Alvin Kamara 2026 fantasy outlook and rest-of-season projection
- Age
- 31
- Height / weight
- 5'10", 215 lb
- Experience
- 10th season
- Drafted
- 2017 R3, #67
2026 Season
- PPR PPG
- 6.2
- Pos rank
- RB54
- Rostered
- 75%
Week 4 vs. Falcons, Mon Oct 5, 8:15 PM ET 30th vs. RBs, tough
Alvin Kamara Rest-of-Season Outlook
Pass-catching depth RB for deep leagues only
Preseason Projection vs. Reality
He finished RB46 last season at 9.2 points per game.
Our Take After Week 4
Through 2 games he's RB54 at 6.2 PPR points per game, against 9.2 over 11 games last season (RB46). He's running behind last season's pace.
Last season he ranked 28th of 95 in rushing volume (11.9 carries per game), 11th of 95 in receiving role (3.5 targets per game) and 81st of 95 in efficiency (1.44 yards after contact per carry). His points come from his receiving role. Efficiency is the soft spot. Tyler Shough is his quarterback.
The main risk is the job itself. He's the listed starter with Kendre Miller next on the depth chart, and a benching or an injury would take his value to zero overnight.
The next favorable matchup is the Steelers in Week 7 (10th against RBs).
Read our preseason outlook (June 2026)
Published June 17, 2026. Kept for reference; the take above replaces it.
The 2025 tape is alarming. Kamara managed just 3.6 yards per carry and a single rushing score across 11 games, posting a brutal -0.238 EPA per play and only 67.7 fantasy points to finish RB42. Both the explosion and the contact balance evaporated: 1.44 yards after contact per attempt, a 7.6% explosive-run rate, and zero runs of 20-plus. The receiving safety net that defined his value cratered too, with target share falling to 6.9% (down from 17.2% in 2024) and just 0.70 yards per route run. At age 30, this looks like decline rather than noise.
The context is equally grim. He projects as a backup behind a younger lead back, with his snap share already sliding to 63.7%. Drafters are treating him accordingly, pushing him toward an RB56 price near pick 183. There is no health excuse here, only a fading skill set. Leave him on the board until the final rounds and only as desperation depth.
What Drives His Outlook
His 2025 rank among the 95 running backs who played at least six games. Each bar is one running back, best on the left; his is highlighted.
Rushing volume
Receiving role
Efficiency
- Yards after contact per carry
- 1.44
- Broken tackles
- 7
- Explosive-run rate
- 7.6%
- Red-zone opportunities
- 20
- Snap share
- 63.7%
- Targets
- 39
What Could Change His Value
Upside
- A soft spotThe Steelers in Week 7 is a top-10 matchup for RBs.Wk 4 ATL, 30thWk 5 MIN, 31stWk 6 NYG, 12thWk 7 PIT, 10th
- Heavy rushing volume11.9 carries per game, 28th of 95 RBs in 2025.
- Featured receiving role3.5 targets per game, 11th of 95 RBs in 2025.
Risk
- Job securityKendre Miller is next on the depth chart; a benching or injury hands him the job.
- Weak efficiency1.44 yards after contact per carry, 81st of 95 RBs in 2025.
- Tough matchupsThe Falcons in Week 4 (30th) and the Vikings in Week 5 (31st) are among the stingiest defenses against RBs.
All Alvin Kamara stats & analysis
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Alvin Kamara Fantasy Outlook FAQ
What is Alvin Kamara's fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?
Alvin Kamara projects as a pass-catching depth RB for deep leagues only for the rest of the 2026 season: waiver-wire material in 12-team PPR, 10-team PPR and half-PPR leagues. His receiving role (3.5 targets per game, 11th of 95 RBs in 2025) supports that. His efficiency (1.44 yards after contact per carry, 81st of 95 RBs in 2025) holds him back. See his live rank in Redraft Command.
What is Alvin Kamara's rest-of-season fantasy ranking?
Alvin Kamara is the RB54 in PPR points per game through Week 4. That puts him in depth RB territory, waiver-wire material in 10-team PPR leagues.
What is Alvin Kamara's projected role going forward?
Alvin Kamara is the listed starting RB, with Kendre Miller next on the depth chart. Nothing on the chart threatens the job, so the role is his to lose on performance.
What is Alvin Kamara's fantasy football upside?
Alvin Kamara's upside: his ceiling this season is 7.2 PPR points (Week 2, RB38), his receiving role (3.5 targets per game, 11th of 95 RBs in 2025) gives him a weekly floor to build on and the Steelers in Week 7 is a top-10 matchup for RBs.
What could hurt Alvin Kamara's fantasy value?
Alvin Kamara's risks: Kendre Miller is next on the depth chart if he is benched or hurt, his efficiency (1.44 yards after contact per carry, 81st of 95 RBs in 2025) limits his scoring and the Falcons in Week 4 and the Vikings in Week 5 are tough matchups. See his injury status and history.
How difficult is Alvin Kamara's remaining fantasy schedule?
Difficult: of his next seven games, 2 come against a top-10 matchup for RBs and 3 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.