start/Sit →
Javonte WilliamsDENRB10.9RB26RB1124133-50Start/Sit →
Jaleel McLaughlinDENRB10.7RB27RB637054300Start/Sit →
DeVante ParkerNEWR10.5WR39WR———54650
Mike GesickiNETE9.5TE19TE———22151Start/Sit →
Jerry JeudyDENWR7.4WR59WR———53440Start/Sit →
Marvin MimsDENWR7.3WR60WR———43630
Samaje PerineDENRB6.9RB44RB12054270Start/Sit →
Jalen ReagorNEWR5.3WR73WR———22330
Pharaoh BrownNETE4.5TE36TE———22250
Tyquan ThorntonNEWR3.0WR88WR19011110Start/Sit →
Kevin HarrisNERB2.1RB59RB7210————
Courtland SuttonDENWR0.0—WR———1000Start/Sit →
Adam TrautmanDENTE0.0—TE———1000Start/Sit →

Fantasy Usage

New England Patriots

Snap Share

  1. DeVante ParkerWR54 snaps93%
  2. Jalen ReagorWR50 snaps86%
  3. Ezekiel ElliottRB48 snaps83%
  4. DeMario DouglasWR43 snaps74%
  5. Mike GesickiTE38 snaps66%

Target Share31 targets

  1. Ezekiel Elliott35%, 11 targets
  2. DeMario Douglas26%, 8 targets
  3. DeVante Parker16%, 5 targets
  4. Pharaoh Brown6%, 2 targets
  5. Mike Gesicki6%, 2 targets
  6. Other10%, 3 targets

Carry Share21 carries

  1. Ezekiel Elliott57%, 12 carries
  2. Kevin Harris33%, 7 carries
  3. Bailey Zappe5%, 1 carries
  4. Tyquan Thornton5%, 1 carries

Denver Broncos

Snap Share

  1. Jerry JeudyWR50 snaps72%
  2. Brandon JohnsonWR47 snaps68%
  3. Lil'Jordan HumphreyWR40 snaps58%
  4. Adam TrautmanTE34 snaps49%
  5. Marvin MimsWR30 snaps43%

Target Share34 targets

  1. Samaje Perine15%, 5 targets
  2. Jerry Jeudy15%, 5 targets
  3. Lucas Krull15%, 5 targets
  4. Brandon Johnson15%, 5 targets
  5. Jaleel McLaughlin15%, 5 targets
  6. Other26%, 9 targets

Carry Share22 carries

  1. Javonte Williams50%, 11 carries
  2. Jaleel McLaughlin27%, 6 carries
  3. Russell Wilson18%, 4 carries
  4. Samaje Perine5%, 1 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
DeVante ParkerNEWR5493%516%0
Jalen ReagorNEWR5086%26%0
Ezekiel ElliottNERB4883%1135%12
DeMario DouglasNEWR4374%826%0
Jerry JeudyDENWR5072%515%0
Brandon JohnsonDENWR4768%515%0
Mike GesickiNETE3866%26%0
Lil'Jordan HumphreyDENWR4058%00%0
Adam TrautmanDENTE3449%13%0
Pharaoh BrownNETE2747%26%0
Marvin MimsDENWR3043%412%0
Javonte WilliamsDENRB2739%39%11
Chris ManhertzDENTE2435%00%0
Samaje PerineDENRB2435%515%1
Lucas KrullDENTE2232%515%0
Jaleel McLaughlinDENRB1725%515%6
Matt SokolNETE1017%00%0
Kevin HarrisNERB1017%00%7
Courtland SuttonDENWR913%13%0
Tyquan ThorntonNEWR59%13%1
Kayshon BoutteNEWR59%00%0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

  • Biggest overperformer+7.4Brandon Johnson15.7 PTS vs 8.3 xFP
  • Biggest underperformer−4.7Ezekiel Elliott21.0 PTS vs 25.7 xFP
  • Highest expected volume25.7 xFPEzekiel Elliott21.0 PTS scored
Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Ezekiel ElliottNE · RB21.025.7−4.783%57% car—01257%1135%
Russell WilsonDEN · QB23.518.0+5.5100%37 att—37417%00%
Bailey ZappeNE · QB16.414.5+1.9100%33 att—3315%00%
DeMario DouglasNE · WR12.413.4−1.074%26% tgt—000%826%
Jaleel McLaughlinDEN · RB10.712.0−1.325%26% car—0626%514%
Javonte WilliamsDEN · RB10.911.8−0.939%48% car—01148%39%
Samaje PerineDEN · RB6.99.0−2.135%14% tgt—014%514%
Brandon JohnsonDEN · —15.78.3+7.468%14% tgt—000%514%
DeVante ParkerNE · WR10.58.3+2.293%16% tgt—000%516%
Jerry JeudyDEN · WR7.48.3−0.972%14% tgt—000%514%
Lucas KrullDEN · TE12.88.3+4.532%14% tgt—000%514%
Marvin Mims Jr.DEN · WR7.36.7+0.643%11% tgt—000%411%
Kevin HarrisNE · RB2.14.3−2.217%33% car—0733%00%
Jalen ReagorNE · WR5.33.3+2.086%6% tgt—000%26%
Mike GesickiNE · TE9.53.3+6.266%6% tgt—000%26%
Pharaoh BrownNE · TE4.53.3+1.247%6% tgt—000%26%
Michael BurtonDEN · RB1.42.3−0.9—4% car—014%13%
Tyquan ThorntonNE · WR3.02.3+0.79%5% car—015%13%
Adam TrautmanDEN · TE0.01.7−1.749%3% tgt—000%13%
Courtland SuttonDEN · WR0.01.7−1.713%3% tgt—000%13%

Team totals: Patriots 31 targets and 21 carries; Broncos 35 targets and 23 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2023 season: 1.67 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.61 per carry and 0.42 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Bailey Zappe

NE · QB · 16.4 pts on 14.5 expected

25 of 33 passing for 256 yards, 2 touchdowns; 1 carry for 2 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 14.5 expected.

Russell Wilson Ran hot

DEN · QB · 23.5 pts on 18.0 expected

25 of 37 passing for 238 yards, 2 touchdowns; 4 carries for 20 yards.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 18.0 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Ezekiel Elliott Volume, no payoff

NE · RB · 21.0 pts on 25.7 expected

11 targets (35% of the team's), 9 catches for 33 yards and 1 touchdown; 12 carries (57% of the team's) for 27 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 25.7 expected.

DeMario Douglas

NE · WR · 12.4 pts on 13.4 expected

8 targets (26% of the team's), 5 catches for 74 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 13.4 expected.

Start/Sit: DeMario Douglas →

Jaleel McLaughlin

DEN · RB · 10.7 pts on 12.0 expected

5 targets (14% of the team's), 4 catches for 30 yards; 6 carries (26% of the team's) for 37 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 12.0 expected.

Start/Sit: Jaleel McLaughlin →

Javonte Williams

DEN · RB · 10.9 pts on 11.8 expected

3 targets (9% of the team's), 3 catches for -5 yards; 11 carries (48% of the team's) for 24 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 11.8 expected.

Start/Sit: Javonte Williams →

Brandon Johnson Ran hot

DEN · — · 15.7 pts on 8.3 expected

5 targets (14% of the team's), 3 catches for 47 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 8.3 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Mike Gesicki Ran hot

NE · TE · 9.5 pts on 3.3 expected

2 targets (6% of the team's), 2 catches for 15 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 3.3 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Mike Gesicki →

Stock Up, Stock Down

New England Patriots

  • Stock up: Ezekiel Elliott played 83% of the snaps, up from a 46% season average.
  • Stock up: DeMario Douglas played 74% of the snaps, up from a 48% season average.
  • Stock up: Jalen Reagor played 86% of the snaps, up from a 38% season average.

Denver Broncos

  • Stock up: Brandon Johnson played 68% of the snaps, up from a 35% season average.
  • Stock down: Adam Trautman played 49% of the snaps, down from a 75% season average.
  • Stock down: Courtland Sutton played 13% of the snaps, down from a 85% season average.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2023 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Patriots defense and Broncos defense
Points allowed toPatriots DBroncos D
QBs14.617.6
RBs20.926.6
WRs31.731.6
TEs9.015.7

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Denver opened at 50% win probability and fell below 2% in the third quarter.

Broncos win probability

Broncos win probability by game minuteBroncos started at 50%, stood at 66% at halftime and finished at 0%, across 8 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. +21Williams 3-yd TD run50% → 71%Q1 5:15
  2. −27Zappe → Elliott, 15-yd TD68% → 41%Q3 9:48
  3. −29Zappe → Gesicki, 11-yd TD39% → 10%Q3 1:34
  4. +50Wilson → Johnson, 21-yd TD<1% → 50%Q4 2:53
  5. −50Ryland 56-yd FG50% → <1%Q4 0:02

Swing in Broncos win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Patriots vs Broncos
New England PatriotsMeasureDenver Broncos
56Plays65
63%Pass rate65%
6.6Yds / dropback4.6
2.8Yds / carry3.6
3/13Third downs4/13

Efficiency edge New England ran 9 fewer plays but gained 2.0 more yards per dropback.

  • Top targets
  • NE Elliott 35% · Douglas 26% · Parker 16%
  • DEN Johnson 14% · McLaughlin 14% · Jeudy 14%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Patriots vs Broncos
ResultNEDEN
Touchdowns23
Field goals20
Punts77
Turnovers12
Turnovers on downs01
Missed field goals11

NE turnover edge: +1

  • The Broncos opened the scoring on their third possession, a 5-play, 25-yard drive that ended in a touchdown.
All 28 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
NEQ1 15:001-160:07Fumble
DENQ1 14:53451:35Downs
NEQ1 13:18331:31Punt
DENQ1 11:47341:32Punt
NEQ1 10:15392:14Punt
DENQ1 8:015252:46Touchdown
NEQ1 5:1513616:45Field goal
DENQ2 13:304362:03Fumble
NEQ2 11:27382:06Punt
DENQ2 9:218126:02Punt
NEQ2 3:197342:46Missed FG
DENQ2 0:335240:33Missed FG
DENQ3 15:00302:16Punt
NEQ3 12:445702:56Touchdown
DENQ3 9:48452:08Punt
NEQ3 7:40341:36Punt
DENQ3 6:043-121:36Punt
NEQ3 4:285422:54Touchdown
DENQ3 1:34000:06Fumble
DENQ3 1:283-81:37Punt
NEQ4 14:51341:40Punt
DENQ4 13:119834:38Touchdown
NEQ4 8:33382:00Punt
DENQ4 6:3311783:40Touchdown
NEQ4 2:533-61:11Punt
DENQ4 1:423-30:44Punt
NEQ4 0:587430:56Field goal
DENQ4 0:02100:02End of game
About these numbers

The Patriots' fumble touchdown is counted as a Broncos lost fumble, not as a Patriots possession. Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Patriots vs Broncos Head-to-Head

The Patriots and Broncos first met in 1960 and have played 56 times since.

All-time series
31–25Broncos lead, 56 meetings since 1960
Postseason
4–2Split 4–2
Largest Patriots win
45–102011
Largest Broncos win
45–101979

Since 2021

2–0 Patriots lead

2 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. P = Patriots win, B = Broncos win, outlined = this game.

2026 Meetings

  • Week 17 Broncos at Patriots Upcoming

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2023 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Patriots vs Broncos
PatriotsStatBroncos
4-13Record8-9
13.9Points per game21.0
276.2Yards per game298.4
4.6Yards per play5.0
21.5Points allowed per game24.3
301.6Yards allowed per game370.8

Patriots vs Broncos Fantasy Outlook for 2026

One meeting is left on the 2026 schedule: Week 17 in New England. Here's how to decide who to play in your league.

Keep Exploring

2023 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Patriots vs Broncos Game FAQ

Who won the 2023 Patriots vs Broncos Week 16 game?

The New England Patriots beat the Denver Broncos 26–23 in Week 16 of the 2023 season. The game was played at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, CO, on December 24, 2023. See the Patriots' 2023 schedule.

What was the final score of Patriots vs Broncos?

The final score was Patriots 26, Broncos 23. The Broncos led 7–3 at halftime, and the second half went Patriots 23, Broncos 16.

What happened in the Patriots vs Broncos game?

New England erased a 7–3 halftime deficit, outscoring Denver 23–16 after the break to win 26–23. The Patriots finished with a narrow 289–276 edge in total offense and averaged 5.2 yards per play. Russell Wilson led all players with 25 of 37 passing for 238 yards and 2 touchdowns, plus 4 carries for 20 rushing yards. The Broncos committed 2 turnovers, the Patriots 1.

What was the game-winning score in Patriots vs Broncos?

Chad Ryland's 56-yard field goal with 0:02 left in the fourth quarter gave the Patriots a 26–23 lead they never gave up. It was the final score of the game.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Patriots vs Broncos?

Russell Wilson led the game with 23.5 PPR fantasy points, the QB7 of Week 16, on 25 of 37 passing for 238 yards and 2 touchdowns, plus 4 carries for 20 rushing yards. Ezekiel Elliott was next with 21.0 (RB6).

Who led Patriots vs Broncos in passing, rushing and receiving?

Bailey Zappe (NE) led all passers with 25 of 33 for 256 yards and 2 touchdowns. Jaleel McLaughlin (DEN) led in rushing with 6 carries for 37 yards. DeMario Douglas (NE) led in receiving with 5 catches for 74 yards.

How many fantasy points did Russell Wilson score against the Patriots?

Russell Wilson scored 23.5 fantasy points against the Patriots in Week 16 of the 2023 season, the same in PPR, half-PPR and standard scoring because he had no catches, on 25 of 37 passing for 238 yards and 2 touchdowns, plus 4 carries for 20 rushing yards.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Patriots vs Broncos?

Brandon Johnson outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 15.7 PPR points on 8.3 xFP (+7.4). Ezekiel Elliott fell furthest short, with 21.0 points on 25.7 xFP (−4.7). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

Who had the highest expected fantasy points in Patriots vs Broncos?

Ezekiel Elliott had the most fantasy opportunity in the game, worth 25.7 expected PPR points (xFP) at league-average rates, and scored 21.0. Expected points measure the volume of a player's pass attempts, carries and targets, not how well he used them.

How did the Patriots beat the Broncos?

The Patriots beat the Broncos 26–23 because they averaged 5.2 yards per play to 4.2, won the turnover battle 2–1, and outgained them 289–276. Chad Ryland's 56-yard field goal put them ahead for good.

Which team won the turnover battle in Patriots vs Broncos?

The Patriots won the turnover battle 2–1: the Broncos gave the ball away 2 times and the Patriots 1 time. The Patriots won the game.

What was the turning point of Patriots vs Broncos?

Chad Ryland's 56-yard field goal with 0:02 left in the fourth quarter was the biggest swing of the game, moving the Broncos' win probability from 50% to <1%.

What is the all-time Patriots vs Broncos record?

The Broncos lead the all-time series 31–25 across 56 meetings since 1960, including a 4–2 record in the postseason.

When did the Patriots and Broncos last play before this game?

Before Week 16 of 2023, they last met in the 2020 season on October 18, 2020, when the Broncos beat the Patriots 18–12.

Have the Patriots and Broncos met in the playoffs?

Yes, 6 times, most recently in the 2025 playoffs. The Patriots are 2–4 against the Broncos in the postseason.