Final2023 Week 12

Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN

Indianapolis Colts vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Away

20

Indianapolis Colts

HomeWon

27

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Buccaneers3701020
Colts1073727

TB 20IND 27 Final

  • Passing leader

    Gardner Minshew II

    IND · QB

    15.6PPR pts

    24/41, 251 YDS, 1 INT, 1 RUSH TD

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Mike Evans

    TB · WR

    25.0PPR pts

    6 REC, 70 YDS, 2 TD

  • Buccaneers leader

    Baker Mayfield

    TB · QB

    14.4PPR pts

    20/30, 199 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT

  • Defensive playmaker

    Carlton Davis III

    TB

    1 INT, 10 TKL

Colts 27, Buccaneers 20: Indianapolis beats Tampa Bay

Indianapolis led 17–10 at halftime to win 27–20. The Colts finished with a 394–298 edge in total offense and averaged 5.6 yards per play.

The Buccaneers went 5-for-13 on third down and committed two turnovers.

Key advantages

  • +0.3 yards/play IND 5.6 · TB 5.3
  • +1 turnover margin IND 1 · TB 2 turnovers
  • +96 total yards IND 394 · TB 298

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

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Why the Colts Won

Indianapolis won the efficiency, turnover, and time of possession battles.

Team stats comparison, Buccaneers vs Colts
BuccaneersStatColts
5.3Yards per play5.6
2Turnovers1
298Total yards394
Other team stats
56Plays70
38%Third-down conversion18%
28:39Time of possession31:21

Scoring Summary

The Colts scored three touchdowns and two field goals; the Buccaneers scored two touchdowns and two field goals.

Scoring plays, Buccaneers vs Colts
TimeTeamPlayTBIND
1st quarter
7:28TBChase McLaughlin 21-yard FG Takes lead30
3:01INDMatt Gay 46-yard FG Ties game33
0:11INDJonathan Taylor 4-yard TD run Takes leadMatt Gay XP310
2nd quarter
9:36INDGardner Minshew 2-yard TD run Extends leadMatt Gay XP317
5:08TBBaker Mayfield → Mike Evans, 1-yard TDChase McLaughlin XP1017
3rd quarter
10:01INDMatt Gay 36-yard FG Extends lead1020
4th quarter
12:50TBBaker Mayfield → Mike Evans, 23-yard TDChase McLaughlin XP1720
7:30INDJonathan Taylor 1-yard TD run Extends leadMatt Gay XP1727
4:10TBChase McLaughlin 24-yard FG2027

Fantasy Points: Buccaneers vs Colts, Week 12 2023

Fantasy leaders

  1. Mike EvansTBWR25.0 PTSWR2
  2. Jonathan TaylorINDRB21.1 PTSRB9
  3. Michael PittmanINDWR20.7 PTSWR12
  4. Gardner MinshewINDQB15.6 PTSQB13

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Gardner MinshewINDQB15.6QB1324/412510136166.2
Baker MayfieldTBQB14.4QB1620/3019921314093.6Start/Sit →
Kyle TraskTBQB0.0—0/1000———39.6

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Mike EvansTBWR25.0WR2WR———96702Start/Sit →
Jonathan TaylorINDRB21.1RB9RB15912————Start/Sit →
Michael PittmanINDWR20.7WR12WR———13101070
Rachaad WhiteTBRB13.0RB19RB15100022100Start/Sit →
Josh DownsINDWR9.3WR44WR———135430Start/Sit →
Zack MossINDRB9.0RB33RB855032150
Cade OttonTBTE8.5TE15TE———44450Start/Sit →
Chris GodwinTBWR7.5WR56WR———73450
Alec PierceINDWR6.7WR63WR———64270
Trey PalmerTBWR5.7WR74WR———54170
Will MalloryINDTE4.9TE26TE———32290
Mo Alie-CoxINDTE4.0TE31TE———11300Start/Sit →
Payne DurhamTBTE2.2TE41TE———11120Start/Sit →
Chase EdmondsTBRB1.1RB69RB11101000
Isaiah McKenzieINDWR0.3WR127WR130————
David MooreTBWR0.0—WR———1000Start/Sit →
Kylen GransonINDTE0.0—TE———1000Start/Sit →

Fantasy Usage

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Snap Share

  1. Cade OttonTE60 snaps100%
  2. Mike EvansWR55 snaps92%
  3. Rachaad WhiteRB52 snaps87%
  4. Chris GodwinWR50 snaps83%
  5. Trey PalmerWR41 snaps68%

Target Share30 targets

  1. Mike Evans30%, 9 targets
  2. Chris Godwin23%, 7 targets
  3. Trey Palmer17%, 5 targets
  4. Cade Otton13%, 4 targets
  5. Rachaad White7%, 2 targets
  6. Other10%, 3 targets

Carry Share19 carries

  1. Rachaad White79%, 15 carries
  2. Baker Mayfield16%, 3 carries
  3. Chase Edmonds5%, 1 carries

Indianapolis Colts

Snap Share

  1. Michael PittmanWR70 snaps96%
  2. Alec PierceWR69 snaps95%
  3. Josh DownsWR50 snaps68%
  4. Jonathan TaylorRB42 snaps58%
  5. Mo Alie-CoxTE34 snaps47%

Target Share40 targets

  1. Michael Pittman33%, 13 targets
  2. Josh Downs33%, 13 targets
  3. Alec Pierce15%, 6 targets
  4. Zack Moss8%, 3 targets
  5. Will Mallory8%, 3 targets
  6. Other5%, 2 targets

Carry Share27 carries

  1. Jonathan Taylor56%, 15 carries
  2. Zack Moss30%, 8 carries
  3. Gardner Minshew11%, 3 carries
  4. Isaiah McKenzie4%, 1 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
Cade OttonTBTE60100%413%0
Michael PittmanINDWR7096%1333%0
Alec PierceINDWR6995%615%0
Mike EvansTBWR5592%930%0
Rachaad WhiteTBRB5287%27%15
Chris GodwinTBWR5083%723%0
Josh DownsINDWR5068%1333%0
Trey PalmerTBWR4168%517%0
Jonathan TaylorINDRB4258%00%15
Mo Alie-CoxINDTE3447%13%0
Kylen GransonINDTE3142%13%0
Zack MossINDRB3041%38%8
Will MalloryINDTE2737%38%0
Payne DurhamTBTE1220%13%0
David MooreTBWR1118%13%0
Ko KieftTBTE813%00%0
Chase EdmondsTBRB712%13%1
Isaiah McKenzieINDWR68%00%1
Deven ThompkinsTBWR47%00%0
D.J. MontgomeryINDWR34%00%0
Trey SermonINDRB11%00%0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Josh DownsIND · WR9.321.7−12.468%33% tgt—000%1333%
Michael Pittman Jr.IND · WR20.721.7−1.096%33% tgt—000%1333%
Gardner Minshew IIIND · QB15.619.1−3.5100%41 att—41311%00%
Mike EvansTB · WR25.015.0+10.092%30% tgt—000%930%
Baker MayfieldTB · QB14.414.5−0.197%30 att—30316%00%
Rachaad WhiteTB · RB13.012.5+0.587%79% car—01579%27%
Chris Godwin Jr.TB · WR7.511.7−4.283%23% tgt—000%723%
Alec PierceIND · WR6.710.0−3.395%15% tgt—000%615%
Zack MossIND · RB9.09.9−0.941%30% car—0830%38%
Jonathan TaylorIND · RB21.19.2+11.958%56% car—01556%00%
Trey PalmerTB · WR5.78.3−2.668%17% tgt—000%517%
Cade OttonTB · TE8.56.7+1.8100%13% tgt—000%413%
Will MalloryIND · TE4.95.0−0.137%8% tgt—000%38%
Chase EdmondsTB · RB1.12.3−1.212%5% car—015%13%
David MooreTB · WR0.01.7−1.718%3% tgt—000%13%
Kylen GransonIND · TE0.01.7−1.742%3% tgt—000%13%
Mo Alie-CoxIND · TE4.01.7+2.347%3% tgt—000%13%
Payne DurhamTB · TE2.21.7+0.520%3% tgt—000%13%
Isaiah McKenzieIND · WR0.30.6−0.38%4% car—014%00%
Kyle TraskTB · QB0.00.4−0.43%1 att—100%00%

Team totals: Buccaneers 30 targets and 19 carries; Colts 40 targets and 27 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2023 season: 1.67 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.61 per carry and 0.42 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Baker Mayfield

TB · QB · 14.4 pts on 14.5 expected

20 of 30 passing for 199 yards, 2 touchdowns, 1 interception; 3 carries for 14 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 14.5 expected.

Start/Sit: Baker Mayfield →

Gardner Minshew II

IND · QB · 15.6 pts on 19.1 expected

24 of 41 passing for 251 yards, 1 interception; 3 carries for 6 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 19.1 expected.

Mike Evans Ran hot

TB · WR · 25.0 pts on 15.0 expected

9 targets (30% of the team's), 6 catches for 70 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 15.0 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Mike Evans →

Rachaad White Strong role

TB · RB · 13.0 pts on 12.5 expected

2 targets (7% of the team's), 2 catches for 10 yards; 15 carries (79% of the team's) for 100 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 12.5 expected.

Start/Sit: Rachaad White →

Josh Downs Volume, no payoff

IND · WR · 9.3 pts on 21.7 expected

13 targets (33% of the team's), 5 catches for 43 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 21.7 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Josh Downs →

Michael Pittman Jr. Volume, no payoff

IND · WR · 20.7 pts on 21.7 expected

13 targets (33% of the team's), 10 catches for 107 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 21.7 expected.

Jonathan Taylor Ran hot

IND · RB · 21.1 pts on 9.2 expected

15 carries (56% of the team's) for 91 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 9.2 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Jonathan Taylor →

Will Mallory

IND · TE · 4.9 pts on 5.0 expected

3 targets (8% of the team's), 2 catches for 29 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 5.0 expected.

Stock Up, Stock Down

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Stock up: Mike Evans played 92% of the snaps, up from a 74% season average.

Indianapolis Colts

  • Stock up: Jonathan Taylor led the backfield with 58% of the snaps after trailing Zack Moss before this game.
  • Stock up: Will Mallory played 37% of the snaps, up from a 16% season average.
  • Stock down: Zack Moss lost the backfield lead: 41% of the snaps to Jonathan Taylor's 58%.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2023 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Buccaneers defense and Colts defense
Points allowed toBuccaneers DColts D
QBs17.715.9
RBs17.626.1
WRs35.931.6
TEs14.812.9

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Indianapolis opened at 50% win probability and passed 98% in the fourth quarter on the way to the win.

Colts win probability

Colts win probability by game minuteColts started at 50%, stood at 77% at halftime and finished at 100%, across 9 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. +22Taylor 4-yd TD run50% → 72%Q1 0:11
  2. +16Minshew 2-yd TD run74% → 90%Q2 9:36
  3. −16Mayfield → Evans, 1-yd TD91% → 75%Q2 5:08
  4. −26Mayfield → Evans, 23-yd TD95% → 68%Q4 12:50
  5. +25Taylor 1-yd TD run74% → 98%Q4 7:30

Swing in Colts win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Buccaneers vs Colts
Tampa Bay BuccaneersMeasureIndianapolis Colts
56Plays70
66%Pass rate61%
4.7Yds / dropback5.6
6.6Yds / carry5.7
5/13Third downs2/11

Efficiency edge Indianapolis ran 14 more plays and gained 0.9 more yards per dropback.

  • Top targets
  • TB Evans 30% · Godwin 23% · Palmer 17%
  • IND Downs 33% · Pittman 33% · Pierce 15%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Buccaneers vs Colts
ResultTBIND
Touchdowns23
Field goals22
Punts42
Turnovers21
Turnovers on downs01
Missed field goals01

IND turnover edge: +1

  • The Buccaneers opened the scoring on their first possession, a 15-play, 72-yard drive that ended in a field goal.
  • The Colts scored touchdowns on two of their first three drives, then drained the clock with three second-half drives of four to six minutes.
All 21 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
TBQ1 15:0015727:32Field goal
INDQ1 7:2810474:27Field goal
TBQ1 3:012111:12Interception
INDQ1 1:494411:38Touchdown
TBQ1 0:113-111:20Punt
INDQ2 13:5110624:15Touchdown
TBQ2 9:36342:14Punt
INDQ2 7:22360:49Interception
TBQ2 6:333161:25Touchdown
INDQ2 5:08300:28Punt
TBQ2 4:405352:56Punt
INDQ2 1:448401:44Missed FG
INDQ3 15:0011574:59Field goal
TBQ3 10:016343:52Punt
INDQ3 6:099404:23Downs
TBQ3 1:469603:56Touchdown
INDQ4 12:509755:20Touchdown
TBQ4 7:309693:20Field goal
INDQ4 4:103-11:49Punt
TBQ4 2:21330:52Fumble
INDQ4 1:293121:29End of game
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Buccaneers vs Colts Head-to-Head

The Buccaneers and Colts first met in 1976 and have played 16 times since.

All-time series
9–7Colts lead, 16 meetings since 1976
Postseason
0No playoff meetings
Largest Buccaneers win
24–101994
Largest Colts win
42–171976

Since 2021

1–1 Series tied

2 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. B = Buccaneers win, C = Colts win, outlined = this game.

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2023 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Buccaneers vs Colts
BuccaneersStatColts
9-8Record9-8
20.5Points per game23.3
313.0Yards per game336.8
5.1Yards per play5.2
19.1Points allowed per game24.4
344.2Yards allowed per game349.8

Buccaneers and Colts in Fantasy

The two teams don't meet again this season. If you roster a Buccaneer or a Colt, these answer the week-to-week question.

Keep Exploring

2023 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Buccaneers vs Colts Game FAQ

Who won the 2023 Buccaneers vs Colts Week 12 game?

The Indianapolis Colts beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 27–20 in Week 12 of the 2023 season. The game was played at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN, on November 26, 2023. See the Colts' 2023 schedule.

What was the final score of Buccaneers vs Colts?

The final score was Colts 27, Buccaneers 20. The Colts led 17–10 at halftime, and the second half went Buccaneers 10, Colts 10.

What happened in the Buccaneers vs Colts game?

Indianapolis led 17–10 at halftime to win 27–20. The Colts finished with a 394–298 edge in total offense and averaged 5.6 yards per play. Mike Evans led all players with 6 catches for 70 yards and 2 touchdowns. The Buccaneers committed 2 turnovers, the Colts 1.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Buccaneers vs Colts?

Mike Evans led the game with 25.0 PPR fantasy points, the WR2 of Week 12, on 6 catches for 70 yards and 2 touchdowns. Jonathan Taylor was next with 21.1 (RB9). See Mike Evans's 2023 game log.

Who led Buccaneers vs Colts in passing, rushing and receiving?

Gardner Minshew (IND) led all passers with 24 of 41 for 251 yards and an interception. Rachaad White (TB) led in rushing with 15 carries for 100 yards. Michael Pittman (IND) led in receiving with 10 catches for 107 yards.

How many fantasy points did Mike Evans score against the Colts?

Mike Evans scored 25.0 points in PPR leagues, 22.0 in half-PPR and 19.0 in standard scoring against the Colts in Week 12 of the 2023 season, on 6 catches for 70 yards and 2 touchdowns. He drew 30% of his team's targets.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Buccaneers vs Colts?

Jonathan Taylor outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 21.1 PPR points on 9.2 xFP (+11.9). Josh Downs fell furthest short, with 9.3 points on 21.7 xFP (−12.4). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

Who had the highest expected fantasy points in Buccaneers vs Colts?

Josh Downs had the most fantasy opportunity in the game, worth 21.7 expected PPR points (xFP) at league-average rates, and scored 9.3. Expected points measure the volume of a player's pass attempts, carries and targets, not how well he used them.

How did the Colts beat the Buccaneers?

The Colts beat the Buccaneers 27–20 because they averaged 5.6 yards per play to 5.3, won the turnover battle 2–1, and outgained them 394–298.

Which team won the turnover battle in Buccaneers vs Colts?

The Colts won the turnover battle 2–1: the Buccaneers gave the ball away 2 times and the Colts 1 time. The Colts won the game.

What was the turning point of Buccaneers vs Colts?

Baker Mayfield's 23-yard touchdown pass to Mike Evans with 12:50 left in the fourth quarter was the biggest swing of the game, moving the Colts' win probability from 95% to 68%.

What is the all-time Buccaneers vs Colts record?

The Colts lead the all-time series 9–7 across 16 meetings since 1976.

When did the Buccaneers and Colts last play before this game?

Before Week 12 of 2023, they last met in the 2021 season on November 28, 2021, when the Buccaneers beat the Colts 38–31.

What is the Buccaneers vs Colts record since 2021?

The series is tied 1–1 across 2 meetings since the 2021 season, including this game.