Final2023 Week 16

Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Week 16 2023

Jacksonville Jaguars

Away

12

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

HomeWon

30

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jaguars006612
Buccaneers31710030

JAX 12TB 30 Final

  • Passing leader

    Baker Mayfield

    TB · QB

    19.8PPR pts

    26/35, 283 YDS, 2 TD

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Mike Evans

    TB · WR

    27.6PPR pts

    7 REC, 86 YDS, 2 TD

  • Jaguars leader

    Calvin Ridley

    JAX · WR

    25.8PPR pts

    6 REC, 90 YDS, 2 TD

  • Defensive playmaker

    Antoine Winfield Jr.

    TB

    1 INT, 1 SACK, 3 TKL

Buccaneers 30, Jaguars 12: Tampa Bay leads from start to finish

Tampa Bay led 20–0 at halftime after a 17-point second quarter and won 30–12, though Jacksonville took the second half 12–10. The Buccaneers finished with a 335–305 edge in total offense.

Jacksonville didn't get on the board until the third quarter.

The Jaguars went 3-for-9 on third down and committed four turnovers, while the Buccaneers kept the ball for 37:07 and finished without a giveaway.

Key advantages

  • +4 turnover margin TB 0 turnovers
  • +30 total yards TB 335 · JAX 305
  • +20% third-down rate TB 53% · JAX 33%

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

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Why the Buccaneers Won

Tampa Bay won the turnover, third-down, and time of possession battles.

Team stats comparison, Jaguars vs Buccaneers
JaguarsStatBuccaneers
4Turnovers0
305Total yards335
33%Third-down conversion53%
Other team stats
5.0Yards per play4.6
61Plays73
22:53Time of possession37:07

Scoring Summary

The Buccaneers scored three touchdowns and three field goals; the Jaguars scored two touchdowns.

Scoring plays, Jaguars vs Buccaneers
TimeTeamPlayJAXTB
1st quarter
7:22TBChase McLaughlin 24-yard FG Takes lead03
2nd quarter
12:53TBBaker Mayfield → Mike Evans, 3-yard TD Extends leadChase McLaughlin XP010
2:27TBChase McLaughlin 31-yard FG Extends lead013
0:45TBBaker Mayfield → Mike Evans, 22-yard TD Extends leadChase McLaughlin XP020
3rd quarter
11:30TBRachaad White 2-yard TD run Extends leadChase McLaughlin XP027
3:49TBChase McLaughlin 51-yard FG Extends lead030
0:50JAXTrevor Lawrence → Calvin Ridley, 18-yard TD2-pt try failed630
4th quarter
4:36JAXC.J. Beathard → Calvin Ridley, 1-yard TD2-pt try failed1230

Fantasy Points: Jaguars vs Buccaneers, Week 16 2023

Fantasy leaders

  1. Mike EvansTBWR27.6 PTSWR6
  2. Calvin RidleyJAXWR25.8 PTSWR8
  3. Baker MayfieldTBQB19.8 PTSQB14
  4. Rachaad WhiteTBRB19.7 PTSRB7

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Baker MayfieldTBQB19.8QB1426/3528320550116.7Start/Sit →
Trevor LawrenceJAXQB11.3QB2617/2921112429064.0Start/Sit →
C.J. BeathardJAXQB8.4QB3111/159410160111.5

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Mike EvansTBWR27.6WR6WR———97862Start/Sit →
Calvin RidleyJAXWR25.8WR8WR1-12096902Start/Sit →
Rachaad WhiteTBRB19.7RB7RB2039176380Start/Sit →
Evan EngramJAXTE17.5TE3TE———1510950Start/Sit →
Chris GodwinTBWR13.9WR28WR110106780
Trey PalmerTBWR8.2WR50WR———64420
Elijah CooksJAXWR6.8WR66WR———33380
Tim JonesJAXWR6.2WR69WR———53320
Travis EtienneJAXRB6.1RB46RB612033190
Parker WashingtonJAXWR3.9WR83WR———42190Start/Sit →
Payne DurhamTBTE3.5TE42TE———11250Start/Sit →
Chase EdmondsTBRB2.5RB55RB10250————
Jamal AgnewJAXWR2.2WR99WR———51120
David MooreTBWR1.7WR108WR———1170Start/Sit →
Cade OttonTBTE1.7TE50TE———1170Start/Sit →
D'Ernest JohnsonJAXRB0.2RB72RB120————

Fantasy Usage

Jacksonville Jaguars

Snap Share

  1. Calvin RidleyWR61 snaps92%
  2. Evan EngramTE60 snaps91%
  3. Travis EtienneRB48 snaps73%
  4. Tim JonesWR45 snaps68%
  5. Parker WashingtonWR38 snaps58%

Target Share44 targets

  1. Evan Engram34%, 15 targets
  2. Calvin Ridley20%, 9 targets
  3. Jamal Agnew11%, 5 targets
  4. Tim Jones11%, 5 targets
  5. Parker Washington9%, 4 targets
  6. Other14%, 6 targets

Carry Share13 carries

  1. Travis Etienne46%, 6 carries
  2. Trevor Lawrence31%, 4 carries
  3. C.J. Beathard8%, 1 carries
  4. Calvin Ridley8%, 1 carries
  5. D'Ernest Johnson8%, 1 carries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Snap Share

  1. Cade OttonTE72 snaps97%
  2. Chris GodwinWR59 snaps80%
  3. Mike EvansWR57 snaps77%
  4. Rachaad WhiteRB50 snaps68%
  5. Trey PalmerWR39 snaps53%

Target Share35 targets

  1. Chris Godwin29%, 10 targets
  2. Mike Evans26%, 9 targets
  3. Rachaad White20%, 7 targets
  4. Trey Palmer17%, 6 targets
  5. David Moore3%, 1 targets
  6. Other6%, 2 targets

Carry Share36 carries

  1. Rachaad White56%, 20 carries
  2. Chase Edmonds28%, 10 carries
  3. Baker Mayfield14%, 5 carries
  4. Chris Godwin3%, 1 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
Cade OttonTBTE7297%13%0
Calvin RidleyJAXWR6192%920%1
Evan EngramJAXTE6091%1534%0
Chris GodwinTBWR5980%1029%1
Mike EvansTBWR5777%926%0
Travis EtienneJAXRB4873%37%6
Tim JonesJAXWR4568%511%0
Rachaad WhiteTBRB5068%720%20
Parker WashingtonJAXWR3858%49%0
Trey PalmerTBWR3953%617%0
Jamal AgnewJAXWR3147%511%0
Chase EdmondsTBRB2432%00%10
David MooreTBWR2331%13%0
D'Ernest JohnsonJAXRB1726%00%1
Ko KieftTBTE1723%00%0
Elijah CooksJAXWR1421%37%0
Deven ThompkinsTBWR1419%00%0
Brenton StrangeJAXTE1117%00%0
Payne DurhamTBTE1115%13%0
Luke FarrellJAXTE58%00%0

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

  • Biggest overperformer+12.6Mike Evans27.6 PTS vs 15.0 xFP
  • Biggest underperformer−7.5Evan Engram17.5 PTS vs 25.0 xFP
  • Highest expected volume25.0 xFPEvan Engram17.5 PTS scored
Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Evan EngramJAX · TE17.525.0−7.591%34% tgt—000%1534%
Rachaad WhiteTB · RB19.724.0−4.368%56% car—02056%720%
Baker MayfieldTB · QB19.817.8+2.0100%35 att—35514%00%
Chris Godwin Jr.TB · WR13.917.3−3.480%29% tgt—013%1029%
Calvin RidleyJAX · WR25.815.6+10.292%20% tgt—018%920%
Mike EvansTB · WR27.615.0+12.677%26% tgt—000%926%
Trevor LawrenceJAX · QB11.314.7−3.468%29 att—29431%00%
Trey PalmerTB · WR8.210.0−1.853%17% tgt—000%617%
Travis Etienne Jr.JAX · RB6.18.7−2.673%46% car—0646%37%
Jamal AgnewJAX · WR2.28.3−6.147%11% tgt—000%511%
Tim JonesJAX · WR6.28.3−2.168%11% tgt—000%511%
C.J. BeathardJAX · QB8.46.9+1.532%15 att—1518%00%
Parker WashingtonJAX · WR3.96.7−2.858%9% tgt—000%49%
Chase EdmondsTB · RB2.56.1−3.632%28% car—01028%00%
Elijah CooksJAX · WR6.85.0+1.821%7% tgt—000%37%
Cade OttonTB · TE1.71.70.097%3% tgt—000%13%
David MooreTB · WR1.71.70.031%3% tgt—000%13%
Payne DurhamTB · TE3.51.7+1.815%3% tgt—000%13%
D'Ernest JohnsonJAX · RB0.20.6−0.426%8% car—018%00%

Team totals: Jaguars 44 targets and 13 carries; Buccaneers 35 targets and 36 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2023 season: 1.67 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.61 per carry and 0.42 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Trevor Lawrence

JAX · QB · 11.3 pts on 14.7 expected

17 of 29 passing for 211 yards, 1 touchdown, 2 interceptions; 4 carries for 29 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 14.7 expected.

Start/Sit: Trevor Lawrence →

Baker Mayfield

TB · QB · 19.8 pts on 17.8 expected

26 of 35 passing for 283 yards, 2 touchdowns; 5 carries for 5 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 17.8 expected.

Start/Sit: Baker Mayfield →

Evan Engram Volume, no payoff

JAX · TE · 17.5 pts on 25.0 expected

15 targets (34% of the team's), 10 catches for 95 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 25.0 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Start/Sit: Evan Engram →

Calvin Ridley Ran hot

JAX · WR · 25.8 pts on 15.6 expected

9 targets (20% of the team's), 6 catches for 90 yards and 2 touchdowns; 1 carry (8% of the team's) for -12 yards.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 15.6 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Calvin Ridley →

Rachaad White

TB · RB · 19.7 pts on 24.0 expected

7 targets (20% of the team's), 6 catches for 38 yards; 20 carries (56% of the team's) for 39 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 24.0 expected.

Start/Sit: Rachaad White →

Chris Godwin Jr.

TB · WR · 13.9 pts on 17.3 expected

10 targets (29% of the team's), 6 catches for 78 yards; 1 carry (3% of the team's) for 1 yard.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 17.3 expected.

Mike Evans Ran hot

TB · WR · 27.6 pts on 15.0 expected

9 targets (26% of the team's), 7 catches for 86 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 15.0 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Mike Evans →

Jamal Agnew Unlucky

JAX · WR · 2.2 pts on 8.3 expected

5 targets (11% of the team's), 1 catch for 12 yards.

Verdict: The role was there, worth 8.3 points at league-average rates; the production wasn't.

Stock Up, Stock Down

Jacksonville Jaguars

  • Stock up: Jamal Agnew played 47% of the snaps, up from a 27% season average.
  • Stock up: Tim Jones played 68% of the snaps, up from a 26% season average.
  • Stock up: Parker Washington played 58% of the snaps, up from a 31% season average.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Stock up: Chase Edmonds played 32% of the snaps, up from a 15% season average.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2023 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Jaguars defense and Buccaneers defense
Points allowed toJaguars DBuccaneers D
QBs18.617.7
RBs22.717.6
WRs35.335.9
TEs11.914.8

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Tampa Bay opened at 50% win probability and passed 98% before halftime on the way to the win.

Buccaneers win probability

Buccaneers win probability by game minuteBuccaneers started at 50%, stood at 98% at halftime and finished at 100%, across 8 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. +9McLaughlin 24-yd FG50% → 59%Q1 7:22
  2. +21Mayfield → Evans, 3-yd TD60% → 81%Q2 12:53
  3. +6McLaughlin 31-yd FG84% → 90%Q2 2:27
  4. +7Mayfield → Evans, 22-yd TD91% → 98%Q2 0:45
  5. +1White 2-yd TD run99% → >99%Q3 11:30

Swing in Buccaneers win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Jaguars vs Buccaneers
Jacksonville JaguarsMeasureTampa Bay Buccaneers
61Plays73
79%Pass rate51%
5.6Yds / dropback7.2
2.8Yds / carry1.9
3/9Third downs10/19

Efficiency edge Tampa Bay ran 12 more plays and gained 1.6 more yards per dropback.

  • Top targets
  • JAX Engram 34% · Ridley 20% · Agnew 11%
  • TB Godwin 29% · Evans 26% · White 20%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Jaguars vs Buccaneers
ResultJAXTB
Touchdowns23
Field goals03
Punts12
Turnovers40
Turnovers on downs21
Missed field goals10

TB turnover edge: +4

  • The Buccaneers opened the scoring on their first possession, a 14-play, 69-yard drive that ended in a field goal.
  • The Buccaneers drained the clock with two second-half drives of four to six minutes.
All 21 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
TBQ1 15:0014697:38Field goal
JAXQ1 7:227213:22Interception
TBQ1 4:0011566:07Touchdown
JAXQ2 12:5311416:33Missed FG
TBQ2 6:209453:53Field goal
JAXQ2 2:274180:53Interception
TBQ2 1:347650:49Touchdown
JAXQ2 0:453-10:35Punt
TBQ2 0:101-10:10End of half
JAXQ3 15:003151:27Fumble
TBQ3 13:335372:03Touchdown
JAXQ3 11:307352:09Downs
TBQ3 9:2110275:32Field goal
JAXQ3 3:4910752:59Touchdown
TBQ3 0:50342:18Punt
JAXQ4 13:322150:34Fumble
TBQ4 12:58481:28Downs
JAXQ4 11:3010543:12Downs
TBQ4 8:183-62:33Punt
JAXQ4 5:455511:09Touchdown
TBQ4 4:369314:36End of game
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Jaguars vs Buccaneers Head-to-Head

The Jaguars and Buccaneers first met in 1995 and have played 8 times since.

All-time series
4–4Series tied, 8 meetings since 1995
Postseason
0No playoff meetings
Largest Jaguars win
41–142011
Largest Buccaneers win
30–122023

Since 2021

1–0 Buccaneers lead

1 meeting since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. B = Buccaneers win, J = Jaguars win, outlined = this game.

Recent Meetings

  • 2023 Wk 16 Jaguars at Buccaneers TB 30 JAX 12 TB W

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2023 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Jaguars vs Buccaneers
JaguarsStatBuccaneers
9-8Record9-8
22.2Points per game20.5
339.5Yards per game313.0
5.2Yards per play5.1
21.8Points allowed per game19.1
342.8Yards allowed per game344.2

Jaguars and Buccaneers in Fantasy

The two teams don't meet again this season. If you roster a Jaguar or a Buccaneer, these answer the week-to-week question.

Keep Exploring

2023 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Jaguars vs Buccaneers Game FAQ

Who won the 2023 Jaguars vs Buccaneers Week 16 game?

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the Jacksonville Jaguars 30–12 in Week 16 of the 2023 season. The game was played at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, FL, on December 24, 2023. See the Buccaneers' 2023 schedule.

What was the final score of Jaguars vs Buccaneers?

The final score was Buccaneers 30, Jaguars 12. The Buccaneers led 20–0 at halftime, and the second half went Jaguars 12, Buccaneers 10.

What happened in the Jaguars vs Buccaneers game?

Tampa Bay led 20–0 at halftime after a 17-point second quarter and won 30–12, though Jacksonville took the second half 12–10. The Buccaneers finished with a 335–305 edge in total offense. Mike Evans led all players with 7 catches for 86 yards and 2 touchdowns. The Jaguars committed 4 turnovers, the Buccaneers none.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Jaguars vs Buccaneers?

Mike Evans led the game with 27.6 PPR fantasy points, the WR6 of Week 16, on 7 catches for 86 yards and 2 touchdowns. Calvin Ridley was next with 25.8 (WR8). See Mike Evans's 2023 game log.

Who led Jaguars vs Buccaneers in passing, rushing and receiving?

Baker Mayfield (TB) led all passers with 26 of 35 for 283 yards and 2 touchdowns. Rachaad White (TB) led in rushing with 20 carries for 39 yards and a touchdown. Evan Engram (JAX) led in receiving with 10 catches for 95 yards.

How many fantasy points did Mike Evans score against the Jaguars?

Mike Evans scored 27.6 points in PPR leagues, 24.1 in half-PPR and 20.6 in standard scoring against the Jaguars in Week 16 of the 2023 season, on 7 catches for 86 yards and 2 touchdowns. He drew 26% of his team's targets.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Jaguars vs Buccaneers?

Mike Evans outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 27.6 PPR points on 15.0 xFP (+12.6). Evan Engram fell furthest short, with 17.5 points on 25.0 xFP (−7.5). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

Who had the highest expected fantasy points in Jaguars vs Buccaneers?

Evan Engram had the most fantasy opportunity in the game, worth 25.0 expected PPR points (xFP) at league-average rates, and scored 17.5. Expected points measure the volume of a player's pass attempts, carries and targets, not how well he used them.

How did the Buccaneers beat the Jaguars?

The Buccaneers beat the Jaguars 30–12 because they won the turnover battle 4–0 and outgained them 335–305.

Which team won the turnover battle in Jaguars vs Buccaneers?

The Buccaneers won the turnover battle 4–0: the Jaguars gave the ball away 4 times and the Buccaneers not at all. The Buccaneers won the game.

What is the all-time Jaguars vs Buccaneers record?

The all-time series is tied 4–4 across 8 meetings since 1995.

When did the Jaguars and Buccaneers last play before this game?

Before Week 16 of 2023, they last met in the 2019 season on December 1, 2019, when the Buccaneers beat the Jaguars 28–11.