Josh Allen 2026 fantasy outlook and rest-of-season projection
- Age
- 30
- Height / weight
- 6'5", 237 lb
- Experience
- 9th season
- Drafted
- 2018 R1, #7
2026 Season
- PPR PPG
- 32.0
- Pos rank
- QB1
- Rostered
- 99%
Week 4 vs. Patriots, Sun Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET 29th vs. QBs, tough
Josh Allen Rest-of-Season Outlook
Dual-threat QB1 every week
Preseason Projection vs. Reality
He finished QB1 last season at 23.4 points per game.
Our Take After Week 4
Through 3 games he's QB1 at 32.0 PPR points per game, against 23.4 over 16 games last season (QB1). He's running ahead of last season's pace.
Last season he ranked 25th of 41 in passing volume (28.8 attempts per game), 4th of 41 in efficiency (0.17 EPA per play) and 3rd of 41 in rushing (36.2 rush yards per game). His points come from his rushing. Passing volume is the soft spot. DJ Moore and Dalton Kincaid are his top two targets.
The job is secure: he's the listed starter and one of the best at his position. The main risk is health, and Kyle Allen is next on the depth chart if he misses time.
Read our preseason outlook (June 2026)
Published June 16, 2026. Kept for reference; the take above replaces it.
Our model put Allen 11th among quarterbacks in 2025, a slip in positional rank that undersells the season: he set a personal best with a 69.3% completion rate, threw for 3,668 yards and 25 scores against just 10 picks, and added 579 yards and 14 touchdowns on the ground. That dual-threat profile delivered 364.6 fantasy points, the third straight year north of 360 after 392.6 in 2023 and 379 in 2024. His 0.171 EPA per play dipped from 2024's elite 0.311, and a 48.9% success rate signals modest passing-efficiency regression worth monitoring.
The rushing equity is the floor that makes him matchup-proof, with 500-plus yards and a dozen-plus scores on the ground in each of the last three seasons. A deeper receiver room should lift his aerial volume after years of thin perimeter help. Treat him as a back-half second-round pick in single-quarterback formats and the unquestioned first selection in superflex builds.
What Drives His Outlook
His 2025 rank among the 41 quarterbacks who played at least six games. Each bar is one quarterback, best on the left; his is highlighted.
Passing volume
Efficiency
Rushing
- Success rate
- 48.9%
- CPOE
- +3.5
- Sacks taken
- 40
- Pressure rate
- 18.0%
- Bad-throw rate
- 13.0%
- Deep-attempt rate
- 10.4%
What Could Change His Value
Upside
- The scheduleNone of his next four opponents is a top-10 matchup for QBs.Wk 4 NE, 29thWk 5 LAR, 21stWk 6 LV, 18thWk 8 BAL, 19th
- Strong efficiency0.17 EPA per play, 4th of 41 QBs in 2025.
- Major rushing36.2 rush yards per game, 3rd of 41 QBs in 2025.
Risk
- HealthHis role is secure; if he misses time, Kyle Allen is next on the depth chart.
- A tough matchupThe Patriots in Week 4 (29th) is among the stingiest defenses against QBs.
- Pressure and sacks40 sacks and a 18.0% pressure rate in 2025.
All Josh Allen stats & analysis
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Josh Allen Fantasy Outlook FAQ
What is Josh Allen's fantasy outlook for the rest of the 2026 season?
Josh Allen projects as a dual-threat QB1 every week for the rest of the 2026 season: a weekly starter in superflex and 2QB, 12-team 1QB and 10-team 1QB leagues. His rushing (36.2 rush yards per game, 3rd of 41 QBs in 2025) supports that. His passing volume (28.8 attempts per game, 25th of 41 QBs in 2025) holds him back. See his live rank in Redraft Command.
What is Josh Allen's rest-of-season fantasy ranking?
Josh Allen is the QB1 in PPR points per game through Week 4. That puts him in QB1 territory, a weekly starter in 12-team 1QB leagues.
What is Josh Allen's projected role going forward?
Josh Allen is the listed starting QB, with Kyle Allen next on the depth chart. Nothing on the chart threatens the job, so the role is his to lose on performance.
Will Josh Allen get more pass attempts?
Josh Allen's pass attempts are holding steady: 28.5 a game over his last two games against 28.7 for the season. Game script drives much of that, and trailing teams throw more.
What is Josh Allen's fantasy football upside?
Josh Allen's upside: his ceiling this season is 40.8 PPR points (Week 2, QB1) and his rushing (36.2 rush yards per game, 3rd of 41 QBs in 2025) gives him a weekly floor to build on.
What could hurt Josh Allen's fantasy value?
Josh Allen's risks: Kyle Allen is next on the depth chart if he is benched or hurt, his passing volume (28.8 attempts per game, 25th of 41 QBs in 2025) limits his scoring and the Patriots in Week 4 is a tough matchup. See his injury status and history.
How difficult is Josh Allen's remaining fantasy schedule?
Difficult: of his next seven games, 1 comes against a top-10 matchup for QBs and 3 against one of the stingiest defenses, by PPR points allowed to the position.