Final2021 Week 12

Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Indianapolis Colts, Week 12 2021

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

AwayWon

38

Indianapolis Colts

Home

31

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Buccaneers014141038
Colts3210731

TB 38IND 31 Final

  • Passing leader

    Carson Wentz

    IND · QB

    22.3PPR pts

    27/44, 306 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Leonard Fournette

    TB · RB

    44.1PPR pts

    17 ATT, 100 YDS, 3 TD, 7 REC, 31 REC YDS, 1 REC TD

  • Colts leader

    Jack Doyle

    IND · TE

    20.1PPR pts

    6 REC, 81 YDS, 1 TD

  • Defensive playmaker

    Antoine Winfield Jr.

    TB

    1 INT, 7 TKL

Buccaneers 38, Colts 31: Tampa Bay rallies from 10 down at halftime

Tampa Bay erased a 24–14 halftime deficit, outscoring Indianapolis 24–7 after the break to win 38–31. Indianapolis outgained the Buccaneers 392–359.

The Colts went 5-for-11 on third down and committed five turnovers.

Key advantages

  • +3 turnover margin TB 2 · IND 5 turnovers

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

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Why the Buccaneers Won

Tampa Bay won the turnover battle.

Team stats comparison, Buccaneers vs Colts
BuccaneersStatColts
2Turnovers5
Other team stats
359Total yards392
5.7Yards per play5.9
63Plays67
25%Third-down conversion45%
29:59Time of possession30:01

Scoring Summary

The Buccaneers scored five touchdowns and one field goal; the Colts scored four touchdowns and one field goal.

Scoring plays, Buccaneers vs Colts
TimeTeamPlayTBIND
1st quarter
12:31INDMichael Badgley 45-yard FG Takes lead03
2nd quarter
13:22TBLeonard Fournette 1-yard TD run Takes leadRyan Succop XP73
11:44INDCarson Wentz → Ashton Dulin, 62-yard TD Takes leadMichael Badgley XP710
5:07INDCarson Wentz → Jack Doyle, 15-yard TD Extends leadMichael Badgley XP717
1:56TBTom Brady → Leonard Fournette, 4-yard TDRyan Succop XP1417
0:18INDCarson Wentz → T.Y. Hilton, 4-yard TD Extends leadMichael Badgley XP1424
3rd quarter
8:06TBLeonard Fournette 4-yard TD runRyan Succop XP2124
1:06TBRonald Jones II 1-yard TD run Takes leadRyan Succop XP2824
4th quarter
10:06TBRyan Succop 25-yard FG Extends lead3124
3:29INDJonathan Taylor 4-yard TD run Ties gameMichael Badgley XP3131
0:20TBLeonard Fournette 28-yard TD run Game winnerRyan Succop XP3831

Fantasy Points: Buccaneers vs Colts, Week 12 2021

Fantasy leaders

  1. Leonard FournetteTBRB44.1 PTSRB1
  2. Carson WentzINDQB21.3 PTSQB7
  3. Jack DoyleINDTE20.1 PTSTE1
  4. Jonathan TaylorINDRB19.7 PTSRB10

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Carson WentzINDQB21.3QB727/4430632321086.0Start/Sit →
Tom BradyTBQB12.2QB1825/342261122088.6

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Leonard FournetteTBRB44.1RB1RB17100387311
Jack DoyleINDTE20.1TE1TE———76811
Jonathan TaylorINDRB19.7RB10RB1683154140Start/Sit →
Rob GronkowskiTBTE19.3TE2TE———971230
Ashton DulinINDWR13.2WR26WR———11621Start/Sit →
T.Y. HiltonINDWR12.8WR28WR———54281
Ronald JonesTBRB9.7RB27RB7371————
Michael PittmanINDWR9.3WR40WR———104530
Cameron BrateTBTE5.3TE24TE———43230
Mike EvansTBWR4.6WR66WR———63160Start/Sit →
Kylen GransonINDTE4.2TE30TE———22220Start/Sit →
Chris GodwinTBWR3.7WR79WR13054240
Nyheim Miller-HinesINDRB2.9RB56RB13043260
Tyler JohnsonTBWR1.9WR98WR———1190
Mo Alie-CoxINDTE1.8TE46TE———2180Start/Sit →
Scotty MillerTBWR1.0WR109WR———1000
Zach PascalINDWR0.2WR112WR———72120

Fantasy Usage

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Snap Share

  1. Mike EvansWR66 snaps99%
  2. Chris GodwinWR65 snaps97%
  3. Rob GronkowskiTE55 snaps82%
  4. Leonard FournetteRB54 snaps81%
  5. Tyler JohnsonWR48 snaps72%

Target Share34 targets

  1. Rob Gronkowski26%, 9 targets
  2. Leonard Fournette24%, 8 targets
  3. Mike Evans18%, 6 targets
  4. Chris Godwin15%, 5 targets
  5. Cameron Brate12%, 4 targets
  6. Other6%, 2 targets

Carry Share27 carries

  1. Leonard Fournette63%, 17 carries
  2. Ronald Jones26%, 7 carries
  3. Tom Brady7%, 2 carries
  4. Chris Godwin4%, 1 carries

Indianapolis Colts

Snap Share

  1. Michael PittmanWR65 snaps94%
  2. Zach PascalWR64 snaps93%
  3. Jonathan TaylorRB49 snaps71%
  4. T.Y. HiltonWR42 snaps61%
  5. Jack DoyleTE42 snaps61%

Target Share43 targets

  1. Michael Pittman23%, 10 targets
  2. Jack Doyle16%, 7 targets
  3. Zach Pascal16%, 7 targets
  4. T.Y. Hilton12%, 5 targets
  5. Jonathan Taylor12%, 5 targets
  6. Other21%, 9 targets

Carry Share20 carries

  1. Jonathan Taylor80%, 16 carries
  2. Carson Wentz15%, 3 carries
  3. Nyheim Miller-Hines5%, 1 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
Mike EvansTBWR6699%618%0
Chris GodwinTBWR6597%515%1
Michael PittmanINDWR6594%1023%0
Zach PascalINDWR6493%716%0
Rob GronkowskiTBTE5582%926%0
Leonard FournetteTBRB5481%824%17
Tyler JohnsonTBWR4872%13%0
Jonathan TaylorINDRB4971%512%16
T.Y. HiltonINDWR4261%512%0
Jack DoyleINDTE4261%716%0
Mo Alie-CoxINDTE3957%25%0
Nyheim Miller-HinesINDRB2536%49%1
Cameron BrateTBTE1725%412%0
Ronald JonesTBRB1218%00%7
O.J. HowardTBTE913%00%0
Kylen GransonINDTE913%25%0
Scotty MillerTBWR46%13%0
Ashton DulinINDWR46%12%0
Dezmon PatmonINDWR34%00%0
Giovani BernardTBRB11%00%0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

  • Biggest overperformer+19.7Leonard Fournette44.1 PTS vs 24.4 xFP
  • Biggest underperformer−10.6Zach Pascal1.2 PTS vs 11.8 xFP
  • Highest expected volume24.4 xFPLeonard Fournette44.1 PTS scored
Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Leonard FournetteTB · RB44.124.4+19.781%63% car—01763%824%
Carson WentzIND · QB22.321.3+1.0100%44 att—44315%00%
Jonathan TaylorIND · RB19.718.7+1.071%80% car—01680%512%
Michael Pittman Jr.IND · WR9.316.8−7.594%23% tgt—000%1023%
Tom BradyTB · QB12.216.2−4.0100%34 att—3427%00%
Rob GronkowskiTB · TE19.315.2+4.182%26% tgt—000%926%
Jack DoyleIND · TE20.111.8+8.361%16% tgt—000%716%
Zach PascalIND · WR1.211.8−10.693%16% tgt—000%716%
Mike EvansTB · WR4.610.1−5.599%18% tgt—000%618%
Chris Godwin Jr.TB · WR4.79.1−4.497%15% tgt—014%515%
T.Y. HiltonIND · WR12.88.4+4.461%12% tgt—000%512%
Nyheim HinesIND · —3.97.4−3.5—9% tgt—015%49%
Cameron BrateTB · TE5.36.7−1.425%12% tgt—000%412%
Ronald JonesTB · —9.74.5+5.218%26% car—0726%00%
Kylen GransonIND · TE4.23.4+0.813%5% tgt—000%25%
Mo Alie-CoxIND · TE1.83.4−1.657%5% tgt—000%25%
Ashton DulinIND · WR13.21.7+11.56%2% tgt—000%12%
Scotty MillerTB · WR0.01.7−1.76%3% tgt—000%13%
Tyler JohnsonTB · WR1.91.7+0.272%3% tgt—000%13%

Team totals: Buccaneers 34 targets and 27 carries; Colts 43 targets and 20 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2021 season: 1.68 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.64 per carry and 0.44 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Tom Brady

TB · QB · 12.2 pts on 16.2 expected

25 of 34 passing for 226 yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception; 2 carries for 2 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 16.2 expected.

Carson Wentz

IND · QB · 22.3 pts on 21.3 expected

27 of 44 passing for 306 yards, 3 touchdowns, 2 interceptions; 3 carries for 21 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 21.3 expected.

Start/Sit: Carson Wentz →

Leonard Fournette Ran hot

TB · RB · 44.1 pts on 24.4 expected

8 targets (24% of the team's), 7 catches for 31 yards and 1 touchdown; 17 carries (63% of the team's) for 100 yards and 3 touchdowns.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 24.4 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Rob Gronkowski

TB · TE · 19.3 pts on 15.2 expected

9 targets (26% of the team's), 7 catches for 123 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 15.2 expected.

Jonathan Taylor Strong role

IND · RB · 19.7 pts on 18.7 expected

5 targets (12% of the team's), 4 catches for 14 yards; 16 carries (80% of the team's) for 83 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 18.7 expected.

Start/Sit: Jonathan Taylor →

Michael Pittman Jr. Unlucky

IND · WR · 9.3 pts on 16.8 expected

10 targets (23% of the team's), 4 catches for 53 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 16.8 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Jack Doyle Ran hot

IND · TE · 20.1 pts on 11.8 expected

7 targets (16% of the team's), 6 catches for 81 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 11.8 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Zach Pascal Unlucky

IND · WR · 1.2 pts on 11.8 expected

7 targets (16% of the team's), 2 catches for 12 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 11.8 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Stock Up, Stock Down

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Stock up: Leonard Fournette played 81% of the snaps, up from a 59% season average.
  • Stock up: Rob Gronkowski played 82% of the snaps, up from a 60% season average.
  • Stock up: Tyler Johnson played 72% of the snaps, up from a 44% season average.

Indianapolis Colts

  • Stock down: Ashton Dulin played 6% of the snaps, down from a 28% season average.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2021 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Buccaneers defense and Colts defense
Points allowed toBuccaneers DColts D
QBs17.516.6
RBs21.719.5
WRs34.832.8
TEs13.314.4

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Indianapolis opened at 41% win probability, climbed as high as 85%, then lost.

Colts win probability

Colts win probability by game minuteColts started at 41%, stood at 81% at halftime and finished at 0%, across 11 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. −25Brady → Fournette, 4-yd TD80% → 56%Q2 1:56
  2. −27Fournette 4-yd TD run85% → 59%Q3 8:06
  3. −38Jones 1-yd TD run62% → 25%Q3 1:06
  4. +46Taylor 4-yd TD run1% → 48%Q4 3:29
  5. −49Fournette 28-yd TD run49% → <1%Q4 0:20

Swing in Colts win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Buccaneers vs Colts
Tampa Bay BuccaneersMeasureIndianapolis Colts
63Plays67
57%Pass rate70%
6.0Yds / dropback6.1
5.3Yds / carry5.3
2/8Third downs5/11

Efficiency edge Tampa Bay ran 4 fewer plays than Indianapolis.

  • Top targets
  • TB Gronkowski 26% · Fournette 24% · Evans 18%
  • IND Pittman 23% · Doyle 16% · Pascal 16%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Buccaneers vs Colts
ResultTBIND
Touchdowns54
Field goals11
Punts43
Turnovers24

TB turnover edge: +2

  • The Colts opened the scoring on their first possession, a 4-play, 4-yard drive that ended in a field goal.
  • Tampa Bay's first four possessions all ended in a three-and-out or a fumble.
All 25 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
TBQ1 15:00340:55Punt
INDQ1 14:05441:34Field goal
TBQ1 12:317362:14Fumble
INDQ1 10:17391:24Punt
TBQ1 8:53362:13Punt
INDQ1 6:40321:33Punt
TBQ1 5:07341:43Punt
INDQ1 3:24290:50Fumble
TBQ1 2:347344:12Touchdown
INDQ2 13:223751:38Touchdown
TBQ2 11:442160:54Interception
INDQ2 10:509905:43Touchdown
TBQ2 5:078843:11Touchdown
INDQ2 1:5614751:38Touchdown
TBQ2 0:181-10:18End of half
INDQ3 15:008434:02Fumble
TBQ3 10:586652:52Touchdown
INDQ3 8:067292:44Interception
TBQ3 5:227654:16Touchdown
INDQ3 1:063-51:58Punt
TBQ4 14:08341:40Punt
TBQ4 12:286132:22Field goal
INDQ4 10:0610756:37Touchdown
TBQ4 3:298753:09Touchdown
INDQ4 0:20200:20Interception
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Buccaneers vs Colts Head-to-Head

The Buccaneers and Colts first met in 1976 and have played 16 times since.

All-time series
9–7Colts lead, 16 meetings since 1976
Postseason
0No playoff meetings
Largest Buccaneers win
24–101994
Largest Colts win
42–171976

Since 2021

1–1 Series tied

2 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. B = Buccaneers win, C = Colts win, outlined = this game.

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2021 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Buccaneers vs Colts
BuccaneersStatColts
13-4Record9-8
30.1Points per game26.5
405.9Yards per game347.1
6.1Yards per play5.6
20.8Points allowed per game21.5
331.5Yards allowed per game343.2

Buccaneers vs Colts Odds and Results

How this game finished against the betting lines.

Spread
TB −3Buccaneers covered by 4
Total
53Over: 69 points scored (by 16)

Expected vs Actual Scoring

Implied team totals against the actual score
TeamImpliedActualDifference
Buccaneers28.038+10.0
Colts25.031+6.0

Both offenses beat the market's expectation, and the Fantasy tab shows who cashed in.

Betting Trends

Each team's 2021 season through this game. Over/under is overs first.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Against the spread
5–6
Over/under
6–5
ATS as favorite
5–6
ATS on the road
1–5

Indianapolis Colts

Against the spread
7–5
Over/under
8–4
ATS as favorite
2–2
ATS as underdog
5–3
ATS at home
3–4

Lines: ESPN's consensus, captured at kickoff. Individual sportsbooks varied.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Betting availability depends on your state.

Buccaneers and Colts in Fantasy

The two teams don't meet again this season. If you roster a Buccaneer or a Colt, these answer the week-to-week question.

Keep Exploring

2021 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Buccaneers vs Colts Game FAQ

Who won the 2021 Buccaneers vs Colts Week 12 game?

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the Indianapolis Colts 38–31 in Week 12 of the 2021 season. The game was played at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN, on November 28, 2021. See the Buccaneers' 2021 schedule.

What was the final score of Buccaneers vs Colts?

The final score was Buccaneers 38, Colts 31. The Colts led 24–14 at halftime, and the second half went Buccaneers 24, Colts 7.

What happened in the Buccaneers vs Colts game?

Tampa Bay erased a 24–14 halftime deficit, outscoring Indianapolis 24–7 after the break to win 38–31. Indianapolis outgained the Buccaneers 392–359. Leonard Fournette led all players with 7 catches for 31 yards and a touchdown, plus 17 carries for 100 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns. The Colts committed 5 turnovers, the Buccaneers 2.

What was the game-winning score in Buccaneers vs Colts?

Leonard Fournette's 28-yard touchdown run with 0:20 left in the fourth quarter gave the Buccaneers a 38–31 lead they never gave up. It was the final score of the game.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Buccaneers vs Colts?

Leonard Fournette led the game with 44.1 PPR fantasy points, the RB1 of Week 12, on 7 catches for 31 yards and a touchdown, plus 17 carries for 100 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns. Carson Wentz was next with 21.3 (QB7).

Who led Buccaneers vs Colts in passing, rushing and receiving?

Carson Wentz (IND) led all passers with 27 of 44 for 306 yards, 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Leonard Fournette (TB) led in rushing with 17 carries for 100 yards and 3 touchdowns. Rob Gronkowski (TB) led in receiving with 7 catches for 123 yards.

How many fantasy points did Leonard Fournette score against the Colts?

Leonard Fournette scored 44.1 points in PPR leagues, 40.6 in half-PPR and 37.1 in standard scoring against the Colts in Week 12 of the 2021 season, on 7 catches for 31 yards and a touchdown, plus 17 carries for 100 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns. He drew 24% of his team's targets.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Buccaneers vs Colts?

Leonard Fournette outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 44.1 PPR points on 24.4 xFP (+19.7). Zach Pascal fell furthest short, with 1.2 points on 11.8 xFP (−10.6). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

How did the Buccaneers come back to beat the Colts?

The Buccaneers' chances of winning fell as low as 15% in the third quarter. Leonard Fournette's 28-yard touchdown run in the fourth quarter was the biggest swing of the game. Leonard Fournette's 28-yard touchdown run then put them ahead for good.

Which team won the turnover battle in Buccaneers vs Colts?

The Buccaneers won the turnover battle 5–2: the Colts gave the ball away 5 times and the Buccaneers 2 times. The Buccaneers won the game.

What is the all-time Buccaneers vs Colts record?

The Colts lead the all-time series 9–7 across 16 meetings since 1976.

When did the Buccaneers and Colts last play before this game?

Before Week 12 of 2021, they last met in the 2019 season on December 8, 2019, when the Buccaneers beat the Colts 38–35.

What was the closing spread for Buccaneers vs Colts?

The consensus closing spread at kickoff was Buccaneers −3, making the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3-point favorites, with a closing total of 53. That implied about 28.0 points for the Buccaneers and 25.0 for the Colts.

Did Buccaneers vs Colts go over or under the total?

The game went over. The consensus closing total was 53, and the teams combined for 69 points, 16 over the number.

Who covered the spread in Buccaneers vs Colts?

The Buccaneers covered by 4 against the closing line of Buccaneers −3. The final margin was 7 points.