Final2023 Week 15

Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers, Week 15 2023

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

AwayWon

34

Green Bay Packers

Home

20

Scoring by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Buccaneers31014734
Packers737320

TB 34GB 20 Final

  • Passing leader

    Baker Mayfield

    TB · QB

    29.0PPR pts

    22/28, 381 YDS, 4 TD

  • Top fantasy scorer

    Chris Godwin Jr.

    TB · WR

    25.5PPR pts

    10 REC, 155 YDS

  • Packers leader

    Jordan Love

    GB · QB

    17.5PPR pts

    29/39, 284 YDS, 2 TD

  • Defensive playmaker

    Kenny Clark

    GB

    2 SACK, 4 TKL

Buccaneers 34, Packers 20: Tampa Bay pulls away from Green Bay

Tampa Bay led 13–10 at halftime and outscored Green Bay 21–10 after the break to win 34–20. The Buccaneers finished with a 452–321 edge in total offense and averaged 7.5 yards per play.

The Packers went 6-for-12 on third down and committed one turnover.

The two teams meet again in Week 4 of 2026. If you roster anyone from either side, run the start/sit call in Redraft Command and it will weigh your lineup, your opponent and your league scoring, not only the player rankings.

Key advantages

  • +2.0 yards/play TB 7.5 · GB 5.5
  • +131 total yards TB 452 · GB 321
  • +14% third-down rate TB 64% · GB 50%

Game Highlights

Official NFL highlights · Opens from YouTube

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Why the Buccaneers Won

Tampa Bay won the efficiency and third-down battles.

Team stats comparison, Buccaneers vs Packers
BuccaneersStatPackers
7.5Yards per play5.5
452Total yards321
64%Third-down conversion50%
Other team stats
60Plays58
1Turnovers1
29:07Time of possession30:53

Scoring Summary

The Buccaneers scored four touchdowns and two field goals; the Packers scored two touchdowns and two field goals.

Scoring plays, Buccaneers vs Packers
TimeTeamPlayTBGB
1st quarter
9:02TBChase McLaughlin 39-yard FG Takes lead30
0:49GBJordan Love → Tucker Kraft, 5-yard TD Takes leadAnders Carlson XP37
2nd quarter
12:21TBBaker Mayfield → Mike Evans, 19-yard TD Takes leadChase McLaughlin XP107
7:09GBAnders Carlson 36-yard FG Ties game1010
0:10TBChase McLaughlin 46-yard FG Takes lead1310
3rd quarter
10:55TBBaker Mayfield → Rachaad White, 26-yard TD Extends leadChase McLaughlin XP2010
4:18GBJordan Love → Jayden Reed, 17-yard TDAnders Carlson XP2017
0:20TBBaker Mayfield → Ko Kieft, 2-yard TD Extends leadChase McLaughlin XP2717
4th quarter
10:04GBAnders Carlson 33-yard FG2720
6:30TBBaker Mayfield → David Moore, 52-yard TD Extends leadChase McLaughlin XP3420

Fantasy Points: Buccaneers vs Packers, Week 15 2023

Fantasy leaders

  1. Baker MayfieldTBQB29.0 PTSQB2
  2. Chris GodwinTBWR25.5 PTSWR4
  3. Rachaad WhiteTBRB21.9 PTSRB6
  4. Jordan LoveGBQB17.5 PTSQB16

Player Stats

Quarterbacks

Quarterback statistics
PlayerFPTSFINCMP/ATTPass YDSTDINTRush ATTRush YDSRush TDRateStart/Sit
Baker MayfieldTBQB29.0QB222/28381402-20158.3Start/Sit →
Jordan LoveGBQB17.5QB1629/3928420210111.5Start/Sit →

WRs, RBs, & TEs

Receiver, running back and tight end statistics
PlayerFPTSFINPOSRush ATTRush YDSRush TDTGTRECRec YDSRec TDStart/Sit
Chris GodwinTBWR25.5WR4WR———12101550
Rachaad WhiteTBRB21.9RB6RB2189022501Start/Sit →
Jayden ReedGBWR17.2WR17WR———86521Start/Sit →
Dontayvion WicksGBWR15.7WR20WR———76970Start/Sit →
Mike EvansTBWR15.7WR19WR———64571Start/Sit →
Tucker KraftGBTE15.7TE6TE———64571Start/Sit →
David MooreTBWR14.8WR24WR———22681Start/Sit →
Aaron JonesGBRB10.9RB21RB1353044160
Ko KieftTBTE7.2TE24TE———1121Start/Sit →
Cade OttonTBTE6.4TE29TE———22440Start/Sit →
Romeo DoubsGBWR6.0WR64WR———33300Start/Sit →
Malik HeathGBWR5.9WR66WR———33290
Patrick TaylorGBRB2.2RB63RB16022-40
Bo MeltonGBWR1.7WR102WR———2170Start/Sit →
Trey PalmerTBWR1.5WR108WR———2150
Chase EdmondsTBRB1.3RB74RB3130————
Kenyan DrakeGBRB0.0—RB100————
Ben SimsGBTE0.0—TE———1000
Deven ThompkinsTBWR-0.1—WR1-10————

Fantasy Usage

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Snap Share

  1. Cade OttonTE56 snaps90%
  2. Mike EvansWR53 snaps85%
  3. Chris GodwinWR50 snaps81%
  4. Rachaad WhiteRB50 snaps81%
  5. Trey PalmerWR35 snaps56%

Target Share27 targets

  1. Chris Godwin44%, 12 targets
  2. Mike Evans22%, 6 targets
  3. David Moore7%, 2 targets
  4. Cade Otton7%, 2 targets
  5. Rachaad White7%, 2 targets
  6. Other11%, 3 targets

Carry Share27 carries

  1. Rachaad White78%, 21 carries
  2. Chase Edmonds11%, 3 carries
  3. Baker Mayfield7%, 2 carries
  4. Deven Thompkins4%, 1 carries

Green Bay Packers

Snap Share

  1. Tucker KraftTE57 snaps95%
  2. Romeo DoubsWR54 snaps90%
  3. Dontayvion WicksWR47 snaps78%
  4. Aaron JonesRB29 snaps48%
  5. Patrick TaylorRB26 snaps43%

Target Share36 targets

  1. Jayden Reed22%, 8 targets
  2. Dontayvion Wicks19%, 7 targets
  3. Tucker Kraft17%, 6 targets
  4. Aaron Jones11%, 4 targets
  5. Romeo Doubs8%, 3 targets
  6. Other22%, 8 targets

Carry Share17 carries

  1. Aaron Jones76%, 13 carries
  2. Jordan Love12%, 2 carries
  3. Kenyan Drake6%, 1 carries
  4. Patrick Taylor6%, 1 carries
View full usage tableHide full usage table
Offensive snaps and share for the skill positions
PlayerSNAPSSNAP %TGTTGT %CAR
Tucker KraftGBTE5795%617%0
Cade OttonTBTE5690%27%0
Romeo DoubsGBWR5490%38%0
Mike EvansTBWR5385%622%0
Chris GodwinTBWR5081%1244%0
Rachaad WhiteTBRB5081%27%21
Dontayvion WicksGBWR4778%719%0
Trey PalmerTBWR3556%27%0
Aaron JonesGBRB2948%411%13
Patrick TaylorGBRB2643%26%1
Jayden ReedGBWR2542%822%0
Malik HeathGBWR2033%38%0
Bo MeltonGBWR1830%26%0
David MooreTBWR1626%27%0
Ko KieftTBTE1321%14%0
Payne DurhamTBTE1321%00%0
Chase EdmondsTBRB1219%00%3
Deven ThompkinsTBWR1118%00%1
Ben SimsGBTE1017%13%0
Josiah DeguaraGBTE915%00%0
Kenyan DrakeGBRB58%00%1

Fantasy Points vs Expected

Expected points (xFP) are what a player's pass attempts, carries and targets are worth at the league's average rates; the difference is what the player made of them.

  • Biggest overperformer+16.0Baker Mayfield29.0 PTS vs 13.0 xFP
  • Biggest underperformer−3.8Aaron Jones Sr.10.9 PTS vs 14.7 xFP
  • Highest expected volume20.0 xFPChris Godwin Jr.25.5 PTS scored
Usage and expected fantasy points
PlayerPTSxFPvs xFPSnap%UsageRte%Pass attCarCar%TgtTgt%
Chris Godwin Jr.TB · WR25.520.0+5.581%44% tgt—000%1244%
Jordan LoveGB · QB17.517.6−0.1100%39 att—39212%00%
Rachaad WhiteTB · RB21.916.2+5.781%78% car—02178%27%
Aaron Jones Sr.GB · RB10.914.7−3.848%76% car—01376%411%
Jayden ReedGB · WR17.213.4+3.842%22% tgt—000%822%
Baker MayfieldTB · QB29.013.0+16.0100%28 att—2827%00%
Dontayvion WicksGB · WR15.711.7+4.078%19% tgt—000%719%
Mike EvansTB · WR15.710.0+5.785%22% tgt—000%622%
Tucker KraftGB · TE15.710.0+5.795%17% tgt—000%617%
Malik HeathGB · WR5.95.0+0.933%8% tgt—000%38%
Romeo DoubsGB · WR6.05.0+1.090%8% tgt—000%38%
Patrick Taylor Jr.GB · RB2.24.0−1.843%6% car—016%26%
Bo MeltonGB · WR1.73.3−1.630%6% tgt—000%26%
Cade OttonTB · TE6.43.3+3.190%7% tgt—000%27%
David MooreTB · WR14.83.3+11.526%7% tgt—000%27%
Trey PalmerTB · WR1.53.3−1.856%7% tgt—000%27%
Chase EdmondsTB · RB1.31.8−0.519%11% car—0311%00%
Ben SimsGB · TE0.01.7−1.717%3% tgt—000%13%
Ko KieftTB · TE7.21.7+5.521%4% tgt—000%14%
Deven ThompkinsTB · WR-0.10.6−0.718%4% car—014%00%
Kenyan DrakeGB · RB0.00.6−0.68%6% car—016%00%

Team totals: Buccaneers 27 targets and 27 carries; Packers 36 targets and 17 carries. Shares are from the box score. Snap counts are from the weekly player logs (Sleeper), and include plays wiped out by penalties. Route counts, air yards and red-zone touches appear when the tracking feed is connected. League-average rates from the 2023 season: 1.67 PPR points per target (67% catch rate), 0.61 per carry and 0.42 per pass attempt. They don't adjust for field position or target depth.

Fantasy Verdicts

Baker Mayfield Ran hot

TB · QB · 29.0 pts on 13.0 expected

22 of 28 passing for 381 yards, 4 touchdowns; 2 carries for -2 yards.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 13.0 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Baker Mayfield →

Jordan Love

GB · QB · 17.5 pts on 17.6 expected

29 of 39 passing for 284 yards, 2 touchdowns; 2 carries for 1 yard.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 17.6 expected.

Start/Sit: Jordan Love →

Chris Godwin Jr. Ran hot

TB · WR · 25.5 pts on 20.0 expected

12 targets (44% of the team's), 10 catches for 155 yards.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 20.0 points; efficiency supplied the rest.

Rachaad White Ran hot

TB · RB · 21.9 pts on 16.2 expected

2 targets (7% of the team's), 2 catches for 50 yards and 1 touchdown; 21 carries (78% of the team's) for 89 yards.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 16.2 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Rachaad White →

Aaron Jones Sr. Volume, no payoff

GB · RB · 10.9 pts on 14.7 expected

4 targets (11% of the team's), 4 catches for 16 yards; 13 carries (76% of the team's) for 53 yards.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 14.7 expected.

Jayden Reed

GB · WR · 17.2 pts on 13.4 expected

8 targets (22% of the team's), 6 catches for 52 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The points matched the role, 13.4 expected.

Start/Sit: Jayden Reed →

Mike Evans Ran hot

TB · WR · 15.7 pts on 10.0 expected

6 targets (22% of the team's), 4 catches for 57 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 10.0 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Mike Evans →

Tucker Kraft Ran hot

GB · TE · 15.7 pts on 10.0 expected

6 targets (17% of the team's), 4 catches for 57 yards and 1 touchdown.

Verdict: The opportunities were worth 10.0 points; the touchdowns supplied the rest, and they are the part least likely to repeat.

Start/Sit: Tucker Kraft →

Stock Up, Stock Down

Green Bay Packers

  • Stock up: Dontayvion Wicks played 78% of the snaps, up from a 44% season average.
  • Stock up: Tucker Kraft played 95% of the snaps, up from a 46% season average.
  • Stock up: Bo Melton played 30% of the snaps, up from a 4% season average.

Fantasy Matchups

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, 2023 through Week 18.

Fantasy points allowed per game by position, Buccaneers defense and Packers defense
Points allowed toBuccaneers DPackers D
QBs17.715.3
RBs17.621.2
WRs35.931.7
TEs14.811.5

Regular season, summed from each game's box score and scored with this page's rules.

How the Game Swung

Green Bay opened at 50% win probability and fell below 2% in the fourth quarter.

Packers win probability

Packers win probability by game minutePackers started at 50%, stood at 38% at halftime and finished at 0%, across 10 scoring plays.Q1Q2Q3Q4100%50%0%

Key Swings

  1. +23Love → Kraft, 5-yd TD40% → 63%Q1 0:49
  2. −24Mayfield → Evans, 19-yd TD64% → 40%Q2 12:21
  3. −24Mayfield → White, 26-yd TD37% → 13%Q3 10:55
  4. +25Love → Reed, 17-yd TD10% → 35%Q3 4:18
  5. −26Mayfield → Kieft, 2-yd TD33% → 7%Q3 0:20

Swing in Packers win probability, in points

Play Calling and Possessions

Play calling, Buccaneers vs Packers
Tampa Bay BuccaneersMeasureGreen Bay Packers
60Plays58
55%Pass rate71%
10.7Yds / dropback6.4
3.7Yds / carry3.5
7/11Third downs6/12

Efficiency edge Tampa Bay ran 2 more plays and gained 4.3 more yards per dropback.

  • Top targets
  • TB Godwin 44% · Evans 22% · Otton 7%
  • GB Reed 22% · Wicks 19% · Kraft 17%

Possession Results

How each possession ended, Buccaneers vs Packers
ResultTBGB
Touchdowns42
Field goals22
Punts12
Turnovers11
Turnovers on downs01
  • The Buccaneers opened the scoring on their first possession, a 10-play, 54-yard drive that ended in a field goal.
All 18 possessions, drive by drive
Drive chart
TeamStartPlaysYardsTimeResult
TBQ1 15:0010545:58Field goal
GBQ1 9:0211716:37Downs
TBQ1 2:25200:44Fumble
GBQ1 1:41240:52Touchdown
TBQ1 0:497753:28Touchdown
GBQ2 12:218575:12Field goal
TBQ2 7:09361:38Punt
GBQ2 5:315423:18Punt
TBQ2 2:139612:03Field goal
GBQ2 0:101-10:10End of half
GBQ3 15:00330:39Punt
TBQ3 14:218663:26Touchdown
GBQ3 10:5511756:37Touchdown
TBQ3 4:189753:58Touchdown
GBQ3 0:2010605:16Field goal
TBQ4 10:046753:34Touchdown
GBQ4 6:309272:12Fumble
TBQ4 4:188364:18End of game
About these numbers

Possessions that ended with the clock running out at the half or the end of the game aren't counted.

Personnel groupings, average depth of target and pass rate over expected appear when the tracking feed is connected.

Buccaneers vs Packers Head-to-Head

The Buccaneers and Packers first met in 1977 and have played 59 times since.

All-time series
34–24–1Packers lead, 59 meetings since 1977
Postseason
1–1Buccaneers won in 2020; Packers won in 1997
Largest Buccaneers win
37–31981
Largest Packers win
55–141983

Since 2021

1–1 Series tied

2 meetings since the 2021 season, regular season and playoffs.

Oldest to newest. B = Buccaneers win, P = Packers win, outlined = this game.

2026 Meetings

  • Week 4 Packers at Buccaneers Upcoming

Recent Meetings

Season to Date (Through Week 18)

The 2023 regular season, from each game's box score.

Season to date, Buccaneers vs Packers
BuccaneersStatPackers
9-8Record9-8
20.5Points per game22.5
313.0Yards per game345.5
5.1Yards per play5.6
19.1Points allowed per game20.6
344.2Yards allowed per game335.1

Buccaneers vs Packers Fantasy Outlook for 2026

One meeting is left on the 2026 schedule: Week 4 in Tampa Bay. Here's how to decide who to play in your league.

Keep Exploring

2023 Game Logs for Players in This Game

Buccaneers vs Packers Game FAQ

Who won the 2023 Buccaneers vs Packers Week 15 game?

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the Green Bay Packers 34–20 in Week 15 of the 2023 season. The game was played at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, WI, on December 17, 2023. See the Buccaneers' 2023 schedule.

What was the final score of Buccaneers vs Packers?

The final score was Buccaneers 34, Packers 20. The Buccaneers led 13–10 at halftime, and the second half went Buccaneers 21, Packers 10.

What happened in the Buccaneers vs Packers game?

Tampa Bay led 13–10 at halftime and outscored Green Bay 21–10 after the break to win 34–20. The Buccaneers finished with a 452–321 edge in total offense and averaged 7.5 yards per play. Baker Mayfield led all players with 22 of 28 passing for 381 yards and 4 touchdowns, plus 2 carries for -2 rushing yards.

Who scored the most fantasy points in Buccaneers vs Packers?

Baker Mayfield led the game with 29.0 PPR fantasy points, the QB2 of Week 15, on 22 of 28 passing for 381 yards and 4 touchdowns, plus 2 carries for -2 rushing yards. Chris Godwin was next with 25.5 (WR4). See Baker Mayfield's 2023 game log.

Who led Buccaneers vs Packers in passing, rushing and receiving?

Baker Mayfield (TB) led all passers with 22 of 28 for 381 yards and 4 touchdowns. Rachaad White (TB) led in rushing with 21 carries for 89 yards. Chris Godwin (TB) led in receiving with 10 catches for 155 yards.

How many fantasy points did Baker Mayfield score against the Packers?

Baker Mayfield scored 29.0 fantasy points against the Packers in Week 15 of the 2023 season, the same in PPR, half-PPR and standard scoring because he had no catches, on 22 of 28 passing for 381 yards and 4 touchdowns, plus 2 carries for -2 rushing yards.

Who outperformed and underperformed expected fantasy points in Buccaneers vs Packers?

Baker Mayfield outperformed his expected fantasy points the most, scoring 29.0 PPR points on 13.0 xFP (+16.0). Aaron Jones Sr. fell furthest short, with 10.9 points on 14.7 xFP (−3.8). A gap either way reflects efficiency and touchdowns in one game; it is not a forecast. For matchups ahead, see fantasy points allowed by position.

Who had the highest expected fantasy points in Buccaneers vs Packers?

Chris Godwin Jr. had the most fantasy opportunity in the game, worth 20.0 expected PPR points (xFP) at league-average rates, and scored 25.5. Expected points measure the volume of a player's pass attempts, carries and targets, not how well he used them.

How did the Buccaneers beat the Packers?

The Buccaneers beat the Packers 34–20 because they averaged 7.5 yards per play to 5.5 and outgained them 452–321.

What was the turning point of Buccaneers vs Packers?

Baker Mayfield's 2-yard touchdown pass to Ko Kieft with 0:20 left in the third quarter was the biggest swing of the game, moving the Packers' win probability from 33% to 7%.

What is the all-time Buccaneers vs Packers record?

The Packers lead the all-time series 34–24–1 across 59 meetings since 1977, including a 1–1 record in the postseason.

When did the Buccaneers and Packers last play before this game?

Before Week 15 of 2023, they last met in the 2022 season on September 25, 2022, when the Packers beat the Buccaneers 14–12.

Have the Buccaneers and Packers met in the playoffs?

Yes, 2 times, most recently in the 2020 playoffs. The Buccaneers are 1–1 against the Packers in the postseason.

What is the Buccaneers vs Packers record since 2021?

The series is tied 1–1 across 2 meetings since the 2021 season, including this game.